Your morning jolt: A measure of racial hostility toward Barack Obama

Throughout the Barack Obama presidency, many have assumed that a degree of racial animosity lies beneath such things as the birther movement and Obama’s low job approval ratings.

Alan Abramowitz of Emory University/AJC file

Alan Abramowitz of Emory University/AJC file

Analysis has been stymied by a lack of data, says Alan Abramowitz, an Emory University political scientist – who now says he’s found a statistical underpinning for race-based judgments of Obama. From Sabato’s Crystal Ball:

”The evidence…shows that partisanship and ideology were the strongest predictors of overall evaluations of President Obama and opinions about his place of birth among white Americans.

“However, regardless of party or ideology, whites who scored high on racial resentment had more negative opinions of Obama and were more likely to harbor doubts about whether he was born in the United States than whites who scored low on racial resentment.

“These results indicate that Barack Obama’s race remains a major influence on how he is perceived and evaluated by the white Americans.”

***
As you well know, Republican presidential candidate Newt Gingrich followed his YouTubed announcement on Wednesday with half-hour appearance on the set of his friend, Fox News’ Sean Hannity.

Not much actual news was committed, except for Gingrich’s statement that, should he become the GOP nominee, he would tie his campaign to Republican congressional campaigns – with a second Contract with America:

Gingrich argued that Republicans need to aim even higher and try to add 12 seats in the Senate and about 40 in the House.

“If we had a contract in the fall of 2012, and if we had an election on core principles and we won that election, then we would have a mandate starting on the very first day with executive orders,” he [said].

***
Time magazine asked Jon Huntsman Jr., the former U.S. ambassador to China and possible GOP presidential contender, if he still considered himself a follower of the Mormon faith:

“That’s tough to define,” he says. “There are varying degrees. I come from a long line of saloon keepers and proselytizers, and I draw from both sides.”

***
Mitt Romney, the GOP frontrunner at least when it comes to organization, will be in Michigan today for what’s being called a major address on health care reform.

The Wall Street Journal wouldn’t wait and lambasted Romney’s establishment of health care mandates in Massachusetts with an editorial that includes this:

More immediately for his Republican candidacy, the debate over ObamaCare and the larger entitlement state may be the central question of the 2012 election.

On that question, Mr. Romney is compromised and not credible. If he does not change his message, he might as well try to knock off Joe Biden and get on the Obama ticket.

***
On Monday, we told you of a plan pitched by Erick Erickson of RedState.com to dump U.S. Sen. Saxby Chambliss in 2014 through a vote of the state GOP convention.

Erickson’s blogging colleague Charles Harper of PeachPundit calls him on it this morning:

Voters would rightly be suspect in questioning a move to allow a small group to determine leaders through a process where rules remain fluid and often situational. In a state which currently votes overwhelmingly Republican, the move could also be viewed as a step to shut voters out of the process altogether.

Moving the party’s nominees to the right, along with an autocratic party nomination process, could provide a much needed opening to a currently floundering Democratic party. The losers in this change may well not be the intended target of Chambliss. Party faithful should think long and hard before making any move to take decisions away from voters at the polls. The risk is extremely high that voters could react by taking power away from Republicans in return.

- By Jim Galloway, Political Insider

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54 comments Add your comment

TOLD YOU SO

May 12th, 2011
9:42 am

The Rebublicans got hammered on the healthcare bill,finance reform,etc.Right now they don’t even have a candidate that polls over 40%.And their leading candidate is a mormon version of President Obama.

Last Man Standing

May 12th, 2011
9:46 am

“These results indicate that Barack Obama’s race remains a major influence on how he is perceived and evaluated by the white Americans.”

Hmmm, right out of O.’s playbook. Everyone is just thrilled with O.’s performance and the major strides he has made in resolving our problems relating to the national debt, deficits, and inflation, etc.

It’s all about race . . .

gsueagle

May 12th, 2011
9:46 am

I’m all for dumping saxby.

leftyliberal

May 12th, 2011
9:55 am

its about his race???????????????????? in other breaking news, the sun came out today, and water is wet

Centrist

May 12th, 2011
9:57 am

Typical leftist media – continually playing the race card.

The electorate elected a black man as PRESIDENT, and only 12% of the populace is black! THAT straw dog argument is no longer credible. If Obama loses – it is because of his politics, not his race.

Centrist

May 12th, 2011
10:00 am

The AJC purposely ignores this article today about Romney and health care:

http://www.usatoday.com/news/opinion/forum/2011-05-11-Romney-on-fixing-health-care_n.htm

leftyliberal

May 12th, 2011
10:00 am

FACE FACTS; insecure white men are afraid of a strong confident black man like OBAMA..thats why you have soft milquetoasts like RUSH ,HANNITY,BECK etc try to tear this black president down by attacking him personally…thats why the PEE PARTY was organized, if the pres. was a white democrat their wouldnt be a pee party… .

eatmotacos

May 12th, 2011
10:04 am

@gsueagle

Do you mean Señor Chambliss, the John Brown of Aztlanists?

Scot

May 12th, 2011
10:09 am

All this does is prove Rush Limbaugh right: The left will say that if you disagree with Obama’s policies, it must be because you are racist.

Whatever.

His policies are bad. It really is that simple.

shelley wynter

May 12th, 2011
10:18 am

“whites who scored high on racial resentment were more likely to view Obama negatively” Stop the presses. COme on Jim. This is from the WAOK former talk show host study of black attitudes-”Blacks who feel more victimized by whites are more likely to see whites as racists”. Slow news day huh?

John K

May 12th, 2011
10:20 am

You would think with the 2010 elections under the belt, the GOP would come out with strong candidates.

Just a slate of misogynists, anti-intellectuals, and conspiracy theorists. Keep marginalizing yourself, GOP!!!

Kay

May 12th, 2011
10:23 am

Can we please get past this?

Of course there are poeple who don’t like Obama because he’s black. Just as there are those who like him solely because he’s black. Both groups are shallow and shamefully unconcerned about how their vote affects our country.

I disagree vehemently with the direction this president is taking our country because I disagree with his political philosophy. I DO NOT CARE ABOUT HIS RACE. And I am in the vast majority of conservatives who oppose him.

Good luck trying to paint conservatives as racist amidst this groundswell of admiration for Herman Cain.

deegee

May 12th, 2011
10:25 am

There is a very consistent number, 34%, that shows up in every poll. They are the loud and vocal Fox News loving crowd that is in favor of everything republican. They pine for the good old days of Bush, Cheney and Rumsfeld. They blame all bad things on democrats and assign all good things to republicans. They are not the people that helped Obama get elected. They are the birthers and the deathers.

leftyliberal

May 12th, 2011
10:26 am

HERMAN CAIN WONT BE NOMINATED…LOL…

deegee

May 12th, 2011
10:27 am

Just got this little tidbit from one of my birther friends. Oh no, it’s not about race now is it?

“if you voted for Obama in 2008 to prove you’re not a racist, you’ll have to vote for someone else in 2012 to prove you’re not an idiot”

jm

May 12th, 2011
10:29 am

Race plays a role. Sure. Not every black man who voted for Obama voted for him because he’s black, and not every white man who voted against him voted that way because he’s black. But some did.
I think we’re looking more for numbers than broad strokes. It’s like baseball…if your pitcher has a 3.0 ERA, then your batters better bring in at least 4 runs. Obama isn’t going to get a small percentage of the voters due to racism. We need to know that number..is it 3%? 12%? Once we know that we can figure out what percent of the rest he needs to get in order to win.

deegee

May 12th, 2011
10:31 am

jm, the number is 34%. If the republican nominee is Lucifer they will vote for Lucifer.

John K

May 12th, 2011
10:38 am

Groundswell of admiration for Herman Cain? LOL, seriously? You need to step out teaparty HQ and mingle with society.

the original and still the best John Galt

May 12th, 2011
10:40 am

Once again academia demonstrates its increasing disconnect with reality.

Could it be that Comrade Obama is disliked because of his Communism? Could Dear Leader be disliked because of his corporate Fascism? Could it be that The Messiah Barack the Chosen One is disliked because he’s the very embodiment of that deadly combination of arrogance and ignorance? Nah, no way, it’s because his daddy was black.

Last Man Standing

May 12th, 2011
10:40 am

It is a long time until the election. To compare possible GOP challengers to O. at this point shows me very little. I don’t believe there is much of a chance, but O. may pull a rabbit out of a hat before the election and be re-elected solidly. The GOP hasn’t picked their candidate yet, and it possibly could be someone not even on the radar at this time.

If the liberals/democrats blogging here want to trash the GOP hopefuls, then go for it. Just remember that if you are a democrat you are a member of a political party that isn’t even on life support in Georgia.

RetiredSoldier

May 12th, 2011
10:41 am

Well said Kay. If this is an indication of the work of this professor, maybe Emory needs to look for a replacement.

shelley wynter

May 12th, 2011
10:44 am

@deegee those on the left will say that the repubs have already voted for lucifer-GWB and Cheney. Now if your Black and believe that-Are you Racist?

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GaBlue

May 12th, 2011
10:58 am

“These results indicate that Barack Obama’s race remains a major influence on how he is perceived and evaluated by the white Americans.” — In other breaking news, heat and humidity remain major influences on how August is perceived and evaluated by white Americans.

Re: Nootie’s “Contract with America”: The best predictor of future behavior is past behavior. How many points in Nootie’s previous “contract” were honored by Nootie and the 12-year Republican-controlled Congress? Anyone? Anyone? (Supported facts only, please…)

deegee

May 12th, 2011
10:58 am

Shelley, The republican and democrat nominees in 2004 were white. Race never entered into the equation. Whites, save for that loyal 34%, were upset with the Bush/Cheney era. That is what helped Obama win the election. BTW, whites had a chance to vote for a black republican in 2004, Alan Keyes. He was rejected. Micheal Steele was ceremoniously drummed out of the republican ranks. What makes anyone think that Herman Cain has a chance?

shelley wynter

May 12th, 2011
11:54 am

@deegee so in 2004 becasue two whites ran and no blacks race by definition was not in it. However, when a black guy did run and win race was in it. so when 34% of polled whites say they dont like BHO dur to his race, that makes republicans racists? wow, I bet dollars for donuts that you thought BHO would not win because he was black? You see the illogic in applying racism to this? If hillary would have won, 34% of people wld hate her because she is a woman. If mccain had won 50% would have hated him because he was not Obama. and 30% of that 50% would have said the repubs stole another election-WHY becuase obama was black.

shelley wynter

May 12th, 2011
11:55 am

lastly steele was not treated any differently than Clyburn was by democrats. Were they racist? I could go on and on. but its futile

DJ Sniper

May 12th, 2011
12:53 pm

LOL@ those who think that Herman Cain has a snowball’s chance in hell of getting the GOP nomination! Diversity is not that party’s strong suit.

I wonder why it’s so hard for some people to admit that race does play a part as to why some people don’t like Obama. Keep in mind that this is still America, and yes, there are some white people in this country who can’t stand the fact that the President is black, no matter what his policies are. I don’t think Obama is perfect, but I like the job he’s doing. As for the GOP, just take a look at what a lot of governors and congressmen/women are doing in different states, and then tell me if that’s the direction you want this country to take. These people want us to go backwards, not forwards.

Douglas

May 12th, 2011
12:57 pm

I’m no fan of Newt, but he did say one thing about Pres. Obama that I respect. He said “Obama isn’t evil. He’s just wrong.” Problem for Newt is that it seems his rudder has been shot away since then — that’s why he’s so all over the place.

Jon Lester

May 12th, 2011
1:15 pm

LMS, you, TrishaDisha, td and one or two others make your racism plain to the rest of us every single day. You’re only fooling yourself.

yuzeyurbrane

May 12th, 2011
2:10 pm

There is a common thread to both stories. Thle U.S. is still full of the descendants of the infamous 19th century Know-Nothing Party. Concern for democratic principles is not very high on their list.

deegee

May 12th, 2011
2:12 pm

shelley, sleep it off.

Tired of BS

May 12th, 2011
2:13 pm

I’m calling BS on AA from Emory. It seems to me that playing the race card is getting old to many, I know it is with me. I truly don’t give a ratz ass what color the POTUS is. aybe it’s just me, but I think this country deserves a a man who is devoted to the cause of liberty and freedom. Our current president does not show true affection for the constitution or free market principals. His color is the last thing on my mind.

RetiredSoldier

May 12th, 2011
2:38 pm

Jon Lester-

If I didn’t vote for Al Gore and John Kerry because of their proposed polices and I also didn’t vote for Obama, do you think it was because of Obama’s proposed polices or because I am a racist?

DJ Sniper

May 12th, 2011
2:43 pm

Tired of BS, half of these conservatives out here aren’t upholding the Constitution either. They pick and choose which parts suit them.

RetiredSoldier

May 12th, 2011
2:52 pm

What area of the constitution are “some conservatives” not “upholding”?

deegee

May 12th, 2011
3:03 pm

There is nothing wrong with saying that you disagree with Barack Obama. It is another thing to say that he is not an American citizen when there is tangible proof that he is a US citizen. It is also wrong to make blanket statements that impugn his patriotism. Many disagreed with George Bush but no one attacked his patriotism. I don’t understand why the loyal 34% think that Obama is some sort of a wild eyed liberal. He renewed the Bush tax cuts, he cut payroll taxes, he kept private insurance companies in control of health care reform, Timothy Geithner has given the banks everything they asked for. Since Obama took office there are fewer banks holding a larger share of wealth. FinReg did nothing to avoid “too big to fail.” The oil companies have nothing to worry about. Gitmo is still open, Bin Laden is dead. ICE have arrested and deported more illegal aliens than any previous president. Anyone that accuses Obama of being an unpatriotic, socialist who lacks respect for the constitution is not being objective.

RetiredSoldier

May 12th, 2011
3:14 pm

Really degree? Comparing Bush to Hitler many many times seems like it is questioning something. How about the misinformation about his guard service. Obama has not nearly suffered the slanders Bush did. Don’t get me wrong, I’m not a big Bush fan, but fair is fair.

Why do we think Obama is a wild eyed liberal? He had the most liberal voting record in the senate. Need I recite what he has done or attempted to do? Name a more liberal president. Obama is many things, but liberal is at the head of the list.

the original and still the best John Galt

May 12th, 2011
3:29 pm

Some so-called “conservatives” routinely ignore the First Amendment, for example, especially the clauses prohibiting an establishment of religion or abridgement of freedom of speech.

Certain “conservatives” are all for the Executive having the power to send the armed forces to war without a Congressional declaration of war as called for in Section 8.

There are several others.

LMAO

May 12th, 2011
3:45 pm

@LMS That’s right (no pun intended) with Dems out of power the GOP can take FULL BLAME for running this state into the DITCH. LMAO

RetiredSoldier

May 12th, 2011
3:45 pm

Conservatives??? Really Galt. What would you call our little shoot em up in North Africia? You need to read the War Powers Act and maybe you won’t make that comment again.

How have conservatives “established” religion? How have conservatives abridged free speech? Please go on, what are the others?

2by4

May 12th, 2011
3:49 pm

You were all born in the greatest contry that exist on earth today but yet you all are squabbling over stupidness because a man in the white house is of a different hue. There are black and whites racists and there are some blacks that think they are white(HC). This is how Rome declined Ceaser and his council fighting and the people taking sides blindly alas no more Rome. You can hide your true feelings about race and say I am not racist. What about the Dr in the Army that refused to be deployed because he said Obama is not American where was the tea party when we were lead to two wars and trillions of dollars wasted . You know the fact, America is supposed to be a white dominated society and not a mixed race person in the white. what did you think would happen when the slaves masters were raping the women in the barnyard. Stop the stupidness nobody is taking away your rights guns or anything else. That is the problem with whitemen you think you own everything that is why you try going around to conquer people with religion or politics just think if you left them alone in Africa you may not have this issue now.Norway does not.

RetiredSoldier

May 12th, 2011
3:56 pm

2by4-

Do you meant the two wars that Obama has continued and then has us in a third one? What does that have to do with race? The only ones talking race on here are Obama supporters. Ya’ll have a real hangup with race.

What does slave masters have to do with discussing current national policy? Is that why Obama wants to overthrow a govt in North Africa?

You need professional help 2by4. Please don’t delay.

DJ Sniper

May 12th, 2011
4:11 pm

I still don’t understand why some people think that putting a Republican back into the White House is going to make things any better. They are the ones who were willing to shut down the federal government over an ideological battle (Planned Parenthood). Our current Speaker of the House is also willing to let the country default on its debt because he doesn’t want to piss off his true bosses, the big oil companies.

Also, just look at these governors all over the country. We all know about the BS that Scott Walker pulled in Wisconsin. He finally admitted that rolling back collective baragining rights was not something he campaigned on. In Michigan, Rick Perry has the authority to send someone to take over a financially strapped city and dissolve that city’s local government. Then there’s Rick Scott, aka Lord Voldemort, who has managed to piss off both parties down in Florida. I’d be here all day listing the stuff he’s pulled.

As for the Presidential race, nobody the GOP can put forth can convince me that they have a good vision for this country. Gingrich, Huckabee, Romney, Palin, Bachmann, the list just goes on an on. This isn’t to say that Obama is perfect, but the alternative is much worse.

RetiredSoldier

May 12th, 2011
4:27 pm

DJ-

Just a minor point, Rick Perry os the Gov. of Texas, not Michigan.

If voting not to extend the crdit limit is bad, why did Obama vote that way in the Senate?

Big Oil is the boss of the Speaker? So proof of that DJ and I assure you it will make the national news.

Scott Walker is bad? Is leaving the state because you don’t want to play by the rules good? Wisconsin De. state senators.

I agree none of the republican candidates are perfect but Obama is much worse.

Why no response to my 2:52 post?

RetiredSoldier

May 12th, 2011
4:28 pm

Might to say…. show proof….dang I need to reread my post before submitting,

deegee

May 12th, 2011
4:51 pm

Don’t worry about a typo, RetiredSoldier. Your posts aren’t that interesting or compelling

DJ Sniper

May 12th, 2011
4:55 pm

My bad. I meant Rick Snyder as the governor of Michigan, not Rick Perry.

Not voting to extend the credit limit is one thing, but from what I’ve read, the GOP is staunchly opposed to eliminating any sort of tax breaks to corporations like big oil. Our government, not specifically John Boehner, is controlled by big business. Plenty of corporations out here are currently paying next to nothing in taxes, yet the GOP still seems to think that giving them more tax breaks is a good idea. Also, that ruling by the SCOTUS regarding the money that corporations can spend on elections was not a good idea either.

The Dems leaving Wisconsin may have seemed like a bad move, but not as bad as the stuff that Walker is trying to do. Let’s not forget that he admitted to thinking about placing fake protestors in the crowd of the real protestors to stir up trouble. The reason he didn’t do it wasn’t because he thought it was wrong, it was because he thought it wouldn’t work.

the original and still the best John Galt

May 12th, 2011
5:17 pm

When did Congress declare war against Greneda? How about the former Yugoslavia? Iraq? Afghanistan? Libya?

“Conservatives” have fought tooth and nail to keep Christian prayer in public school, to erect the Judeo-Christian 10 Commandments in public buildings, and to divert public funds to Christian schools via vouchers and by grants. They have worked hard to get “creationism” or “creation science” or “intelligent design,” which are all really euphemisms for teaching the Bible, taught in public schools.

“Conservatives” have tried their best to restrict what can be said in public places and on public forums.

Not all people who would call themselves “conservative” would do these things, but some of the people doing them like to call themselves by that term.