Your morning jolt: Jim Marshall trailing by double digits, says poll from The Hill

Republican challenger Austin Scott, left, and Rep. Jim Marshall, D-Macon, trade barbs after a debate at the Georgia National Fair night in Perry, Ga., earlier this month. NYT/Grant Blankenship

Republican challenger Austin Scott, left, and Rep. Jim Marshall, D-Macon, trade barbs after a debate at the Georgia National Fair night in Perry, Ga., earlier this month. NYT/Grant Blankenship

In a poll released this morning, The Hill newspaper in Washington says Republican challenger Austin Scott has a double-digit lead over U.S. Rep. Jim Marshall of Macon, one of at least 46 Democrats who could lose their seats next Tuesday.

The horse-race in the 8th Congressional District, which covers much of middle Georgia:

– Austin Scott, 50%;

– Jim Marshall, 37%;

– Undecided and other, 12%

From the Hill:

Of the 42 districts polled…, all but two of which are currently Democratic, 31 had Republicans in the lead. Democrats were up in just seven, and four were tied. In addition, there are some 15 Democratic districts that are so far into the GOP win column that they weren’t polled. That would suggest at least 46 GOP pickups, plus whatever the party gets out of another 40 or 50 seats that some experts believe are in play.

“We didn’t even poll in about 15 districts that are already too far gone for Democrats,” said Mark Penn, whose firm, Penn Schoen Berland, conducted the poll. “So that, along with our entire series of polls, points to something in the range of a 50-seat gain for Republicans.”

The survey boilerplate:

Penn Schoen Berland conducted 400 phone interviews among likely voters in the November congressional election in Georgia’s 8th congressional district. Fielding began Tuesday, October 19, 2010 and ended on Thursday, October 21, 2010. MOE ±4.9

***

Ralph Reed’s Faith and Freedom Coalition is dipping for the first time into Georgia politics. Reed’s comeback organization has launched a $500,000 radio ad campaign targeting 18 House and Senate races.

In Georgia, the Faith and Freedom Coalition will join Republicans in the effort to unseat U.S. Reps. Jim Marshall, D-Macon, and Sanford Bishop, D-Albany. Listen to the anti-Marshall ad here – “It’s us versus them.” And the anti-Bishop ad here: “Bishop doesn’t get it.”

***

My AJC colleague Craig Schneider was at the Buckhead headquarters of Republican nominee for governor Nathan Deal last night, to monitor a protest. He sent along these notes:

There were about 30 people, mostly women, protesting Deal and asserting that he has a voting history that does not support women.

But there were about 50 people, again mostly women, who came out to support Deal.

They tried to out-chant and out-sing one another. And both sides gave interviews to media present.
Deal protester Kelly Douglas, 26, of Atlanta, said, “I’m here because I’m a woman in Georgia and I care about women’s issues. I think Deal doesn’t vote in women’s best interests.”

The protesters had signs saying “Real.Raw. Deal.” And “Shame on you, Nathan Deal.”

The protesters chanted, “No Deal, Bad for women.” And they had a moment of silence for women who were victims of domestic violence.

Deal supporter Tricia Pridemore, 38, of Marietta, said, “It’s so frustrating to see Nathan Deal misconstrued into something completely false. It’s completely disingenuous to say Nathan Deal does not support women and women’s issues.”

The Deal supporters sang “God Bless America” and held hands in a prayer circle.”

***

AJC’s Politifact Georgia takes on a charge from Republican nominee for governor Nathan Deal that Democratic rival Roy Barnes voted against legislation to make it easier to prosecute child molesters.

***

Supporters of Amendment 2, which would levy a $10 car tag fee to fund a statewide trauma network, gathered at the state Capitol on Wednesday. George Israel, head of Yes 2 Save Lives, gave the hard sell to those who think the $18 million generated each year would be accessible to state lawmakers to spend as they please.

Looking over George Israel's shoulder at the rally for Amendment 2/Jim Galloway

Looking over George Israel's shoulder at the rally for Amendment 2/Jim Galloway

“The funds are locked in. The politicians are locked out,” he said.

Walter Jones of the Morris News Service notes that there was an even harder sell:

Rarely do political gatherings on the Capitol steps stir partisans to tears, but Charlotte Laverty’s story Tuesday of her son’s fatal car wreck did during a rally in support of a constitutional amendment for trauma care.

She told of how her dinner out with her husband was interrupted with news of the accident, of rushing to the scene less than a mile from home and of arriving at the hospital moments after an ambulance delivered her 17-year-old son.

“We were fortunate that we live in a town that has a trauma center,” she said, listing the many specialists who were on call the night of the wreck who tended to her son.

Although he died two days later, she was thankful for the chance his out-of-town family had to say their good-byes.

“If I lived in a rural area and thought, ‘Had I only paid 10 extra bucks for my car tag I might have gotten the care that Grant Laverty got.’ How can you forgive yourself?” she asked.

Some of 100 or so nurses, doctors, rescue personnel and business executives attending the rally choked up as she spoke. Her comments were punctuated by the siren of an ambulance on an emergency call a few streets over.

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118 comments Add your comment

JR

October 27th, 2010
9:25 am

Excellent and I’m a Democrat. I’ve seen Jim Marshall’s ‘I dislike Nancy Pelosi’ commercials. He accepts campaign funds from the Democratic Party. Anyone so low as to bite the criticize and bite the hand that feeds them deserves to lose. I hope he loses big – he’s no help to Democrats anyway.

Charles

October 27th, 2010
9:30 am

Jim Marshall is a professional government employee. He was a lukewarm mayor, boring law professor and a lackluster politician. He is the worst kind of politician – his so-called Blue Dog temperment really is no more that a person who can be purchased.

Have you ever wondered why his Chapter 13 trustee Camille Hope is always just Camille? And she is always is in the background? That is because of years of bullying creditors and debtors in Macon and Athens.

Wonder what he’ll do in his next government employment. Trash collector? Back to teaching…snore….

Vote this Pelosi lover out.

Last Man Standing

October 27th, 2010
9:35 am

Bye-bye, Jim, and many, many other democrats!

Retired Soldier

October 27th, 2010
9:59 am

JR-

I love it when Dems turn on themselves. Help Marshall lose big, send a big donation to Scott today!

BTW, how do you feel about Sanford Bishop? Want to throe him under the bus too?

td

October 27th, 2010
10:02 am

If this poll is true then it means Barnes is going to get wiped out as well.

Bill

October 27th, 2010
10:02 am

Retired: Have the Republicans finished purging their RINOs?

Angry White Male

October 27th, 2010
10:19 am

Taxes are bad. I hate taxes. Vote no for the $10 license fee. That’s my ten bucks and the gummint can’t have it. So what if people can’t always get trauma care. People die all the time, it’s not the responsibility of the nanny welfare state to save everybody. Let them die and be done with it, decrease the surplus population.

gm

October 27th, 2010
10:29 am

As a Demo I did not vote for this man, he should of stood up and pointed out the President Obama good things, health care, Auto, wall street is back, 85% tax break for the middle class.
He was so busy trying to please those bigots, Anti Americans tea party people.

Retired Soldier

October 27th, 2010
10:31 am

Bill-

No, you are still here.

george

October 27th, 2010
10:39 am

gm…I’m not a member of the tea party, but I support their cause. And, I’m certainly not a bigot or anti-American. I spent more than 21 years of my life serving in the military. I don’ like “President Obama good things”. I see no good in them. If there was a lot of good in them, why aren’t the Democrats trumpeting them during this election season? Instead, they are running away from them as fast as they can. Tuesday can’t get here fast enough. I want Marshall, and many more like him, GONE !!!

Ralph

October 27th, 2010
10:40 am

Since the Democrats pulled money from Marshall, it was obvious their REAL polls showed his campaign was hopelessly behind. Only the bogus eyewash polls were released.

Of course the AJC biased “Politifact” continues to attack Deal – it is and always has been a Democratic party tool, and ignored by all except the Democratic base.

Mr. G

October 27th, 2010
10:44 am

Retired:

I love how Republicans turn on there own as well….besides Marshall is nothing more than another Zell Miller…When the going gets tough, just turn on your own party. For everyone who points out that Marshall is liberal and votes with Pelosi, apparently have their facts confused. Marshal is one of the most conservative Demos there is….I hardly think Austin Scott could be much worse, so bye bye Marshall.

Tuckerman

October 27th, 2010
10:47 am

@Ralph – What about “facts” is biased? Barnes opposed an unconstitutional bill. The law did nothing but give criminals another basis to appeal their convictions. Keep ignoring facts and voting for “Go Fish” and fake graduation statistics.

ByteMe

October 27th, 2010
10:48 am

New Poll Results: 98% of Tea Party members self-describe themselves as “not a bigot or racist”. MOE +/- 2%.

Ralph

October 27th, 2010
11:00 am

Since the AJC no longer lists polls they don’t like under their “Latest from the Pollsters” on the Georgia Politics page – here they are:

http://www.electionprojection.com/2010elections/statepages/ga10.php

General Sherman

October 27th, 2010
11:07 am

Mister Marshall,you may be a good man,but you and the democrats have destroyed the economy,we will drive the bus and you can move your butt to the rear along with Pelosi and Reid!

Retired Soldier

October 27th, 2010
11:07 am

Mr. G-

I agree that Marshall is more conservative than most Dems, but he is still a vote for Pelosi and Obama. I’m sure Scott will be much better.

DagnyT

October 27th, 2010
11:08 am

Remember they promised the Georgia 400 toll would end too. It’s in the legislation. Vote NO on 2, Vote NO on regional SPLOTS in 2012. Georgia politicians are nothing but liars… all of them. Don’t believe a word coming out of their mouths. Let them learn to live within their means just like we all have to live within our budget. If they want to trade a Hall of Fame for Trauma center, so be it. We’re taxed enough.

Last Man Standing

October 27th, 2010
11:09 am

Ralph:

Hey, thanks for posting that link!

Jason

October 27th, 2010
11:10 am

Please vote no on Amendment 2, Georgia. Raising taxes in this economic climate is a horrible idea. Simply look at history.

I now live in Colorado and we have three Amendment proposals (60, 61, and 101 if you want to look them up), all of which decrease our tax burden here. Big time special interest groups and unions are bombing all advertising venues saying that it will be a “voter approved recession.” BS. Anytime you lower taxes, it brings investment back in. Find me an economist besides Keynes (we proved him wrong decades ago) who says otherwise.

The point is to add a tax like Amendment 2 that sounds like such a good idea that how could any sane person vote against it. The problem is that it won’t be used for that purpose, it will go into the general fund. Remember the state constitutional amendment in the 1990’s that allowed the DOT to build a toll road: Georgia 400? “They” said that as soon as the road was paid off, the tolls would be removed. Indeed, it’s not paid off yet. That’s because the swine running the state was too busy diverting the money to other sweetheart projects across the state. It easily could have been paid off by now.

Vote no.

Rockpile2

October 27th, 2010
11:10 am

The Republicans, for past 8 yrs, have been in the governor and lt governor offices, in the majority of both state houses and Georgia is worst off because of their policies. Now, if this was not bad enough,
now they want push the non-ethical Nathan Deal on us. Wake-up Georgia voters!

Ralph

October 27th, 2010
11:11 am

Just doing AJC’s job that I’m not paid to do.

Jason

October 27th, 2010
11:13 am

+1 DagnyT

I love the Atlas Shrugged reference.

Jason

October 27th, 2010
11:20 am

Rockpile2:

Clearly by your cavalier attitude towards Republican Leadership, you never lived in Georgia during Roy Barnes’ administration.

Daniel

October 27th, 2010
11:22 am

GM, what “85% tax break” are you talking about??? I haven’t seen ANY tax break, and that $250 change in witholding that we got was not a tax “break” but more a restructuring of tax witholding.

No More Fees!

October 27th, 2010
11:27 am

The “car tag fee” is just another ripoff that end up in the pockets of ga politicians. Vote no! Fees and taxes are too high–they need to be cut, not increased. VOTE NO!!!!!!!!!!!!

Jason

October 27th, 2010
11:28 am

I’m with Daniel here. What 85% tax break? I haven’t seen that. In fact, I’ve only seen promises of future tax increases: Cap and Trade, IRS penalties for not maintaining health insurance.

GM, I believe you have a promising future with Cynthia Tucker. She is a wizard with Ctrl-C, Ctrl-V (Cut and Paste). You show an amazing level of comprehension of the process. Repeat what they say, GM. Don’t think, just repeat.

The Ghost of Lester Maddox

October 27th, 2010
11:32 am

JimBama Marshall could learn a lesson or two from the likes of Benedict Arnold, John Connelly (switch from Dem to Repub in the 70’s)…

Even were he sent back to DC, he would be untrusted by the Repubs….and hated by the Dems as a traitor.

Were Pelosi to remain in power, she’d make sure his office was relocated to a janitorial closet, and his committee assignement was something like the Committee on the District of Columbia.

UGA 1954

October 27th, 2010
11:36 am

Love it! Go Team Scott!! Don’t you know that this poll is just tearing up the AJC? They’ve so been in the tank for Marshall since the get damn go. Love it!!

p

October 27th, 2010
11:38 am

I await the day when Republicans control everything and no longer have anyone else to blame for the problems they created. Then there will be a revolution when the sheep finally figure out it’s not the Dems or Obama or Reid or Pelosi or the other manufactured bogey men. Voodoo trickle down smoke and mirrors doesn’t work. It’s never worked, and what will inevitably occur is a continuation of the most massive wealth transfer from the former middle class to the super rich that has ever been seen in this country. As much as I respect and applaud President Obama, I am convinced that the irrational and corrosive forces now afoot will abort and destroy any productive rational measures he proposes or attempts. So we will have to wait for the next Republican president to finish the job of destroying the middle class and pumping our wealth into the pockets of the huge, soulless multinational corporations and the oil kingdoms who are their chief bankrollers.

RGB

October 27th, 2010
11:38 am

Here’s a conservative voter’s guide to the amendments that looks good:

http://www.gopliberty.org/

Rebel Without A Pause

October 27th, 2010
11:43 am

It’s looking more and more like Rep. Sanford Bishop is going to lose the 2nd district seat. I can hardly wait. The beer is chillin.

Jason

October 27th, 2010
11:45 am

P:

I agree with you, in part. We gave the Democrats one last chance to prove they were better than caving to private interests and above corruption. They proved us wrong with the Health Care bill and Cap and Trade. Now, we’ll give the Republicans one last chance to prove the same. If this country isn’t restored to sanity after this, then perhaps we’ll see a complete makeover of the political system in this country.

Hector

October 27th, 2010
11:53 am

Roy trashed the GA state flag. That’s all I need to know.

George

October 27th, 2010
11:55 am

Tuesday I will vote anti-incumbent and also NO on all admendment request. Can’t wait, may vote early in case I die. Want to be sure and be able to vote against ole Bishop

Retired Soldier

October 27th, 2010
11:58 am

P-
Well said, with those well thought out remarks you might have been able to save the USSR. What are your proposed solutions?

Paddy O

October 27th, 2010
12:09 pm

Marshall presented himself as a bluedog (dixiecrat) democrat. Problem with that is, they were utterly worthless in the healthcare debate – therefore I say, toss all those communistic democrats out – lets start slashing the federal government this January!

Paddy O

October 27th, 2010
12:12 pm

George – you need to VOTE YES – on the GDOT bill – this is how GDoT always did business until the slut mercenary Gina Abramson and her pimp Sonny Perdue manipulated the GDoT into a financial crisis to put a governor appointed “planner” onto the GDoT pay roll – requireing GDoT to have 100% of the project cost in 1 year for a project that will take at least 5-7 years from start to finish is asinine, and will exponentially drive up the cost of doing major road projects throughout the state (more unemployment for construction companies and progress on most projects will grind to a halt).

Paddy O

October 27th, 2010
12:20 pm

REpublicans MUST prove they honestly want small government:

1) End EIC
2) Reduce the aircraft carrier fleet to 6
3) Pull the troops out of Korea, Germany & Japan
4) Salary freeze for 5 years (or until debt is paid off) on all federal employees earning more than $75, 000 a year
5) Reduce Congressional salaries to $50,000; Senatorial salaries to $100,000 – terminate elected & appointed officials’ pensions
6) Terminate 100% of federal grants, unless they have dedicated funding source (earmarks would disappear) – FHW trust fund.
7) Terminate all foreign assistance, including the $50 billion to Africa for AIDS and $1 billion to Haiti for corruption development.
8) Terminate corporate welfare – include farm subsidies to all farms not owned by individuals; those individuals who have a annual net income over $75,000 would also lose most of their funds.
9) Launch FBI probe into medicare/medicaid fraud.

Jason

October 27th, 2010
12:40 pm

Couldnt agree more with Paddy O.

ICE CAKE

October 27th, 2010
12:53 pm

Everyone thought State Insurance Commissioner, John Oxendine, was going to win the Republian primary. Oxendine was leading in all the polls on election day. At the end of the day, however, he receive only 19% of all the votes. Georgia pollers are BS artists, and their methodology is flawed. Democrats will retain control of the U.S. House and Senate. And Marshall, Bishop and Barnes will win their races. I’m sorry Republians, but I quest all of you will just have to keep lying for the next two years-rationalizing and twisting the truth. White America took a “feel good pill” on November 2008 and woke up the next day with a hang-over. They found out, that they really are racist and that they can’t stomach a Black man as president. That red-neck emotional fervor came out, thus the Tea Party. A right-wing of the Republian Party, they banded together to try and pull down a great president at the expense of the country’s welfare. Continue to lie for the next two years and you might get your wish. But I suspect that by that time, the Hispanic and Black voters will have the advantage. And with every red-neck coming out of the “bushes,” in mass numbers, they won’t be able to put Georgia and the country back together again. Polls don’t win elections, votes do.

Retired Soldier

October 27th, 2010
12:59 pm

Ice Cake-

The only racist comments I see on this blog are yours. Get a life. In addition, knowing all must be such a burden Ice. Geesh.

The Centrist

October 27th, 2010
1:02 pm

PaddyO…Can you tell us what government programs are going to be slashed this January? The GOP were non-specific as to the $100 billion out of a $1.8 trillion budget they plan to cut, and don’t forget they plan to increase the deficit $70 billion in tax cuts for the 2%ers. By the way, are you saying that honest conservative “Perdue manipulated the GDoT ” was a bad thing?

Nancy Pelosi's Sister

October 27th, 2010
1:04 pm

Retired, you’re telling ANYBODY to “get a life”? Maybe take your own advice, you and LMS are on this blog all day long every day! I doubt you even take a bathroom break. Afraid of the real world?

Paddy O

October 27th, 2010
1:09 pm

Perdue was a democrat a decade ago, and he had a Napoleon size ego, with an insatiable desire for power. The entire GDoT “fiscal crises” was a sham. I listed the starting list above. If this does not balance, the budget, you need to eliminate reduced school lunches, and other social welfare. BUT, I would first evaluated all US embassies – are they staffed correctly, and are specific ones needed (Luxemborg, most countries in Africa)? The big reduction is militarily – primarily the Navy – who are we threatened by? Only Russia & China, and they don’t seem to hot to invade us.

Paddy O

October 27th, 2010
1:11 pm

Perdue politicized the GDoT – which was not wise – and reduced its independence. At least in NW GA, we have fantastic roads. We are missing mass transit, but GRTA should be reconditioned to be the Georgia Mass Transit Agency (GMTA).

findog

October 27th, 2010
1:12 pm

Well in 2012 the people of Georgia should get to vote on removing, “Moderation” from our seal and flag

Well glad to see old Ralphie sticking his neck out on those Georgia Ads

The child abuser acquisition by Congressman Deal is identical to everything else he has said, reported, or re-filed, “BARELY TRUE”

The Centrist

October 27th, 2010
1:18 pm

PaddyO. It is interesting that you reference Democrats as communist, and most conservatives reference Obama as a Nazi? Therefore, is Obama a communist nazi? Yep, it is going to be an interesting next two years.

Nancy Pelosi's Sister

October 27th, 2010
1:20 pm

Ghost of Lester, you do remember that your darlin’ Nathan switched parties back in 1995 don’t you? That was after promising during his campaign that, if he decided to switch parties, he would resign his (D) seat and run again as an (R). Of course, he didn’t do that, more proof that he’s been lying to us for a long, long time! But you do remember all that, right?

Bill

October 27th, 2010
1:22 pm

Daniel: In addition to many targeted tax cuts (for home purchases, energy efficiency, car purchases) over the past 2 years, there was the $800 Making Work Pay Tax Credit that benefits 95% of taxpayers. http://www.nytimes.com/2010/10/19/us/politics/19taxes.html?scp=1&sq=tax%20cut&st=cse