Secretary of State Brian Kemp has posted the demographic breakdown of those who cast ballots in the November 2010 general election.
Which helped prompt Jim Coonan, the Atlanta-based Democratic consultant, write this quick note:
There are two very interesting reports out today, especially so when read together and in the context of Georgia’s 2006 and 2010 elections.
The first is the demographic breakdown of votes cast in the 2010 election posted on the Secretary of State’s website. It shows that the African-American share of both the pool of registered voters and the actual votes cast continued its upward trend in 2010. Here are African-American voters as a percent of all registered voters at the time of the general election:
– 2002: 25.62%
– 2006: 27.18%
– 2010: 29.27%
And here are African-American voters as a percent of all votes cast in the general election:
– 2002: 22.60%
– 2006: 24.06%
– 2010: 28.18% [of 2.6 million cast]
In other words, the Democratic party’s base African-American vote has grown.
The second report comes from Gallup, which pooled data from all of its party ID questions asked over the course of last year (“Number of Solidly Democratic States Cut in Half From ‘08 to ‘10”). The sample size for Georgia comes to 9,660 respondents, and (with Independents “leaned”), the partisan breakdown last year was
– Democrats 41.4%
– Republicans 43.0%
In other words, the underlying partisanship of the electorate says that Democrats are very competitive in Georgia.
And yet, Georgia Democrats got clobbered. That our base is turning out and voters are evenly split in their underlying partisanship and yet we are still getting clobbered tells us just how bad a job our Party has been doing at persuading swing voters that our platform and our programs actually work for them.
- By Jim Galloway, Political Insider