Can Roy Barnes win without a Democratic runoff?
It may be time to start wondering if Roy Barnes can win the July 20 Democratic primary for governor without a cash-consuming runoff.
For the second time in less than a month, a statewide poll has shown the former Georgia governor with an overwhelming lead.
In late May, it was a WSB-TV/InsiderAdvantage poll, which showed Barnes leaping to a 64 percent lead. On Monday evening, a SurveyUSA poll showed Barnes with the support of 63 percent of Democratic respondents, with Attorney General Thurbert Baker, his closest competitor, at 13 percent.
See the details here. Crosstabs can be found here.
The poll was sponsored by group of three media outlets – 11Alive News and V103-FM in Atlanta, and 13WMAZ-TV of Macon.
The same poll shows that, on the Republican side of the race for governor, state Insurance Commissioner John Oxendine holds a commanding lead of 34 percent, with former secretary of state Karen Handel (18 percent) and former congressman Nathan Deal (17 percent) in a tight race for second place.
Former state Sen. Eric Johnson of Savannah, who with Oxendine went up on TV today, was rated at 6 percent.
The specs from 11Alive:
So the two polls have separate MOEs – 3.6 percent in the Republican survey, and 4.3 percent in the Democratic contest.
On that Democratic side of the race, Barnes’ early presence on TV – he issued his sixth ad of the campaign last week – is clearly a factor.
Baker began his TV campaign on Sunday, and came out with a second introductory ad today – aimed at most of the major Georgia markets:
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66 comments Add your comment
south GA asks...
June 22nd, 2010
12:46 pm
Anyone know where all King Roy’s money comes from…….He’s seems like a crook, seems to dislike educators, and wants us to believe his contrite apologies… If he’s the nominee..it’s four more years of Republicans out of control in the state house. Nominate Poythress and let’s get common sense back to work for Georgia.
TP4U
June 22nd, 2010
12:48 pm
Too bad the 64% of the polled voters hasn’t translated to voters going to the polls. there will be a run-off. the first week of early voting produced 1500 voters from the top three democratic counties (dekalb, clayton and fulton) including absentee voters. there will be a run-off. all that money spent on tv advertisement hasn’t translated into votes.
BABY SAY
June 22nd, 2010
1:10 pm
REemimbER….BABY SAY ROY bARNES GOIN WIND. DUNT KER WHUT YU WRIT IN ALL YER NAMEES ++ _ ROY BARNES SMART ENUF TO APOLGERGIZ TOO TEEACHERS….. HE GWOIN WIND!!!!!! DONT WASTES YER MUNY$$$$ ROY BARNES IZ WINDING DIS RASE. REMIMBER DAT BAY SAY IT_____– IT GWOIN HAPPEN!!!
Bill Orvis White
June 22nd, 2010
1:11 pm
@Will Jones – Atlanta Jeffersonian Exegesis
Secular Progressive Will doesn’t understand that states like Georgia need solid, quality leadership that will make it stronger. If someone like Mr. McBerry leads good Southern states, then there is hope for the future. God Bless, Bill
Nathan Deal gives Ga. 400 tolls a place in GOP race for governor | Political Insider
June 22nd, 2010
1:28 pm
[...] day after a Survey USA poll showed him in a virtual tie with Karen Handel for a runoff berth in the GOP race for governor, former congressman Nathan Deal has begun touting a [...]
Will Jones - Atlanta Jeffersonian Exegesis
June 22nd, 2010
3:18 pm
Mr. White, Welcome to America. No doubt your pedophile papist priests spent little time teaching you how to be American. But it’s never too late.
One of the mottoes of Our Creed is Novus Ordo Seclorem, meaning The New Secular Order. You can look at the image of the Great Seal on the back of a One Dollar Bill if you’re unfamiliar with the enshrined three tenets of our shared belief system, the civil religion, that we as One People (E Pluribus Unum) under G-d (Annuit Coeptis), teach and believe.
Those who disdain the secular in The New Secular Order are either pathologically confused or sectarian traitors. And who objects to American Exceptionalism’s progress but those who would restore the fascist Old Sectarian Order your priests raised you to serve, from which America’s Founders escaped?
Which are you? Fascist papist, or American? Are you sober enough to tell?
Your support, from two states over, of known pedophile McBerry and your shared insistence with him, in agreement with your Babylonian priesthood’s dictates, that pedophile rapists be rewarded by the government’s forcing the victims of rape and incest to bear, without a choice of a medically sound, legal abortion, is abomination before G-d.
Go and pray, and ask your wife to forgive you for the fraud of a husband you’ve been on this blog, if the liquor you claim to have given up hasn’t completely destroyed your mind.
Come out of Babylon for G-d is not with you there.
The curse comes not without cause.
Anne
June 22nd, 2010
6:10 pm
Baker is a wimp, Barnes is a liar. I worked under Poythress when he was Labor Commish, he is a fair man and BELIEVE IT OR NOT an honest man. Gee that would be refreshing honest and politics in the same sentence. Wake up America we are in a bad way.
I'm a Realist
June 22nd, 2010
8:09 pm
Anne:
“I worked under Poythress when he was Labor Commish” Poor choice of words unless you are trying to give us another Gena Evans moment.
Poythress is a nice guy and an honest guy. He is also polling 4%. Wake up Anne. You can waste your vote by casting it for a guy who may pull in 5% in the final tally, or you can use it to elect Barnes, the only man who can start DAY 1 cleaning up Sonny’s mess. You seem smart enough to know that voting for Poythress is like voting for the guy who humped his mule … a wasted vote.
Atl Resident
June 22nd, 2010
8:47 pm
UsmcDawg
June 21st, 2010
10:10 pm
It is real simple:
If you vote Democrat, you are voting for Affirmative Action, Illegal Immigration, Higher Taxes, Weak National Defense, Government Handouts, etc.
The Republicans are not perfect either, but they are MUCH better than Democrats, and they are not pushing a Socialist agenda like the Dems.
Are you damn crazy? This statement is no close to being true for the last past eight years in this country and state.
Will Jones - Atlanta Jeffersonian Exegesis
June 23rd, 2010
12:06 am
The “Republicans” gave us Bush and Cheney unchecked; 9/11 and false war for a spiraling concentration of off-shored wealth not being re-invested here; plus an open border for Rome’s excess Latin American slaves…destroying the Middle Class.
The Democrats – in service to the same bi-partisan false elite – are complicit, in part, because while in power they have failed to establish justice by hanging Bush and Cheney, but they are the lesser evil.
DuBose and Carol Porter should be a vast improvement over any other combination of candidates in either “party.”
TeacherToo
June 23rd, 2010
12:48 am
Dear SS Teacher
History is the best predictor, no? I always understood that we learned our history well so that we were not doomed to repeat our past mistakes. Perhaps you were not an educator in our great state when Roy Barnes was governor? If not, please ask around. The state budget was strong, but educator pay increases were virtually nonexistent. Educator morale was at an all time low. Righteous Roy publicly pointed an accusatory finger towards educators with regularity to use them as scapegoats for the multitude of problematic issues originating in our communities but landing in our schools and impacting educational achievement. We continually heard that our schools were failing and our teachers were failing. (I contend that our problem was and IS much broader in that our parents, communities, churches, governments, schools, students and societies are failing.) There was much in the way of criticism and little in the way of support for education during Governor Barnes’ previous reign. My history lessons taught me to remember well the vote I cast and that place in time of Roy Barnes’ reign, lest I be doomed to repeat a past mistake 8 P
Paddy O
June 23rd, 2010
10:14 am
Are taxes high in Georgia? No. Do people pay for government services they don’t receive direct benefit from? Yes. The key here is increasing the use of sales tax, as that will spread out the burden of paying for government. Most people who live in large cities (over 10,000 people), most likely have a government that squanders a lot of $$$. Small cities, especially those under 5000, usually have one employee doing jobs that it takes three people to do in those larger cities – that is good governmental efficiency. Meanwhile, our school BOE’s do NOT have this efficiency. The odds are that your school system has top 20 paid governmental jobs in your county, most of those at the administrative office. School teachers are adequately paid at a minimum, way overpaid at the maximum. Therefore, we need to have more school operations paid for by a sales tax. HOwever, to eliminate the case of taxes being rendered on citizens who are not receiving a direct benefit, that elost M&O tax needs to be collected for an entire year, then those funds used to reduce and/or eliminate property tax for those citizens who do not have kids in the school system. This should only require about 3 cents of sales tax to completely eliminate property tax for school operations on those who do NOT have kids in the system.
Paddy O
June 23rd, 2010
10:16 am
Carol Porter has a chance; Dubose, no chance (won’t even make it out of primary).
Will
June 23rd, 2010
3:42 pm
Poythress haha…what a joke.
Flavio
June 28th, 2010
8:16 pm
Yes, Carol Porter may win, but not her husband who is a nice guy and very sharp.
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