Updated at 1:35 p.m.: Nearly 1.9 million votes have already been cast in Tuesday’s general election in Georgia — 35 percent of all those registered, according to figures released this morning by Secretary of State Brian Kemp.
But if you calculate a 70 percent turnout rate by 7 p.m. Tuesday, the number of early votes would tally more than half. (Turnout was 75 percent in 2008.)
Early voting in Georgia concluded on Friday. The most surprising number: Without an overt campaign in this state on behalf of President Barack Obama, African-American turnout for early voting matched the 2008 rate, at 34 percent of all advanced ballots cast.
In Georgia, that won’t change the outcome of the presidential race. Republican Mitt Romney will carry the day – but the number is sure to encourage Democrats as they cast their eyes toward 2014 and beyond.
This was noted by Gov. Nathan Deal on Saturday during an address to the Cobb County GOP. Said the governor, according to Jon Gillooly and the Marietta Daily Journal:
“If the vote in 2012 shows a dramatic increase in Democrat turnout and Democrat votes versus Republicans even though we may still have a majority of the vote and even though our electoral votes in the Electoral College may still and hopefully will go to Gov. Romney, those differences in the vote totals of one side versus the other will be the primary indicator of whether or not we will see a significant effort of resurgence in the Democratic Party.”
Heavy African-American turnout could bode ill for the statewide vote on Amendment One, the charter school measure.
Note that the top two counties that produced the most votes — 17 percent of all early votes cast — are considered Democratic territory:
– DeKalb: 160,820;
– Fulton: 153,122;
– Cobb: 124,025;
– Gwinnett: 107,788;
– Henry: 62,723.
Just in case things get tight on Tuesday night, the secretary of state’s office reports that 201,132 mail-in ballots have been received, and 73,168 remain outstanding.
Here’s a further breakdown:
Total early votes cast: 1,882,558
Black female: 406,784
Black male: 228,286
Total black: 635,070 (34 percent)
White female: 606,884
White male: 504,476
Total white: 1,111,360 (59 percent)
Asian-Pacific female: 6,874
Asian-Pacific male: 5,285
Total Asian-Pacific: 12,159 (.6 percent)
Hispanic-Latino female: 9,007
Hispanic-Latino male: 6,559
Total Hispanic-Latino: 15,566 (.8 percent)
Native American female: 212
Native American male: 196
Total Native American: 408 (.02 percent)
Other: 104,101 (5.5 percent)
- By Jim Galloway, Political Insider