The first poll to place Herman Cain at the top was…

On Wednesday evening, NBC and the Wall Street Journal released a national survey that declared Herman Cain had climbed to the top of the GOP presidential heap.

Many called it the first poll to say so.

But Matt Towery of InsiderAdvantage beat the New York team to the punch by a matter of hours, declaring Cain to be the GOP frontrunner at 1:08 p.m. Wednesday, on behalf of the conservative website, Newsmax.

The poll put Cain at 26 percent and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney at 24 percent – a virtual tie when a 4.4 percent MOE is present, but still.

Towery, a Georgia operative, has sent over his crosstabs, which can be found here.

***
While we’re on the topic of polling, Public Policy Polling of North Carolina has chosen one of its stranger topics – a study of Democratic and Republican attitudes toward the various states. Among its findings, which can be found here:

— There are three states that Republicans have a negative opinion of: Illinois (15/44), Massachusetts (19/47), and Rhode Island (20/22).

– There are eight states that Democrats have a negative opinion of: Arizona (20/38), Mississippi (13/41), Alabama (13/45), Louisiana (20/29), Utah (14/32), Arkansas (20/23), Texas (17/51), and Georgia (19/31). Taken as a whole, those numbers suggest that Democratic voters don’t particularly like the South.

– Six states were seen favorably by Democrats, Republicans, and independents alike — Idaho, Indiana, Maryland, Pennsylvania, New Mexico, and Minnesota.

– The most popular state with Democrats is Massachusetts (49/9) while the least popular is Texas. With Republicans the most popular is Texas (66/9), while the least popular is Illinois, land of Lincoln.

– There are four states that had favorability spreads of -20 or worse with black voters: Mississippi (15/51), Alabama (14/50), Texas (17/44), and Utah (12/34).

– In spite of all the furor over Senate Bill 1070 last year, Hispanic voters nationally actually have a slightly positive opinion of Arizona (31/26).

***
Because everyone is asking the same question, Emory University has sent this video clip of political scientist Merle Black explaining Herman Cain’s rise to the top of the GOP field, and what it means:

***
One sign that Herman Cain’s performance in the presidential contest has impressed the GOP homefolk: The Fulton County Republican party this morning crowed that it had landed Cain as the featured speaker for its Nov. 1 “Victory Dinner” – its main fundraiser for the year.

Getting lower billing: Gov. Nathan Deal, Secretary of State Brian Kemp, House Speaker David Ralston and Speaker pro tem Jan Jones.

***
Another item for your calendar: Democratic National Committee Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz will be the featured speaker at next Wednesday’s grand opening of the new headquarters of the Georgia Democratic party – at 763 Trabert Avenue NW, Atlanta, Ga. 30318.

U.S. Rep. David Scott of Atlanta, former U.S. senator Max Cleland, Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed, and state Sen. Vincent Fort of Atlanta will be there as well.

- By Jim Galloway, Political Insider

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18 comments Add your comment

td

October 14th, 2011
1:27 pm

These early polls do not mean a thing at this point in time. 4 years ago at this time, McCain polled at 10%, Thompson at 17% and Huckabee (sp) at 6%. I am not sure about the Towery poll but the WSJ/NBC only polled 330 voters that stated the were Republicans and had a margin of error of 5%.

Now this is not saying Herman is in the lead. I think his message is catching on to the conservative base of the party but I would not take to much stock in the polls right now.

tom mitchell

October 14th, 2011
1:45 pm

Apparently Matt Towery is finally starting to get it right. I heard him on Neil Boortz talking about this poll yesterday. Big question to be answered is how long before Cain tanks.

Centrist

October 14th, 2011
1:45 pm

“With Republicans the least popular is Illinois, land of Lincoln.”

Also the land of dead voters and Chicago (Democrat) bosses.

“In spite of all the furor over Senate Bill 1070 last year, Hispanic voters nationally actually have a slightly positive opinion of Arizona”

What the liberal blogger meant to say was “that because Senate Bill 1070 is so popular with LEGAL Hispanic voters …”.

SAWB

October 14th, 2011
1:48 pm

Well, if Vincent Fort is going to be at the banquet be sure he pays before he eats we know how he is about paying bills. He is excellent at calling for raising our taxes while not paying his own kind of like a lot of Obama’s key advisers. We all know the Demos see themselves as superior to all of the unwashed folks in those pesky “flyover” states. They think of us as either idiots to be pitied or children to be cared for. That is why it does not matter if Romney, Cain or Mickey Mouse runs against Obama his ideologically leftist agenda has failed and folks are ready for some freedom and economic growth.

Centrist

October 14th, 2011
1:52 pm

That grand opening of the new headquarters of the Georgia Democratic party that got the nice plug above should get some good AJC coverage – since half the audience will be AJC staff.

joe

October 14th, 2011
1:54 pm

For a good laugh, attend Debbie W-Shultz appearance next wed…not telling how much idiotic crap she’ll spew, but the over/under is 12.

Centrist

October 14th, 2011
2:00 pm

Mr. Jim Galloway thinks we need to lighten up with a little humor here:

This month is Fox News’ 15th anniversary.

Coincidentally, this is the 15th year that the liberal news media has shown any concern about biased news.

Centrist

October 14th, 2011
2:22 pm

With little Political Insider stuff above – here is a snippet via the Washington Post columnist Charles Krauthammer – http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-scapegoat-strategy/2011/10/13/gIQArNWViL_story.html

“Obama’s most coveted tax hike — an extra 3 to 4.6 percent for millionaires and billionaires (weirdly defined as individuals making more than $200,000) — would have reduced last year’s deficit (at the very most) from $1.29 trillion to $1.21 trillion. Nearly a rounding error. The oil-drilling breaks cover less than half a day’s federal spending. You could collect Obama’s favorite tax loophole — depreciation for corporate jets — for 100 years and it wouldn’t cover one month of Medicare, whose insolvency is a function of increased longevity, expensive new technology and wasteful defensive medicine caused by an insane malpractice system.”

RustyHinges

October 14th, 2011
3:03 pm

A couple of polls (Rasmussen and Public Policy Polling) now have Gingrich in 3rd. Guess Galloway’s next blog topic will be another way of trashing Newt.

Centrist

October 14th, 2011
3:17 pm

From New York Times David Brooks:

“Tax policy isn’t just about how to raise revenue anymore. Liberals see it as a way to punish the greedy and redress the iniquities of capitalism. Conservatives see tax increases as an assault on the enterprising class perpetrated by arrogant central planners. A tax rate could be seen as just a number signifying an expense, but now it’s a marker in a culture war.

You get politicians and commentators whose views are entirely predictable because they don’t care about the specifics of any particular issue. They just care about the status war against their social enemies and the way each issue functions as a symbol in that great fight.”

While I agree with this centrist view – I understand the “fairness” issue of REAL millionaires and billionaires (people/ businesses that make that in a year) escaping taxes. Even if the added revenue is small, some added progressive tax increases for them is logical.

Centrist

October 14th, 2011
3:35 pm

Just one more example of the leftist bias from Mr. Jim Galloway who has this above “…on behalf of the conservative website, Newsmax.”

Yes, Newsmax is conservative. But has he EVER referenced his liberal sources as “liberal”?

Danny O

October 14th, 2011
3:35 pm

@Centrist:
Judging from your comments on this blog, David Brooks is way closer to the center of the political spectrum than you.

Centrist

October 14th, 2011
3:48 pm

@ Danny O – I doubt it.

He is probably opposed to the “millionaire” tax even if it jumps to a million from Obama’s $250K joint returns. I don’t know about his pro life/choice stance or religious views, but they can’t be to the left of me.

I think I just appear to be more conservative since I am often letting Mr. Jim Galloway and the AJC have it over their liberal bias.

Alabama Communist

October 15th, 2011
9:23 am

More Breaking News Why Matt Beat Everybody About His Amazing Herman Poll…A source deep within the Republican Party said today.. ” Matt has done it again with his amazing Polling Service showing Herman winning in every Republican Red State. It also shows how screw up and confuse the Republican Voter is and most likely will lead to a massive defeat if Cain somehow changes to a White Man and raises his IQ to the level of the a averageTea Party member. The Source also said ” No doubt Herman Street will be occupy by a group of Communist protesters this weekend causing a massive traffic jam into his Pizza Drive-By Mansion in LoveJoy.”

Last Man Standing

October 15th, 2011
6:56 pm

Centrist:

“That grand opening of the new headquarters of the Georgia Democratic party that got the nice plug above should get some good AJC coverage”

Actually, it would be expedient and a money saving idea for the democrat party to open their new headquarters at the AJC. The AJC could provide them free space and in return the AJC would save money sending reporters out to cover “news” stories of a political nature as they could merely walk into the democrat offices and be given their “spin of the day”.

Cynthia Tucker McKinney

October 16th, 2011
10:19 am

It is Bush’s fault that Galloway is biased. It is Bush’s fault that the Urinal Constipation is losing subscribers and cutting newsroom staff. It is Bush’s fault that Gallow is a shill for the lefties. It is Bush’s fault that Galloway is the laughing stock of the right in the state. I hate Bush.

Cain You Believe It!

October 16th, 2011
7:48 pm

The first poll to place Herman Cain at the top! HEAVEN HELP US ALL!

Cain You Believe It! Heaven Help Us!

October 16th, 2011
7:55 pm

@joe October 14th, 2011 1:54 pm

It takes a spew thrower to know one. AND YOU SHOULD KNOW.