Yet another poll shows John Oxendine slipping

InsiderAdvantage and Channel 2 Action News are out with a new poll – tapping 1,619 voters last night via automated phone calls.

The survey state Insurance Commissioner John Oxendine, who eight days ago was the undisputed front-runner, struggling to remain in the Republican hunt for governor.

Here’s the horse-race, with a 2.3 percent MOE:

Handel, 28%

Deal, 17%

Johnson, 14%

Oxendine, 13%

Chapman, 6%

McBerry, 3%

Putnam, 0%

Undecided, 19%

A Georgia Newspaper Partnership poll published Sunday in the AJC showed Oxendine in second place – with Nathan Deal in a statistical tie.

Scott Slade, the morning host of WSB (750AM) who moderated the Republican debate for governor last night, sends this link of a radio-based forum of eight candidates for governor – four on the Democratic side, and four on the Republican side.

Political veteran Bill Crane did the interviews, which aired Sunday.

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50 comments Add your comment

Real Deal Steal

July 19th, 2010
2:21 pm

Three unethical candidates fighting for second place. Nobody is within the Margin of error with Handel. Johnson isn’t withing the margin of error with Deal.

pcbobby

July 19th, 2010
2:23 pm

Great work on the debate last night, Jimbo.

Should it surprise anyone that Mrs. Handel pulled ahead in this race after the Palin endorsement and throwing the LGBT under the bus? The so-called moderate from North Fulton has lost support among the Independent-Democratic-leaning crowd which is quite small (probably just me :-) .

I have one thing in common with Ray McBerry: I won’t support Karen Handel in the fall.

Danger Will Robinson

July 19th, 2010
2:23 pm

Wasn’t Insider Advantage the firm that predicted a landslide win by Ralph Reed?

Don’t believe the polls people.

Danger Will Robinson

July 19th, 2010
2:24 pm

@pcbobby

That’s about the only thing you want to have in common with the kiddie-toucher Ray McBerry.

lmno

July 19th, 2010
2:27 pm

Its very interesting that Karen Handel couldn’t have bought better advertising for herself than what the other candidates are giving her.

With every advertisement accusing her of not being conservative enough, she gains votes of people just right of center.

And it was a pure stroke of genius by her people to get her out of these debates. By saying the reason is because she doesn’t want to share the stage with a pederast, she is able to basically duck the Q&A section of this election.

And really, when people see the names of those people that were on stage they are just going to remember the general buffonery of these candidates. Its difficult for your casual voter to distinguish between this group of clowns.

Handel will win the primary simply because she isn’t one of the other morons.

Unfortunately, the national news will spin that to make it look like Sarah Palin was the deciding factor.

Handel, will not, however, become the next Governor of this state. In the general election she will become completely exposed.

lmno

July 19th, 2010
2:35 pm

While I have had fun laughing at these people, its really a very serious matter because in the end, one of these people will be the governor. And while you may have faith in the electorate, I do not. Take a good look at Sonny Purdue. That chump was elected and then re-elected.

I always wonder what Sonny says in those meetings with Charlie Crist and Bob Riley. It makes me cringe to think those guys are probably snickering behind our Governor’s back as we lose our water. I think of the long list of people who would make better negotiators for us than Sonny.

I wish we could send Frank Wren to those meetings. I bet we’d have all the water we can drink and a Puerto Rican Shortstop by noon.

Red

July 19th, 2010
2:39 pm

Goodbye Ox. Time to cash in on those connections to get you out of serving time….

Aquagirl

July 19th, 2010
2:54 pm

Oxendine did well, until the election got close enough to be on regular folks’ radar. Before, he had good Statewide name recognition and everyone else was “who?” He’s the very definition of an empty suit. Except for all the dirt, of course.

lmno

July 19th, 2010
3:04 pm

I would love to hear what these guys are saying to their strategists behind closed doors. I want to know who they really are, cause I sure as heck don’t believe that any of them are who they claim to be.

I’d love to hear them making their plans. Clamoring about to make them seem the most appealing to the back lash of hatred among our more easily duped electorate.

In the end, I will vote for Poythress in the Democratic Primary and then reluctantly pull the lever for Barnes in the general. Hoping once again that while we might not have ended up with best, maybe we won’t get the worst choice.

Lee Howell

July 19th, 2010
3:04 pm

Not gonna vote for the crooks. Not gonna vote for King Roy. Not gonna vote for the candidate who couldn’t put on her big girl panties and debate with the rest of them. Not sure what’s left…

Douth Ga GOP

July 19th, 2010
3:05 pm

Deal is in this to make himself richer, Johnson wants to bring jobs to Georgia & run the illegals out.

VOTE ERIC JOHNSON FOR A HONEST GOVERNOR

Peach Street

July 19th, 2010
3:05 pm

Don’t think Johnson can stand up agains Barnes. Maybe Handel’s ethics can.

Eric has been in State Government too long and should hang his political
clothes out to dry. Get rid of the old timers like Johnson and the Good Old Boy Club.

b

July 19th, 2010
3:19 pm

Eric Johnson tried to give Jekyll Island State Park to his campaign finance manager while he was an ex-officio member of the Jekyll Island Authority.
That is a conflict of interest, pure and simple, and characterizes the type of government that has run this state into the ground over the past eight years.

November

July 19th, 2010
3:24 pm

Oxendine and King Roy are of the same mold……they’ll both say anything to get elected. Go Karen!!!!!

Randy

July 19th, 2010
3:32 pm

When I think of the possible candidates for Governor I get sick. I’ll never vote for King Roy. There’s a reason that he’s the first Dem to lose the Governors race in over 100 years. Handel has been caught lying and was afraid to debate the big boys when it mattered. Ox is a crook. And one of these will be the next Governor. If it turns out to be King Roy vs Handel or Ox I will vote Libertarian.

Michael

July 19th, 2010
3:57 pm

Wonder how early voting will affect the vote what with the late Palin endorsement? Also, anyone who votes based on a Palin endorsement is an idiot and also is too much of an idiot to realize their own idiocy.

johnatl

July 19th, 2010
3:59 pm

Buh-bye, Ox. I hope you get all that you deserve…….

Rockerbabe

July 19th, 2010
4:05 pm

After spending a good bit of time watching the candidate “debates” on PBS for the last two weekends, all I can say is that the Republicans are a bunch of mean, woman-hating, government bashing neathandrals. A state government, by the way, they have been in charge of for the last eight years! Why would anyone who hates government that much, want to be part of it? Makes one wonder about their mental stability.

Johnson, McBerry and Oxandine all seem to be some of the most pandering, $uck-up I have had the displeasure of watching. But, I listened to what they said, how they said it and how watched how they ranted and raved.

The Dems were a bit better on talking about solutions to problems and seemed a bit nicer to one another than the Republicans. At least they were not talking tax cuts and curtailing the rights of homeowners and women and preaching hatefullness towards gays.

All I can say, is this Dem will not be voting the the Repub primary tomorrow. I see nothing but meaness in the GOP.

David

July 19th, 2010
4:05 pm

Pleeeeeeeeease people! Don’t vote for Oxendine. He is the most corrupt, egotistical a$$ that money can buy! I’m telling you all, Eric Johnson is the only Republican with any morals or ethics . Lord, help us , We can’t have Barnes again. Teachers , don’t be fooled by his apology and promises. He will say ANYTHING to get elected!

the only conclusion to make

July 19th, 2010
4:17 pm

The only conclusion you can make from observing this group of hacks is that the qualities that make you electable are in direct contradiction to the qualities that make you competent to lead.

Dave Dawg

July 19th, 2010
4:25 pm

Here’s a question the great Ronald Reagan would ask:

Is the state better off now after 8 years of GOP control than it was 8 years ago? The answer is no.

I’m voting for Barnes.

Incompetent Handel

July 19th, 2010
4:28 pm

More on the Bibb Monroe border issue that Handel wishes we would all forget:

Here, she receives the opinion of the AG that she solicited on whether she could involve the OSAH in the procedure:

http://www.bibbmonroebattle.com/docSOSReceivesOpinionFromAG.html

She decided to just go ahead and ignore it , and two months later, the surveyor receives a subpoena, issued by the OSAH:

http://www.bibbmonroebattle.com/docBibbFirstSubpoenaIssued.html

Karen Handel doesn’t belong anywhere near the Capital. She couldn’t even do what the law required her to do in her role as SOS, make a decision on the county line issue. Completely incompetent.

Incompetent Handel

July 19th, 2010
5:04 pm

Here is another linkregarding Handel’s incompetence on the county border issue. This is a news link from Macon’s WMAZ from last Fall. Handel waited 6 months after the survey was done, and resigned without ever making a decision as she was required by law to do. She tried every way she possibly could to pass it on to someone else, as you see in my links above. See the news link here:

http://www.bibbmonroebattle.com/vidWMAZ101409.html

David Staples

July 19th, 2010
5:12 pm

I believe Barnes has the Democratic nomination in the bag. It’s taken me this long but I’ve finally decided I’m going to vote in the GOP primary tomorrow. As a Libertarian, I’m hoping I don’t regret casting my vote for Eric Johnson, but he appears to be the one with the fewest ethics slimeballs sticking to him. He said he’d sign Sunday alcohol sales legislation as well as parimutuel betting on horse racing legislation. He appears to be the most fiscally responsible of the bunch and for the most limited government – letting cities and counties make decisions closer to the individual than state government.

Handel seems to be joining the gay hater crowd to keep up with Oxendine and Deal. Oxendine and Deal have too many ethics problems… which when you begin to associate Handel along with those two makes her not really seem all that great either. Otis… well… good luck. McBerry shouldn’t get more than one percent. He might not even vote for himself if someone will organize a group of cheerleaders outside his voting precinct. Chapman would veto Sunday sales. That’s a very simple issue that the legislation has already been written. It simply says let the voters decide the issue instead of a handful of politicians. If he has an issue trusting the voters of Georgia then the voters shouldn’t trust him.

In the end, I’m voting for John Monds come November. He’s the only principled choice that I see out of all the existing candidates.

Incompetent Handel

July 19th, 2010
5:16 pm

Edit: Thie video above is from six months after the survey was finished and Handel resigned three months after this news report. So she had 9 months total to make a decision that she ultimately refused to make.

Stockbridge, UyD

July 19th, 2010
5:48 pm

Oxendine noses out Deal for a runoff with Handel. But, very close. Deal may even take the Ox. Barnes without a runoff. 53%. Doesn’t really matter who is elected as State Superintendent. But, I thihk that John Barge wins the GOP Primary. Joe and Beth F. in runoff. Not one of these candidates will make the tough decisions in public education. Plus, they are limited in what they can do anyway. As long as Georgia continues taking Federal monies, the State is not really in charge of public education.

Porter — the woman — does well. Kemp will win in the Fall, though. Barnes and Handel will fight it out in the Fall, with Roy trying to shake the President’s baggage. This ought to be a real doozie in the Fall. The summer has been a sleeper of a campaign.

There’s a chance — I say “chance” — that Victor Hill defeats Valencia Seay, who has been very sick, in the Democratic Primary for State Senate. If he wins and Gail Davenport wins the other State Senate seat which is also located partly in Clayton County, then this will shake up the Wade Starr-Alex Cohilas Gang who is running Clayton County now. Eldrin Bell is simply a figurehead. But, he shakes hands well, has a million dollar smile, and can sing in church!

Jewell Scott will probably not win because of the heavy weight of her husband tied to her political forturne. Lee Scott has managed to make himself the biggest heel since Dusty Rhodes was teamed up with Dick Murdoch in the 1970s as the Texas Outlaws. Every time Lee Scott runs, it seems that the voters resent him more and more. The more billboards, the more they don’t like him. A classic example of the Law of Diminishing Returns.

I’ll have to depend on the internet to keep up with statewide returns. I am enjoying some sunshine in another part of God’s wonderful Earth. One of the most beautiful places on Earth. So, as you get out and vote tomorrow, I will be thinking of you as I sip on a caparinha. For election day (one of my favorite times of the year), I may even break out a stoogie! Good luck, candidates! I take my hat off to each one who has thrown his or her hat into the political ring. This is quite gutsy. Others criticize, but you have actually offered up your services. Even if you don’t win, you have made a significant contribution to the American process. Democracy is probably the messiest form of government on Earth. But, it is the best. God bless America! And God bless us all, as Tiny Tim implored.

LynnNGa

July 19th, 2010
6:18 pm

Have you looked at a list of Oxendine’s contributors? I just pulled it and it is amazing In all the areas across the state where there are big political PHOs that call the shots, all of those groups contribute to Oxendine. The guy is dirty and is not looking out for Georgians. Don’t tell me he is on the up and up after what I read in Creative Loafing today.

Aquagirl

July 19th, 2010
6:26 pm

Lynn provides exhibit A for why Ox’s poll numbers have tanked. Potential voters take a 5 minute look and say holy &%$!

Michael

July 19th, 2010
6:27 pm

Go Thurbert? Anyone, anyone? Bueller?

Question Man

July 19th, 2010
6:49 pm

Isn’t it more likely the early polls were wrong rather than there being a huge change by the electorate?

Pork Chop

July 19th, 2010
7:57 pm

Slip-slidin’ away . . .

Estes

July 19th, 2010
8:15 pm

It~s certainly good to Lee N. Howell back out here among the political animals. He~s the greatest of the political reporters!!!!!!!

Estes

July 19th, 2010
8:16 pm

YwH BAQBY!!!!!

Tom

July 19th, 2010
8:20 pm

Barnes had his chance. FAILURE. I can’t believe any Georgian with an IQ over 10 would vote for that idiot.

I’m voting for Handel.

Republican

July 19th, 2010
10:18 pm

[...] in New Hampshire, Palin-Endorsed Karen Handel …CBS NewsWall Street Journal (blog) -Atlanta Journal Constitution (blog) -The Daily Citizenall 145 news [...]

Old Hand

July 19th, 2010
10:20 pm

Rs, If you loved do-nothing Perdue, vote for Handel, otherwise Deal is the only choice who is not a fool like the Ox (end the state income tax – 45% of state revenues– through cuts when over half the budget is education, and most of that pass-through to public schools) or Eric (the problem with the state is Obama, never mind the transportation, water or education problems). Yeah, I know, they are all ethically challenged. Dems, Roy may have been King, but at least he was an enlightened despot. Overall, Dem field is better but only Roy has a chance in the fall.

Mr. Grumpy

July 20th, 2010
7:00 am

Teachers, retired teachers, state employees, and retired state employees: If you didn’t catch it in yesterday’s AJC, you could have read an article about how our health care insurance is going into the hole because the last 8 years of a Republican-run legislature and Governor’s office used up much of the money in the trust account for our health insurance to fund other “priorities,” like Sonny’s “Go Fish” ponds and other pet projects.

If you vote in another Republican Governor and fall into one of the categories described above, there won’t be enough health insurance money to pay for the psychiatrist you need to see for voting that way. NO MORE REPUBLICANS WHO HAVE SHOWN THAT, AFTER 8 YEARS OF CONTROL, THEY DON’T HAVE A CLUE. DON’T BE STUPID. VOTE FOR YOUR INTERESTS, NOT FOR SOME BULL$HIT PROPAGANDA.

khc

July 20th, 2010
7:45 am

mr. grumpy, their agenda is to dismantle govt along with the pension system….you see they believe they (repubs) work hard and teachers and state employees don’t. since the big banks don’t have to honor their commitments (need bailout dollars) why should they the repukes keep the promises to state pentioneers. oh but they will make sure the legislative retirement system is sound, maybe even judicial, but the heck with the rest of them. look at their fearless leader perdue. are you better off than you were 8 years ago, bet sonny is.

khc

July 20th, 2010
7:58 am

tom must have an iq less than 10 to vote for 8 more years of total ineptness…..but tom is gonna blame obama, but it was his repukes that got us in this mess, tax cuts that did not do diddly for the masses or the economy, wars that only helped the military industrial complex, aided the home ownership society by not regulating banks or mortgage industry (dems helped here)….and the iq of repub leaderhip in house in senate may be combined to =10 in ga general assembly….at least they got rid of glenn….

the rich repukes coupled with the conservative social issue crowd (a growing number because of the aging population….) have combined forces to drive major wedges in our society. and yes the minority crowd of the dem party has aided too.

pretty damn depressing for middle america. wish there was an alternative 3d party of consequence.

Bill Orvis White

July 20th, 2010
8:24 am

I’m sorry to see this. Mrs. Handel is not a conservative, pure and simple. I have no idea what’s going on over there. This is where Miss Sarah has gone wrong by endorsing her. I have no idea why she didn’t support the Honorable Ray McBerry for Georgia’s top job. His values are right in line with Sarah.

I’m afraid your state is in peril whether King Roy or Mrs. Handel get in. God help Georgia’s sovereignty and the innocent unborn. If any of you in that state care about low/no taxe$, health care and school choice, then cast your ballot for Ray McBerry today. My aunt just went to the polls and did just that. Please follow her example and stay far away from Karen Handel! Ray McBerry is the best hope to join with fellow southern governors who could form an all-new Southern Coalition whereby these great states stand up to the Godless big federal government and say no to Obamacare, the gay agenda, Christian rights, environmentalism and an unfair tax burden!

Amen,
Bill

Buckhead Boys

July 20th, 2010
8:37 am

The Republicans are hicks and rednecks! We need a face for Georgia,not a face for the county fair!

T Knight

July 20th, 2010
8:40 am

Sorry Bill, Ray McBerry is a pedophile. He is not good for Georgia.

Joeinmidtown

July 20th, 2010
8:46 am

As a gay citizen, I am going to laugh when Ox and Deal lose tonight after those TV ads! If you can’t represent all of the citizens then you don’t understand the duties of elected officials. I deserve to be represented in Georgia just like everyone else. I pay taxes too!

Native Atlantan, Living in Brazil

July 20th, 2010
9:04 am

I understand that Handel had a difficult upbringing and couldn’t finish college because she couldn’t afford it. However, one thing irks me. She worked for CIBA Vision, KPMG and Hallmark and the federal government. Translation: she was making a lot more money and I’m sure those companies would incentivise additional schooling. When she prospered, why was returning to school not a higher priority? Has she not thought about returning to school to finish what she started? This is surely not a message that we should be sending to our young students especially in a State where all we talk about is the need to improve our education system. I find it difficult to support someone with this mindset. Thoughts?

Ga GOP

July 20th, 2010
9:14 am

Deal is the biggest crook of the bunch. VOTE ERIC JOHNSON

ccwman

July 20th, 2010
10:52 am

Today voted in republican primary (12 Cong Dist) only wish it were November at this point.
Gov: Handel (GRTL pisses me off with its testimony and in your face tactics)
SOS: McGinnitie
AG Preston Smith
Comm of Ins: Gerry Purcell
Labor Comm: Melvin Everson
PSC: Jeff May
12 Dist Congress – Ray McKinney
158th Dist: Jan Tankersley
NO on Constitutional ballot question

Bill Orvis White

July 20th, 2010
11:09 am

@T Knight
Mr. McBerry is innocent! Vote McBerry and you won’t be sorry. You will see low or even no tax bills. You will get to keep your hard-earned dollar$. Who wouldn’t want that? What more is there to understand? Why would any government tax its citizens’ hard work? I just don’t understand that.
VOTE:
McBerry
MacGinnitie
Hudgens

Amen,
Bill

Leigh

July 20th, 2010
3:54 pm

Why is it that all of these polls are inaccurate — I mean NOT EVEN CLOSE?

BadlyRepresentedinMableton

July 20th, 2010
4:23 pm

Are you saying we could have a Governor and Lt. Gov. with a GED? (Handel and Cagle). This could be history in the making.

Americus Jacket

July 20th, 2010
4:56 pm

Johnson is within the Margin of Error. It’s 2.3%, right? So, Johnson may have 16.3% and Deal may have 14.7%. Actually, the MOE means nothing if you don’t have more information. For example, with 99.9% certainty, the MOE is MUCH larger.

Exciting stuff, huh? I’ll be here all week…