Networks, AP cancel exit polling in Georgia, 18 other states

On Nov. 7, you’ll know that Republican Mitt Romney won Georgia in his bid for the presidency. But you won’t know why.

For the first time in 20 years, a consortium of TV networks and the Associated Press will drop exit polling in Georgia and 18 other states. From the Washington Post:

Voters in the excluded states will still be interviewed as part of a national exit poll, but state-level estimates of the partisan, age or racial makeups of electorates won’t be available as they have been since 1992. The lack of data may hamper election night analyses in some states, and it will almost certainly limit post-election research for years to come.

A growing number of voters casting early ballots has added to the complexity of carrying out surveys in 50 states, the District of Columbia and nationally. In more and more states it has become crucial to supplement in-person precinct polling with relatively costly telephone interviews in order to achieve representative samples.

Don’t be surprised if political science majors on campuses across the state sprout black armbands tomorrow.

- By Jim Galloway, Political Insider

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24 comments Add your comment

[...] Stefan · 0 comments TweetJim Galloway writes today in his Political Insider, that Georgia and 18 other states, will no longer be exit polled. Which means we will know how [...]

cc

October 4th, 2012
2:07 pm

“On Nov. 7, you’ll know that Republican Mitt Romney won Georgia in his bid for the presidency. But you won’t know why.”

This way, the ‘spin’ won’t even have to make any kind of sense. The exit polling will resume when the leftists field someone else who might win.

Obama is done . . . and has been for a while.

May God bless America!

Romney/Ryan 2012!

Retired Soldier

October 4th, 2012
2:10 pm

Jim-

Nothing on the debate last night? I wonder if there would be a post on the blog if the President had beaten Romney as Romney beat Obama. Just wondering.

Hillbilly D

October 4th, 2012
2:23 pm

On Nov. 7, you’ll know that Republican Mitt Romney won Georgia in his bid for the presidency. But you won’t know why.

My guess is that it’ll be because he got the most votes (assuming he wins). Contrary to popular journalistic opinion, the people don’t need some talking head to tell us “why”. That’s for us to decided. (And the same will be true if he loses).

cc

October 4th, 2012
2:26 pm

Why, Jim, I do believe some of you readers think that you may be guilty of the teeniest bit of liberal bias. Say it ain’t so, Jim!

Road Scholar

October 4th, 2012
2:27 pm

Romney said something like…I have 5 sons and some think that if you say something enough times it becomes the truth. Did he just call his sons pathological liars?

jgalloway

October 4th, 2012
2:30 pm

Retired Soldier:

I lived-blogged the whole episode last night — after writing the Thursday column on Brian Kemp and the Archives. (That one had to be in by 5 p.m. Wednesday, which means it couldn’t be about Denver.) Here’s the link:

http://blogs.ajc.com/political-insider-jim-galloway/2012/10/03/your-place-to-debate-the-debate/

Will try to dip back into the debate later this afternoon — but I’m also trying not to neglect what’s going on in my own backyard …

Best regards,

cc

October 4th, 2012
2:32 pm

Hillbilly D:

“the people don’t need some talking head to tell us “why”.”

Amen! I very well remember when ‘news’ commentators first began giving analysis of speeches. My thought at that time was I probably already KNEW what the speaker said and needed no one to retell me! The talking heads are much too much impressed with their own importance and relevance!

td

October 4th, 2012
2:43 pm

Jim,

What are the other 17 states?

jgalloway

October 4th, 2012
2:49 pm

It looks like they dropped the states that were solidly for Romney or Obama. Here’s the list from the Post:

Alaska, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Kentucky, Louisiana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, West Virginia and Wyoming.

But I’ve got to say that I’m wondering why Georgia was dropped, but not Mississippi or Alabama.

jconservative

October 4th, 2012
2:58 pm

“The exit polling will resume when the leftists field someone else who might win.”

Based on the remarks by the two candidates last night I would say that the “leftists” have two candidates in the field this year. The “former liberal governor of Massachusetts” has come home to roost.

GaBlue

October 4th, 2012
2:59 pm

Mr. Galloway,

Thank you for your attention to state and local issues.

Jon Lester

October 4th, 2012
3:01 pm

You’ll know because this is the electorate that gave us Deal, Kemp, Olens, you name them.

td

October 4th, 2012
3:03 pm

Thank you Jim for the list.

I am wondering why CA and NY are on the list? Both states are solid Obama and the Dem Senate candidates in those states will win easily.

3 small blue states and DC and the rest Red states including Texas and GA.. The exit data will not mean anything.

Will Jones - Atlanta Jeffersonian Exegesis

October 4th, 2012
3:15 pm

Yes, Romney did confirm that his five effeminate sons are also liars…chips off the old block.

td

October 4th, 2012
3:23 pm

“More than 58 million people watched the first Presidential debate last night between President Obama and Mitt Romney, up substantially from the first debate in the 2008 election cycle, which had 52.4 million viewers.

Fox News was the most-watched cable news network during the debate, and will likely be the most-watched network on TV, though final broadcast numbers will not be released until after 4 PM.

Fox News, MSNBC, NBC, Fox and CBS are all up from the same debate in 2008, while CNN and ABC are down. In the adults 25-54 demo, FNC and MSNBC are up compared to 2008, while CNN is down.

The 58 million figure (and the 52.4 million figure) does not include coverage on PBS, Univision, C-SPAN, the cable business networks or online.

The numbers:

From 9-10:30 PM

Cable:
FNC: 10,421,380 total viewers, 2,932,907 adults 25-54
CNN: 6,045,109 total viewers, 2,368,589 adults 25-54
MSNBC: 4,710,511 total viewers, 1,852,629 adults 25-54

Broadcast (based on Nielsen Fast Nationals, which could change in finals):
CBS 10,176,000 total viewers
ABC 10,117,000 total viewers
NBC 9,914,000 total viewers
FOX 6,977,000 total viewers

From 8-11 PM, which includes pre- and post-debate analysis:

FNC: 8,181,448 total viewers, 2,159,809 adults 25-54
CNN: 4,763,003 total viewers, 1,851,207 adults 25-54
MSNBC: 3,913,759 total viewers, 1,481,901 adults 25-54″

http://www.mediabistro.com/tvnewser/debate-ratings-fox-news-tops-cable-news-for-first-debate-as-more-people-tune-in-than-2008_b148739

Most of the MSNBC viewers in the post debate were conservatives watching to see whose head exploded first.

cc

October 4th, 2012
3:37 pm

“Most of the MSNBC viewers in the post debate were conservatives watching to see whose head exploded first.”

Love that, td!

NoMoreRawDeal

October 4th, 2012
3:39 pm

This way, if Obama loses, they can blame it on racism, and never have to back it up since so many states are now being left out of the exit polling. Sneaky. Get ready, Georgia Republican voters: you’re all about to get smeared as vicious bigots.

Kris Jones

October 4th, 2012
3:40 pm

Romney Carries the Great State of Georgia!
Congrats Mitt!

Rafe Hollister

October 4th, 2012
3:42 pm

td

Most of the MSNBC viewers in the post debate were conservatives watching to see whose head exploded first.

Now that is downright funny! It is also true, as I flipped around to see what the koolaid drinkers were saying. Van Jones, yep, he is a certified CNN commentator, as well as a communist and a truther, was the funniest,, he admitted that Romney won but only because “he lied”. HA!! HA!! Great night for TVEE.

Rafe Hollister

October 4th, 2012
3:51 pm

Seems all the states where they do not plan to do Exit Polls are Romney states, except Delaware, DC, and Hawaii. Guess they don’t want to hear what the Romney voters are saying. More media bias? HA!!! HA!!!

Or, is it that they are not sure that Barry has any other states wrapped up? Since the exit polls were so wrong in Wisconsin and in 2010, why are they doing any? People love lying to these folks obviously; I guess because it is the Media, and they are tired of the Media trying to spoon fed them what the Media wants them to know.

Retired Soldier

October 4th, 2012
4:07 pm

Thanks for the reply Jim, just trying to “pull your leg” a bit. For us conserservatives it was a great night.

Exit Polling Shown the Door

October 4th, 2012
5:05 pm

[...] Galloway writes today in his Political Insider, that Georgia and 18 other states, will no longer be exit polled. Which means we will know how [...]

mehlman rings twice

October 5th, 2012
3:32 am

You conservatives make me laugh. Read Henry Paulson’s book when you get a chance and see if it doesn’t remind you of Mr. Romney. His campaign was in trouble, in debt and what does he do? He pays 20 of his top staffers bonuses (ala Enron). You can’t make up this stuff!!!