Throughout the Barack Obama presidency, many have assumed that a degree of racial animosity lies beneath such things as the birther movement and Obama’s low job approval ratings.
Analysis has been stymied by a lack of data, says Alan Abramowitz, an Emory University political scientist – who now says he’s found a statistical underpinning for race-based judgments of Obama. From Sabato’s Crystal Ball:
”The evidence…shows that partisanship and ideology were the strongest predictors of overall evaluations of President Obama and opinions about his place of birth among white Americans.
“However, regardless of party or ideology, whites who scored high on racial resentment had more negative opinions of Obama and were more likely to harbor doubts about whether he was born in the United States than whites who scored low on racial resentment.
“These results indicate that Barack Obama’s race remains a major influence on how he is perceived and evaluated by the white Americans.”
Not much actual news was committed, except for Gingrich’s statement that, should he become the GOP nominee, he would tie his campaign to Republican congressional campaigns – with a second Contract with America:
Gingrich argued that Republicans need to aim even higher and try to add 12 seats in the Senate and about 40 in the House.
“If we had a contract in the fall of 2012, and if we had an election on core principles and we won that election, then we would have a mandate starting on the very first day with executive orders,” he [said].
Time magazine asked Jon Huntsman Jr., the former U.S. ambassador to China and possible GOP presidential contender, if he still considered himself a follower of the Mormon faith:
“That’s tough to define,” he says. “There are varying degrees. I come from a long line of saloon keepers and proselytizers, and I draw from both sides.”
Mitt Romney, the GOP frontrunner at least when it comes to organization, will be in Michigan today for what’s being called a major address on health care reform.
The Wall Street Journal wouldn’t wait and lambasted Romney’s establishment of health care mandates in Massachusetts with an editorial that includes this:
More immediately for his Republican candidacy, the debate over ObamaCare and the larger entitlement state may be the central question of the 2012 election.
On that question, Mr. Romney is compromised and not credible. If he does not change his message, he might as well try to knock off Joe Biden and get on the Obama ticket.
On Monday, we told you of a plan pitched by Erick Erickson of RedState.com to dump U.S. Sen. Saxby Chambliss in 2014 through a vote of the state GOP convention.
Erickson’s blogging colleague Charles Harper of PeachPundit calls him on it this morning:
Voters would rightly be suspect in questioning a move to allow a small group to determine leaders through a process where rules remain fluid and often situational. In a state which currently votes overwhelmingly Republican, the move could also be viewed as a step to shut voters out of the process altogether.
Moving the party’s nominees to the right, along with an autocratic party nomination process, could provide a much needed opening to a currently floundering Democratic party. The losers in this change may well not be the intended target of Chambliss. Party faithful should think long and hard before making any move to take decisions away from voters at the polls. The risk is extremely high that voters could react by taking power away from Republicans in return.
- By Jim Galloway, Political Insider