Secretary of State Brian Kemp is going out on a limb tonight.
His office will divvy up the statewide Super Tuesday presidential primary vote by congressional district – the first time this has been attempted in real time.
Which means that, by late tonight or early tomorrow, we should have some concrete idea how Georgia’s 76 delegates will be divided among the four GOP presidential candidates.
Just to review:
– 34 delegates, including three members of the Republican National Committee, will be distributed proportionately. Any candidate who finishes under 20 percent finishes out of the money.
– But another 42 delegates are divvied up among 14 congressional districts. Three per. If a candidate wins more than 50 percent of the district, he wins all three. Otherwise, the leader gets two, and the second place finisher gets one.
Now, here’s the caveat from Kemp spokesman Matt Carrothers: 143 counties are wholly contained within one of the 14 congressional districts. Sixteen are not. But those 16 are among the largest – including Cobb, Gwinnett, and Fulton counties.
These are also the counties where the competition between Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney is likely to be most fierce. Carrothers said these split counties will pose the biggest problem in coming up with accurate, by-district numbers – but that the secretary of state’s office intends to keep at them through the night.
- By Jim Galloway, Political Insider