Warning: Harvard says Fourth of July parades could turn your kids Republican

Beware: If you go to a Fourth of July celebration on Monday, your kids are statistically more likely to end up Republican.

Harvard University says so. From the press release:

Attending one Fourth of July before age 18 increases the likelihood of identifying as a Republican by at least 2 percent and voting for the Republican candidate by 4 percent. It also increases voter turnout by 0.9 percent and boosts political campaign contributions by 3 percent.

Read the real, honest-to-God study here. This was the key to their methodology:

In their paper, the researchers use a simple but novel strategy to address these problems: they use historical data on rainfall on Fourth of July. When it rains children and their parents are less likely to participate and the events are often cancelled.

Moreover, since rain is a random event, some children growing up experience nice weather and are more likely to celebrate, while others are hit by bad weather making it less likely that they join the festivities. This allows the researchers to isolate the effect of attending the celebrations from other important factors such as family background and education.

- By Jim Galloway, Political Insider

For instant updates, follow me on Twitter, or connect with me on Facebook.

43 comments Add your comment

The Snark

June 30th, 2011
1:35 pm

One can only hope that public funds were not used for this study.


June 30th, 2011
1:37 pm

This is true. I always see knock down, drag-out fights in front of gay bars… It’s like an epidemic of hostile, chiffon spewing, drugged up queens hitting each other with furniture and decorations. Is this guy insane? I get it that gays will get violent and angry…You think? The people that go to the gym everyday and are oppressed minorities? You THINK they might get a little violent when pushed? On another note: I have seen more than a few lesbians fight in front of bars, one in which 5 Atlanta police officers, 4 firefighters and multiple ambulances were stuck in the middle of a violent argument in which women were throwing beer bottles at the cops and escalating in to beating on the cops. I know what they were afraid of at the Eagle…They were afraid they might like it, if the guys got a little violent…. The should be so lucky, I suppose. What a bunch of PANSIES, the APD.


June 30th, 2011
1:40 pm

Too bad this posted inside the wrong blog?? how did that happen- and how do I delete?


June 30th, 2011
1:44 pm

In other more important news, Mr. Galloway:

How is it that the state is so cash-strapped that it has to slash the salary and staff of Ms. Kalbermann at the “ethics” commission (all while she was trying to subpoena the Deal administration), and yet today they decide they have so much money that they’ll hire a Deal insider with no mental health experience as the mental health ombudsman, pay her twice what she used to make as a SCHEDULER (or in other words, glorified secretary), pay her $25K MORE than her predecessor in the position (making for a six-figure salary), and completely ignore the hiring policy for the position in the process?

Deal. Real. Corrupt.


June 30th, 2011
1:44 pm

Guess that explains why Atlanta did away with the 4th of July parade on Peachtree.


June 30th, 2011
2:14 pm


I am also wondering whether Mr. Galloway will address this very pertinent tidbit on state-level corruption. Governor Shady has wasted no time in showing us how corrupt he can be.


June 30th, 2011
2:21 pm

Give me a break! I seriously doubt that my child (who is under the age of 18) becomes a Republican by attending a 4th of July parade! Puuleeze…give me a break!

Ah ha!

June 30th, 2011
2:26 pm

I know this study is accurate!! Yes, if you bring your kids to a 4th of July parade, the children will be GOP. But there’s more to this. If you let your child see a cop moonwalking, then there’s a 20% likelyhood that the kid will turn out to be a truant and a drop out. Similarly, if’n U let your kid see a meter maid boot a tire, then there’s a 50% likelyhood that the kid will engage in a booty call in college.

Then, of course, if’n U let your brat see a delegate to the democratic convention shoot a six pack of beer (don’t ask) then there’s a 100% likelyhood that your kid will be part of a wet tshirt contest on Utube whether your child is a boy or a girl.

I know, the data is alarming, but I can only print what actually gets polled.


June 30th, 2011
2:28 pm

@ Pam–he should be so fortunate…


June 30th, 2011
2:28 pm

A good reason to keep your kids away from July 4th parades. LOL. j/k

Shark Punch!

June 30th, 2011
2:37 pm

You have two chickens. I have no chickens. On average, we have one chicken each. Yet I am starving, and you are gaining weight.

Yup, statistics.


June 30th, 2011
2:41 pm

To: All AJC Staff
From: AJC Senior Management
Subj: 4th of July Parades

Starting this year and all future years, we strongly suggest that all of your children be kept indoors and away from live television broadcasts of 4th of July parades as they could damage your children’s psyche.


June 30th, 2011
2:41 pm

How does one gain weight by having two chickens? Wouldn’t I have to eat the chickens, thus also leaving me with none?

Last Man Standing

June 30th, 2011
3:42 pm

Fourth of July parades are dangerous. These parades have been known to cause feelings of pride in America, patriotism and an appreciation for those who have served and sacrificed for our freedom. Prayers (gasp!) have been used at these events asking God’s blessing and thanking Him for America’s freedon and the unalienable rights of Americans.

Yes, the Fourth of July is definitely a Republican event.

Democrats celebrate the holiday by attending various labor union, civil rights, ACLU, pro-abortion, anti-gun, pro-illegal alien amnesty and re-elect Obama meetings.


June 30th, 2011
4:16 pm

Need to call BS on all this. THe 4th is an American event – USA and the USA has labor unions, people who advocate for all kinds of things – good and bad depending on how you see it, people who support the person who is our President even when they don’t like him, people who would rather see the country fail instead their faction (read ‘party’), people who aren’t Christian, people who are; people who vote and people who don’t; people who would like for government to be part of the solution and people who want government to “butt out”; and yes Republicans and Democrats. SO folks, if you love America, love it all even if you don’t like some of it, because if you want to hate any part of it, you risk losing it all.

[...] and a couple of news agencies picked up on it,  as of the time of this writing: Fox News,  Jim Galloway’s blog in the  Atlantic Journal and a website with the unlikely name of “Weasel [...]

Y D Dandy

June 30th, 2011
5:42 pm

I love the 4th of July parade, but if it makes me do stupid things then I don’t know. Stupid things like being the only state in the union to reject the revision to the 55 year old interstate compact relating to juvenile justice – so that we don’t become runaway central. See for yourself.


[...] Whispers (usnews.com) Harvard: July 4th Parades Are Right-Wing – Washington Whispers (usnews.com) Warning: Harvard says Fourth of July parades could turn your kids Republican | Political Insider Harvard Study Says Independence Day Is Right-Wing Brainwashing – HUMAN [...]

Uncle Sam

June 30th, 2011
7:00 pm

“If you go to a Fourth of July celebration on Monday, your kids are statistically more likely to end up Republican”

By the same token if you sneak across the border, apply for welfare and move to NY to marry your same sex partner they’re probably gonna turn out Dem.


June 30th, 2011
7:50 pm

OOOOO I got to go find a parade. I was planning on staying home. But now?????????? Must find a parade and take all the neighborhood kids. LOL

Happy Independence Day Weekend

June 30th, 2011
11:14 pm

[...] you be attending a 4th of July parade this weekend? It might turn you into a Republican, you [...]


June 30th, 2011
11:56 pm

Jesus. They issued a press release and it’s not even through peer review? What kind of press office does that? The troll food. My goodness.

Karl Marx

July 1st, 2011
6:50 am

That’s OK people, nothing to worry about. Attending a Fourth of July celebration may make you a Republican however going to a college such as Harvard or almost any other college will counteract the problem.

E. Ruffin

July 1st, 2011
7:18 am

No surprise here, since dems, liberals, marxists (pardon me, I repeat myself) are anti-American.

[...] of July will turn your kids right-wings nut… Attending one Fourth of July before age 18 increases the likelihood of identifying as a [...]


July 1st, 2011
7:56 am


Lise M.

July 1st, 2011
8:38 am

This will be my baby’s first July 4th, and she will be with us watching our town’s parade, cheering for our veterans and waving the flag. If this helps ensure she votes 18 years from now, so much the better.

Jon Lester

July 1st, 2011
9:21 am

Fourth of July parades happen once a year. Church happens once or twice a week, at least. Taking children to either, simply as a matter of course and without articulating why those things are of personal significance, is negligent parenting, because it teaches children to become part of the problem by emphasizing conformism over individualism. Our Founders would be very disappointed to find that this is the norm.

[...] Jim Galloway of the AJC had a tidbit this morning: Beware: If you go to a Fourth of July celebration on Monday, your kids are statistically more likely to end up Republican. [...]

Whacks Eloquent

July 1st, 2011
9:42 am

If you believe that this country is the best country on Earth, that has ever existed, and despite our problems, that is patriotism. I don’t think it is unique to Republicans or Democrats or Independents, but there is a key that one must realize that the reason this country is so great is the freedom that has been codified into law. We aren’t best because of our government, there are better run ones out there. We aren’t best because of our capitalism, there are countries out there that do that better too. But no country on Earth approaches our level of freedom, and we must fight vigorously to keep it that way, against forces on both ends of the political spectrum that threaten to erode away those freedoms!

I Love A Parade

July 1st, 2011
10:11 am

I always thought sending your kids to college and letting them become successful and productive citizens was more likely to cause Republicanism.

Skeptic of Research

July 1st, 2011
11:47 am

I’m always skeptical of research that attempts to ascribe cause and effect relationships to two variables. Although I don’t doubt the finding that there is a fairly weak correlation between Republicanism and going to 4th of July parades, I would have to study the research carefully to accept the conclusion that going to these parades is a cause of a child becoming a Republican. And frankly, I don’t care enough to make the effort. But it seems more likely to me that all that the reseachers have discovered is that slightly more( after all, the difference is only 2 – 4%) Republican families attend these parades than Democratic ones. And, although less true than in the past, your mother’s and father’s political affiliation is still a strong indicator of how you will vote.

[...] 18, it increases …Harvard Study Confirms: Republicans More Patriotic Than DemocratsTown HallWarning: Harvard says Fourth of July parades could turn your kids RepublicanAtlanta Journal Constitution (blog)Harvard Study: July 4th Parades Energize Only GOP Voters, [...]


July 1st, 2011
2:12 pm

This is the same institution that educated our current president. Good Lord…. what a bunch of small minded twerps!

[...] than DemocratsHot AirHarvard Study Confirms: Republicans More Patriotic Than DemocratsTown HallAtlanta Journal Constitution (blog) -Weasel Zippers -Bostinnovationall 20 news [...]

[...] Republican: Harvard StudyHuffington PostStudy: Republicans more patriotic than DemocratsHot AirAtlanta Journal Constitution (blog) -Weasel Zippers -Bostinnovationall 21 news [...]


July 1st, 2011
6:40 pm

If that’s all it takes to achieve vote support for your politicians, you are all doomed.


July 1st, 2011
8:21 pm

It takes a college educated liberal socialist to realize that attending Independence Day parades will encourage youth to become patriotic, and thus maybe support Republicans’ values. Does it take a genius to figure out celebrating Independence Day is a patriotic act remembering the moral and ethical values of our Christian forefathers? Isn’t it obvious that anyone opposed to our freedoms of life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness would be offended by a national holiday celebrating the birth of such a nation? Liberals are suddenly scared of the sacred history of the United States of America that they are even attacking the patriotism surrounding Independence Day festivities like parades and fireworks. Can we tell little Johnny that some bad men don’t want him going to see our flag pass by held by a veteran, big school bands playing a little Chicago, floats covered with symbols of freedom and lastly going to see some amazing fireworks? Can we tell little Johnny some big bad men don’t think he should go see the Boston Pops playing the 1812 Overture while cannons and fireworks explode on the banks of the River Charles because… it is TOO patriotic? Bad men… Johnny, BAD MEN!


July 1st, 2011
8:24 pm

Today’s Republican party does not even know what they are supposed to be about. They are completely lost.


July 2nd, 2011
10:53 am

This means that the liberal ass holes will now outlaw the 4th, the flag and anything red white and blue


July 2nd, 2011
2:01 pm

Sounds like you spend a lot of time hanging around outside of gay bars, watching.


July 3rd, 2011
9:19 am

It figures this is a “Harvard study” — not a lot of credibility here… I hope the study is “right” — anyone who votes for a Democrat must like illegals, socialism and the most poorly run government! I say this as a former (reformed) Democratic voter, a “blue dog” Democrat. There is no such thing as a “moderate” Democrat. The far leftist radicals have hijacked that party. The GOP needs to get rid of the RINO’s (Republican in name only), but I’ll take a RINO anyday over a “moderate” Democrat. When push comes to shove, they always tow the party line. Remember that “Independents” who “vote the person, not the party” like I used to.

Robert Holmes

July 6th, 2011
8:24 am

Interesting. As an individual that makes his living from the sales of rain insurance and other event related insurance coverage, the risk that one may be influenced has not been addressed. Perhaps there is a new line of insurance to be sold here.

Concerned, left-leaning parents, could purchase right-wing insurance for their tots that usher in thoughts of filling bags of patriotically-wrapped Tootsie Rolls but unknowingly are being shaped politically. Or perhaps parent sending their newly graduated 18-year-olds off to college could buy a lefty protection policy (premiums would have to be increased for those attending UC-Berkely or the University of Wisconsin – Madison!).

OK, my tongue is firmly in cheek. Just having fun with my morning coffee.

Robert Holmes
Spectrum Weather and Specialty Insurance
(UW-Madison grad)