CNN/ORC poll: Barack Obama tied with GOP nominee in Ga.

Updated at 4:30 p.m.: Yet another poll of the presidential primary in Georgia, again showing Newt Gingrich in the upper-40 percentile, has just been dropped by CNN/ORC International.

The poll also shows, like two others today, Santorum dangerously under 20 percent — the amount needed Tuesday for a share of 34 at-large Georgia delegates. The CNN top lines:

– Gingrich, 47 percent;

– Mitt Romney, 24 percent;

– Santorum, 15 percent;

– and Ron Paul, 9 percent.

More interesting is the portion of the CNN poll that looks at a general election contest with President Barack Obama. Asked whether they would vote for the Republican nominee or the incumbent Democrat in November, 1,775 registered Georgia voters were split, 48 to 48 percent.

Updated at 12:15 p.m.: In the wee hours this morning, following on the heels of a weekend AJC poll, Public Policy Polling of North Carolina came out with yet another survey that shows GOP presidential candidate Newt Gingrich creeping toward the 50 percent mark in Georgia.

The PPP bottom line:

– Gingrich, 47 percent;

– Mitt Romney, 24 percent;

– Rick Santorum, 19 percent;

– Ron Paul, 8 percent.

Just before noon, Landmark/Rosetta Stone in Gwinnett County released a third poll, conducted Sunday (901 likely voters) and showing similar numbers: Gingrich, 44 percent; Romney, 23 percent; Santorum, 17 percent; and Paul, 7 percent.

The 50 percent mark is a significant one. As far as 34 statewide delegates go, distribution would still be proportional. But even if Gingrich finishes in the mid-40 percentile on Tuesday, that means he’d probably clear 50 percent in some congressional districts. And that’s where the winner-takes-all rule, with 42 delegates at stake, does apply.

The most salient PPP statistics:

[Sixty-six percent] of Republicans in the state have a favorable opinion of [Gingrich] to only 27% with a negative one. And although he now lives in Virginia, he’s still embraced as a native son. 71% of voters consider him to be a Georgian to only 22% who do not.

A Landmark/Rosetta poll from last week had Gingrich at 42 percent. Their analysis:

Gingrich leads in both the Metro Atlanta region as well as non-Metro Atlanta area. He retains particular commanding support among those voters who are age 65 and older, a demographic group in which he carries a majority of the vote. These voters remember Gingrich as a leader who led Republicans to a new House majority in the 1994 elections, the first such majority in four decades.

An AJC poll published on Saturday — in the field Wednesday, Thursday and Friday — gave Gingrich a lead of 38 percent. See the internals here.

***
Among those who consider Newt Gingrich to be a “fellow Georgian” is Gov. Nathan Deal, who today has an op-ed in the Marietta Daily Journal with his endorsement of the former 6th District congressman:

As Georgia conservatives, we owe Newt Gingrich — who in 1994 led the Republican Party to victory for the first time in 40 years — a debt of gratitude. Without this man giving voice to the practical conservatism the majority of Georgians now hold dear, the Republican Party in our state would not be where it is today.

***
Remember how Rick Santorum called President Barack Obama a “snob” for encouraging kids to get a college education? His wife was among those who persuaded him to backtrack. From Politico.com:

“He knows you always separate what you say from the person,” said Karen Santorum in an interview Saturday…, her first of the presidential campaign with a print media outlet. “He should have said what (Obama) said is ‘snobbish.’ It was a ‘snobbish comment,’ not he is ‘snobbish.’ There is a big difference. And he knows that. But everybody makes those mistakes along the journey.”

Karen Santorum also said this about the current first lady in the White House:

“[Michelle Obama] has done a lot for our country, and I admire her because she also has a very rigorous schedule. She is juggling being a mother and being first lady,” Karen Santorum said before lowering her voice to a girly whisper, “and you know, she’s got great arms.”

***
While much of the political world last week was in an uproar over health insurance coverage for contraception, former GOP candidate for governor was writing a coda for the previous uproar – over Planned Parenthood and abortion.

In an interview on the Christian Broadcasting Network, Handel reprised the events that led to her resignation as vice president of governmental affairs for Susan G. Komen for the Cure – after a Komen effort to cut off funds to Planned Parenthood exploded:

Handel again accused Planned Parenthood of violating a “gentle lady’s agreement” to accept the decision quietly. Handel also said she was appalled by a media slant when it came to the topic of abortion.

“There is clearly a real bias around this, that somehow, the right to an abortion equals women’s rights. And I reject that,” she said. Here’s the clip:

***
The AJC’s Politifact Georgia today takes a look at the claim by Gwinnett County Commission Chairman Charlotte Nash that , when it comes to unemployment, her county is doing better than much of metro Atlanta.

- By Jim Galloway, Political Insider

For instant updates, follow me on Twitter, or connect with me on Facebook.

171 comments Add your comment

Oh My!

March 5th, 2012
9:20 am

no real news here. he figured on getting the “homeboy discount double take” on all lies, fabrications and injustices. I say keep him in the game a little while longer so he can continue to at least make the race interesting oppossed to the boring rich guy.

Filter

March 5th, 2012
9:21 am

Keep beating that drum Karen. Preach it to the choir.

Tired

March 5th, 2012
9:31 am

Tired of hearing from the blowhard Newt, go away

Centrist

March 5th, 2012
9:31 am

Predictions (and admittedly, desires).

Newt Gingrich will get well under 50% of the Georgia primary vote.

Karen Handel will not ever gain a political office via an election.

Gingrich does not have a chance...

March 5th, 2012
9:32 am

Why waste a vote on Gingrich? He does not care about GA! Mainly him and his wife.

[...] Your morning jolt: New poll has Newt Gingrich near 50 percent [...]

clyde

March 5th, 2012
9:38 am

So Newt takes Georgia.So what?Only one of the four can actually run for President.And it won’t be Newt.

View From Midtown

March 5th, 2012
9:41 am

61% of Georgia Republicans have a favorable opinion of a morally and ethically bankrupt, bloviating, serial adulterer? That certainly explains a lot; I weep for this state.

orlando

March 5th, 2012
9:42 am

wow, that says a lot about Georgia. why did I move here????? You hillbillies are worthless.

Centrist

March 5th, 2012
9:47 am

Quote from above: “Handel again accused Planned Parenthood of violating a “gentle lady’s agreement” to accept the decision quietly.”

Handel was appointed into the leadership of the Susan G. Komen Foundation, and very quickly they made a pointedly political decision to cut off funding to the long time co-Foundation of Planned Parenthood that does mostly similar screening for women. Handel claims that organization was alright with this decision to the point they would accept this quietly (which, of course, they didn’t).

Why would PP simply roll over on such a blatant political decision obviously fostered by a newcomer at SGK? Handel’s claim (after she was forced to resign) reminds me of the expression – “Who are you going to believe; me, or your lying eyes?”

td

March 5th, 2012
9:48 am

Centrist

March 5th, 2012
9:31 am

I took an informal poll this weekend at church and a social gathering with old High School friends (I will submit that most of the group lived in Newts old district). The results were that 90% are or have voted for Newt.

td

March 5th, 2012
9:52 am

orlando

March 5th, 2012
9:42 am

There are three major interstates that leave this state in any direction you choose to go. The good citizens are not forcing you to stay (unless of coarse you are a current resident of corrections system). I promise we will not be sad if you chose to leave and we really want you to be happy.

Tom

March 5th, 2012
9:55 am

I voted last week and voted for Newt. However, honesty compels me to admit that I still believe Romney will be the eventual nominee. Newt’s lone hope is a brokered convention that gets about 3-4 votes deep.

double

March 5th, 2012
9:56 am

Newt has confessed his sins.Asked Gods forgiveness.Now you holier than thou christians think your judgement is better than Gods?How many of you have not divorced?How many not had extramarital affairs?How many do not have close relatives,or close friends that have not commited your unpardonable sins?You are not electing your reverend,preacher,you are electing a man capable of leading your country.One who if necessary will take others lives,use covert means to defend your country.Use his intelligence to bring jobs back.Jimmy Carter is a good man.Get him to run again so you can cast a worthless vote.

td

March 5th, 2012
9:57 am

View From Midtown

March 5th, 2012
9:41 am

According to the latest national polls, 50% of our nation have a favorable opinion of a morally and ethically bankrupt, bloviating, Democratic socialist currently occupying the White house. I pray every night that the good Lord will awaken people to the pure evil this President’s philosophy is taking us towards.

The Factor

March 5th, 2012
9:57 am

As a native Georgian of 54 years, a moderate conservative and a hawk on spending; No thanks Newt and Santorum would be great if this was the year 1400 and not 2012. The only one with logical sense is Romney. He clearly is not a polished politician which is why I like him and he has more brains than most.

Tom

March 5th, 2012
9:57 am

The latest poll numbers fo GA are veryencouraging in one regard…..

Santorum may get shutout on the delegate distribution. One can only hope….

Becky

March 5th, 2012
9:58 am

I still remember and relish the look in noot’s eyes when George Stephanopoulos reminded him that even if he wins Georgia he will never have enough delegates to win the nomination!

Oopsie.

td-not sure I would publish that about my church. That is nothing to be proud of that your church members would vote for the adulterer.

Oh My!

March 5th, 2012
10:01 am

double…I just said keep him in the race cause he’s at least entertaining. we all have fallen short at one time or another, BUT, we are not and our relatives are not running for the highest office in our land.

clyde

March 5th, 2012
10:01 am

Double—-

I’m a wee bit like Newt,but I wouldn’t vote for Newt,not even once.I wouldn’t vote for me either.Let God vote for Newt.

Did you hear about the atheist and the agnostic who got married and argued about which church not to send their offspring to???

Marlboro Man

March 5th, 2012
10:01 am

The “Third” Lady, now that’s a nice ring to it.

Oh My!

March 5th, 2012
10:04 am

td… again, please explain how the POTUS is a socialist and two how his philosophy is hurting us, despite unemployment dipping and the DOW over 13,000?

Centrist

March 5th, 2012
10:05 am

@ td – Tomorrow night you will find that the folks you go to Church and socialize with are not representative of the mostly Republican electorate. I am not a Republican and will be voting for Romney because I think he is the best choice. Many Democrats will be voting against Romney to help Obama.

Tom posted “Newt’s lone hope is a brokered convention that gets about 3-4 votes deep.”

And you think the convention will turn to the 3rd place finisher? Or do you want Palin, Christy, Jeb Bush, or some other untested dark horse to lose badly to Obama?

gm

March 5th, 2012
10:08 am

What does this say about poor, middle class whites in Georgia? These people can not name one thing Newt has done for Georgia, these conservative voters rather be last in education, top three in poverty and live in their trailers and continue to vote against their interest.

Southern idiots this is the difference between you and other regions of the country, why vote for someone who care less about your family and your quality of life? three times adultry, 30 page ethic violations, and these bibble thumping white conservative call themself christians and point the finger and other groups, no wonder no one outside of Georgia take the conservative Georgia serious.

Now you've done it

March 5th, 2012
10:09 am

This is so embarrassing.

The General

March 5th, 2012
10:10 am

@ The Factor

Romney is the only R that has a chance of beating Obama as well as those issues you mentioned about the others.

Oh My!

March 5th, 2012
10:12 am

gm…I wouldn’t go as far as to call them idiots but I would concur with what the POTUS said about Pa when he was running for office, and that is they cling to their guns and religion. the greatest trick the repubs ever pulled was convincing poor whites and middle class whites that they were for them.

WOW

March 5th, 2012
10:14 am

While I thank the cadidates Super PAC’s for the advertising revenue, its great for Georgia’s economy, can at least one of them be positive?

td

March 5th, 2012
10:20 am

Becky

March 5th, 2012
9:58 am

It is about forgiveness and redemption. The man admitted he sinned and said he asked God for forgiveness. This should be good enough for any good Christian but if it is not then one should vote their conscience.

You my friend want to condemn an immoral action that only effects an individual actions while at the same time you do not have the same contempt for a philosophy that turns millions of your fellow citizens into a state of helplessness and hopelessness. I can not for the life of me figure out how anyone can favor a system of government that promotes government dependence over self reliance.

Becky

March 5th, 2012
10:24 am

td-normally i just scroll past your idiotic posts but I really can’t fathom how your religion can favor homelessness, bankrupcty and losing one’s home due to medical bills. You need to step back and really take a good hard look at your beliefs and see if that is truly what is in your heart or just what you have been indoctrinated into by the party that hates.

Centrist

March 5th, 2012
10:26 am

td posted “I can not for the life of me figure out how anyone can favor a system of government that promotes government dependence over self reliance.”

Definition of irony:

The food stamp program, part of the U.S. Department of Agriculture, is pleased to be distributing the greatest amount of food stamps in history.

Meanwhile, the Park Service, also part of the Department of Agriculture, asks us to “please do not feed the animals” because the animals may grow dependent and not learn to take care of themselves.”

Aquagirl

March 5th, 2012
10:27 am

I took an informal poll this weekend at church and a social gathering with old High School friends

td, those people agree because it’s the fastest way to shut you up. If the choice is between ummm-hummm and enduring your long, painful, bloviating harangue, 90% “yes” is shockingly low.

Will

March 5th, 2012
10:29 am

If you are democrat, I encourage you to vote for Newt Gingrich tomorrow.

Santorium will win several states tomorrow and Gingrich will carry at least Georgia.

This should keep both candidates in the contest and will also keep the story alive that Romney cannot “close the deal” and cannot win over the base of the republican party.

This means that millions upon millions of republican dollars will continue to be spent in the republican primaries, not the general election.

When Romney finally wins this thing, he will be such damaged goods, democrats will need only run poltical ads quoting Gringrich and Santorium this Fall.

What’s that you say, didin’t hurt Obama four years ago when the primaries dragged on? A couple of differences – republicans could have run Abe Lincoln and it would not have mattered four years ago as any republican was going to be blamed for the economy going in the tank and people were tried on the never ending wars in the Middle East.

Another big difference – say what you want about the radical base of the republican party but this much is true – this radical base is much more likely to sit on their hands (and pocketbooks) this Fall than to support Romney, a true Rockefeller Republican. These folks are the true believers in “purity of thought” and vote in absolutes. And they have even less use for Romney than they had for the American Patriot, John McCain.

A year ago I would not have given the President a 10% chance at re-election. Historians will have quite a story to write about how the republicans messed up the seemingly easy task of defeating President Obama.

Centrist

March 5th, 2012
10:29 am

Long joke about Jesus healing people – but the punch line is:

The Democrat jumped up from his wheelchair and yelled, “Don’t touch me .. I’m collecting disability.”

cynd

March 5th, 2012
10:31 am

As far as “forgiving” Newt (and Callista too btw) goes, I’ll leave that to the Almighty. On a personal level, if someone robs my house, I may forgive him, but you better believe I’m not going to trust them with my housekey. Forgiveness and entrusting someone with the presidency are two entirely different things. Newt is an opportunist who traded up until he found the wife he thought would serve him best on the campaign trail. Callista is an opportunist who hitched her wagon to a powerful, older, married man. Forgiveness, maybe. President/First Lady? You’ve got to be kiddin’ me.

Becky

March 5th, 2012
10:32 am

Will-really? I want to vote for Ron Paul to keep all the seats filled in the clown car.

Becky

March 5th, 2012
10:33 am

cynd-very well said and I thank you!

Tealiban Party

March 5th, 2012
10:38 am

Only in Georgia do the voters reward criminal polictians and ethics violaters by electing them to higher offices.

WOW

March 5th, 2012
10:38 am

TD:

My ‘informal polling’ asking conservative friends and family finds more support for Santorum than Gingrich. I also see more of a ground game for Santorum, I think he may give Newt more of a push than people think. Of course this will all benefit Romney in the end.

WOW

March 5th, 2012
10:39 am

@ cynd

Very well said.

Mudfoot

March 5th, 2012
10:40 am

Wow… Newt and Handel are what we have to offer…. and yet folk around here are dead-set against birth control?… Go figure

ATLER

March 5th, 2012
10:41 am

Ga doesn’t matter to this Nation when it comes to politics. Only Atlanta stands out as important city to the candidates on both parties. Wonder why they won’t come here to have a debate. Ga is an embarrassment to this Nation when it comes to politics. We are a joke!!!!

Becky

March 5th, 2012
10:41 am

Did anyone watch 60 Minutes last night with the Archbishop of Ireland supporting exposing the priest pedophiles? Very powerful stuff, wondering whether the Gingrichs were watching.

sam

March 5th, 2012
10:44 am

Well, Georgia isn’t known for its educational standards. It is too bad that this state can’t get on board with Romney, and go with someone who can win. Newt lost me when he finally resorted to the name calling, and when he criticized Romney for his business practices which were entirely consistent with capitalism. Newt sounded like a Democrat then, and frankly, I just don’t trust the guy.

sam

March 5th, 2012
10:44 am

td spells “course” as “coarse”. So very Georgian. Illiterate.

GOP = Group of Pharisees

March 5th, 2012
10:49 am

td
March 5th, 2012
9:57 am
According to the latest national polls, 50% of our nation have a favorable opinion of a morally and ethically bankrupt, bloviating, Democratic socialist currently occupying the White house.

Funny, I don’t remember President Obama being fined $300,000 for ethics violations. I believe it was Gingrich who was the first Speaker of House to be disciplined and reprimanded (in a vote of 395 – 28). It was Gingrich being a hypocrit during Clinton years, castigating Clinton for Lewinsky by screwing around on his own wife. Oh, but I forget – Gingrich’s patriotism caused him to be a cheating, lying, SOB.

Pot Kettle

March 5th, 2012
10:52 am

td
March 5th, 2012
9:57 am
I pray every night that the good Lord will awaken people to the pure evil this President’s philosophy is taking us towards.

Looks like Gingrich is not the only bloviator in Georgia.

honested

March 5th, 2012
10:56 am

Obviously, the noots at 50% poll didn’t ask crossover Democrats.

So, GA Democrats, tomorrow it’s up to you.
Pick any of the Clown Car Cabal except romney or noots and help put noots out to pasture once and for all.

It would even probably open the lobbying trade to new criminals!

Becky

March 5th, 2012
11:03 am

I’m thinking tomorrow’s turnout will be dismal at best. Maybe 6%?

Tom

March 5th, 2012
11:05 am

Becky, keep in mind Sunday Sales is on many local ballots. This will bring many out, if for nothing else than to finally be rid of the long-standing impact of yet another unconstitutional law in their community.