Your daily jolt: Republicans absorb Tuesday’s lessons

The message from last night: The dynamics of Georgia politics haven’t changed much in four years. Republican Mitt Romney on Tuesday won this state (53.4 percent) by nearly the same margin as John McCain (52 percent) in 2008.

Here’s the county-by-county map of last night’s returns.

In fact, with the exception of D.C.-infected Virginia, Republicans won every state in the Old Confederacy, and a few border concerns besides. But 206 electoral votes won’t win you a presidency. Elsewhere, the GOP clearly needs to recalculate its audience and its message.

Republicans had bet the demographic changes measured in countless surveys and the 2010 census wouldn’t show up at the polls. They were wrong. The quick and simple from the Associated Press:

In exit polling Tuesday, voters mirrored the voting public’s makeup of four years ago, when Obama shattered minority voting barriers and drove young voters to the polls unlike any candidate in generations.

White voters made up 72 percent of the electorate — less than four years ago — while black voters remained at 13 percent and Hispanics increased from 9 percent to 10 percent.

That flew in the face of GOP assumptions that the fierce economic headwinds of the past three years and the passing of the novelty of the first African-American president would trim Obama’s support from black voters, perhaps enough to make the difference in a close election.

However, Obama carried Virginia, the heart of the old South, in part by having increased his record support from black voters there in 2008, which reached 18 percent, to more than 20 percent, according to Obama campaign internal tracking polls.

On CNN this morning, former U.S. House speaker Newt Gingrich simply said “I was wrong” when he predicted a 53 percent victory margin for Romney:

Said Gingrich:

“We all thought that we understood the historical pattern and the fact that, with this level of unemployment, with this level of gasoline pricing, what would happen….The country was looking at a different set of things than we were looking at.”

The miscalculations and misstatements – both Todd Akin in Missouri and Richard Mourdock in Indiana lost their Republicans campaigns – cost the GOP control of the U.S. Senate. Again, from AP:

In a somber statement, Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, said Republicans “have a period of reflection and recalibration ahead.” He added that, “While some will want to blame one wing of the party over the other, the reality is candidates from all corners of our GOP lost tonight.”

Some will declare that Republicans were beaten because they weren’t conservative enough. A message from Jenny Beth Martin, the Cherokee County woman who heads up Tea Party Patriots, arrived just before midnight. It included this:

What we got was a weak moderate candidate, hand-picked by the Beltway elites and country-club establishment wing of the Republican Party. The Presidential loss is unequivocally on them….

We cannot change what the Republican establishment handed us tonight. We can stop Barack Obama from fundamentally changing the future and character of this nation. We can stop the mushy-middle, non-fighters in the GOP from rolling over and getting rolled, yet again by the Left.

Or you can simply move on. This voice mail from Republican Joe McCutchen, who lived and breathed Mitt Romney for 18 months, arrived this morning:

”I’m sorry about Mitt, but I’ve already gone to work on the next two-year election. I’m happy about my nephew Hunter winning. We’re going to take over the Senate in 2014. I’ve already started to work on the next election.”

***
In the passage of Amendment One the charter school measure, five counties in metro Atlanta provided 62 percent of the 625,133 margin of victory:

– DeKalb: Yes, by 81,784 votes;

– Cobb: Yes, by 83,204 votes;

– Gwinnett: Yes, by 74,626 votes;

– Fulton: Yes, by 111,733 votes;

– Clayton: Yes, by 39,503.

We’ve received one estimate that the charter school measure won approximately 65 percent of the African-American vote in DeKalb, 64 percent in Fulton, and 72 percent in Clayton. This despite concerted opposition from the likes of the Rev. Joe Lowery; state Sen. Emanuel Jones of Decatur, chairman of the Legislative Black Caucus; and state Sen. Vincent Fort of Atlanta.

This was the result that TSPLOST supporters wanted, but couldn’t get. Here’s a link to the county-by-county map of the returns.

***
A review of other Georgia contests worth noting this morning:

– Both Republican incumbents on the state Public Service Commission won re-election. Chuck Eaton (52 percent) beat Stephen Openheimer (43 percent), with Libertarian Brad Ploeger taking 5 percent. Notice that the results roughly mirrored the presidential contest.

Stan Wise (66 percent) beat David Staples, who ended the evening as the state’s most popular Libertarian, with 34 percent – or more than 1 million votes.

– Democratic incumbent John Barrow finished off Lee Anderson with 54 percent in the 12th District congressional race.

***
Republican challenger Hunter Hill beat Democratic incumbent Doug Stoner in the race for District 6 state Senate seat. But Republicans will have to wait for a runoff and special general election contest in District 30 before they can claim a supermajority in the Senate.

State Rep. Bill Hembree, R-Winston, narrowly missed (48 percent) winning outright, and will face Republican Mike Dugan (24 percent) in December. The winner must still face an independent in January. Former House speaker Glenn Richardson finished third (15 percent) in the District 30 contest.

So the count in the Senate is 37 Republicans, 18 Democrats, and one race yet to be decided.

Members of the new Republican Senate caucus will meet next week in south Georgia at Little Ocmulgee State Park to pick a new leadership team. Do not overlook the fact that, at one GOP celebration last night, Lt. Gov. Casey Cagle was introduced by state Sen. David Shafer, R-Duluth, who is likely to be elected Senate president pro tem.

***
Democrats this morning claim they have blocked a GOP supermajority in the state House, keeping Republicans to 119 seats of 180. Among those races:

– In House District 12, Democratic incumbent Barbara Reece of Menlo lost to Republican Eddie Lumsden (51 percent).

– In House District 16: Republican Trey Kelley trounced (69 percent) Democratic incumbent Rick Crawford of Cedartown, who had promised to switch to the GOP if re-elected.

– In House District 81, Democratic incumbent Scott Holcomb defeated (56 percent) Republican Chris Boedeker.

– In House District 96: Democratic incumbent Pedro Marin survived (55 percent) a GOP challenge from Mark Williams, who was hospitalized during a portion of the campaign.

– In House District 105: Republican Joyce Chandler of Lawrenceville defeated (51 percent) Democrat Renita Hamilton for an open seat.

– In House District 138: Republican Mike Cheokas of Americus barely survived (50.64 percent) a Democratic challenge from Kevin Brown.

– In House District 145: Independent incumbent Rusty Kidd (54 percent) defeated Democrat Quentin Howell. Despite their effort to knock him off, Democrats say Kidd’s presence in the House– plus their 60 members — deprives the GOP of supermajority status.

- By Jim Galloway, Political Insider

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335 comments Add your comment

liberalefty

November 7th, 2012
10:52 am

bigotry and hate lost last night…

shakal404

November 7th, 2012
10:54 am

The GOP needs to wake up and smell the coffee. They need to rethink and come with new battle plan, the old white christian card is no longer working. If they want to get the white house in 2016, they will need to go after the young/gay/minorities and of course women voters. Mitt Romney did a much better job than McCain, he lost because most Americans still see the GOP as the bad guys. WAKE UP!!!!

Cherokee

November 7th, 2012
11:05 am

You’re correct shakal, but I doubt it happens. Some of the leaders of the party will try – Chris Christie, Marco Rubio – but most of the base gets their news from Boortz and Hannity and Limbaugh and Cain and Erickson. Those guys sure aren’t going to admit they were wrong…

And I wonder what Karl Rove is telling all those billionaires who trusted him with their money? They didn’t get to be wealthy because they’re stupid, but they sure made a bad bet giving their cash to Rove.

LOL

November 7th, 2012
11:05 am

Americans wanted a real conservative, which is why they picked the more liberal candidate. Great conclusion, Jenny.

Mr. Peanut

November 7th, 2012
11:05 am

Lindsey Graham was right… there aren’t enough old, angry white men anymore.

harold

November 7th, 2012
11:10 am

Repudiate Grover Norquist, embrace mainstream science, get an economic plan that doesn’t cut the throats of the middle class.
Then I’ll go back to the Republican party.

[...] Romney lostCNN InternationalBarack Obama Also Wins Most Popular Facebook Photo EverHuffington PostAtlanta Journal Constitution (blog) -Fox Newsall 29,328 news articles » This entry was posted in Environmental [...]

Robert E Lee

November 7th, 2012
11:15 am

Hey guys let’s secede again.

Serious.

cc Was Wrong

November 7th, 2012
11:15 am

Yes you were. How many times did you say Romney would win? More than I can count.
CC WAS WRONG! How can I believe anything you say anymore?

harris

November 7th, 2012
11:16 am

Too Bad; We have a lot more takers than givers in our nation.

East Cobb RINO, Inc. (LLC)

November 7th, 2012
11:17 am

What harold said.

Baron DeKalb

November 7th, 2012
11:18 am

“Hey guys????”

East Cobb RINO, Inc. (LLC)

November 7th, 2012
11:19 am

Where are CC & Trisha this morning? At the new international terminal at Hartsfield maybe?

Mitt

November 7th, 2012
11:21 am

The country is still associating the GOP with the senile John McCain and the retarded Sarah Palin. Their memory will shadow the GOP for at least another decade. The GOP may never recover electing a senile old man a their candidate.

honested

November 7th, 2012
11:23 am

To jenny beth whatever:

Please, bring on the most extremist conserrrrrrrvative nutcase you can find.
Apparently you didn’t get the message, but the MOST CONSERVATIVE CANDIDATES LOST BY THE BIGGEST MARGINS.
Defeating a backward looking knuckle dragger in 2016 will be easier and cheaper, allowing more concentration on House and Senate races.

Rider

November 7th, 2012
11:23 am

One of the many reasons I vote democrate and will continue to do so was on full display last night as election coverage would cut back and forth between the two “election parties” happening in Boston and Chicago. One was 99 percent composed of white folks all cut from the same cloth, while the other was composed of a vast mix of races and cultures.The later is the society I want to be a part of and that’s what America is about. PS – I am a white male.

Doug Hendrix

November 7th, 2012
11:24 am

What I don’t understand is why so many people in the middle class voted Republican. They do not care about you at all. They claim to when it is time to cast your vote but their record doesn’t back that up. It’s like the middle class has gotten used to and now wants to be beaten at every turn by the Republican Party. It also dumbfounds me on how this party has harnessed the “supposed” Christians in this country while spouting so much hate towards most Americans…and getting them to still follow the party. Can’t wait to hear all of the excuses FOX news and the Republican Party cme up with about this loss.

Also, Republicans state that they stadn for self sufficience. So do most people, we just don’t hate half of the country or and we don’t bring God into politics where God doesn’t belong.

honested

November 7th, 2012
11:26 am

Cherokee,

I bet rove has a huge backlog of calls this morning from angry ‘investors’ who want their money back.

Shark Punch!

November 7th, 2012
11:30 am

@ liberallefty: Don’t kid yourself; “bigotry and hate” exist on both sides of the spectrum.

Richard

November 7th, 2012
11:35 am

Mitt,

Actually, the GOP is being associated to Murdoch, Akin and Santorum more than anything.

Palin was just an idiot. Those three are legitimately dangerous and scare the spit out of people.

mehlman rings twice

November 7th, 2012
11:37 am

Look, to us adults, what happened last night was expected. Look at what the GOP has been rolling out over the years:
1. A candidate with a desire to be in an open marriage.
2. A court jester of a candidate giving money to a woman without his wife’s knowledge and not knowing the issues regarding Libya.
3. A candidate more interested in asking Pakistan’s permission for us to pursue our enemies, seeking approval of our foreign policy in Jerusalem, and insulting our allies on their own soil while they are in the middle of hosting international events.
3. An obsession with voter fraud (myth) and silly issues like birth certificates, loyalty oaths, and telepromters.

East Cobb RINO, Inc. (LLC)

November 7th, 2012
11:38 am

The fascist extreme right of the GOP keep saying “worst president ever”. What does that tell them about the product they are selling and the manner in which they are selling it when they are overwhelmingly crushed by the “worst president ever”?

GOP answer: We will continue to build and sell the Yugo – maybe put some racing stripes on the next model. We just need to convince the ‘Merican people it is what they need and want and it is the best car ever.

brian

November 7th, 2012
11:39 am

Where mi bamy pnhone

brian

November 7th, 2012
11:40 am

Nead mi fool stamps toth

MasterOfSparks

November 7th, 2012
11:44 am

In 2 years another 2 years worth of crusty old white dudes will have died and another 2 years of open minded young people will have reached voting age. Double that over the next 4 years. The G-O-P is D-O-N-E for a generation.

Tom

November 7th, 2012
11:45 am

Can’t wait to see the certified results and how many write-in’s Darwin got.

The Bystander

November 7th, 2012
11:48 am

Obama will have three choices to fix the economy, 1 Cut spending, 2 cut taxes , 3 raise taxes. I really don’t think he will do the first two so that leaves rasie taxes. There is already talk of raising taxes on Stock Dividends. If you think that only affect the “rich People” take look at your 401K.

In additon, we will not enjoy the social security tax break after Jan. That is a tax increase

Also, companies are looking at ways to CUT position and hours so they won’t be fined under Obama Care. Result: Part time workers without any benfits. The parent company of Olive Garden has this plan in place. They will not be the only ones.

GaBlue

November 7th, 2012
11:48 am

Here’s a big lesson the GOP needs to absorb: “In the War on Women, you’re either with us, or you’re against us. Choose wisely.” The 2012 Republican ticket was on the wrong side of that one, and they paid for it.

The good ol’ boys in Georgia THINK they are going to drag us back to the 1930’s, and are confident, if not completely cogcky, about their ability to do so. As sure as your Momma knows when you’re lying to her, they will also pay the price for this.

zeke

November 7th, 2012
11:49 am

The only lessons learned were these. Democrats have been on an agenda to create new voters for several decades. Those under 21 who have not one damn clue as to what society and our government should be! Those who are on the government freebie handout list that PAY NO FEDERAL INCOME TAX AND IN FACT GET A PAYMENT FROM THE GOVERNMENT FUNDED BY ACTUAL TAXPAYERS!
The blind clueless voting or the racist blacks, Hispanics and other minorities who actually believe that we who work AND pay income tax owes them something! 25, maybe 50 million criminal illegals! And a group of clueless whites and brainless so called celebrities who feel that they must vote for a black man because they are guilty for previous wrongs against minorities! And finally, those who believe that is I am successful and make lots of money, I OWE THEM SOMETHING JUST BECAUSE I AM SUCCESSFUL!

Tragedy is, that this election may end the position of the USA as the light of the World, second to none, free, and prosperous! Contrary to Obama’s belief, AMERICANS, U.S. CITIZENS ARE EXCEPTIONAL!!!

tell me again

November 7th, 2012
11:51 am

I see where Wash. St. and Colo. Both legalized weed. They also both went to Obama. That was wise because for the next 4 years they will need something to dull the pain.

Ostrich Racer

November 7th, 2012
11:52 am

”I’m sorry about Mitt, but I’ve already gone to work on the next two-year election. I’m happy about my nephew Hunter winning. We’re going to take over the Senate in 2014. I’ve already started to work on the next election.”

Mr. McCutchen, I am confident that you mean every word. And that’s the problem — the American people would much rather you start working on the country, not the election. Focus on coming up with solutions, based on what we have in common, instead of a crusade to “take over the Senate.” In short, we are all in a mess, you included, so grab the rope and start pulling. Until you do, I’m with Harold.

MANGLER

November 7th, 2012
11:55 am

My commute carries me through Cobb, Cherokee, North Fulton, Gwinette and Forsyth Counties. Typically it starts off quiet (Cobb) and ends up hectic (Gwinette). This morning it was starkly opposite. Cobb was driving very angry today. I figure I’ll need to drive a little more “aware” for a week or two.
Notice I’m not complaining about the length of the commute because it was my choice where to move and work … just the type of driver attitude I encounter.

Roberto dl R

November 7th, 2012
11:56 am

How can you lose when you spend four years working as hard as you can to ensure the economy looks as bad as possible by saying “no” and filibustering, then base the whole ballgame on pointing out the economy looks bad and your opponent did it? Cynical manipulation in order to gain power.

I wonder what the House will sabotage this time for a basis for the next election? People, this is not the “good old Republican Party”, it’s a front for a group of the most insidious power-trippers this country has seen in a century. Their program is vague because they depend on getting your vote before they reveal it. They know you won’t like it. Once you give them your vote, your usefulness is over.

Who was Romney? Oh, just a guy who can “hold a pen and sign his name”… Once the election was over, his usefulness was, too.

Rub the sleep out of your eyes and behold the obvious. Dey’re not really your friends, are dey?

How could they lose?

Erica Long

November 7th, 2012
11:57 am

With respect to the Charter School referendum, I will just say it simply – Black people aren’t stupid. We know that the status quo is not working, and we are willing to take a chance on something new. We are tired of the race-baiting and misinformation dished out by politicos who are more concerned with following the party line (and not upsetting teacher organizations) than they are with fostering good schools that work for our children right now.

In what has become a way too frequent occurrence, and no surprise at all, the Georgia Legislative Black Caucus was completely out of step with its own constituency on this issue. Black elected officials need to stop trying to tell their voters what they should believe and need to start listening to them instead.

AtlJack

November 7th, 2012
11:57 am

Oh… it stings doesn’t it? That Hate and Fear stuff just isn’t being purchased by the majority of Americans.

The lie that the Obama is responsible for the economy just didn’t fly either.

Almost 3 straight years of job growth, housing starts, robust stock market, and recovering housing market trumped blatant lies.

Note to “Jenny Beth Martin” Tea Party whacko: Please, please run Todd Akin or Mourdock or some other neanderthal for President. Hillary will crush a whatever right wing whack candidate you think would win.

MANGLER

November 7th, 2012
11:58 am

zeke, I believe the word “exceptional” for the people you describe, as well as for yourself, should be “special”.

East Cobb RINO, Inc. (LLC)

November 7th, 2012
11:58 am

three choices to fix the economy, 1 Cut spending, 2 cut taxes , 3 raise taxes

Obama proposal is a hybrid of #1 & #3. GOP has been unwilling to accept even a 10:1 ratio of #1 to #3.

In additon, we will not enjoy the social security tax break after Jan. That is a tax increase

The SS withholding was reduced from 6% to 4% as a temporary measure to put more money in consumers pocket and had bipartisan support. Allowing a temporary reduction to expire and return to the previous rate is not a tax increase. Just like the 2 Bush tax cuts (while financing 2 wars) were temporary with an expiration date and have been extended twice with bipartisan support. Allowing temporary reductions to return to previous levels is not a tax increase. We have all been getting these breaks at the expense of higher debt. Now we can all begin to pay for that debt.

I tried to tell everyone Obama 12

November 7th, 2012
11:58 am

The GOP HAS TO CHANGE! GA will be blue again by 2018 mid-terms if the same policies drive the republican agenda. This was a mandate by the national electorate, you can no longer run on lies and anger women but expect to win outside of the deep south.
It is time to work together and not fight the President for four more years or the Democrats will win back control of the US House at the mid-terms.

Miss J

November 7th, 2012
12:02 pm

Hey below is the formula for a Republican victory in 2016

1. Compromise on the immigration issue (Reagan did it)
2. Look to broaden the Republican base – but in order to do this you will need to move a little more to the middle on issue of abortion, entitlement programs and gay rights.
3. Have a plan that will address the needs (unemployment, crime, education) for low and middle income folks.
4. Start becoming a party of inclusion (stop prmoting the us against them philosophy). For example, when you have a candidate that runs on “Let’s take back our Country” – what are you talking about…where did it go. – We know that slogan is code for ……….
5. Embrace the diversity within the U.S. don’t run from hit.

Can you do these things?

Can you do some of them?

??????????????????????????????????????????????????????

fella

November 7th, 2012
12:03 pm

“Recalculating a message and audience” does not equal representing ones’ constituents. The Republican ticket lost because republican politicians are dinosaurs, out of touch with the general public and out of time in office…. good riddance.

Evan

November 7th, 2012
12:03 pm

The Old Confederacy. Really talk about closet racists. If they want to take it there the progressive North & West will kick your asses once again. GTFO with that.

I tried to tell everyone Obama 12

November 7th, 2012
12:03 pm

Miss J, that sounds like the Democrat platform.

jwc

November 7th, 2012
12:04 pm

Could Georgia ever move beyond the 1860’s? Perhaps not, but the GOP will go the way of the dinosaur if it excludes half the electorate and lords it over the other half. Georgia could be relevant in subsequent elections in joining the national dialogue instead of being completely predictable, and thus ignored. But she’ll have to join this century in order to get there.

MasterOfSparks

November 7th, 2012
12:06 pm

If you miss the Bush admin so much you can always go throw yourself in the ocean & pretend its Katrina all over again. Or blow yourself up & pretend its 9/11. Do both & call it “Bush’s Greatest Hits!” Take 1/2 your retirement account & give it to the CEO of your bank no questions asked. Why not get your whole crowd together & pile into a naked pyramid & relive the Lyndie England disgrace? There are lots of things like that you guys can do while we normal Americans move on with the 21st century.

Sparta_Bubba

November 7th, 2012
12:07 pm

Lyndon Johnson was correct when after the passage of the 1964 Civil Rights Bill he said “I fear we have lost the South for a century.” When the Democratic Party dropped the mantle of hate and bigotry, the Republican Party picked it up and ran with it. Fortunately this country as a whole is better than that, and the mantle is not carrying them far, except in the Old Confederacy. Interesting that there is a strong correlation between educational achievements and red states. What did ole Forest Gump have to say about stupid?

againstcorruption

November 7th, 2012
12:07 pm

The Republicans loss because of the leaders, Rush, Sean, Rove and the Koch brothers.

Miss J

November 7th, 2012
12:07 pm

@ I tried to tell everyone Obama 12……

BINGO……..that’s how Obama won in 2012……

Repubs must learn from the DEMS………..if they want to have a shot at 2016

Mark Webster

November 7th, 2012
12:08 pm

Everything is on video nowadays. Don’t run a candidate that changes his position on an issue every other day.

SleeplessinHabersham

November 7th, 2012
12:08 pm

The bigger story to me is the Senate races; clearly a mandate for the ideas of the Democratic Party and Moderation in general. The Republicans need to move to the middle and focus on economic issues and leave the Tea Baggers, & extreme ideologies behind. Karl Rove is past his time and clearly was out played last night. I’m beginning to believe that the biggest issue before us is Campaign Finance Reform; we have to do something about the amount of money spent in these campaigns; the money has got to go.

Evan

November 7th, 2012
12:08 pm

These guys really are stuck in 1863. Their logic processing centers, literally have a level of sophistication akin to those of dinosaurs. Pitiful.