InsiderAdvantage/Channel 2 poll: Another one says governor’s race could be headed for runoff
Yet another statewide poll – the third this week – shows that Georgia’s race for governor remains in runoff territory. From Channel 2 Action News and InsiderAdvantage:
– Republican Nathan Deal, 47 percent;
– Democrat Roy Barnes, 41 percent;
– Libertarian John Monds, 5 percent;
– And undecided, 7 percent.
According to Channel 2 Action News, the survey touched 2,119 voters and has an MOE of +/- 2 percentage points.
IA CEO Matt Towery’s analysis, in part:
“Nathan Deal got a little closer to the magic 50-per-cent-plus-one mark by improving his numbers among independent voters. This is likely the result of recent ads in which Deal has punched back at Democratic nominee Roy Barnes, who hammered Deal with a series of tough ads for months. But this race is not yet decided. Deal continues to have trouble bringing Republicans home. In our last survey, 76 percent of Republicans said they were voting for Deal. In this survey, that percentage remains within the margin of error at 74 percent.”
By happenstance, Emory University this afternoon pushed out the YouTube analysis below by Merle Black, the political scientist, on Barnes’ chances:
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119 comments Add your comment
gm
October 27th, 2010
10:57 am
RGM: Sure you do, when you idiots say you are taking back your country” Who are you going to take it back from? ARE YOU GOING TO GIVE IT BACK TO THE INDIANS?
The point is Dem are turning out we dont listen to high school drop out Rush L.
Last Man Standing
October 27th, 2010
10:57 am
gn:
“Tea Party people with your uneducated racist people”
While you do have competition, you are the biggest racist posting here.
RGB
October 27th, 2010
11:01 am
The answer to your question is obvious.
Regular folks believe prolific use of name calling constitutes demonstrated anger, such as:
“Your brain has been taken over by the right-wing wing-nuts and you have become just another one of their mindless robots.”
“…USE YOUR OWN BRAIN.” (caps yours)
“….you are a white male, over the age of 55, doesn’t have a black friend, hates hispanics except for your yardman, believes in the Klan but are too afraid to actually join up, don’t have a college degree, and think Ronald Regan was the second coming of Christ.”
It’s good to offer an occasional positive idea, substantiated by facts and logic. It makes one appear reasonable and interested in problem solving–rather than just slinging mud.
Remember that a stopped clock is exactly right twice a day.
gm
October 27th, 2010
11:05 am
Last Man standing: This is how the world see these Tea Party people””
RGB
October 27th, 2010
11:07 am
“All white Republicans are lying racist hypocrites”…
You folks have stereotyped gays, blacks, white males, and white male Republicans..
And it’s not even noon.
May I suggest that you look at people for who they are rather than their outward appearances?
Alex
October 27th, 2010
11:11 am
RGB:
May I suggest you quote my entire sentence rather than the part that fits you best (and appropriately), *hypocritical Republican*? You proved me right! You took what you wanted instead of the entire sentence, so you’re hypocritical, plus we all know you’re a Republican. Just prove the racist part for me. Slam dunk!
Last Man Standing
October 27th, 2010
11:17 am
gm:
“This is how the world see these Tea Party people”
No, this is the way democrats have been told to address the Tea Party issue.
Alabama Communist
October 27th, 2010
1:09 pm
Runoff!!!!!!!! Oh No! Deal will have to make a Deal with the Libertarian Candiate, Like promising him a job with the Department of Corrections as a Correction Officer, in case if his Republican Corporate corruption trial does not work out…………
True Republican
October 27th, 2010
2:31 pm
There is one factor that non of these polls are taking into consideration. See 10 day weather forcast below. With a 40% chance of rain on Tuesday the Republican party could see some help from mother nature. A receient poll shows that registered republicans are shoing close to a 70% “Highly Motivated” to get to the polls on Tuesday where Registered Democrats are showing just 37% “Highly Motivated”. This forcast also shows a 40% chance on Wednesday indicating the rain moving in late in the afternoon. With some rainshowers between 4-7pm the GOP could pick up some major points.
http://www.weather.com/weather/tenday/USGA0028
Rockpile2
October 27th, 2010
3:06 pm
Taken from ‘Corrupt Deal Real Steal’ Comments
“Nevertheless, the looming repayment deadline presents a set of unattractive options for Deal, a Republican from Gainesville: He could declare bankruptcy and ask a judge to void the debt. He could sell as many assets as possible and ask the bank to write off the loan’s balance. Or he could default on the loan, forcing the bank to seize property he used as collateral and possibly sue him for the remainder.
Any scenario could leave Deal effectively insolvent.”
TO THE VOTERS OF GEORGIA : If Nathan Deal can not managed his on finances, how in the hell can he manage a large budget for the
people of Georgia.
Wake up Georgia Voters
john
October 27th, 2010
3:49 pm
http://landmarkcommunications.net/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/Landmark-Statewide-poll-Oct-27th.pdf
Landmark is out with another poll. Deal “lead” shrank from 8.1 to 6.9 in 8 days.
john
October 27th, 2010
4:02 pm
“Nothing has effectively changed since we last conducted a statewide survey a week ago,” said Mark Rountree, President of Landmark Communications. “Barnes’ support has increased slightly as traditional voting groups solidify. But Deal’s numbers have not moved much. The attacks on him by Barnes are not working at this point.”
Virginia
October 27th, 2010
4:04 pm
John, what’s the margin of error on this poll? Maybe I overlooked it. BTW, I’m seeing more & more Barnes yard signs in southern Hall County during the past week or so.
john
October 27th, 2010
4:12 pm
The margin of error of the survey is plus or minus 2.4%. 1686 polled. The margin of error is just a mathematical function though, no matter how many people you poll, if you don’t poll right, the MOE doesn’t matter. LM and IA are more transparent than Rasmussen in that they are releasing crosstabs though.
Janice
October 28th, 2010
10:16 am
Its amazing how many people are proud to follow Rush Limbaugh and the Tea Party. These must be the same overweight rednecks I see driving around with Palin stickers on their 20 year old SUV’s.
Its weird that people would be so proud to show their stupidy to others isn’t it……….
HallCoResident
October 28th, 2010
11:08 am
Anybody who becomes governor, accepts two lists from a guy named Billy Bob and actually uses them to do anything………would be Nathan Deal. Good luck with that.
down with republocrats
October 28th, 2010
2:02 pm
Why does everyone waste their time arguing for (and voting for) trash like Deal and Barnes? Does it bother you that you’ve been brainwashed into voting for a Republocrat? Vote Monds. Even if he’s only projected to get 5%. I can’t in good conscience vote for either of the lamestream candidates.
Mike
October 29th, 2010
10:35 am
I don’t want to see Georgia turn into a $h*thole state, but it’s been on its way since Perdue and I just know Deal is going to win and screw this state up even more. What major corporations are going to want to move here? Seriously? Thanks a lot Georgians!
abc
October 29th, 2010
12:29 pm
I’m a conservative Republican (no tea parties though, thanks), and I’m voting for Roy Barnes. I care more about voting for the better candidate than voting along party lines. Wise up, folks.