Gators favored by 16; does the bye week matter?

A few notes on Monday of Georgia-Florida week:

— Oddsmakers have made Florida a whopping 16-point favorite over Georgia on Saturday, even though the Gators have won their past three games by an average of 7.7 points — 10 over Mississippi State, 3 over Arkansas and 10 over LSU.

— As you know, Georgia is coming off a bye week and Florida is not. So here’s the data on open dates as they relate to the Georgia-Florida series: Georgia is 3-2 vs. Florida when coming off a bye week, while Florida is 14-4 vs. Georgia when coming off a bye week. The Bulldogs’  most recent win over the Gators -– in 2007 -– followed a UGA open date. That’s the only time since 1991, until this year, that Georgia had an open date before the Florida game. Florida, on the other hand, has had a bye week before playing Georgia 13 of the past 16 years.  For whatever all of that is worth.

– Mark Richt was asked Sunday about  the impact  of the bye week. “With this game or series, I think there’s probably a little bit too much made of it,” he said.  “Georgia, quite frankly, hasn’t had many open dates [before the game] and Florida has, but I don’t know if that has been the biggest factor other than whoever’s better that day.”  He added: “It’a always nice to have a break, no doubt about it, and you hope you can turn it into a positive for your football team. But there is just no guarantee of that.”

– Overall, Georgia is 11-3 under Richt following an open date, including 1-0 vs. Florida.

— Just to put Florida’s defense in perspective: It has allowed only four touchdowns this  season – two rushing, two passing. (The other two touchdowns scored against the Gators were on interception returns.) Florida is No. 1 in the nation in total defense, No. 2 in scoring defense, No. 2 in pass defense. Said Richt:  “They’ve got guys at just about every spot that are better than your average bears, you know.  They are just going to be a great challenge for us, no doubt.”

— Among the many strengths of the Gators’ defense: cornerbacks Joe Haden and Janoris Jenkins. “If you had to draft two corners, I know the two I’d pick for my team,” coach Urban Meyer said. “And we got them.”

— Tim Tebow had perhaps his worst game as a Gator last week, and that did absolutely nothing to lower Richt’s regard for him.  “I’ve said Tebow is one of the finest  players in the history of college football,” Richt said Sunday, “and my opinion of him hasn’t changed a bit.”  Tebow, you’ll recall, accounted for five touchdowns vs. Georgia last season — three rshing and two passing.

189 comments Add your comment

Where's my crack pipe?

October 26th, 2009
12:51 pm

Gonna get ugly I am afraid with Willie dialing up the D on this one!

Baton Rouge Dawg

October 26th, 2009
12:54 pm

If I know my history correctly Georgia is 8-2 against defending national champs.

firemarkricht.net

October 26th, 2009
12:57 pm

Yeah, I can’t see Bobo lighting up the best D in the nation…or the 75th best D, for that matter. And we’re gonna need points to match the numbers Meyer is capable of putting up on Willie.

Change is coming

October 26th, 2009
12:58 pm

I hear we are going to shake up the offense by putting AJ Green at left takle and making Boling a scat back.

Change is coming

October 26th, 2009
1:02 pm

“firemarkricht.net”,
Unless you are old you have never seen a better coach on the UGA sidelines… As a person AND as a football coach.

Baton Rouge Dawg

October 26th, 2009
1:04 pm

I agree “Change is comming” I hope all these people on the fire Mark Richt bandwagon fall off backwards and crack their skulls.

Let's be nice

October 26th, 2009
1:08 pm

We dawg fans need to take comfort in that UGA plays by the rules and in general the football team is filled with fine young men who help out in the community and call their grandmother’s and stuff like that.

Forget the national championship, SEC championship, or even major bowl games. Our players are very nice young men that make GA proud.

When Bobo calls the same play 6 or 7 times in a row, just remember that he’s a very upstanding gentlemen with 5 children. He played for the dogs by the way and we need to be loyal to our own.

When Willie’s D gives up 45 point’s this weekend we can take comfort in his friendship with Mark Richt. How nice for them to be so close for so many years. It’s really a tribute to the program that we foster such well being.

Peace and love to everyone.

chipperdawg

October 26th, 2009
1:08 pm

Florida has looked beatable lately, and we actually resembled a college football team against Vandy (but, of course, it was VANDY). I think the bye week will help us… and I hope they spent a good deal of the time just getting back to basics and fundemental blocking and tackling! I expect the Gators defense will just be to much for Cox and Co. however, and, being Tebow looked almost human last week, he’ll probably play out of his freakin’ mind against the Dawgs. In any case, I’ll be cheering for my beloved Dawgs as loud as I can!!! Go Dawgs!!!

JB

October 26th, 2009
1:11 pm

The line on this game is all you you need to know about the state of the Georgia football team. Florida has not impressed anybody ( I mean being number one and all) but to be 16 point favorite, that say’s it all…..

dan

October 26th, 2009
1:12 pm

UGA vs. Florida game: Gators favored by -16.5, which essentially means that Vegas thinks UGA will lose to Florida by 30 points. What do have to say about that Dawgs? Does this game mean anything to you? Or are you going to go out there like a bunch of scared pussies, like you did last year, and get blown out 49-10 or worse?

NavyDawg

October 26th, 2009
1:18 pm

Let’s go Dawgs!!!! Let’s prove the nation wrong, and show up to play!!! Let’s play our best game of the year!!!!!!!

firemarkricht.net

October 26th, 2009
1:29 pm

Well, what’s coming from the sidelines isn’t working. Saying Richt is the best coach ever at UGA is arguable, but ultimately irrelevant, as there are better coaches to be hired. Coaches who can take our players, develop them, and legitimately put this program in the national championship conversation every year. Coaches who will bring power football back to UGA. Coaches who give their loyalty to the football program and the university, not college roommates who can’t perform.

Replace your UGA gear and pen names with Richt’s name and logo.

militaryDawgInDC

October 26th, 2009
1:30 pm

Dan

I couldn’t agree more. The dawgs were weanies last year in the game with florida…Talent for talent we are equal with their only advantage
at QB and CB…I don’t get the fear factor either…we shold expect to
play with teams like florida…lets kick their arses

a win can hurt uga

October 26th, 2009
1:37 pm

I would love to beat UF, then run the table and hopefully UF looses to a stout S.Carolina team who then looses to Tennessee. The we play for the SEC championship………

HOWEVER, if that were to happen, Martinez and Bobo would get to keep their jobs. Thats bad. SO.. hopefully we win and then loose to some other teams so that the OC and DC are for sure fired at seasons end.

Tech fan

October 26th, 2009
1:52 pm

Florida needs to go down…too many teams ahead of us..

VADAWG

October 26th, 2009
1:56 pm

My heart says that on any given day anything is possible, including a UGA victory. My head says take the Gators and the points.

Pi$$onaDawg

October 26th, 2009
2:15 pm

The 16 points are to try to get people to put money UGA that is it. Vegas knows nobody thinks UGA can win. So, Vegas had to make the line something people will bite on. I think UGA has a shot. A slim one be it, but they strap it on just like the Gators and are rested.

augustadawg

October 26th, 2009
2:22 pm

My heart too says we should have a chance this year with the off date and they way UF has been playing. The head says that our defense is a great cure for many other teams offensive struggles and our offense is so unimaginative that we probably will not do much against a top 5 defense. 16 points is probably about right. Lets hope for a miracle because that is what it will take to win.

Exley DAWG

October 26th, 2009
2:31 pm

The stars have aligned my friends!!!!!! Stay thirsty. Dawgs win!!!!

Grandad

October 26th, 2009
2:33 pm

You must 1st *believe* you can win before you can make it happen. Come on BULLDAWG NATION…you know the players heard all the negativity leading up to Vandy. Now let’s show them some positivity. “BELIEVE”

bugsquacher

October 26th, 2009
2:34 pm

Come on Dawgs! GATA. Focus, you have the talent. Lets show them the 11 best on the field! FOCUS!

Old School Gator

October 26th, 2009
2:36 pm

Hey Grand Dad, That’s like wishining in one hand and S*/ting in the other. Not gonna happen. Either your a Gator or a Hater.

Greg

October 26th, 2009
2:52 pm

Hire Kirby Smart

Mutts R Stupid

October 26th, 2009
2:55 pm

It would help Techs chances of making the BCS championship game if UGAY could manage to beat Florida, and if Florida would then beat Alabama. Otherwise, tohellwithgeorgia.

Grandad

October 26th, 2009
2:56 pm

Old School Gator: Obviously, an honor grad @ the U of F. Majored in Spelling and Language Arts I see.

jake

October 26th, 2009
3:03 pm

Where is Johnny Griffith and his staff when you really need them.

jake

October 26th, 2009
3:03 pm

That is——if you are old enough to remember

Bryan G.

October 26th, 2009
3:04 pm

During World War II, the British cracked the German radio codes and discovered of an attack coming on a British city. Instead of warning everyone, telling them to evacuate, and tipping the Nazis off to it, the Brits allowed the city to be lost so that they could continue to use the German codes.

I use this analogy to say this: should UGA win Saturday, I worry that we are going to win a battle and lose a war. I’m talking to you, CWM.

Remember when we won the SEC in basketball in 2008? All it did was delay the inevitable another year. I so badly want to win Saturday…but I am worried that if we do, it may delay the inevitable.

Will

October 26th, 2009
3:07 pm

Sweet Willie made Steve Garcia look like Montana, then he made Compton look like Elway. I know Tebow feels lousy but he must be licking his chops to play against the soft cover-2 look that Willie loves.

By the way, From the quotes I have been reading none of the players seemed concerned about making sure they watched the UF/MSU game Saturday. I read where some went to the Bama game,some went to the Texas game and some went out with friends. Well I stayed home and scouted UF. Oh wait that doesn’t help…I’m not scheduled to play or coach Saturday.

ps…. Sweet Willie, I hope this is your final Border Brawl as our DC. You too Coach Fab.

redeployed dawg

October 26th, 2009
3:10 pm

I think Tebow came back too early. I am not sure he is 100%. I have a couple friends that are FL fans and they are all worried about this game. The good news for us is that there is absolutely nothing to lose (except maybe a Defensive Coordinator if they hang 50 on us again).

Grandad

October 26th, 2009
3:11 pm

Bryan G.: Please tell me you are not comparing CMR to CDF. Clarify ?

Mayor Bubba

October 26th, 2009
3:13 pm

Remember the 1966 game with Spurrier as the Heisman winner…..a lesson in what can happen when you play with hearts of lion’s and GATA. Both teams have been very lucky this year and UF’s been the luckiest….so far.

Bryan G.

October 26th, 2009
3:14 pm

Grandad:

No, I am comparing Willie Martinez to Dennis Felton. Sorry if that wasn’t clear.

jake

October 26th, 2009
3:17 pm

Write this down-Dawgs win 31-23

Georgia is next

October 26th, 2009
3:19 pm

All Florida needs is at least 21 points and then they will get the W. Dawgs couldn’t score 20 last year and they sure are not going to score 20 this year. Considering how poor the UGA defense is 21 should not be a problem.

Party at Joe Cox's for the SEC Title Game

October 26th, 2009
3:23 pm

31-23? Yeah right, dress Stafford and Moreno and the Dawgs still won’t score 31 points against the Gator D. No way the Gator D gives up 4 times it’s average points with a piss poor quarterback and little offense except Green. Keep dreaming.

Tebow is a team player, Stafford is not

October 26th, 2009
3:26 pm

16 Points? The Dawgs will be lucky to score 16 points. 2008 – 49-10

guyanadawg

October 26th, 2009
3:27 pm

There’s always next year…

jake

October 26th, 2009
3:29 pm

A.J. will have 223 yds. in completions agst. Gators porous pass D.

Dawg Man

October 26th, 2009
3:30 pm

FL will get extra help from the refs, just as they have for the past 2 games.

Iceman

October 26th, 2009
3:35 pm

We’re bad, Florida’s D is lights out, and the refs have been favoring the SEC’s golden boy all year.
In any game, there’s always a chance…but I don’t think there is here. The lizards have been struggling, as in squeaking by LSU and Ark, and Tebow is nowhere close to 100%…but their D is excellent, and the refs will continue to cut em some breaks.

Ugh.

redeployed dawg

October 26th, 2009
3:35 pm

Careful Dawg Man; you might get reprimanded by the SEC.

Joey

October 26th, 2009
3:44 pm

Let’s see, UF is 14-4 vs UGA after a bye week, UGA under Richt is 11-3, and 1-0 vs UF after a bye week, and he “thinks too much is made of it? Hmmmm. Sounds like the coach is trying to kill any sense of hope we Dawg fans may have about the game right here and now….

Ugaproblem

October 26th, 2009
3:47 pm

Gators can be beat. Go Dawgs!! Poor WM he does not have a clue. MR is at fault for letting him stay. Expect more of these shaky seasons to come. MR has to hire a better staff. Hire a RB coach to help develope the young players. Hire a DC that has a clue.

Willie Martinez

October 26th, 2009
3:52 pm

Let’s be nice

October 26th, 2009
1:08 pm
You said it perfectly!

I heard the fish are biting again. I have nothing better to do on Saturday. I may stop off at my friends bar and shoot some pool. What are you guys doing Saturday?

Willie Martinez

October 26th, 2009
3:55 pm

Oh the spread of 16.5 points! Why is everyone keep giving WM so much credit. The gators will put up at least 56. Sorry but I am not watching anymore dawgs games.

Joey

October 26th, 2009
3:57 pm

Richt spilled the beans today – Willie “isn’t going anywhere”!!! DC for life!!! Bet Willie didn’t know it 20 something years ago he had won the lottery just by rooming with Mark Richt. $300,000 plus forever…..
Oh, and Will, you forgot Ark’s Mallett and his 400 yds and 5 TDs against that brilliant Willie scheme!!!

collegeballfan

October 26th, 2009
4:00 pm

I believe UGA will win this game & the remaining games on their schedule.

Re Martinez. It is the players not the coaching. Poor recruiting.

Joey

October 26th, 2009
4:07 pm

Chipperdawg (1:08), where have you been? Richt’s own words: “Last week was spent in the weight-room. We’ll start on Florida Sunday.”

Cobb Dawg

October 26th, 2009
4:08 pm

Based on the play and stats that I’ve seen this season, GA doesn’t stand a very good chance of scoring, much less winning against UF. GA is very one-dimensional and UF can key on the passing game, while their speed will shut down any chance of a running game. GA’s defense couldn’t stop even lowly UT, so they’re surely not going to even slow down the best offensive player in the nation. I know that anything can happen in college football, and this series used to be testimony to that. But that was a different era when GA played physically on both sides of the ball. I’m afraid this might be a 44-0 or 50-3 game. I hope I’m wrong but I think it’ll be ugly.