Your morning jolt: Jim Marshall trailing by double digits, says poll from The Hill
Republican challenger Austin Scott, left, and Rep. Jim Marshall, D-Macon, trade barbs after a debate at the Georgia National Fair night in Perry, Ga., earlier this month. NYT/Grant Blankenship
In a poll released this morning, The Hill newspaper in Washington says Republican challenger Austin Scott has a double-digit lead over U.S. Rep. Jim Marshall of Macon, one of at least 46 Democrats who could lose their seats next Tuesday.
The horse-race in the 8th Congressional District, which covers much of middle Georgia:
– Austin Scott, 50%;
– Jim Marshall, 37%;
– Undecided and other, 12%
From the Hill:
Of the 42 districts polled…, all but two of which are currently Democratic, 31 had Republicans in the lead. Democrats were up in just seven, and four were tied. In addition, there are some 15 Democratic districts that are so far into the GOP win column that they weren’t polled. That would suggest at least 46 GOP pickups, plus whatever the party gets out of another 40 or 50 seats that some experts believe are in play.
“We didn’t even poll in about 15 districts that are already too far gone for Democrats,” said Mark Penn, whose firm, Penn Schoen Berland, conducted the poll. “So that, along with our entire series of polls, points to something in the range of a 50-seat gain for Republicans.”
The survey boilerplate:
Penn Schoen Berland conducted 400 phone interviews among likely voters in the November congressional election in Georgia’s 8th congressional district. Fielding began Tuesday, October 19, 2010 and ended on Thursday, October 21, 2010. MOE ±4.9
***
Ralph Reed’s Faith and Freedom Coalition is dipping for the first time into Georgia politics. Reed’s comeback organization has launched a $500,000 radio ad campaign targeting 18 House and Senate races.
In Georgia, the Faith and Freedom Coalition will join Republicans in the effort to unseat U.S. Reps. Jim Marshall, D-Macon, and Sanford Bishop, D-Albany. Listen to the anti-Marshall ad here – “It’s us versus them.” And the anti-Bishop ad here: “Bishop doesn’t get it.”
***
My AJC colleague Craig Schneider was at the Buckhead headquarters of Republican nominee for governor Nathan Deal last night, to monitor a protest. He sent along these notes:
There were about 30 people, mostly women, protesting Deal and asserting that he has a voting history that does not support women.
But there were about 50 people, again mostly women, who came out to support Deal.
They tried to out-chant and out-sing one another. And both sides gave interviews to media present.
Deal protester Kelly Douglas, 26, of Atlanta, said, “I’m here because I’m a woman in Georgia and I care about women’s issues. I think Deal doesn’t vote in women’s best interests.”The protesters had signs saying “Real.Raw. Deal.” And “Shame on you, Nathan Deal.”
The protesters chanted, “No Deal, Bad for women.” And they had a moment of silence for women who were victims of domestic violence.
Deal supporter Tricia Pridemore, 38, of Marietta, said, “It’s so frustrating to see Nathan Deal misconstrued into something completely false. It’s completely disingenuous to say Nathan Deal does not support women and women’s issues.”
The Deal supporters sang “God Bless America” and held hands in a prayer circle.”
***
AJC’s Politifact Georgia takes on a charge from Republican nominee for governor Nathan Deal that Democratic rival Roy Barnes voted against legislation to make it easier to prosecute child molesters.
***
Supporters of Amendment 2, which would levy a $10 car tag fee to fund a statewide trauma network, gathered at the state Capitol on Wednesday. George Israel, head of Yes 2 Save Lives, gave the hard sell to those who think the $18 million generated each year would be accessible to state lawmakers to spend as they please.
Looking over George Israel's shoulder at the rally for Amendment 2/Jim Galloway
“The funds are locked in. The politicians are locked out,” he said.
Walter Jones of the Morris News Service notes that there was an even harder sell:
Rarely do political gatherings on the Capitol steps stir partisans to tears, but Charlotte Laverty’s story Tuesday of her son’s fatal car wreck did during a rally in support of a constitutional amendment for trauma care.
She told of how her dinner out with her husband was interrupted with news of the accident, of rushing to the scene less than a mile from home and of arriving at the hospital moments after an ambulance delivered her 17-year-old son.
“We were fortunate that we live in a town that has a trauma center,” she said, listing the many specialists who were on call the night of the wreck who tended to her son.
Although he died two days later, she was thankful for the chance his out-of-town family had to say their good-byes.
“If I lived in a rural area and thought, ‘Had I only paid 10 extra bucks for my car tag I might have gotten the care that Grant Laverty got.’ How can you forgive yourself?” she asked.
Some of 100 or so nurses, doctors, rescue personnel and business executives attending the rally choked up as she spoke. Her comments were punctuated by the siren of an ambulance on an emergency call a few streets over.
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118 comments Add your comment
Intown
October 27th, 2010
1:24 pm
The National Dems may be better off without Jim Marshall. Austin Scott is a complete lightweight and will be an easy freshman to kick around. Of course, it won’t be very good for Georgia or that Congressional District.
WAKE UP
October 27th, 2010
1:34 pm
TIMES LIKE THIS MAKES ME HAPPY I WAS NOT BORN HERE.PEOPLE HERE ARE STUPID ENOUHGH TO THINK, THEY’RE GOING TO WAKE UP ON WEDNSDAY AND GET A JOB.STUPID FOOLS THESE ARE THE PEOPLE THAT COST YOU YOUR JOBS
Last Man Standing
October 27th, 2010
1:40 pm
Nancy Pelosi’s Sister:
I haven’t said anything to offend you, have I? If I haven’t, it was an oversight on my part. I am your worst nightmare. I an a Fox News watching, Rush Limbaugh listening, Newt Gingrich supporting Republican! Even worse than that, I make no apologies for it.
Go tell Nancy that a decision will be forthcoming on her new office space (probably in the Ladies’ Rest Room). Her future committee assignments are also being discussed. Oh, and tell her she will have to fly home every week on commercial jets rather than that new government-owned Gulfstream she currently uses.
UGA 1954
October 27th, 2010
1:43 pm
@ICE CAKE — it you’d like to see a true racist, then look in a mirror. Your rant went beyond the pale!
UGA 1954
October 27th, 2010
1:45 pm
@Intown — have you ever even heard of Austin Scott before. Ask around the Gold Dome. He’s not a pushover. God help the Democrats if they think he is or ever will be. Not gonna happen — not with this man.
Last Man Standing
October 27th, 2010
1:46 pm
Intown:
“Austin Scott is a complete lightweight and will be an easy freshman to kick around”
I don’t think that is the case at all. Obama made a statement to the affect that he would welcome Republican help but that they would have to “go to the back of the bus”. After November 2nd, the Republicans will be driving the bus with a majority in the House. I’m sure Congressman Scott will receive very nice committee appointments.
Are you kidding me?
October 27th, 2010
1:50 pm
@ICE CAKE — as a white, older male living in the city. I’m a Democrat, voted for Obama and find your post nothing but crap. A “great President”…really? Too early to tell, but not impressed at this point; however, I’m certainly not upset enough to vote a straight “R” ticket.
Last Man Standing
October 27th, 2010
1:50 pm
ICE CAKE:
“Democrats will retain control of the U.S. House and Senate”
I haven’t a clue which planet you call home, but you need to check with ToTo because I don’t believe you’re in Kansas anymore.
The Centrist
October 27th, 2010
1:50 pm
PaddyO. We cannot pass the buck as to what Perdue or Deal a decade ago, because they avowed, were elected and continue to be praised as loyal, ethical conservative Republicans. Those fantastic road in NGA only affirms the notion of wasteful spending and how rural dixiecraticans have controlled the State. As for your federal budget cuts, we first must agree that we have a $1.8 trillion deficit. Eliminate the entire $51 billion State Department budget, not just a few embassies. Eliminate the entire $151 billion USDA, HUD, and HHS budgets and not just some social services, child and low income nutrition programs. Cut the entire $157 billion Navy/Marine Corp budget if you want. Since conservatives hate education, get rid of another $47 billion. Now you only have a budget deficit of $1.4 trillion, but wait…conservatives say they only want to cut $100 billion? Smoke and Mirrors folks.
Bill
October 27th, 2010
1:55 pm
Last Man: Please provide a legitimate source for the “back of the bus” quote you attribute to the President. Beck and Bachmann twisted (racialized) another statement to say that. http://mediamatters.org/mmtv/201010260018
The Centrist
October 27th, 2010
1:56 pm
Last Man Standing. Since you praise Newt, can we assume you dislike Bill Clinton because of Newt was not President when all those immoral activities were taking place in the 1990s?
Eric
October 27th, 2010
1:56 pm
Our 2 years of suffering is almost over ..
it’s not like we did not know what the results of this failed experiment would be, rather we were supprised by the stupidity of the average voter in making it happen ..
NEVER AGAIN!
NOV.2nd 2010 .. The begining of the demise of the DNC … not a moment too soon.
Jim Marshall: His own poll shows him ahead -- but he admits the race will be 'down to the wire' | Political Insider
October 27th, 2010
2:00 pm
[...] after a poll by The Hill newspaper in Washington showed him 13 points behind, U.S. Rep. Jim Marshall, D-Macon, released an internal [...]
td
October 27th, 2010
2:07 pm
Bill
October 27th, 2010
1:55 pm
Last
Media matters is your source to the truth? Didn’t George Soros just give them $1.8 millions to spin for the Dems and make up stuff about Republicans?
td
October 27th, 2010
2:09 pm
The Centrist
October 27th, 2010
1:56 pm
Last Man Standing. Since you praise Newt, can we assume you dislike Bill Clinton because of Newt was not President when all those immoral activities were taking place in the 1990s?
I thought it was you libs that screamed and pitched the fits about your personal life does not effect your public life?
td
October 27th, 2010
2:11 pm
findog
October 27th, 2010
1:12 pm
Well in 2012 the people of Georgia should get to vote on removing, “Moderation” from our seal and flag
Maybe we can get the stars and bars back on the ballot with your idea and see which on wins?
Davey C
October 27th, 2010
2:12 pm
Nancy Pelosi has a sister??? EEEEeeeeeeewwwwwwwww!!!!!!
Retired Soldier
October 27th, 2010
2:13 pm
Now now Virginia, don’t be so cranky all the time.
Bill
October 27th, 2010
2:13 pm
Eric: I guess you have a short memory – 8 years of W included terrorist attack in NY, 2 wars: Afghanistan- failed to get Osama, Iraq-failed to find WMD that justified war, Katrina, collapse of economy in 2008 (though McCain suspending his campaign for a day sure helped). It’ll take our President more than 2 years to clean up that mess.
Davey C
October 27th, 2010
2:15 pm
Someone is quoting Media Matters as source? RFLMAO!!!!!
td
October 27th, 2010
2:18 pm
For any one interested in seeing all the statewide winners of the election:
Tuesday, October 26
7:00 Warner Robins
10:00 Albany
12:15 Blakely
2:45 Thomasville
4:15 Moultrie
6:15 Tifton
Wednesday, October 27
8:00 Waycross
10:00 Baxley
11:30 Jesup
3:30 Savannah
6:00 Statesboro
Davey C
October 27th, 2010
2:18 pm
“It’ll take our President more than 2 years to clean up that mess.”
And since Pelosi & Co. gained control of the purse strings (1/07), the National Debt has increased $5 Trillion. Nice job!
The Centrist
October 27th, 2010
2:25 pm
td. Libs scream and pitch the fits that your personal life does not effect your public life. While neo-cons say that your public life does not effect your personal life but want to legislate it. Centrist says you are both have issues.
Rockpile2
October 27th, 2010
2:29 pm
To: Jason
What has Nathan Deal accomplish (other than help himself why in office)? Better still, what has Sonny Purdue done in 8 yrs (other lay-off thousands of teachers)?
Bill
October 27th, 2010
2:36 pm
td: Any legitimate source for the quote attributed to the President by Last Man? There isn’t because he never said it. By the way, he was born in Hawaii, USA.
Davey: How much did unoffset tax cuts and 2 wars contribute to the debt? However, if the debt is your only measure, for you Bill Clinton would be our greatest modern president (he may be).
Davey C
October 27th, 2010
2:42 pm
Bill–”if the debt is your only measure”
I’d say it a VERY important measure, $5 Trillion AND COUNTING. They aren’t finished! As for Bill Clinton, I give him kudos for agreeing to Balance the Budget, and end Welfare “as we know it”, as proposed to him by a Republican Congress.
The Centrist
October 27th, 2010
2:44 pm
Someone quoting Media Matters as source is not as hilarious as someone quoting Michele “..there isn’t even one study that can be produced that shows that carbon dioxide is a harmful gas” Bachmann. As to the reference: Media Matters says that “Beck and Bachmann agree Obama MEANT “the back of the bus” when he SAID GOP has to ride in the “back seat” after crashing the car. MEANT? Really? President Obama has been using the same driving analogy for months.
The Centrist
October 27th, 2010
2:50 pm
Davey C, we have a $1.8 trillion deficit and $12 trillion in debt. So what are your friends planning to do about it?
Davey C
October 27th, 2010
3:00 pm
Centrist
Easy, stop the out of control SPENDING.
Retired Soldier
October 27th, 2010
3:01 pm
Rock-
Since the state doesn’t hire teachers, it also doesn’t lay them off.
Davey C
October 27th, 2010
3:01 pm
AND, cut the Tax Rates to increase Revenue, works every time.
Last Man Standing
October 27th, 2010
3:04 pm
Bill:
“Last Man: Please provide a legitimate source for the “back of the bus” quote’
I misquoted Obama. The following is the correct quote per FOX News:
Now that progress has been made, he said, “we can’t have special interests sitting shotgun. We gotta have middle class families up in front. We don’t mind the Republicans joining us. They can come for the ride, but they gotta sit in back.”
Last Man Standing
October 27th, 2010
3:09 pm
Bill:
I still maintain what I said earlier: the GOP isn’t getting in the back because they will be driving after November 2nd. Congress handles all spending appropriations. Obama is headed for a major problem.
Nancy Pelosi's Sister
October 27th, 2010
3:09 pm
Centrist that’s pretty good, but this is my favorite Bachmann quote:
“Literally, if we took away the minimum wage—if conceivably it was gone—we could potentially virtually wipe out unemployment completely because we would be able to offer jobs at whatever level.” —Michele Bachmann
She’s a stinkin’ riot!!
The Centrist
October 27th, 2010
3:19 pm
Davey C. Saying, “Easy, stop the out of control SPENDING,” is not a plan. Eliminating the Departments of State, Education, USDA, HUD, HHS and mandatory spending food stamps, foster/adoption/child protection, and children and SSI disability gets you $400 billion of the $1.8 trillion budget deficit is a plan. Show me the easy $1.4 trillion you want to cut, and don’t forget the GOP want to cut taxes…but I forgot that the GOP leadership says reducing income doesn’t add to the deficit.
Nancy Pelosi's Sister
October 27th, 2010
3:20 pm
I agree LSM, to hell with working with that uppity black man. What do we care about the fate of the nation? As long as we can make things difficult for Barack Obama, our work here is done!
td
October 27th, 2010
3:28 pm
The Centrist
October 27th, 2010
3:19 pm
What do your numbers tell you would happen if we laid off, did not have to pay benefits for half the Federal work force (excluding the military and boarder patrol agents)? What does your numbers tell you if we sold all of the rights to “drill baby drill” in Alaska, off the coast of the Gulf and Atlantic and open up all that federal land for a fee in the midwest? Just wondering how much we could save and make money with these ideas?
The Centrist
October 27th, 2010
3:30 pm
Davey C…”AND, cut the Tax Rates to increase Revenue, works every time.” Really…When? Not under Reagan, Bush I, and especially not Bush II. All we have gotten are unjustified and unwarranted deficits.
td
October 27th, 2010
3:35 pm
The Centrist
October 27th, 2010
3:19 pm
Yes, do away totally with the Federal Dept of Education, aid to the arts, Charge Peach care people in the state the same as state employees for premiums and co-pays, Ship all the illegals home and tell the welfare recipients that if they want their welfare then they must go work on the farms picking food or get off welfare and get a job.
How much money will that save?
Last Man Standing
October 27th, 2010
3:38 pm
Nancy Pelosi’s Sister:
“I agree LSM, to hell with working with that uppity black man.”
If to work WITH Obama is to establish a Marxist/socialist economy, you are correct. If to work WITH Obama is to bail out a failing auto maker by turning the control of that company over to the union, you are correct. If to work WITH Obama is to further increase the staggering, growing national debt, you are right. If to work WITH Obama is to maintain a national unemployment rate of 10%, you are right.
Joyce M.
October 27th, 2010
3:42 pm
These liberal types love a protest. If they’re protesting Nathan Deal, they’d protest a kitty cat.
gimme a break!
findog
October 27th, 2010
3:43 pm
Td @2:11
Let’s do it
I hate the traffic the final four and super bowl cause
And remember forget that in off year elections the democrats vote on Tuesday and the republicans on Wednesday to prevent violence
td
October 27th, 2010
3:58 pm
findog
October 27th, 2010
3:43 pm
Td @2:11
Let’s do it
I hate the traffic the final four and super bowl cause
And remember forget that in off year elections the democrats vote on Tuesday and the republicans on Wednesday to prevent violence
I would hate to have any Democrats turned away from the polls because they are there on the wrong day. The law was changed when the Republicans took over and now they get to vote first on Tuesday and the Dems have to vote on Wednesday.
Jayne M. Barker
October 27th, 2010
4:05 pm
The thing that has Marshall behind is not so much the Scott witch hunt, but his relationship with Pelosi and Redd to name a few. The Scott
mess just added more fuel to the fire. He would have been better off
to have remained silent….An elephant is heavier than a donkey…
Jayne M. Barker
October 27th, 2010
4:07 pm
typo should be Reed instead of Redd..
Nancy Pelosi's Sister
October 27th, 2010
4:20 pm
There you go again, LSM. But not to worry, I never doubted your love of party or your hatred of America-in that order. I think I’ve probably heard all your wing-nut opinions before but spew on brother, spew on!
Nancy Pelosi's Sister
October 27th, 2010
4:25 pm
Oh LSM – I think you forgot one. Wasn’t it actually Obama that attacked us on 9/11? I believe he had something to do with the Lindbergh case too. Also, everybody knows it was Obama and not OJ.
Nancy sttttrrrrrrreeeeeeetccccch Pelosi
October 27th, 2010
4:47 pm
“It is the biggest bang for the buck when you do food stamps and unemployment insurance.”
Imma Community Organizer
October 27th, 2010
4:56 pm
Love my little sheep, The Centrist…he agrees with The Great and Powerful Community Organizer. And that the all knowing, all powerful, Imperial Federal Government knows better than the individual citizen. That all Power, and All Wealth comes from Government. Governement should control every aspect of your life, you are not worthy to A)Keep your own money, B) make your own decisions. Government knows better, and Governement will…as I said in my Campaign, “Spread the wealth around”. It’s is The Imperial Federal Government’s money, and we will decide just how much you can keep. There, The Great and Pwoerful Community Organizer has spoken.
Paddy O
October 27th, 2010
5:45 pm
The Centrist is pretty knowledgable with current status, but thus far has NOT suggested how to cut the 1.4 trillion. The VA encompasses 123 billion of that – but it would be very, very tough to cut. I shall examine the budget in detail and return with a solution. However, I would terminate the Dept. of Education.