In a poll released this morning, The Hill newspaper in Washington says Republican challenger Austin Scott has a double-digit lead over U.S. Rep. Jim Marshall of Macon, one of at least 46 Democrats who could lose their seats next Tuesday.
The horse-race in the 8th Congressional District, which covers much of middle Georgia:
– Austin Scott, 50%;
– Jim Marshall, 37%;
– Undecided and other, 12%
From the Hill:
Of the 42 districts polled…, all but two of which are currently Democratic, 31 had Republicans in the lead. Democrats were up in just seven, and four were tied. In addition, there are some 15 Democratic districts that are so far into the GOP win column that they weren’t polled. That would suggest at least 46 GOP pickups, plus whatever the party gets out of another 40 or 50 seats that some experts believe are in play.
“We didn’t even poll in about 15 districts that are already too far gone for Democrats,” said Mark Penn, whose firm, Penn Schoen Berland, conducted the poll. “So that, along with our entire series of polls, points to something in the range of a 50-seat gain for Republicans.”
The survey boilerplate:
Penn Schoen Berland conducted 400 phone interviews among likely voters in the November congressional election in Georgia’s 8th congressional district. Fielding began Tuesday, October 19, 2010 and ended on Thursday, October 21, 2010. MOE ±4.9
Ralph Reed’s Faith and Freedom Coalition is dipping for the first time into Georgia politics. Reed’s comeback organization has launched a $500,000 radio ad campaign targeting 18 House and Senate races.
In Georgia, the Faith and Freedom Coalition will join Republicans in the effort to unseat U.S. Reps. Jim Marshall, D-Macon, and Sanford Bishop, D-Albany. Listen to the anti-Marshall ad here – “It’s us versus them.” And the anti-Bishop ad here: “Bishop doesn’t get it.”
My AJC colleague Craig Schneider was at the Buckhead headquarters of Republican nominee for governor Nathan Deal last night, to monitor a protest. He sent along these notes:
There were about 30 people, mostly women, protesting Deal and asserting that he has a voting history that does not support women.
But there were about 50 people, again mostly women, who came out to support Deal.
They tried to out-chant and out-sing one another. And both sides gave interviews to media present.
Deal protester Kelly Douglas, 26, of Atlanta, said, “I’m here because I’m a woman in Georgia and I care about women’s issues. I think Deal doesn’t vote in women’s best interests.”
The protesters had signs saying “Real.Raw. Deal.” And “Shame on you, Nathan Deal.”
The protesters chanted, “No Deal, Bad for women.” And they had a moment of silence for women who were victims of domestic violence.
Deal supporter Tricia Pridemore, 38, of Marietta, said, “It’s so frustrating to see Nathan Deal misconstrued into something completely false. It’s completely disingenuous to say Nathan Deal does not support women and women’s issues.”
The Deal supporters sang “God Bless America” and held hands in a prayer circle.”
AJC’s Politifact Georgia takes on a charge from Republican nominee for governor Nathan Deal that Democratic rival Roy Barnes voted against legislation to make it easier to prosecute child molesters.
Supporters of Amendment 2, which would levy a $10 car tag fee to fund a statewide trauma network, gathered at the state Capitol on Wednesday. George Israel, head of Yes 2 Save Lives, gave the hard sell to those who think the $18 million generated each year would be accessible to state lawmakers to spend as they please.
“The funds are locked in. The politicians are locked out,” he said.
Walter Jones of the Morris News Service notes that there was an even harder sell:
Rarely do political gatherings on the Capitol steps stir partisans to tears, but Charlotte Laverty’s story Tuesday of her son’s fatal car wreck did during a rally in support of a constitutional amendment for trauma care.
She told of how her dinner out with her husband was interrupted with news of the accident, of rushing to the scene less than a mile from home and of arriving at the hospital moments after an ambulance delivered her 17-year-old son.
“We were fortunate that we live in a town that has a trauma center,” she said, listing the many specialists who were on call the night of the wreck who tended to her son.
Although he died two days later, she was thankful for the chance his out-of-town family had to say their good-byes.
“If I lived in a rural area and thought, ‘Had I only paid 10 extra bucks for my car tag I might have gotten the care that Grant Laverty got.’ How can you forgive yourself?” she asked.
Some of 100 or so nurses, doctors, rescue personnel and business executives attending the rally choked up as she spoke. Her comments were punctuated by the siren of an ambulance on an emergency call a few streets over.