Your daily jolt: Signs that John Barrow might survive

If U.S. Rep. John Barrow, D-Augusta, has a little bounce to his step this morning, it could be that some number-crunchers have given him some hope that today may not mark the end of his congressional career.

As newly redrawn, the 12th District in east-by-southeast Georgia has an overall African-American population of perhaps 32 percent. Republicans have been calculating that a slightly depressed black vote, 30 percent or lower, might spell doom for the last white Democrat from the Deep South – and send GOP state lawmaker Lee Anderson to Washington.

Advance ballot stats place African-American participation in the 12 District contest at 36 percent, thanks to President Barack Obama’s name at the topic of the ticket, and a Richmond County sheriff’s race.

Statewide, African-Americans cast 34 percent of Georgia’s early ballots.

***
Never mind that joke that caused such a fuss last week. We’ve gotten word that the Rev. Joseph Lowery, one of Barack Obama’s frontier supporters in 2008, will be at the side of the president and first lady tonight in Chicago.

***
James Earl Carter IV – yes, the man who helped bring out Mitt Romney’s 47 percent video – has pointed us to some complicated Georgia footprints. In Maine, where a U.S. Senate race to replace Olympia Snowe could determine control of the chamber. The lead candidate is an independent.

First, background from the Associated Press:

While it’s commonly accepted that Angus King, a former Democrat who supports President Barack Obama, would align with Democrats, he has refused to say. That’s generated suspense and, in theory, could translate to power for King if the Senate ends up close to a 50/50 split.

Safe Nation PAC, a Marietta-registered firm with two well-known Georgia Republicans on its masthead, had been sending direct mail and putting out robocalls in support of the Democratic candidate, Cynthia Dill – whom the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has refused to endorse.

The robocall from Safe Nation PAC urged progressives to reject King because he “opposes marriage equality,” according to the Associated Press.

Here’s the text:

“This is an important message from Safe Nation PAC. Maine can either elect a George W. Bush supporter or a senator who will stand up for progressive values. As one of Bush’s biggest supporters, Angus King described himself as ‘too fiscally conservative for today’s Democratic party.’

“Now, Angus King wants to give tax breaks to the 1% and opposes marriage equality for LGBT couples. Angus King even opposes common sense restrictions on assault weapons. That is just wrong. How can progressives trust Angus King in the U.S. Senate when he has let them down so many times before.

The Bangor Daily News now reports this:

A Georgia-based Republican super PAC that spent $25,000 on a mailer urging progressive voters to choose Democratic state Sen. Cynthia Dill over independent former Gov. Angus King in Maine’s U.S. Senate race is now also urging voters to choose Republican candidate Charlie Summers.

Safe Nation PAC announced Friday that it’s started airing a 60-second radio ad that touts Summers’ military service and says that, as Maine’s Secretary of State, Summers “protected the integrity of Maine’s elections and fought against wasteful red tape.”

Complicated, huh? All three candidates are in double digits, and only a plurality is required tonight. Hence the double-dipping.

Safe Nation’s treasurer is Bryan P. Tyson, a lawyer at Strickland Brockington Lewis, who has been deeply involved in Georgia redistricting over the last several years. Its chairman is Chip Lake of Glendale Strategies, the GOP political strategist.

Both are former staffers for U.S. Rep. Lynn Westmoreland – with Lake serving as Westmoreland’s chief of staff.

Want more oddness? The spokesman for Safe Nation is R.C. Hammond, former spokesman for Newt Gingrich during his GOP presidential campaign.

***
Feel free to pick your own, but below is one of many final words in polling this morning:

A Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll showed Obama at 50 percent to Republican challenger Mitt Romney’s 47 percent. That is Obama’s best showing since July and a reversal of the three-percentage-point edge Romney held last month.

Elsewhere, new polls showed the president up by small margins in Ohio, Virginia and New Hampshire, three swing states that could give Obama the last electoral votes he needs to win.

***
In an interview with Tony Thomas of Channel 2 Action News, Secretary of State Brian Kemp worries that Fulton County’s tumultuous election division might not be up to snuff this evening:

***
Whether or not Amendment One passes tonight could very well be determined by the intensity of opposition from rural Georgia.

To that point, Bryan Long of Better Georgia, the progressive group, has passed along what he says is a nine-month-old e-mail from state Rep. Tommy Benton, R-Jefferson to a constituent, on the origins of the language of today’s ballot measure on charter schools:

Received: Fri, 03 Feb 2012 07:39:04 AM EST

From: “Benton, Tommy”

To: “J. Knazek”

Subject: RE: Today’s House Education Committee meeting & question

Ms. Knazek,

What can I say. People high up are wanting this legislation. I was at the beginning of the meeting. I was the one who got Rep. [Jan] Jones to say that if the bill were changed in the Senate she would not support those changes. I had to leave before the vote was taken to chair my own committee that was meeting at 3:30.

The vagueness of the ballot wording is something they want to keep. They think if they keep it vague it will more easily pass. The wording had been changed from the time the bill was introduced. Even as vague as it is now it is better than in the beginning.

The meeting yesterday was the second we had concerning the bill. We took public comments in the first meeting. I would urge you to come and speak anytime you have concerns about a bill. Usually bills are assigned to a subcommittee where public comments are made. In the full committee the public does not comment, only committee members can ask questions and make comments.

I am also a product of K-12 education and taught middle school for 30 years. It is interesting that of the six signers to the bill[,] Rep. Lindsey sent his kids to private school, Chairman Coleman was in public education but has been out so long I don’t think he remembers what it was like, Rep. Kaiser’s children go to a charter school, Rep. Morgan’s child is not old enough to go to school but her husband is a big advocate of charter schools, Rep. Jones’ children went or are going to public school and Rep. Hatchett is one of the Governor’s floor leaders.

All of the public school advocates are opposed to the measure. If we do this we might as well pass legislation to do away with the local boards of education and just run things from Atlanta. We have heard local control from the metro crowd when wanting to start new towns but they will not even listen to that argument now. We will now try to find 81 votes to vote against it because it will take120 to pass.

Tommy Benton

Chairman, Human Relations and Aging Committee

Georgia House of Representatives

District 31

***
U.S. Rep. John Lewis, D-Atlanta, has opposition on today’s ballot, but apparently has no worries. He was up in Massachusetts over the weekend, campaigning for Elizabeth Warren, the Democrat attempting to oust U.S. Sen. Scott Brown, a Republican.

Lewis’ GOP challenger is attorney Howard Stopeck.

***
The AJC’s Politifact Georgia today offers up a round-up of past fact-checks on election and voter ID claims.

- By Jim Galloway, Political Insider

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37 comments Add your comment

Yep

November 6th, 2012
11:08 am

May the best conservative win today!

Tom

November 6th, 2012
11:27 am

So a member of the Gnu Black Panther Party is again standing outside the same Philly polling place where the thugs ( including one wielding a nightstick) were intimidating white voters in 2008.

Thanks, Eric Holder.

honested

November 6th, 2012
11:42 am

Well it looks like the 12th will need to import more toothless hicks for the OnePartyState to elect a republiklan conserrrrrrrrvative.
Alabamans with valid passports, get ready to move east!

RCB

November 6th, 2012
11:45 am

So Lowery will be by Obama’s side tonight. Shocking.

Bob Loblaw

November 6th, 2012
11:46 am

Crap by Long releasing that email and by the constituent. That was an intended communication between two people. Getting used to it from Brian, though.

Don Coyote

November 6th, 2012
11:58 am

The vagueness of the ballot wording is something they want to keep. They think if they keep it vague it will more easily pass.

And in the end cost the taxpayers even more money in the event of its passage. While I didn’t like wording in some of the amendments in the past replete with legalese, the marketing language of these two and the TSPLOST referendum is completely shameless in its obvious slant. Maybe we need an amendment to force ballot language to reflect the actual meaning of amendments.

wes

November 6th, 2012
12:13 pm

Barrow is one redistricting away from playing the spoons on TV and losing all his teeth.

Auntie Christ

November 6th, 2012
12:39 pm

Tom
November 6th, 2012
11:27 am

So a member of the Gnu Black Panther Party is again standing outside the same Philly polling place where the thugs ( including one wielding a nightstick) were intimidating white voters in 2008.
**********************************

If you’re intimidated by Black folks, and characterize them as “thugs,” you probably shouldn’t be voting anyway. Just stay in your mom’s basement, living on beanie weenies, and shining your tin foil hat. Oh, and make sure the HOA has all the gates locked!

mehlman rings twice

November 6th, 2012
12:54 pm

I think everyone should go out and vote for Romney today. Every once and a while people need to go through a recession.

honested

November 6th, 2012
12:57 pm

mehlman,

Thanks, but the shrub years were enough of that for me!

mehlman rings twice

November 6th, 2012
12:57 pm

Since January 2009 the stock market is up, the Dow is up, the Nasdaq is up. Yeah, like the Romney commercial says, “Under socialism the rich get poorer and so do the poor”.

NoMoreRawDeal

November 6th, 2012
1:36 pm

Want more weirdness? Bryan Tyson was also treasurer of the PAC that spent tens of thousands of dollars on behalf of Doug Collins against Martha Zoller. Doug Collins’ campaign consultant? Chip Lake.

You can’t tell me there was no collusion between the PAC and campaign – which is illegal.

But will anyone investigate? Of course not.

alex

November 6th, 2012
1:45 pm

@melman, since the great depression the dow is up….sheesh, brilliant analysis

Natrone

November 6th, 2012
1:52 pm

Barack O should win PA, VA and Ohio and win easily tonight—4 more years!!!! romney can go home and count his money

Trolls Bane

November 6th, 2012
2:10 pm

This is the most telling comment “What can I say. People high up are wanting this legislation” …

Which prompts the question, Cui Bono? It is not the people or children of GA.

Jussthinkin'

November 6th, 2012
2:21 pm

Anti-Christ, 12:39pm
No need to lock the gates. See this for confirmation that the Democrats will be orderly and accepting of the outcome if Romney wins:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DDHUikky-q8

[...] earliest supporters in the state and delivered the benediction at his 2009 inauguration, would be at the Obama campaign’s election night party in Chicago. A campaign spokeswoman did not respond to a request for confirmation by Tipsheet, [...]

Auntie Christ

November 6th, 2012
3:04 pm

Jussthinkin’
November 6th, 2012
2:21 pm

Anti-Christ, 12:39pm
No need to lock the gates. See this for confirmation that the Democrats will be orderly and accepting of the outcome if Romney wins:
*********************************************

I didn’t check out your link because I already know what is going to happen when Obama wins. White people are going to run out and buy all the guns and ammo they can get their hands on, lock themselves in their gated communities, and then in a few weeks they’ll reappear at public rallies with their guns on their hips, dressed in funny hats adorned with tea bags, and in their best six year old little girl whiney voices, they’ll all scream “I want my country baaaaaaccckkk!” Bless their little hearts, they don’t realize it’s the 21st century.

[...] The Atlanta-Journal Constitution first reported that Lowery would be heading to Chicago, but the Obama campaign has not confirmed Lowery’s attendance.  [...]

GaBlue

November 6th, 2012
3:46 pm

Auntie Christ,

My temptation to run down to the gun shop and do likewise to the cons is, and has been, overwhelming. “OMG, the Repuglies have taken over! I need a BIGGER GUN to protect my uterus! Aaaahhhh! They’re gonna take away my right to vote and own land! They’re gonna make me have my rapist’s baby! Aaaah! SHOW ME THE BIG ONES, BUBBA.”

Wanna come with?

mehlman rings twice

November 6th, 2012
3:49 pm

alex @ 1:45 pm
What, we were in a great depression? When did that happen?

mehlman rings twice

November 6th, 2012
3:58 pm

Overall this has been a rather well behaved White House over the past 4 years:

1. No former male prostitutes in the WH press room lobbing softball question at the POTUS.
2. No aides attempting to obtain signatures from an over-medicated Attorney General.
3. No beret wearing WH aides.
4. No unarmed Marines sent to the Beirut tarmac.
5. No Saving and Loan Bailouts.
6. No meth smoking mega-church preachers involved in secret affairs giving spiritual advise to the POTUS.

[...] earliest supporters in the state and delivered the benediction at his 2009 inauguration, would be at the Obama campaign’s election night party in Chicago. A campaign spokeswoman did not respond to a request for confirmation by Tipsheet, [...]

‘Whites-to-hell’ pastor to join Obama

November 6th, 2012
4:09 pm

[...] Despite recently being condemned for ranting from the church pulpit that “white people are going to hell,” Rev. Joseph Lowery will be attending President Barack Obama’s election night party in Chicago. [...]

[...] “We’ve gotten word that the Rev. Joseph Lowery, one of Barack Obama’s frontier supporters in 2008, will be at the side of the president and first lady tonight in Chicago,” the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports. [...]

Cherokee

November 6th, 2012
4:22 pm

“We’ve gotten word that the Rev. Joseph Lowery, one of Barack Obama’s frontier supporters in 2008, will be at the side of the president and first lady tonight in Chicago.”

Horrors! Better get out the couches for the fainting ladies of wingnuttia! That, combined with the fact that there was an actual brown person outside a polling place in Philadelphia! Run for the hills!

Jussthinkin'

November 6th, 2012
5:48 pm

Anti-Christ – you really should check it out. It’s an Obama internet ad! Right u your alley as it seems.

[...] “We’ve gotten word that the Rev. Joseph Lowery, one of Barack Obama’s frontier supporters in 2008, will be at the side of the president and first lady tonight in Chicago,” the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports. [...]

tiger-uga

November 6th, 2012
6:39 pm

Please, let us remember that Obama is not a white man nor is he a black man. He is, what was referred to in the old west as, a half-breed! He is white man when he wants the white vote and he is a black man when he wants the black vote. It is what it is and the only good thing is, he can only serve 4 more years if elected tonight and then his half-bread a## is gone… No racism here, just fact Jack.

Auntie Christ

November 6th, 2012
8:31 pm

Jussthinkin’
November 6th, 2012
5:48 pm

Anti-Christ – you really should check it out. It’s an Obama internet ad! Right u your alley as it seems.
*********************

Checked it out, glad I did. Thanx!

TED NUGENT

November 6th, 2012
11:31 pm

damn damn damn damn!!!!!!!!!!

c c

November 6th, 2012
11:32 pm

DAMN DAMN DAMN DAMN DAMN!!!!!!!

td

November 6th, 2012
11:32 pm

i want my country back…boo hooo

liberalefty

November 6th, 2012
11:33 pm

hate and bigotry lost tonight….HA HA HA HA HA HA HA

honested

November 6th, 2012
11:44 pm

td,

Come to the light.
Progressivism welcomes everyone.
You have your country back, embrace it.

Aaron Burr V Mexico

November 7th, 2012
12:33 am

Bahahahahaahaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaahahahahahahahahaaha :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D

Dances on the grave of the Tea Party…can the zombie rise again? Sure….with even less brains the second time around.