Landmark poll: Nathan Deal and Karen Handel in dead heat

The local Republican-oriented strategy firm of Landmark Communications, which last week gave Karen Handel a 46 to 37 percent lead over Nathan Deal in the Republican runoff for governor, is out this afternoon with a follow-up poll – that says Deal has closed the gap.

Says Landmark:

Deal leads 44-42% over Handel with 14% saying they will vote but are still undecided. Based on a previous Landmark poll conducted August 1st, Deal has moved up eleven percentage points over the past week, from nine back to two ahead….

“Nathan Deal has moved from behind to a statistical tie,” said Landmark President Mark Rountree. “Over the past week, Deal effectively won many undecided and less committed voters, making this a dead heat. We don’t make a prediction on the outcome of this.”

A poll released over the weekend by the AJC and the Georgia Newspaper Partnership showed Handel and Deal in a tight race, but with Handel leading Deal 47 percent to 42 percent. The GNP survey indicated a significant gender gap – with women supporting Handel in larger numbers.

But Roundtree says Landmark polling is picking up no such gender preference in the race. The automated survey sampled 623 voters on Aug. 7 — before the visits to Georgia by ‘08 GOP presidential candidates Mike Huckabee and Sarah Palin for Deal and Handel, respectively.

MOE is +/- 3.9 percentage points.

For instant updates, follow me on Twitter, or connect with me on Facebook.

140 comments Add your comment

B-fan

August 9th, 2010
5:22 pm

This race reminds me of the tagline from the Aliens vs. Predators movie…

“Whoever wins, we lose”

Alec Young

August 9th, 2010
5:25 pm

Click here for Report and Crosstabs:

http://landmarkcommunications.net/

Beyond The Rhetoric

August 9th, 2010
5:51 pm

For those that speculate Karen Handel would win over Roy Barnes in the General Election:

The following is from Rasmussen Reports, dated July 22, 2010, one of the major polling resources in the Nation:

“Handel earns 45% of the vote against Barnes while Deal picks up 49%. Handel, the former Secretary of State, and Deal, a former Congressman, are headed for an August 10 runoff. Deal and Handel came from behind to win their slots in the run-off with key endorsements from New Gingrich and Sarah Palin respectively.”

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/georgia/election_2010_georgia_governor

Rasmussen’s accuracy is highly respected. For example, in the 2008 Presidential Election taken on October 30th, Rasmussen predicted that McCain would win Georgia by +5.0%. The final results from the election: Georgia voted for McCain by +5.2%.

Rasmussen is a non-partisan, professional organization folks. This can be confirmed by going to Real Clear Politics.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ga/georgia_mccain_vs_obama-596.html

Carpet Bagger

August 9th, 2010
6:00 pm

Karen Handel has a high school degree from Maryland.

Smarty Pants declined to obtain a college degree

We the People

August 9th, 2010
6:04 pm

Hopefully, this means that voters are beginning to see that Palin’s endorsement of pro-abortion candidate Handel is nothing more than the playing of party politics, which voters have had enough of, no matter which party it is.

Deal is a goofy bumpkin

August 9th, 2010
6:06 pm

That whole Deal family looks like an ad for Value City!

Handel fan

August 9th, 2010
6:11 pm

I was at the rally today and it was fantastic! Handel was articulate and really pleased the large crowd. She and Palin have magnetic personalities and I am proud to have been there today! Today I realized that GA needs a new leader with new ideas. Handel will represent our state with dignity and be a fresh face to the nation!

JJ

August 9th, 2010
6:30 pm

Deal is a crooked politician and by looking and listening to him he epitomizes good ole boy politics, shady back room deals and the like.

I am not a Palin fan but I am voting for Handel since she did a good job as Secretary of State fighting the Obama and Holder’s Dept of Justice with the voter ID issue.

Donne

August 9th, 2010
6:42 pm

My vote is for the REAL Deal…unless of course, you folks want Barnes!

ordinary citizen extraordinary time

August 9th, 2010
6:49 pm

In re;y to goofy bumpkin….I thought his supporters look like the salt of the earth…that is what I thought everytime I have been around him and Sandra…they are real…No 100k wardrobes –or flown in in good looking commercial types like Palin….just real people… not a big time politician …just a real person. Look I am living in 30305 and have very nice clothes and cars…but I helped elect Scott Brown he drove a truck and did not have a 2000 dollar coat like his opponent….he was real…and he still owns his truck ( he is not conservative enough for me …but I live in Ga)…but he was real…Nathan and Sandra are just real…Not flashy …just real.

rj

August 9th, 2010
6:56 pm

You have got to be kidding me. If nothing else is clear be aware that Handel is Perdue’s candidate. Go ahead and vote for her and indicate you are desirous of more of the same and a complete lack of leadership as before. She has never finished any job she started including school. Her resume if investigated would be classified as fraudulent in the NCAA yet you want her for a Governor. Not sure who scare me the most, her or those that vote for her.

Teacher who remembers

August 9th, 2010
7:07 pm

Voted last week for the REAL DEAL, and expect he can beat King Rat. Remember that–EDUCATORS.

Cissy

August 9th, 2010
7:08 pm

I lost respect for Sarah Palin this weekend. Doesn’t she vet the people she endorses? I gotta agree with B-Fan. The people of Georgia…. apparently don’t think we deserve better.

Mark Rountree, Landmark

August 9th, 2010
7:18 pm

Deal was down nine points a week ago, has moved to a statistical tie. The 2% edge he has in our poll is within the margin of error of the poll, which is 3.9%.

We aren’t predicting a Deal or a Handel victory with this release, just releasing the data we see. But clearly Deal has moved over the past week to make this the most competitive race we’ve seen in a long time.

It’s interesting that Handel now leads in the 7th congressional district … Deal was up there a week ago. Metro atlanta is moving more to Handel and much of the rest of the state toward Deal.

FultonRighty

August 9th, 2010
7:28 pm

Ms. Handel insulted “the rest of the state” by attacking Deal for being a convert to the GOP. Most of the state back in the 80’s had no local Republican party. Even if they did, all of the action was in the Democrat primaries. I welcome folks who see the light and come my way on life, on other social issues and on party affiliation. Ronald Reagan being #1 in my book! Welcome all you Reagan Democrats–Georgia GOP loves you if Ms. Handel doesn’t.

heartofdarkness

August 9th, 2010
7:29 pm

I have listened to both of the televised debates and checked in the AJC online. I can not say what either one of these candidates plan to do for Georgia. Ad hominem attacks aren’t possible, because that requires the proponent to make an argument from which the respondent diverts attention. This campaign makes me think the state will continue to be a non-factor in the nation’s future, except, maybe in the art of the personal insult.

Serious Voter

August 9th, 2010
7:43 pm

Handle has a problem finishing what she starts and Deal is a long time participant in our political system. Both have their negative sides but either of them is a much better choice than Roy Barnes.

Billy in Savannah

August 9th, 2010
7:45 pm

The Republicans are an embarrassment to our state worrying about abortions, gays and a lot of controversial social issues when our state faces such severe deficits. How did Perdue work out for you teachers? I wander if fish was served from the fish pond funded by taxpayers this weekend in Houston County??????

curious

August 9th, 2010
7:50 pm

Interesting to hear Sarah Palin blasting ‘good ole boy’ politics at Karen Handel’s rally. I’m sure John McCain took notice.

HallCountyGOP

August 9th, 2010
7:52 pm

Why does Handel always look so mad at her debates? Because nothing that comes out of her mouth has any substance or carries any merrit. She is an outsider just like Palin. Im tired of hearing the phrase “Good ol Boy.” Would you rather have an educated good ol boy who is a great man and a patriot, or an outsider like Palin….I mean Handel. Elect a candidate who has the experience and know how to lead our state back to prosperity. Deal. Real

Dawgfan

August 9th, 2010
7:59 pm

@Deal is a goofy bumpkin…I am a member of the Deal family. I don’t see Nathan making shots at your family so I don’t see how his is fair game for you. Also, I believe you should apologize to those folks who shop at Value City…because from what I see there is nothing wrong with the way they or my family dress.

Mary in Dublin

August 9th, 2010
8:00 pm

How is our country better for having Deal in Washington for 18 years? How many real pieces of legislation did he pass to benefit the citizens of Georgia? Did he verify the facts for the ads he has run against Handel before wasting his good money on spreading lies? Can that be called “real” leadership?

Elaine

August 9th, 2010
8:07 pm

I hope Nathan Deal did not mean when he said he would not support Handle if she won. I think he was probably just upset over her doing so well. I hope the Georgia Good Ole Boys vote for the Republican regardless of who it is because nobody I know wants that Barnes & his blue flag back or his ideas that he thinks he knows what is best for Georgians instead of listening to the people. He has that in common with Obama & Pelosi & Reid. We will do what we think is best not what you want. The man made an idiot out of himself & his wife when he invited the news media in to film Chris Rocks reaction to that lying woman trying to say that her baby was Chris Rocks. I was embarrassed for Chris Rock coming to the South & Barnes acting like a dumb a–. He had him already convicted. I wish Chris Rock could sue Barnes for having the news media there for a woman that made a false allegation.

Charles Emory

August 9th, 2010
8:10 pm

Deal is real alright – a real 16-year congressman who fits the same mold of those today who have an approval rating of 11%! Yet, the real deal is that so many Georgians will go to the polls and blindly vote for him to run the State of Georgia. What did he accomplish while in Congress except making himself and his pals richer!?? Nobody I have asked this question can tell me one thing he did that would make me believe he can put Georgians back to work or balance the budget or improve education. Karen Handel ought to be mad! So am I and many of my friends! One thing I’m mad about is so many who complain about the way Congress has done us, and then go right to the polls and vote for an ex-congressman who had his chance and flubbed it!

Billy Joe Poteet

August 9th, 2010
8:59 pm

@Charles Emory 8:10 pm

Very well stated and very true! Excellent post!

Aquagirl

August 9th, 2010
9:01 pm

@ Dawgfan, if Deal didn’t pimp his grandchildren out on political ads, you wouldn’t sound like an idiot whining. He threw those children out there front and center to make himself look cute. That’s far more loathsome to decent folk than shopping at Value City.

Uncle Tom

August 9th, 2010
9:23 pm

Fair is fair. We have had the rule of the Republicans long enough. Time for a Democrat to share the roost.

DamntheButcher

August 9th, 2010
9:25 pm

I am a Democrat that lives in the 9th district in the Dalton/Chatsworth area and I can’t name a single thing that Nathan “Bad” Deal did for this area the entire time he was in Washington. If someone else knows of something will they please fill me in.

DamntheButcher

August 9th, 2010
9:33 pm

Also Nathan “Bad” Deal talks about how tuff he is on the Illegals. Well look at 2 of the cities he represented while he was in congress. Gainsville & Dalton. The 2 cities with the highest populating of Illegals in the state of Georgia. He was real tuff on them…lol

Ron

August 9th, 2010
9:55 pm

At least we will never have a black governor in this state, thank the lord. We all know what bad “leaders” they are.

MiddleMan

August 9th, 2010
10:04 pm

I sure don’t want Roy Barnes or Nathan Deal in the Capitol. I’ll go with Handel. Jesse Ventura, Arnold Schwarzenegger and Sarah Palin are sufficient precedents. I’ve had enough of the old guard and their back room dealings.

Kris

August 9th, 2010
10:08 pm

Nathan Deal is a corrupt bigot!!!

Deal is a goofy bumpkin

August 9th, 2010
10:14 pm

If anyone is a lifetime politician, then they need to go! GA needs to have term limits on these corrupt, politicos! Anyone who is a lifetime politician should be ashamed! Look where we are as a country, and, sadly, our state. Deal is an example of corruption! He has never done anything for representing GA! Why elect lazy to GA? Just because he says he is a moral conservative, does not make it true! His personal life and how his children have turned out says a lot!!!

MC W

August 9th, 2010
10:19 pm

I’ll be casting my ballot for Roy this November. He’s definitely imperfect and I don’t agree with him on every issue, but Atlanta honestly needs some love from the state government that meets well within city lines.

dano

August 9th, 2010
10:19 pm

One of Georgia’s greatest generation men, the late Robert E. Andrews, esq. (who was a decorated WW2 veteran, a state representative, state senator and wise old man)once told me that Nathan Deal was the finest lawyer he had ever known. Know this, Roy Barnes is one hell of lawyer himself. Barnes would out gun Karen Handel in a new york minute…if you want a Republican in the governors mansion then the only person who can take on Roy and win is Nathan Deal….so a vote for Handel on tuesday is a vote for Barnes in november…the choice is easy…

Deal is a goofy bumpkin

August 9th, 2010
10:20 pm

To ordinary citizen /extroidinary times… you sound very ordinary!

Georgia Pete

August 9th, 2010
10:21 pm

All I want to know iswho is going to get rid of all the illegals. Those social leaches are really pissing me off. GET THEM THE HELL OUTTA HERE!!!!!! Deal will do that. The deal her is that Deal represents Gainesville, the city with the highest illegal population in the state. DEPORT THEM ALL!

Where's the Ox?

August 9th, 2010
10:26 pm

Its funny that the last time we were here Ox was saying he was the moral right wing and dumb Christians bought that! Now we have Deal and the same thing with ethics issues at large, AGAIN!

Jane

August 9th, 2010
10:26 pm

If you a Congressman whose know about illegals ask Tom Graves he made his money renting hotel room to illegal in North Ga.

kindergarden math

August 9th, 2010
10:35 pm

Karen Handel’s lack of a college degree would prevent her from applying for many entry level state jobs, including park ranger, probation officer, etc. , yet people feel that she is qualified to be Governor ? Incredible ! Roy Barnes will have a field day with this if she is nominated tomorrow by Republicans.

[...] MOE is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Read more. [...]

Deal is a goofy bumpkin

August 9th, 2010
10:37 pm

To DAWGFAN, go back to your trailor park and talk about it on the pick-nic table! We are electing a govenor, not some trashy, illiterate, amoral candidate for dog catcher that Deal supporters think this race should be! The Deal family is not presentable and are a laughing stock! What are you going to do when Jay Lenno goes after you? Deal, and his family, are just not camera-ready, or media-savy, or just plain presentable for public viewing! The Deal family looks like white trash.

David

August 9th, 2010
11:10 pm

When voting tomorrow, let’s keep in mind who best represents the values of Georgians, as well as who is backing who in this race. Clearly, Nathan Deal is the most conservative candidate and and has the most experience. He is strongly pro-life and has the backing of the Georgia Right to Life. He believes marriage should be between one man and one woman–as it should. He not only supports but champions the Fair Tax!

Next, take into account who is supporting who. For Karen Handel, Sarah Palin and Mitt Romney are backing her. For Nathan Deal, Mike Huckabee and fellow Georgian Newt Gingrich are supporting him. Simple question: Who do you think best understands and relates to people of Georgia? To he (or she) who has ears, let him hear.

By the way, what’s wrong with being a “good ole boy?” I’ve grown up on the good ole boys of the Dukes of Hazzard!

College Man?

August 9th, 2010
11:10 pm

Our Sarah P. was just great today. She spoke the truth that it is a time for change and the nation is looking at GA to see if we continue with the status quo good-old-boys or go into the future with a new leadership team.
I have read these blogs since the primary and it is really educational how many people are on here whining about Karen – no college, no plan, no etc.
She has been available since Feb 2010, have any of you ever attended any of here events? She has outlined her plans over and over.
A few special interest groups have tried to hijack this election, like GRTL, which has spewed the most hateful lies in the national press. Immediately, you sheeple repeat everything.
Can you not understand that these groups just want to get publicity for themselves; they do not care one iota about what you think, as long as you repeat their lies.

And you Deal appologists – yes, Mr. Deal has now said on two occasions, that he may not support Karen if she wins. Yea, he is showing real “deal” leadership there.
He needs to put on his “big boy” pants and suck it up like any politician who looses.
At least he can spend his time fishing with the kids; living on his gigantic retirement income, free medical care, etc.

Go Karen

Reality

August 9th, 2010
11:25 pm

CollegeMan, stop kidding yourself. The rest of the nation doesn’t give a rat’s #&% about the election. Why would they? When you look at the issues being debated: race, homosexuality, abortion, etc., who would? If competence and capability were issues, Handel would lose in a landslide. If she wins tomorrow, it is because the people of Georgia are too ignorant to realize what an utter joke Sarah Palin is, and that is coming from a guy who used to like to consider himself a Republican. If Palin is now the main voice for the party, I suppose I don’t know what I am. Certainly not whatever she is.

whoDean

August 9th, 2010
11:43 pm

Georgia needs an Atlanta area Governor, Deal is a corrupt country good ‘ol boy, vote for Handel.

Cindy Miller

August 9th, 2010
11:48 pm

Nathan Deal has my vote. I agree with many of the bloggers that the overt and non-stop slander from Karen Handel with “corruption charges” against all of her opponents was such a negative that I just decided that she was a nasty person. Her lack of people skills is what I have learned the most about her over the last 3-4 weeks. From attacking “good ole boys” to telling her opponents to “put on your big boy pants”, it is not wonder why nearly the entire GA republican legislature is against her. Sarah Palin borrowed the same attacks during her rally today. I used to be a Palin fan until she endorsed and campaigned for John McAmnesty McCain instead of his conservative opponent. Same here in GA; Palin is supporting “mama grizzlies” over conservatives and is losing credibility among all of the conservative women in my circles who look at a candidates record. It is true that Nathan Deal has been is GA politics for many years but I happen to like how he votes and the legislation he has put forth. He has been consistently conservative with strong polling against Roy Barnes. All I can say is Karen Handel needs to work on her people skills. She does not know that effective leadership requires people skills and not just a drill sargeant who wants to shake down the boys.

Travis McGee

August 10th, 2010
1:31 am

I don’t understand why the Republican Party continues to run candidates that are so mediocre — it’s like trying to decide whether you had rather be poked in the eye with a sharp stick or be kicked in the groin.

Neither is desireable.

And, I wouldn’t let an interloper like Sarah Palin who quit her elected job as governor of Alaska to make millions determine my vote on any issue. She’s an airhead who is afraid to be interviewed by the media and only spouts cliches. A pitiful political spokesperson.

Boots

August 10th, 2010
1:32 am

“You betcha, ol’ Trav.”

Fire Eater

August 10th, 2010
3:39 am

The “corruption charges” against Deal are coming from “groups” financed by the sinister oligarch George Soros and others of his kind.