Obama at parity with three GOP candidates in Georgia

President Barack Obama is at parity in Georgia when matched with three of the four remaining GOP candidates, according to an automated poll conducted last night by 20/20 Insight for the progressive group Better Georgia.

Given the survey’s 3.5 MOE (773 registered – rather than likely — voters polled), any of these November general election match-ups would qualify as a toss-up:

– Mitt Romney, 46 percent; Obama, 45 percent;

– Newt Gingrich, 46 percent; Obama, 45 percent;

– Obama, 47 percent; Rick Santorum, 44 percent;

Click here to check all the top lines, methodology, and question content – all of which can have an impact on survey results. On other topics:

Drug testing: 64 percent of those polled support drug-testing for those who receive welfare and unemployment benefits. But 83 percent support drug-testing of state elected officials and senior government appointees. Slightly less popular (68 percent) is drug-testing for CEOs and senior executives with corporations that receive special tax credits and government contracts.

Gun laws: 66 percent oppose extending the right to carry, concealed or otherwise, in places of worship, state mental hospitals, school zones and government buildings.

Abortion: Here is where things get muddy. A plurality of Georgians, 43 percent, oppose any effort to shorten the 24-week period during which a woman may seek an abortion. Twenty-nine percent support such a measure, and 26 percent find themselves in unspecified middle ground. Or they balked at answering.

Charter schools: The pollsters apparently experimented with ways to phrase the state Capitol debate over charter schools. All produced large opposing margins.

For all of you who say all three charter school questions (or others) are slanted — well, yes. Polls aren’t just strict gauges of support for this issue or that. They’re also used to decide how to best frame arguments. You’re getting a look inside that process.

- By Jim Galloway, Political Insider

For instant updates, follow me on Twitter, or connect with me on Facebook.

88 comments Add your comment

liberalefty

March 14th, 2012
12:16 pm

OBAMA has kept AMERICA from being attacked unlike DUBYA who couldnt stop OSAMA from killing 3000 AMERICANS…maybe GEORGIANS like feeling safe…Lord knows DUBYA was weak on defense…we dont need another rightwing chickenhawk…look where that got us last time; 2 wars and trillions in debt…the soldiers died for DUBYAS fragile ego..the tough talkin cowboy proved to be all talk and no substance

td

March 14th, 2012
12:19 pm

Jim, By just looking at the results on the gun laws and the abortion matters anyone that knows Georgia would say that this whole poll is tilted way far to the left.

MiltonMan

March 14th, 2012
12:25 pm

Quit reading after seeing the line “…progressive group Better Georgia”.

Any “progressive” group in Georgia should be called Broken Georgia to relate to the current financial situation of the Georgia Democratic Party.

euler

March 14th, 2012
12:27 pm

Milton, it must be nice to live in a world where you can just ignore any facts which do not fit your world view. I, on the other hand, prefer to modify my views to fit with what reality says is true. Personal preference.

euler

March 14th, 2012
12:30 pm

td, I realize this would require effort on your part instead of just dismissing results you don’t like without thinking about them, but clicking on Jim’s methodology link would tell you that 46% of respondents identified as “somewhat” or “very” conservative compared to 22% who identified as “somewhat” or “very” liberal.

liberalefty

March 14th, 2012
12:30 pm

the repubs are big government spenders and weak on defense….and they are willing to let AMERICANS die by trying to repeal OBAMAS healthcare plan….yet these bible toting fools will gladly give billions to a foreign country like ISRAEL…

liberalefty

March 14th, 2012
12:35 pm

why cant AMERICA have a universal healthcare system like every other contry has..why should people die in a so called christian country when we have resources to save them…why are “christian” republicans hell bent on stopping people from getting healthcare…why so much hate for GODS children…

Narf

March 14th, 2012
12:37 pm

euler highlights the basic problem with folks like td. They look for information that supports their world view rather than basing their world view on information. Intellectual Dishonesty 101.

liberalefty

March 14th, 2012
12:38 pm

the repubs say OBAMA hates AMERICA because he has the audacity to pass universal healthcare, which will save lives…how HORRIBLE…JESUS must be turning over in his grave now…

td

March 14th, 2012
12:39 pm

euler

March 14th, 2012
12:30 pm

You just backed up my point. Do you really believe there is only 46% of this state that would label themselves as Very or somewhat conservative? 40% of the nation as a whole labels themselves this way and Georgia is way more conservative then the nation as a whole.

liberalefty

March 14th, 2012
12:42 pm

td

if u dont like the poll then it must be untrue…right

liberalefty

March 14th, 2012
12:45 pm

ROMNEY is winning becausae hes more like OBAMA than the rest of the gop clown candidates are…they actually brought in a fool like HERMAN CAIN to think he had a snowballs chance in hades…lol..

td

March 14th, 2012
12:45 pm

Narf

March 14th, 2012
12:37 pm

I think you need a reality check. This state just elected Deal as governor by 58% and elected all Republicans to statewide offices by the average vote totals of 60% win margins and you think the same voters would in less then two years have Obama tied with all the Republican candidates? Most of the statewide Democratic candidates that ran in this state 2 years ago would be considered extremely conservative when you place their philosophical beliefs next to Obamas.

liberalefty

March 14th, 2012
12:46 pm

OBAMA dont need GEORGIA to win..this state is basically irrelevant…

liberalefty

March 14th, 2012
12:48 pm

cant wait for that big debate between OBAMA and NEWTIE…oh thats right, newt has to be nominated first…lol…another pipe dream by newtie like his moon colony

liberalefty

March 14th, 2012
12:49 pm

will we ever get ISRAEL our welfare state outta our tax payers pockets…cant those people take care of themselves without taking my hard earned tax dollars..

euler

March 14th, 2012
12:51 pm

td, I do, actually.

Longer answer: I couldn’t find a previous poll that listed Georgians’ political leanings with the terms “conservative” and “liberal” used, but I did find this Gallup poll from 2008 showing the Republican vs. Democrat affiliation*.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/114016/state-states-political-party-affiliation.aspx#2

The conservative percentage in the Gallup poll is close to that of Jim’s poll.

*More people identify as conservative than as Republican and more people identify as Democrats than as liberals, but end the end conservatives and Republicans tend to vote the same way as do Democrats and liberals. Moreover, the spreads between the groups tend to be consistent, but not large, so it shouldn’t be significant.

WOW

March 14th, 2012
12:52 pm

This poll is off to the left a bit, but since Jim likes to constantly use Towery’s folks (IA who are way to the right), all the time I guess Jim is trying to provide a little balance.

liberalefty

March 14th, 2012
12:59 pm

why should people vote republican???/…1. strong on defense? remember 9/11…2. smaller government? nope another lie…3. less government intrution? not if youre a woman who wants birth control, or gay and want to get married..

Deal got 53%

March 14th, 2012
1:03 pm

td – Those who speak about reality checks may wish to check reality. Deal got 53%, not 58%. 2 years is an eternity in politics.

Deal got 53%

March 14th, 2012
1:03 pm

Enter your comments here

Independent voter

March 14th, 2012
1:05 pm

President Obama will win 4 more years. Newt going to destroy the republican party.
GA will come out strong for president Obama.

Marlboro Man

March 14th, 2012
1:08 pm

If its this close in GA, the nation will go to the president. The GOP needs a re-evaluation of what the people want and expect from gov’t.

Independent voter

March 14th, 2012
1:09 pm

Georgia democrate party are out full force to make sure president Obama win Ga.
President Obama will be in Atlanta March 16 to make sure he win Ga.

Independent voter

March 14th, 2012
1:12 pm

Nathan Deal is taken the lawsuit money that suppose to help foreclosure homeowner and putting it towards Rainy Day Funds. Watch this come up on Nathan Deal election time that he using Gov lawsuit money to help Northern Counties. Jim they were talking about this on CBS radio station this morning.

DannyX

March 14th, 2012
1:13 pm

“Deal got 53%, not 58%.”

LOL! td got caught in another lie.

Independent voter

March 14th, 2012
1:19 pm

Why is Nathan Deal using the money that Ga won about the tobacco lawsuit suppose to help the foreclosure homeowners to put Millions dollars toward Rainy Day Fund which it will help northern counties homeowners not the south counties or city of Atlanta. Ga better wake up and see what Nathan Deal is out doing with Gov funding money.

curious

March 14th, 2012
1:23 pm

Republicans are okay:

Abortion: Heavens no (except in rare cases)!
After the baby is delivered: Forget about it (moochers)!

Support our troops: They’re our heroes and we’ll do all we can to show our support!
Wounded warriors & VA Hospitals: Forget about it (can’t afford it, but we’ll send you a yellow bumper sticker)!

Georgia, The "New Mississippi"

March 14th, 2012
1:24 pm

The Obama camp has written Ga off years ago

GaBlue

March 14th, 2012
1:25 pm

Since the women of Georgia cannot be trusted to make their own medical decisions, a man named Dan Becker has stepped in to fill that void, and many of our legislators are afraid to stand up to him and tell him “NO, Dan. It’s not our place to come between a woman and her physician.” See, “smaller government” really means that these wussies don’t have the stones to solve real problems. Things like a crumbling infrastructure, high unemployement, and topping the nation in bank failures — these things are BIG and SCARY! It’s much easier for the “small government” folks to climb inside our private parts, sniff around, and make judgements.

There you go, Georgians! How does that FEEL, them rooting around in there?

Bernie

March 14th, 2012
1:35 pm

Jim the problem I find in these polls is that it does not reflect any polling of our fair maiden species. You the know ones, The Probers just ignore and think they are not able to think for themselves in the handling of their own healthcare issues. yep! they are the ones, I am referring too! The ones even in these polls were ignored and overlooked. I strongly suspect, if a further polling of just WOMEN from 18 to 100+ they would reflect a different outcome.

The other thing JIM, they are MAD as HECK! they are a very, very large voting block too! why would the PROBERS “ENRAGE” them so quietly, in an election year? Do they know something the rest of us don’t?

Who Do you think she is going to support when it comes to healthcare issues? birth control?

Those two topics are minefields in itself and as men we should leave that to them.. Good Day!

td

March 14th, 2012
1:35 pm

Nathan Deal – R 1,341,589 53%
Roy Barnes – D 1,094,621 43%

Casey Cagle – R Incumbent 1,378,508 55%
Carol Porter – D 1,063,417 42%

Sam Olens – R 1,326,160 53%
Ken Hodges – D 1,100,388 44%

John Barge – R 1,341,618 53%
Joe Martin – D 1,050,071 42%

Brian Kemp – R Incumbent 1,414,273 56%
Georganna Sinkfield – D 996,167 40%

Johnny Isakson – R Incumbent 1,462,823 58%
Michael Thurmond – D 986,338 39%

Excuse me I was thinking of Isakson % instead of Deal. The main point to look at is that is only one election was under a 10% margin of victory.

Moon Mullins

March 14th, 2012
1:37 pm

HEADS EXPLODE!! OBAMA WINS BY LANDSLIDE!

John Adams pushed his elitist agenda supported by the wealthy and well-connected. The only problem was there were considerably more poor and middle class than wealthy and well-connected.

Jefferson won!

The issues of the election of 1800 — religion or lack thereof and protecting the wealthy — are alive today and I predict the outcome will be the same. Obama wins!

DemSoc

March 14th, 2012
1:43 pm

The results from the 2010 election are irrelevant considering the crop of terrible GOPers vying for their parties nomination. With GA polling this close whichever clown takes Tampa might as well stick into it a big fork.

WAR EAGLE

March 14th, 2012
1:44 pm

It appears liberal lefty would rather we give our money to africa and the war lords than to a friendly country where we get lots of technology and medical expertise from. Of course the Muslims have not attacked us, they don’t attack other MUSLIM countries! Obama is a Muslim. His BOGUS hawaii birth certificate is just that-a fake! It is not an original. Back in the 1960’s they did not have DOT MATRIX printers. They wrote the info on the birth certificate by hand and you recieved a carbon copy with a raised seal. Hawaii hands those things out to anyone who can fog a mirror and put any info you want. Now. Gas is almost$4 and Basketball Barry is at a basketball game with the British PM. He belongs to the vacation of the month club, thinks of it as an ENTITLEMENT, and plays basketball b/c he has no clue as to how to act like a president. He acts like he came out of an NAACP rally! Apologizes to the Arabs all the time. Puts down our country. His wife associates with those that bow down to Oprah. He needs another 4 yrs to bring the US to it’s knees and make us like everyone else-dependant upon the Gov’t. And he will make us slaves. you think you were oppreseed in 1862? Wait til Barry gets a hold of you if he gets elected. You will have to convert to Islam, be placed under Shariah law and LOSE your right to play basketball! That’s right. Basketball will be outlawed under shariah! you will have to be called to prayers 5 times a day and work in the fields.better think NAACP boy. Your occupant in the White House is in it for the Muslims. boy did he fool you and YOUR people. Taht is right Your people. Mine were not fooled. We voted for the guy that went to work, not for some fool that voted present, and then left to organize a community Basketball game. HAHAHAHAHAHAH.You got what you deserved! Now change it in November!

AU Alum

March 14th, 2012
1:49 pm

“War Eagle”

Please stop embarassing the Auburn Family by labeling your schizoid delusions with our battle cry / sacred greeting.

Thank you.

td

March 14th, 2012
1:50 pm

DemSoc

March 14th, 2012
1:43 pm

The results from the 2010 election are irrelevant considering the crop of terrible GOPers vying for their parties nomination.

This paper and you Dems spent months yelling as loud and often as possible that Deal was everything from a crook, unethical, no morals, could not control his own money to that he was the devil himself and it did not work in this state. Barnes outspent him by a large amount of money and that did not keep him from getting elected. Do you really think Obama (the non- citizen, Muslim, communist) is going to have any chance to take this state.

I will bet any of you libs on this blog any amount of money you want to that Obama does not win Georgia. Any takers?

td

March 14th, 2012
1:54 pm

“(the non- citizen, Muslim, communist)”

This is the message that will be put out to the rural areas of the state by the Super pacs.

ITP voter

March 14th, 2012
1:59 pm

Do people like TD recall that Obama got 47% of the vote here last time he was on the ballot? The fact that as the president running for re-election 45% of people say they’ll vote for him doesn’t seem all that surprising.

Carole

March 14th, 2012
1:59 pm

td
less then two years have Obama tied with all the Republican candidates? Most of the statewide Democratic candidates that ran in this state 2 years ago would be considered extremely conservative when you place their philosophical beliefs next to Obamas.

+++++++++
Have you been watching the Primaries? Have you been watching what’s been going on in the legislature the past few weeks? People are tired of the embarrassing, stupid things that our legislators are doing. And based on the Primaries over the past few weeks, including yesterday they don’t seem all that thrilled with the people running for office on the Repub side. So yes, I can believe the numbers because people are getting fed up.

honested

March 14th, 2012
2:01 pm

Could it be that FINALLY Georgians are beginning to question the validity of putting incompetents in charge because they claim to be ‘conservative’ (whatever that means)?

Could it be that Georgia Voters are ready to vote in THEIR BEST INTEREST rather than to continue attempting to blow life into a failed ideology?

It would be nice to come through November with a dedicated leaders able to generate REAL progress and support President Obama through his whole second term!

GaBlue

March 14th, 2012
2:03 pm

td,

Your 1:54 is interesting (vs. your 1:50, which is not.) Hmmm, so how is it you know so much about the strategy? Is it your job to disseminate these lies? Or were these lies your brilliant idea to begin with? Just curious.

Junior Samples

March 14th, 2012
2:06 pm

War Eagle,

Thanks for reminding me to buy stock in Alcoa and Reynolds.

jd

March 14th, 2012
2:08 pm

I’m confused — why are all those officials in Atlanta making healthcare decisions for all of us?

td

March 14th, 2012
2:11 pm

ITP voter

March 14th, 2012
1:59 pm

Record African American and youth turnout and record suburban voting for the first African American Presidential candidate and the fact that a great deal of religious conservatives stayed home. I will predict that Obama will not receive more then 45% of the vote in Georgia this year and it could be less no matter who the Republicans nominate.

DannyX

March 14th, 2012
2:12 pm

“”“(the non- citizen, Muslim, communist)”

This is the message that will be put out to the rural areas of the state by the Super pacs.”

What about the “Missouri is the Garden of Eden” story? Georgians are in a bit of a bind it would seem.

Our Lord and Savior Jesus Christ will crush the heads of the perverted New World Order integrationist crowd and their devilish black minions

March 14th, 2012
2:12 pm

The Obama Presidency reminds me of the ways and means of 1380 waok and 89.3 wrfg radio stations, “I see the tower, and its blue.” Those radio stations started out years ago with hosts that represented the interest of the masses of black people. But after they get a following, incrementally, they fired each radio host that represented the interest of black people. And as we speak, each radio station among others has black people that represent the interest of mongrels, perverts, and “everybody.”

Here is the deal. The black audience doesn’t tune out when the persons that represented their interest are fired. They are not that sophisticated. Over time, they slowly but surely adjust to the perversion that the mongrels and perverts spew over the radio in exchange for money, fame, status, plush jobs, materialism etc.

Therefore Romney, Gingrich, Santorum, and Paul need not worry about defeating Obama. Like the radio hosts at 1380 waok and 89.3 wrfg, if he has successfully accomplished the military objectives in Asia, Africa, and America for which he was selected, Obama will be out of there in November in a heartbeat.

Amen?

Independent voter

March 14th, 2012
2:15 pm

td…..President Obama going to win Ga because if Romney is the nonimee, women are going to come out strong for president. Did you see the march at the Ga capital the women was protesting against the republican.

td

March 14th, 2012
2:19 pm

GaBlue

March 14th, 2012
2:03 pm

It could be because I have a college degree in political science and history. It could be because my favorite hobby is politics or it could be that I am a very bright person. I could also be an active member of my local and state Republican party.

Kind of like the lies being told by the Democrats to women that Republicans want to take away BC form them or telling seniors that Republicans want to take away Medicare and Social Security?

I have already stated several times that this election cycle was going to be the dirtiest since Andrew Jackson. Just watch and see how dirty it gets.

BTW: I have been asking for months for someone to pay me for coming on these blogs and posting but the Republicans just do not have the hired bloggers like the NOW is advertising for right now.

Rex Dogma

March 14th, 2012
2:24 pm

Amen, Liberal Lefty!!!