Rasmussen poll: Newt Gingrich holds a thin lead in Georgia

Rasmussen reports is out with a new, automated poll of Georgia voters that has former U.S. House speaker Newt Gingrich with a thin lead over Rick Santorum. Mitt Romney trails well behind.

The automated survey of 750 likely Republican voters was conducted Wednesday, so it’s unlikely to reflect any impact from last night’s Arizona debate. It has a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points.

The line:

– Gingrich, 33 percent;

– Santorum, 28 percent;

– Romney, 20 percent;

– Ron Paul, 9 percent.

Given the margin of error, Gingrich’s advantage here is made of gossamer. But the Rasmussen survey shows a different dynamic than an InsiderAdvantage/Fox 5 Atlanta poll from earlier in the week, which had Gingrich, Santorum and Romney in a three-way statistical tie.

But note that Romney — according to the Rasmussen poll — is on the edge of walking away from Georgia with no delegates. A candidate has to register 20 percent of the vote to qualify even for a small, proportional share.

- By Jim Galloway, Political Insider

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40 comments Add your comment

Real American

February 23rd, 2012
3:47 pm

Republican voters really hate their choices.

sheepdawg

February 23rd, 2012
3:54 pm

Go newt go! On to the moon!!

sheepdawg

February 23rd, 2012
3:55 pm

He’s on the cusp of wrapping up the two most ignorant states in the union, always battling for the bottom rung on the ladder. Correlation???

honested

February 23rd, 2012
4:01 pm

So what’ll be GA Democrats.
When we cross over on Super Tuesday do we vote for ole’ noots so his last stand will make him feel like we like him or do we pick one of the other two equally unelectable imbiciles?

Centrist

February 23rd, 2012
4:15 pm

Poll is already old since Romney is considered the winner of last night’s debate (with some media after glow), and Santorum got clobbered (by his own positions).

Romney will win most of the Super Tuesday delegates and probably next week, too, between Arizona and Michigan.

[...] Article from http://blogs.ajc.com/political-insider-jim-galloway/2012/02/23/rasmussen-poll-newt-gingrich-holds-a-…Rasmussen poll: Newt Gingrich holds a thin lead in Georgia – Atlanta Journal Constitution [...]

[...] Article from http://blogs.ajc.com/political-insider-jim-galloway/2012/02/23/rasmussen-poll-newt-gingrich-holds-a-…Rasmussen poll: Newt Gingrich holds a thin lead in Georgia – Atlanta Journal Constitution [...]

[...] Article from http://blogs.ajc.com/political-insider-jim-galloway/2012/02/23/rasmussen-poll-newt-gingrich-holds-a-…Rasmussen poll: Newt Gingrich holds a thin lead in Georgia – Atlanta Journal Constitution [...]

[...] Article from http://blogs.ajc.com/political-insider-jim-galloway/2012/02/23/rasmussen-poll-newt-gingrich-holds-a-…Rasmussen poll: Newt Gingrich holds a thin lead in Georgia – Atlanta Journal Constitution [...]

nick

February 23rd, 2012
4:26 pm

if voters went solely on policy newt wins hands dowsn. instead they listen to romney and liberal media. sickening really. wake up america. newt has clear vision to lead america back to exceptionalism. not apologetic socialists.

nick

February 23rd, 2012
4:26 pm

romney wins last night debate?? are you kidding? newt made both him and satorum look like children. wake up.

[...] Article from http://blogs.ajc.com/political-insider-jim-galloway/2012/02/23/rasmussen-poll-newt-gingrich-holds-a-…Rasmussen poll: Newt Gingrich holds a thin lead in Georgia – Atlanta Journal Constitution [...]

phildo

February 23rd, 2012
4:32 pm

I have never voted for any Dimocrat in my life. If New Gingrich is the nominee, he makes the Big 0 look good. At least New’s wife led him to JESUS!

[...] Article from http://blogs.ajc.com/political-insider-jim-galloway/2012/02/23/rasmussen-poll-newt-gingrich-holds-a-…Rasmussen poll: Newt Gingrich holds a thin lead in Georgia – Atlanta Journal Constitution [...]

unmarx1

February 23rd, 2012
4:37 pm

Newt”s IQ 50 above MUD ROMNEY and Santorum. Newt has the best knowledge and ideas by far and would crush obama in debates.

[...] Article from http://blogs.ajc.com/political-insider-jim-galloway/2012/02/23/rasmussen-poll-newt-gingrich-holds-a-…Rasmussen poll: Newt Gingrich holds a thin lead in Georgia – Atlanta Journal Constitution [...]

[...] Article from http://blogs.ajc.com/political-insider-jim-galloway/2012/02/23/rasmussen-poll-newt-gingrich-holds-a-…Rasmussen poll: Newt Gingrich holds a thin lead in Georgia – Atlanta Journal Constitution [...]

Centrist

February 23rd, 2012
4:46 pm

Folks who put their money where their mouth is instead of biased vested interested bloggers, etc. have Romney today at a 78.6% favorite (up from the pre-debate of 75.1%) to win the nomination, and Santorum only at 8.4%.

This is via the Intrade website http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/?eventId=84328 which is a market based platform where individuals make predictions by buying and selling shares on the outcome. It is a lot harder to make an emotional biased financial transaction – but then bookies make a ton when football alumni bet with their hearts instead of their brains.

td

February 23rd, 2012
4:55 pm

Centrist

February 23rd, 2012
4:15 pm

I do not know where you got your information from but Romney did not win the debate. He and Rick were very close and Romney may have done a little better but Newt won the debate hands down.

roughrider

February 23rd, 2012
5:00 pm

Has everyone noticed that the two states favoring Newt are the lowest in education in the nation?

Bernie

February 23rd, 2012
5:06 pm

“Through this exhaustive process of consideration, it was strikingly obvious that one candidate could not be less acceptable to be our party’s nominee. He lacks the poise, experience and moral fiber to represent our principles and values. That candidate is Newt Gingrich.” – quote : Michelle Bachmann 2012

Centrist

February 23rd, 2012
5:10 pm

@ td – No offense, but I think your bias for Gingrich is clouding your evaluation. The internet is full of articles and blogs mostly saying Romney won, Santorum lost, and Gingrich chuckled through it (other than slamming John King). Here is an example: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/romney-and-paul-successfully-call-santorums-conservatism-into-question/2012/02/22/gIQAIyvMUR_print.html

Gingrich has been written off along with Ron Paul. Your GA vote for Gingrich only robs Romney the possibility of clinching earlier, and hurts GOP chances next November.

Tom

February 23rd, 2012
5:11 pm

I’ll admit, if we were looking to pick an ayatollah from this group Santorum would be the obvious choice.

DannyX

February 23rd, 2012
5:23 pm

So then why does it even matter if Romney wins “Centrist”?

That same Intrade website shows Obama with a 59.9% chance of winning.

Let me quote the great “Centrist” here…” is a market based platform where individuals make predictions by buying and selling shares on the outcome. It is a lot harder to make an emotional biased financial transaction – but then bookies make a ton when football alumni bet with their hearts instead of their brains.”

Use your “brains”. It doesn’t matter who the GOP candidate is.

td

February 23rd, 2012
5:25 pm

Centrist

February 23rd, 2012
5:10 pm

I was watching the CNN post debate, Fox this morning and a town hall meeting with Meaghan (SP) Kelly at on Fox this afternoon. Unless, the people were spokesperson for a candidate then the opinion was Newt won.

I really do not think you as a Romney supporter want Newt out of the race right now because Rick would be winning all these primaries. Do you really think Newt’s supporters in GA would switch to Mitt after they voted overwhelmingly for Huchabee 4 years ago over McCain?

Marlboro Man

February 23rd, 2012
5:31 pm

One country might not be enough for Newt. I mean wives wasn’t.

Northern Elitist

February 23rd, 2012
5:39 pm

November can’t come soon enough.

Merrill Bender

February 23rd, 2012
6:23 pm

Joe Scarborough described Mitt Romney as an “Empty Suit” on Morning Joe and John Heilman described Romney’s campaign as “Themeless pudding”.

It is time for Republicans to set the record straight and defend our history and this historic leader in our party. Get the facts straight at http://www.newt.org learn the truth before you vote for the Massachusetts Moderate.

All Republicans are hurt by Romney Mud slinging and his paid off supporters.

To fan and support the negative lies about Newt hurts all Republicans and the Historic gains Republicans made under his leadership in Congress.

If Newt were a CEO in business with his success record of accomplishments, His ideas would be called visionary not erratic. His CEO leadership style would be hailed as bold and impressive.

CEO’s that get things done do ruffle some feathers of their subordinates, they do challenge them and they lead.. Newt has done that and has the most successful record. It is a Republican success record.
Come on Republicans stand up and be counted. Republicans need to set the record straight on Newt; describe Newt’s history not from a Democratic narrative but as a Republican success story.

Cheryl

February 23rd, 2012
8:50 pm

Frustrated with Fox News/O’Reilly – it was all about Romney and Santorum, not one mention of Newt and all of his specific brilliant ideas. Commentators indicated the Romney won the debate. are you kidding me? I dont understand Fox anymore. Romney and all of his smerks, blinking. I dont trust the guy. I would feel very safe with Newt as our Commander in Chief and feel confident he would be the one to come up out of the box ideas to fix this nation!

mehlman rings twice

February 23rd, 2012
9:51 pm

unmarx @ 4:37 pm:
Here we go again with this Newt would “crush” Obama in a debate nonsense. Newt’s debate skill doesn’t matter, his problem is with women voters, especially conservative women. They are simply not going to vote for him in large numbers and reward his current wife for sleeping with another woman’s husband.

mehlman rings twice

February 23rd, 2012
10:03 pm

Cheryl @ 8:50 pm:
There you go again, waiting for someone new in Washington to fix your problems.

honested

February 23rd, 2012
11:21 pm

Is there any reason to suddenly believe anything published by raz-munchken?

Larry Bradley

February 24th, 2012
12:00 am

Isn’t it interesting that 50 years ago nobody would have found anything Rick Santorum has said about his faith out of the mainstream, Newt would be unelectable because of his philandering, Mitt would be unelectable because of his oddball religious affiliation, and Ron Paul would be….well, Ron Paul.

ld

February 24th, 2012
12:35 am

name recognition

mehlman rings twice

February 24th, 2012
8:59 am

Why don’t we just go watch the best college debate team to find our next president?

eillem

February 24th, 2012
10:08 am

Newt is the ONLY one who can save this country: he has the know-how, the background, the experience, and the ability to LEARN from history’s
mistakes!

Hamilton

February 24th, 2012
10:57 am

That Gingrich and Santorum poll one and two in Georgia is testimony to the degree to which Georgia’s once proud and pragmatic Republican Party has broken from reality.
It is sad.

pb

February 24th, 2012
12:57 pm

Why these people (Republicans) want Santorum is beyond me… His social conservative theme is not going to work in general election with independents and moderates. Plus he was all for big spending when senator- now claims he was really against it. Romney is best choice to beat Obama.

missmollie

February 24th, 2012
3:17 pm

JG are you working today???. Everyone knows NG will win the Georgia Primary….Romney spoke at noon today to a large crowd that had to be moved to the Lions Stadium (Detroit)…Earlier today Tim Pawlenty spoke on National news in support of Romney. He would make an excellent V-P IMO. RS is still running his nasty ad with the look alike Romney with a machine gun chasing him;
also the one with him holding his “special needs child”…Reminds me of SP and her pics of her “special needs child.

missmollie

February 24th, 2012
3:22 pm

Is Rasmussen for real???