Poll by GOP firm: Democrats Jim Marshall, Sanford Bishop on verge of losing seats

Landmark Communications of Duluth on Thursday released the results of a 3,277-voter automated poll that predicted a GOP sweep of the governor’s race and four other statewide contests.

Landmark is headed up by GOP political strategist Mark Rountree. Let that be your “caveat emptor” notice. Late this evening, Rountree released a subset that addressed the 2nd Congressional District, currently held by Democrat Sanford Bishop of Albany, and the 8th Congressional District, held by U.S. Rep. Jim Marshall of Macon.

Says Landmark:

Republican Mike Keown is in a dead heat with 18-year incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop, which had been unthinkable to most pundits only two months ago. Keown is ahead 47.2% to Bishop’s 44.9%, but within the margin of error which is 3.5%.

And in the 8th District:

Unless something dramatic happens, Democrat Jim Marshall is in a near-impossible hole in his race against Republican challenger Austin Scott. As of now, Marshall is at only 35.1% with a surging Scott at 51.4%. There is good reason that the DCCC decided to pull their money from this district.

The stats:

A total of 836 and 763 voters participated respectively in the 2nd and 8th districts, completing all questions during an Oct. 19 telephone survey. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.5 percent for both surveys.

Take a look at the crosstabs here.

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81 comments Add your comment

Black Man in Alpharetta

October 22nd, 2010
11:10 pm

Brothers and Sisters – Please vote for Democrats this November 2nd. Keep the dream alive. We are almost there.

buck

October 22nd, 2010
11:24 pm

black man you r outta yo mind the dimmo-commies done broke this country my grand young’s will never pay off the debt we in to the chinese you must be a moos-lum

Drew

October 22nd, 2010
11:36 pm

Hey black man in alpharetta. The black community needs to understand that total alegience to the democommy party has not helped the black race. Most Black people I know are staunchly conservative and hard working people. There is a place in the conservative side of politics for you. Join up and lets make this country strong again. NO ROY IN 2010

Tracy Williams

October 22nd, 2010
11:40 pm

Thje Fedual Lords will take over the state and Congress and we will be sorry later. We Peons will vote against our own interests because we are being manipulated and don’t know it.

td

October 22nd, 2010
11:41 pm

If this polling information is accurate for these two districts and carries 90% across the ballot then Deal will kill Barnes. Very interesting information.

td

October 22nd, 2010
11:45 pm

Tracy Williams

October 22nd, 2010
11:40 pm
Thje Fedual Lords will take over the state and Congress and we will be sorry later. We Peons will vote against our own interests because we are being manipulated and don’t know it.

I think most people will agree that this recession was caused in parts if not mostly by hedge fund managers in their attempt to maximise profit? Do you know how these same hedge fund managers (some of the riches people in the country) support in elections? If you said Dems then you would be correct. Now who are the feudal lords?

vuduchld

October 22nd, 2010
11:50 pm

It is comforting to know that as long as idiots like buck and drew keep posting, Jawja will continue to troll in bottom feeder land. When the ignorant and dumb continue to rant nothingness, guess what, nothing gets done. Dimwitted citizens in the state that cant shoot straight would rather elect a lemming who is bankrupt as red Jawja clay. I find you beastility freaks funny becuse you incessantly shoot yourselves in the foot, then expect the rest of the nation to feel sorry for you. Well, I sure as heck don’t. I hope you elect Deal for gubner, then watch as your pathetic state sink to even lower depths, while choking on your own incompetence. This is what a state known for inbeeding, sex predators and dog bangers deserve – more of the same.

Backwardization

October 23rd, 2010
12:56 am

@ vuduchld…

I like your anger!

Sock it to them!

Nick

October 23rd, 2010
1:52 am

That poll is an outlier and you know it. There has been no other poll on the 8th that has Marshall down anything, especially double digits! Guess you had to post something so the right wingers on the blog would stop calling you a Democratic cheerleader?

The Ghost of Lester Maddox

October 23rd, 2010
3:45 am

All this reminds me of some realities….

From the Clarence Thomas and, more recently, Juan Williams/NPR stuff: “Thous shalt not be black, a male, and conservative.”

From what is about to happen to JimBama Marshall: “Thou shalt not be white, straight, male, southern, and democratic.”

From the forced removal of King Roy/Prince Bobby Kahn 8 years ago: “Pride goeth before the fall.”

The Ghost of Lester Maddox

October 23rd, 2010
3:50 am

@ Nick – 1.52 am

JimBama Galloway didn’t place this column for the purpose of “equal time”. It’s part of the liberal media push to scare the hell out of the democratic base that is sitting on it’s keester. Look at other media outlets and the overall pattern, here is the recipe:

1. Liberal media senses disaster.

2. Liberal media promotes huge GOP sweep.

3. Based upon 3, unions kick in more money.

4. Based upon 3 & 4, dem activists begin the scare campaign to blacks, to women, to senior citizens.

Wodawgie

October 23rd, 2010
4:06 am

Yep, I believe Scott & Keown have just about wrapped it up in their respective races. In fact I think voting has been so heavily in their favor, I don’t see any need for any more voting for either of them. My advice is to chill and coast and let the pieces come together. I spoke with their campaign strategists after the Landmark poll was released. Jay Walker’s response was “locked up!” The Chief Keown Strategist stated, “That’s how I would describeit it.” as he was being released following his arrest on bribery of public official charges in Alabama. Austin Scott’s team leader reported the South Georgia legistlator was so excited Scott ” . . . is going to take another hike through all 159 Georgia counties again!” He did clarify that it would be delayed until Austin’s next battery of speech therapy. A volunteer force of 100 illegal immigrants will accompany him.

Bill

October 23rd, 2010
6:57 am

NEWSWEEK Poll: Obama Approval Rating Jumps, Democrats Close ‘Enthusiasm Gap’
The poll finds that 48 percent of registered voters would be more likely to vote for Democrats, compared with 42 percent who lean Republican (those numbers are similar to those in the last NEWSWEEK Poll, which found Democrats favored 48 percent to 43 percent). President Obama’s approval ratings have jumped substantially, crossing the magic halfway threshold to 54 percent, up from 48 percent in late September, while the portion of respondents who disapprove of the president dropped to 40 percent, the lowest disapproval rating in a NEWSWEEK Poll since February 2010.

Steve

October 23rd, 2010
7:42 am

Black Man in Alpharetta says, “Brothers and Sisters – Please vote for Democrats this November 2nd. Keep the dream alive. We are almost there.”

I would like to counter that with a plea for my fellow Americans to vote Republican this November 2nd. Barack Obama has failed both Georgia and America and we’re not ‘almost’ anywhere good. As for the black vote, I encourage African-Americans to stop supporting President Obama just because of his skin color. Please look beyond that and ask yourself if this pro-abortion, pro-homosexual president who intentionally avoids mentioning or honoring God when he gives a speech is worthy of your support? Open your eyes before it’s too late.

Last Man Standing

October 23rd, 2010
8:02 am

Bill:

“NEWSWEEK Poll: Obama Approval Rating Jumps, Democrats Close ‘Enthusiasm Gap’”

I want some of whatever mind-altering drug that writer is using – provided it won’t turn me into a (Heaven forbid!) liberal democrat! I can say with certainty that no writings from Newsweek, or any other liberal rag, is going to impede the coming tidal wave!

MD

October 23rd, 2010
8:24 am

SAVE AMERICA AND VOTE REPUBLICAN!

Billy

October 23rd, 2010
8:25 am

The only question is: will Barry do the honorable thing and resign on November 3rd?
After witnessing the first half of this total disaster, I doubt it.. but we can hope he becomes a man.

NEVER AGAIN!

Willis

October 23rd, 2010
8:39 am

Yeah, according to one elected official in Georgia, the black man just needs to be back in the cotton fields. That would solve all the problems, huh?

Bill

October 23rd, 2010
8:46 am

Billy: I guess you don’t remember Bush’s deer in the headlights look when the economy was about to collapse. You don’t remember McCain suspending his campaign so he could attend a meeting with Bush and Obama at which he had nothing to say. The Democratic Congress passed TARP to save our a**.

Barry Goldwater's Revenge

October 23rd, 2010
8:56 am

Why is it that the only people that see race and carry it around like a millstone are liberals – get over it – as a 50 year old professional, no one cares if you are black, white, brown, yellow red, purple or orange, as long as you abide by the law, pay taxes, perform, contribute, work hard and raise your kids as though you actually care about them. Soon, race will be marginalized. As big a disaster as the Obama presidency is, at least it gives lie to the claim that this country is racist when the first black president pulled far more white votes than minority votes. That is a big deal for undermining overtime, the race grievance industry.

No Longer Republican

October 23rd, 2010
9:07 am

Revenge you are a moron if you actually believe race doesnt play a role in Georgia politics. Just plain out STUPID. Born and raised here in Georgia and live in Forsyth County. RACE has everything to do with politics in Georgia.

Travis McGee

October 23rd, 2010
9:09 am

Ron White was right when he said, “You just can’t cure stupid!”

Working class stiffs in the south have been brain-washed into believing that the Republican Party cares about them and their values. They have been so brain-washed that they even overlook the lifesyles of their leaders and the disparaging remarks they make about them.

But this year they’ve really gone over the top by nominating candidates that are unqualified to serve and will be an embarrassment to their party and the country if elected.

But, when you get angry, you often act irrationally!

But the beautiful thing about living in America is that everybody has the right to show their behinds and be stupid if they so choose.

Ignorance abounds!

CourtneyF

October 23rd, 2010
9:16 am

Pretty soon, there ain’t nobody who will be there 4 a Sista! Damn!!

Renegade

October 23rd, 2010
9:34 am

This is very, very sad. As a die-hard conservative who wouldn’t vote for a democrat who is wasting God’s air, I have to say Jim Marshall is the nearest to being a tad right of liberal amongst all the dems in Ga. That being said, that stinking RINO Austin Scott deserves to lose. I don’t live in the district, but if I did I just couldn’t vote in this race. I can’t vote for a democrat, period, and I wouldn’t vote for liberal Scott.

dagnabit

October 23rd, 2010
9:34 am

Maybe Isakson can give “Crooked” Deal about not borrowing and living with-in his income.

J. Davis

October 23rd, 2010
9:36 am

To black man in Alpharetta, why don’t you move a few miles south where you belong. Furthermore, let it be known that 90% of black people would vote for a serial child molester if said person was a black democrat.

Ralph

October 23rd, 2010
9:46 am

The Barnes gerrymandered 2nd district that was meant to keep Sanford Bishop in office for life may yet work – even though the guy is a proven crook. The AJC (and probably other media arms of the Democratic party) glossed over how this “representative” took care of family, friends, and staff by giving them taxpayer grants.

I doubt Galloway highlighted this Republican poll (which may be biased) to fire up the Democratic base – probably too late for that despite the totally discredited, biased Newsweek generic cheerleading poll. Most polls within weeks of an election purposely remove their bias to be able to point to them for their accuracy later on (Newsweek no longer cares – they are virtually out of business, for good reason). Look how the historically low rated InsiderAdvantage/WSB poll moved from “dead heat” to the reality that Barnes is going to lose (possibly by a landslide).

The polls next week are going to be ugly for Democrats as the media biased ones will be forced to reflect reality instead of wishful thinking. Many will simply not be published in order not to discourage the media’s Democratic base. You can find them, here, though: http://www.electionprojection.com/index.php

Last Man Standing

October 23rd, 2010
9:48 am

J. Davis:

“Furthermore, let it be known that 90% of black people would vote for a serial child molester if said person was a black democrat.”

I am afraid that I differ with you on this point. If you had concluded your statement with “a black liberal democrat”, I would be in agreement. But then, aren’t all democrats liberal? My point is that a conservative black ain’t “black enough” to garner the black vote.

Bill

October 23rd, 2010
9:48 am

Thanks for the racism J. The Dems should use your comments in their GOTV (get out the vote) efforts.

ICE CAKE

October 23rd, 2010
9:51 am

Hey Drew, which Blacks do you know of who want to join a bunch of rednecks like the Republican Party? All Blacks know the Republican and Tea Party are racist organizations. Everything they do or say have racial undertones. Those groups cater to the poor and ignorant whites. Not every Republican, however, is a racist, but 80% are. And every Black American knows this.The Republican Party has never done anything to help a Black man or his family; directly or indirectly. And, of course, there’s no such thing as a Black racist. I can’t think of one Black person whose disposition is to hate whites. Black people’s anger towards whites is a direct response of racists’ actions-Republicans, Tea Party,etc., and nothing more. I would never, under any circumstance, vote for a Republican. Jim Marshall won’t get my vote because he votes like a Republican and Austin Scott won’t get my vote because he is a Republican.

p

October 23rd, 2010
10:02 am

Jim Marshall is top drawer. Former law school professor, former mayor of Macon, works hard for his constituents. It is beyond comprehension that the voters would cast him out just to get some untested opportunistic R into his seat. If it happens, it signals that Georgians have sunk to some impossibly low level of brainlessness.

Jayne M. Barker

October 23rd, 2010
10:09 am

Good News!!!!!

Ralph

October 23rd, 2010
10:35 am

Marshall lives in a red state, even if he is moderate. Jim Marshall’s party is radically socialistic. They vote for Nancy Pelosi as Speaker of the House, and Harry Reid as Senate Majority Leader. He should break with the leftist Democrat party, or expect to be swept out of office.

Rafe Hollister

October 23rd, 2010
10:57 am

Ralph is right, how could Marshall in good conscience remain a Dem, when they oppose everything he says he believes in. Too late now.

Travis McGee: I love all the Elite Lib-tards that try to convince people that to vote Rep is to vote against your best interest. Their biggest problem is that they just know they are smarter than the average bear. Wrong, if keeping more of your wages, not allowing a tremendous debt to be imposed on your ancestors, keeping the country safe from Islamic terrorists, and keeping the country from being overrun with illegal immigrants is not against my best interest.

People that remain on the Democratic plantation year after year based on promises that if you vote this way, your life will get better, are the ones voting against their best interest and suffering from their decision. How many years have they been making these promises that they have no intention of keeping. If these peoples financial future improved, they might leave and vote Rep, so what is in it for the Dems to improve things.

Tee

October 23rd, 2010
10:58 am

Glad I got out of GA. !!!!

Barry Goldwater's Revenge

October 23rd, 2010
11:14 am

ICE CAKE – I can think of one or two things the Republican party has done for African Americans – like fight a civil war to free them from bondage and bring them equal treatment before the law, pass the 13th, 14th and 15th Amendments to the Constitution and then lead the fight in Congress to end Jim Crow laws in the South that were basically put in place by the Dem party after the end of Reconstruction. The whole canard of Republican racism is pretty thread bare unless it is racism to be for hard work and equal opportunity (as opposed to wanting equality of outcome, regardless of merit). Conservatives, largely, view the world on the basis of color blind merit based on performance, not skin color. If you can produce, welcome aboard.

Real Athens

October 23rd, 2010
11:17 am

John Oxendine led all Republican candidates going into the Republican gubernatorial primary in money raised, money spent, etc. Several polls had him with a double digit lead days before the polls opened.

He drew 19 percent of the vote.

Polls — in this state are anything but. They are bought and paid for marketing tools designed to influence elections.

Real Athens

October 23rd, 2010
11:35 am

td:

I don’t know where you get the idea that Wall Street votes for Democrats? Show me the proof, or the money.

Obviously you forgot that it was George W. Bush and Henry Paulson who came up with, sold to Congress and signed into law the Troubled Asset Relief Program that bailed out the U.S. Financial System.

Vote GOP if you want (against your own best interests), but don’t tell me it was the Democrats who brought this mess upon us.

WartHawg

October 23rd, 2010
11:35 am

Shut up and vote! That is the only thing that counts!

Last Man Standing

October 23rd, 2010
11:36 am

Tee:

Glad you made it out of Georgia, too! Since you’re out, you don’t even have a dog in this fight, do you?

Goodbye.

Real Athens

October 23rd, 2010
11:45 am

Rafe:

The last time Income tax rates were as low as they low was in 1952. They were higher during every GOP administration since. Last time I checked the deadliest terrorist attacks (Beirut Bombing of the Marine Hdqtrs. and Sept. 11) occurred when Republicans were in the White House. Do tell what the GOP has done to stem the tide of Illegal Immigration? Could you be referring to Ronald Reagan’s across the board amnesty granted as a part of the Immigration Control and Reform Act of 1986?

You own the rhetoric and the slogans, but facts are facts,

yuzeyurbrain

October 23rd, 2010
12:04 pm

As was noted in the article, the poll is of suspect credentials. But, having said that, if the Republicans take control of the House, Marshall’s defeat would be no great loss to the Democrats. He almost always votes with the Republicans and even more-so on the really important pieces of legislation. It might even be a good object lesson that you gain nothing by pandering to the right wing.

td

October 23rd, 2010
12:08 pm

Real Athens

October 23rd, 2010
11:35 am
td:

I don’t know where you get the idea that Wall Street votes for Democrats? Show me the proof, or the money.

Obviously you forgot that it was George W. Bush and Henry Paulson who came up with, sold to Congress and signed into law the Troubled Asset Relief Program that bailed out the U.S. Financial System.

Vote GOP if you want (against your own best interests), but don’t tell me it was the Democrats who brought this mess upon us.

Do you know who George Soros is? You really need to do some research into who runs the hedge funds and how much money they gave to Obama. How about the two riches people in America (do you know who they are), Who are they supporting? You my friend are living in a dream world. Wall street, trail lawyers and unions are the biggest supporters of the Democrats. The Republicans are supported by big business, small business and Christians.

td

October 23rd, 2010
12:10 pm

p

October 23rd, 2010
10:02 am
Jim Marshall is top drawer. Former law school professor, former mayor of Macon, works hard for his constituents. It is beyond comprehension that the voters would cast him out just to get some untested opportunistic R into his seat. If it happens, it signals that Georgians have sunk to some impossibly low level of brainlessness

If Marshal and Bishop survive then the Republicans will just draw them into the same district, make it 50 + 1% black and make them compete against each other in 2012.

td

October 23rd, 2010
12:17 pm

Real Athens

October 23rd, 2010
11:35 am

Here is a scewed article from NPR( we know how conservative biaised thy are) that talks about wall street democratic support.

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=130160941&ft=1&f=1006

You must be a college student and not understand the real world yet.

td

October 23rd, 2010
12:21 pm

Real Athens,

Here is another article for you. Man you really need to stop believing everything your liberal professors tell you and do a little research.

http://www.rollcall.com/issues/56_37/lobbying/50618-1.html

crowdog

October 23rd, 2010
12:28 pm

Blackman IN Alpharetta, you don’t speak for this blackman or the community. The Democratic party has been destructive of the community, blacks have been mislead by Democrats since the 1960’s and the divorce rate, crime rate, abortion rate, murder rate had skyrocketed. Think for yourself du$#y.

td

October 23rd, 2010
12:30 pm

Real Athens,

Last article for your maturation today. I will be testing you later to make sure you comprehended the real story and have all of that kool-aid out of your system.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2010/04/24/pro-business_does_not_mean_pro-market_105292.html

td

October 23rd, 2010
12:36 pm

Real Athens

October 23rd, 2010
11:45 am
Rafe:

The last time Income tax rates were as low as they low was in 1952. They were higher during every GOP administration since

Your college education has been a real waste of money bro. Your professors have taught you incorrectly again.

http://www.truthandpolitics.org/top-rates.php

td

October 23rd, 2010
12:39 pm

ber 23rd, 2010
11:45 am
Rafe:

The last time Income tax rates were as low as they low was in 1952. They were higher during every GOP administration since

One more for you:

http://www.ntu.org/tax-basics/history-of-federal-individual-1.html