Pew survey: Barack Obama no longer the front-runner in 2012 campaign

One of the most prestigious polling operations in the nation, the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, this afternoon declared that Democratic incumbent Barack Obama is no longer the front-runner in the 2012 presidential campaign:

By about three-to-one, voters say Romney did a better job than Obama in the Oct. 3 debate, and the Republican is now better regarded on most personal dimensions and on most issues than he was in September. Romney is seen as the candidate who has new ideas and is viewed as better able than Obama to improve the jobs situation and reduce the budget deficit.

Fully 66% of registered voters say Romney did the better job in last Wednesday’s debate, compared with just 20% who say Obama did better. A majority (64%) of voters who watched the debate describe it as mostly informative; just 26% say it was mostly confusing.

In turn, Romney has drawn even with Obama in the presidential race among registered voters (46% to 46%) after trailing by nine points (42% to 51%) in September. Among likely voters, Romney holds a slight 49% to 45% edge over Obama. He trailed by eight points among likely voters last month.

The Pew poll was conducted Oct. 4-7 among 1,511 adults, including 1,201 registered voters (1,112 likely voters). One of the factors in Romney’s gains:

While shifts are evident across many demographic groups, there has been a notable change among women voters: In September, just 42% viewed Romney favorably, while 60% had positive impressions of Obama. Today, about half view each of the candidates favorably (51% Obama, 48% Romney).

- By Jim Galloway, Political Insider

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108 comments Add your comment

ld

October 8th, 2012
4:32 pm

There is little doubt in my mind that Romney knows more practical information about how the national and world economy works than Obama ever will and that he can “fix” the economy; however, the problem is that Romney will “fix” it for the wealthiest among us to the substantial detriment of the majority of people who are the employee / consumer class.

lmno

October 8th, 2012
4:39 pm

The strategy of using Ann sparingly paid off!

And he didn’t even have to be a Mexican at all like he thought.

The guy is a phony. I can think of a lot of reasons why a person would dislike some of Obama’s policies, but I see nothing at all appealing about this game show host Romney.

The guy will say and do anything to win an election. He has been running for President half his life, probably to avenge his father’s defeat.

Shine

October 8th, 2012
4:42 pm

Gallop Poll has Obama ahead by 5.

Retired Soldier

October 8th, 2012
4:42 pm

IMNO-

Two reasons to like Romney. We will have a new president and he can’t be worse than the one we have now.

Retired Soldier

October 8th, 2012
4:43 pm

Shine-

The one released today had the race as a tie.

Shine

October 8th, 2012
4:43 pm

The best reason to reelect Obama…he isnt a kook like Mitt Romney

Shine

October 8th, 2012
4:44 pm

Retard Soldier..the seven day tracking average is the one that matters.

Retired Soldier

October 8th, 2012
4:47 pm

ok glow, glad you are the expert. The the “trend” is going against Obama.

Shine

October 8th, 2012
4:48 pm

Ole Mitt doesnt even know deadbeat unpatriotic corps can get a tax write off for the expenses of moving their business overseas. Maybe he should ask Ryan about it or the Republicans who keep blocking these smart tax reform measures. We know Mitt has run a multi million dollar vulture capitalist enterprise and has been head of a state with billion dollar budgets but he clearly isnt ready for the big leagues of the federal government.

Shine

October 8th, 2012
4:48 pm

Fraid not..the trend is consistant. Go to gallop main page if you doubt it.

Retired Soldier

October 8th, 2012
4:51 pm

Ok Moon, the 7 day trend is Obama plus five, I yake your word for it. Today is tied, if that is constant then I don’t know what constant means.

lmno

October 8th, 2012
4:52 pm

Nothing will change with Romney. The only difference, and it is a big one is the two Supreme Court Justices that will be chosen.

Based on that and that alone, I am casting my vote for Obama.

Retired Soldier

October 8th, 2012
4:55 pm

Imno-

I agree for that reason alone I would vote Romney.

Shine

October 8th, 2012
4:55 pm

constant means consistant………….over the last several months obama has led by about 5 and romney has closed the gap a few times. obama has been consistantly ahead. its been constant.

JRHD

October 8th, 2012
4:56 pm

Stay classy Shine…I guess if you are a liberal it’s OK to throw around the term “retard”.

Shine

October 8th, 2012
4:57 pm

I am voting for Obama for the supreme court reasons too. What’s next from this majority of right wing nutjobs?? Chainsaws are people?

DJ Sniper

October 8th, 2012
4:57 pm

Where’s td? I’m sure he’s drooling all over himself right now. Personally, I don’t pay attention to polls, regardless of who they say is ahead. All I’m worried about is the final poll on 11//6. Lastly, these numbers will change again.

Shine

October 8th, 2012
4:59 pm

My bad. I meant retired. And I am not a liberal. I just am not a kook Republican worshipper. I am a real fiscal conservative that agrees with the president the Bush tax cuts on the top earners needs to go up.

Retired Soldier

October 8th, 2012
5:01 pm

DJ-

For once we agree, I do care about polls, if they are done correctly they are useful. But they will change again before 11/6.

Retired Soldier

October 8th, 2012
5:02 pm

Shine-

You are forgiven. Go my son and sin no more.

Retired Soldier

October 8th, 2012
5:04 pm

Shine-

I think you mean the Obama tax cuts, since he signed the extension in 2010.

Mary Elizabeth

October 8th, 2012
5:19 pm

It is incredible to me that people are so fickle. Romney’s debate points were full of falsehoods but he was aggressive, which is what appears to be of utmost importance in the minds of many people. The Bush economic policies brought us to the brink of an economic Depression, and President Obama pulled us out of that economic pit.

And, now those who only see day-to-day and debate-to–debate desire a return to Bush’s trickle down economic policies, via Romney. Unbelievable.

YARDSTICK

October 8th, 2012
5:22 pm

I knew this would happen. It wasn’t so much that Romney knew more because he just flip flops at whim, its the visual impression Obama gave.

Retired Soldier

October 8th, 2012
5:29 pm

ME-

I agree it is unbelievable you have the facts so incorrect, What was the number one reason for the collapse of the economy? Housing. Bush and the republicans tried to reform Freddie and Fannie but Dodd and Frank believed everyone should be able to buy home and their rules and regulations drove us off a cliff.

The President hasn’t done one darn thing to improve the economy. He spent his first two years fixated on healthcare, not the economy. Plus he has spent money at a rate even a drunken sailor would blush.

Let’s put a businessman in charge, it couldn’t be any worse.

Retired Soldier

October 8th, 2012
5:30 pm

Yard-

Keep believing that.

dd

October 8th, 2012
5:31 pm

suspect it’ll revert back after the next 2

DJ Sniper

October 8th, 2012
5:34 pm

The president could have done a lot to fix the economy, but like a lot of other cons, you completely ignore how the GOP decided to oppose every single thing that Obama tried to do. Remember, Mitch McConnell said that their #1 goal was to make Obama a 1 term president. They are more than willing to take the entire country down to accomplish that goal.

Also, there’s quite a bit of data out there to show that Obama has not spent as much as right wing news would lead you to believe. If I’m not mistaken, it’s less than his predecessors.

Yea, let’s elect a businessman who seemed to excel at bankrupting companies and outsourcing others.

honested

October 8th, 2012
5:38 pm

robme tapped into his other religious tradition…..

His eastern mystical practice….

He is now and always will be a ‘fakir’.

honested

October 8th, 2012
5:40 pm

Yardstick,

I still think the President was following the strategy.
Bite his tongue to keep from calling robme out on the ‘liefest’ in which he was engaging.
And if you have to bite your tongue that hard, you might want to look down at the podium.

I guess he could have carried a little recorder with the words of that imbecile who yelled out during the state of the union and played it every time robme stopped talking.

Retired Soldier

October 8th, 2012
5:43 pm

DJ-

You forget Obama had Congress all to himself the first two years. Second, did the Dems support Bush or Bush or Reagan, etc when they were trying to implement policies they opposed? And everyone agrees Obama made very little effort to meet republicans part way.

Obama made his bed. He has only himself to blame,

Come on DJ, what other president has had trillion doller annual deficits?

Mary Elizabeth

October 8th, 2012
5:56 pm

I will say again that – unless you are part of the top 1% of the people in this nation financially – and you vote for Romney for President of the U. S., then you will be voting against your own best interests and you will be voting for someone who does not care about you.

Gov. Romney, and those who support his campaign financially, are not looking after the interests of ordinary Americans such as retired teachers, retired soldiers, nurses, cops, Wal-Mart workers, etc. They are looking after the interests of the top financial barons in our nation and they will use the government to enhance their wealth as they are able through contacts, and they will suppress the government’s ability to help others get ahead who are not wealthy but who are partof the working middle class.

But, believe what you want as I would not be able to convince you, anyway, as I am working against a multimillion dollar rightwing propaganda machine which has, evidently, fooled at least half of the population.

SueEllenEwing

October 8th, 2012
5:56 pm

If President Obama doesn’t win, he and his family will be fine. It’s the American people who will suffer. To you Romney supporters, be careful what you wish for. Besides, this state is republican controlled and I haven’t seen any changes for the better. Once Deal was sworned in, he went into hiding. Where are the jobs, Deal, Where?

DJ Sniper

October 8th, 2012
6:07 pm

Ah, another talking point that has fooled a lot of people. Here is an accurate timeline that debunks the myth about the so called 2 year super majority that Obama supposedly had:

President Obama was sworn in on January 20, 2009 with just 58 Senators to support his agenda.

He should have had 59, but Republicans contested Al Franken’s election in Minnesota and he didn’t get seated for seven months.

The President’s cause was helped in April when Pennsylvania’s Republican Senator Arlen Specter switched parties.

That gave the President 59 votes — still a vote shy of the super majority.

But one month later, Democratic Senator Byrd of West Virginia was hospitalized and was basically out of commission.

So while the President’s number on paper was 59 Senators — he was really working with just 58 Senators.

Then in July, Minnesota Senator Al Franken was finally sworn in, giving President Obama the magic 60 — but only in theory, because Senator Byrd was still out.

In August, Senator Ted Kennedy of Massachusetts died and the number went back down to 59 again until Paul Kirk temporarily filled Kennedy’s seat in September.

Any pretense of a supermajority ended on February 4, 2010 when Republican Scott Brown was sworn into the seat Senator Kennedy once held. Do you see a two-year supermajority? I know I don’t.

Obama actually conceded to the GOP a lot more than you think. It’s them who refused to meet him halfway on pretty much everything.

DJ Sniper

October 8th, 2012
6:08 pm

Good point ME. If Romney does win the election, I just want to see what happens when poor, low information voters realize that their lives haven’t improved and they can’t blame the Muslim Kenyan socialist anymore.

lmno

October 8th, 2012
6:09 pm

“What was the number one reason for the collapse of the economy? Housing. Bush and the republicans tried to reform Freddie and Fannie but Dodd and Frank believed everyone should be able to buy home and their rules and regulations drove us off a cliff.”

Housing was one of several components, perhaps the most important, that led to the economic collapse. It was not helped by affordable home acts, but it was most caused by deregulation. Specifically, the end of Glass Steagall. By the end, Banks made more money when a person failed to repay than they did if the person did repay. The people who lend us money to buy houses should not then be allowed to go make 100s of bets that we will not be able to repay.

However, neither candidate will fix this. Obama put a bandaid on a bleeding artery. Romney’s plan is to pull of the band aid. Neither will help, one will hurt more.

taco

October 8th, 2012
6:10 pm

SueEllenEwing 5:56

“Once Deal was sworned in, he went into hiding. Where are the jobs, Deal, Where?”

Like Brother Perdue before him, Brother Deal is focused on lining his own pockets. He knows that the fools who elected him are too dumb to care.

Scrivener

October 8th, 2012
6:12 pm

Mary Elizabeth, give it a rest already. More class warfare from you. Typical. We get it; you love Paul Krugman, and you are a socialist. It’s clear from all your posts. You want everyone to have equal stuff and equal outcomes. Life is tough, people are people, and things will never be equal no matter how much you may wish it. And you go with the liberal talking point of Romney lying, but just like the rest of them, you give no specifics. Obama, BTW, was cited for stretching the truth in the debate, but you overlook that. Typical.

Scrivener

October 8th, 2012
6:15 pm

“Housing was one of several components, perhaps the most important, that led to the economic collapse. It was not helped by affordable home acts, but it was most caused by deregulation. Specifically, the end of Glass Steagall. By the end, Banks made more money when a person failed to repay than they did if the person did repay. ”

Which happened BECAUSE they government was encouraging and sanctioning this practice. Once again, think Barney Frank and Chris Dodd.

Kris

October 8th, 2012
6:25 pm

“SURVEY SAYS!” Wait 15 minutes it will change.

When you are the President of the United States you have to be careful what you say and do. You just don’t go flying off at the mouth like the want to be prez , just letting things fly without looking where they will land or whom might be offended. Just sayin.

Save Big Bird.

OBAMA 2012

ld

October 8th, 2012
6:38 pm

Freehawk

October 8th, 2012
6:41 pm

“Knowing how to make himself money” does not equate to knowing how the economy works, or how to fix it. Why would he even want to fix it? He made money on the economy and especially the financial markets the way they are.

Anyone who says they know what Romney will do is amazing, since he offers no details, and changes his mind 180 degrees every time he speaks.

Mark

October 8th, 2012
6:43 pm

Romney’s ahead because he showed leadership at the debate. Obama hasn’t led us out of a paper bag for the last 4 years… And the problem is he doesn’t know how. He doesn’t understand capitalism or business and he doesn’t have enough life and business experience… All things that Romney has…

LiveFromSavannah

October 8th, 2012
6:43 pm

@DJ Sniper

Breaking backs with the truth. Keep up the good work! That’s one thing that gets me about politicians, which is why I could never run for office. I would be so quick to look my opponent right in the face and say in front of 53 million, “you’re fg lying through your teeth and you know it!” How hard was that? To break it down just like you did. Let’s not forget the record use of the filibuster by the GOP. People pretend like it never happened, to keep the lie going. Let’s see if anyone can refute your facts? I seriously doubt it. Then again, facts mean nothing to these loons anyway.

Mary Elizabeth

October 8th, 2012
6:46 pm

Scrivener,

I am not a Socialist. I am a liberal Democrat. Yes, I value Dr. Paul Krugman’s opinions because most of his opinions reflect my own thinking. And, he knows much more about economics than I do. In fact, his Noble Peace Prize was awarded in the area of Economics.

Many in this “Red” state would be wise to read Krugman’s thoughts more often. Here is one recent blog entry by him for readers. Check out his blog more frequently and learn how you are being manipulated to vote against your own best interests by powerful Republican political operatives.

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/09/19/nation-of-takers/?smid=fb-share

I am not looking for everyone to have “equal stuff,” as you say. I want everyone to be perceived as equals – the vsision of our nation’s founders, as Jefferson penned in the Declaration of Independence, i.e. “all are created equal.” Maybe this excerpt entitled, “A Monumental Choice for America’s Future Character and Destiny,” which I posted August 16, 2012, on my blog, “Mary Elizabeth Sings,” can explain to you and others the difference in having “equal stuff’ and being perceived as “equal” to all other human beings, the original tenet on which America was built:
—————————————————–

“This nation faces a monumental choice in November in terms of its future character. And, as Shakespeare penned more eloquently than I, character will determine destiny, both for individuals and for our nation. (‘It is not in the stars to hold our destiny but in ourselves.’) Moral as Romney and Ryan may be within their own families, their perceptions of humanity indicate that they perceive with a limitation of vision. Theirs is a vision of humanity which is based on a hierarchy of status among people. It is not a vision that is inclusive of all men and women as equals. Whatever they may say, in my opinion, they have forfeited some degree of understanding of the common humanity among all people, through embracing the vision of Ayn Rand’s more limited, capitalistic, self-oriented worldview. (I am supportive of capitalism as an economic engine, but I believe capitalism should exist within a higher humane consciousness.)

Government is not the enemy of the people. Government, chosen by the people, best operates as the servant of the people. Thomas Jefferson said it best in the Declaration of Independence:

‘We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.–That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed.’ “
—————————————————————————-

taco

October 8th, 2012
6:47 pm

Scrivener
6:12 pm

“Which happened BECAUSE they government was encouraging and sanctioning this practice. Once again, think Barney Frank and Chris Dodd.”

You ditto heads have pretty well worn that line out. I guess Rush figures that he feeds you anything more complex, you will probably not be able to retain it.

honested

October 8th, 2012
6:50 pm

To the Dodd-Frank bashers:

How many loans did ‘Fannie and Freddie’ originate between 2001 and today?
(hint anyone can answer this within 5 loans).

taco

October 8th, 2012
6:52 pm

Mary Elizabeth 6:46 pm

“I am not a Socialist. I am a liberal Democrat…”

You’re wasting your time. Their brains are wired differently – they only respond to hysteria – the sky is falling stuff…

honested

October 8th, 2012
6:53 pm

Mary Elizabeth,

You left out one very important FACT.
As things unfold, Dr. Krugman is usually proven CORRECT, while the whining wrong wingers have to cough up excuses why one part or another of the failed ’supply side’ didn’t provide success.

They hate Krugman because he proves them wrong over, and over, and over, and over and over.

As does Robert Reich, but they hate him too.

Kris

October 8th, 2012
6:54 pm

ld just pointed out that another GOP loon just slithered out.
Is this the way they raise the children planet Kolob?

Buckhead Boy

October 8th, 2012
7:17 pm

I surely wish that some of those who think that Mr. Romney will win would put their money where their mouth is and start trading on Intrade. I’m trying to sell Romney (to win) shares short to make a little money, and they’re dropping so fast — down another 25 cents today — that I can sell far too few. The price on the Obama (to win) shares is too high to yield much. Come on Republicans, $3.40 today will yield you $10 in twenty-nine days on a Romney share — if you’re right, and you seem to believe so strongly that you are. Besides, wouldn’t it give you pleasure to take the money of a liberal like me, and prove me wrong?