City officials in Georgia predict Roy Barnes will be Democratic nominee

More than two-thirds of 576 mayors and members of city councils across Georgia expect former Gov. Roy Barnes to be the Democratic nominee for governor.

A plurality of the same men and women – 34 percent — think state Insurance Commissioner John Oxendine will emerge as the Republican nominee.

Thirty-eight percent of the city officials think Barnes will pull off an upset in November. Twenty percent said they don’t have a clue, and 10 percent picked John Oxendine.

The survey – not a poll – is the biennial work product of the Georgia Municipal Association. The question asked of GMA’s members in each case was not: “Who would you like to see as the nominee?”

The question was: “Who do you think will win?”

See the complete results here. About 25 percent of GMA members participated.

“We enjoy doing this survey each year before our annual convention [in Savannah next week],” said GMA Executive Director Jim Higdon. “It’s just fun to see what city officials are thinking in regards to state politics.”

If you assume that urban centers, regardless of size, will trend Democratic, that would mean the GMA question regarding that party’s primary carries the most weight.

From the GMA communiqué:

“[I]t was interesting to note that we did ask the respondents which Regional Commission their city is in, and city officials had Barnes on top in each region except in Three Rivers (Carrol, Troup, Heard, Coweta, Meriwether, Spalding, Pike, Upson, Lamar and Butts counties) where he tied with Oxendine,” said Higdon.

Other tidbits:

– 75 percent of the GMA members picked Republican Casey Cagle to win another term as lieutenant governor, over Democrat Carol Porter.

– 48 percent predicted that their regions would reject a 1-percent sales tax for transportation in a 2012 referendum.

From the press release:

“City officials in three regions thought the tax would pass — metro Atlanta, middle Georgia and the coastal region,” Higdon said.

“The transportation needs in metro-Atlanta are well documented and people have generally felt that the regional tax has a good chance of passing there. In middle Georgia getting the fall-line freeway completed may be behind the thinking of some local officials there and the coast experienced exceptional growth over the past 10 years and has pretty significant transportation needs.”

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30 comments Add your comment


June 15th, 2010
5:00 pm

Oxendine vs. Barnes = We All Lose.

Paddy O

June 15th, 2010
5:09 pm

Other option?

Will Jones - Atlanta Jeffersonian Exegesis

June 15th, 2010
5:13 pm

DuBose and Carol Porter mark the Path of Righteousness for all good and decent Georgians.

[...] Thirty-eight percent of the city officials think Barnes will pull off an upset in November. Twenty percent said they don’t have a clue, and 10 percent picked John Oxendine. Read the complete story. [...]

Bobby Anthony

June 15th, 2010
8:54 pm

Only 1/3 think Barnes will win the election. Sounds like the majority believe he will loose.


June 15th, 2010
9:07 pm

my concern is whether or not my R g’friend will still get me..^%$(*

Mama Says

June 15th, 2010
9:21 pm

God help us if either win

Same Song Second Verse

June 15th, 2010
9:22 pm

I agree with Jon.

With those two, it’s the devil you know vs. the devil you know.


June 15th, 2010
9:41 pm

time to get out of this state if either of them win. Help us all please!

Rob Vinson

June 15th, 2010
10:31 pm

At least that milk toast Sonny will be back in Houston County where he belongs. Roy Barnes will win this one I think.


June 15th, 2010
10:32 pm

We all know Barnes is not the answer – he had his chance and failed us ALL miserably. Don’t let him back in. Oxendine seems weak, I am pulling for Deal.


June 15th, 2010
10:55 pm

Fool me once, shame on you. fool me twice…..

Alex A.

June 15th, 2010
11:03 pm

Too bad its not easier to run for governor like it is in Calif; that way my agenda of Sunday liquor sales, in state gaming, county consolidation, water management, high-speed rail and city development (August, Savannah, etc.) would get me elected (plus the money from gaming would allow for a tax cut)!

Otherwise expect Barnes to win, although I’d prefer Poythress.


June 15th, 2010
11:04 pm

Time to go buy a Star Trek costume and vote for the Libertarian candidate….


June 15th, 2010
11:10 pm

I think Barns will win on the Dem side because only the true Dem faithful will come out in the primary. I am not sure about Ox? I think the Rep faithful are split and I think the tea party crowd will make the difference on whomever they choose. Whoever the Reps select will win big in November. I predict that all constitutional offices will be held by Republicans, Senator reelected and we may have one or two Dem house seats switch. All the suburban middle class people that voted fro Obama are pissed and want to send a message to Washington and the state Rep. will benefit greatly.


June 16th, 2010
12:40 am

No way will Oxendine have a chance when news of John letting Gwinnett Sprinkler lose one of the largest Wage and Hour Cases in Georgias history and his office not investigating fake sprinkler heads installed or should I say not installed in buildings in Atlanta from this company.Wow! and they are at the airport too

Not so fast

June 16th, 2010
1:29 am

The problem is the people of Georgia are waiting for an alternative, any alternative to vote for. An interesting poll question would be would you like either Barnes or Oxendine to be Governor? If any of the rest of the candidates can seize on an issue that will get them enough name recognition and thus money into their campaign chests, we may all see how vulnerable the two front runners are.

Ox is a PUTZ!

June 16th, 2010
1:30 am

I have dealings with Oxendine. Each and every time I’ve dealt with him, there was always something he was hiding. I would hate to think what he would hide as Governor.


June 16th, 2010
1:38 am

Years ago, Oxendine was caught using his magnetic emergency red light to run through red lights at intersections. He admitted it to a reporter on TV when caught, and honestly didn’t act like much was wrong with doing it – didn’t seem sincere in his apology at ALL. So, he engaged in something that could easily have harmed or killed someone just to get through red lights, and thought nothing of it.

Fast forward to a more recent date: His teen son goes hunting with him and friends, and shoots one of their family friends straight-on with a shotgun. Fills the guy with buckshot pots, shown on TV. Oxendine makes light of it like it was a JOKE and made no second thought about the fact his teenager who was untrained to properly use a gun did this. Does anyone need to think twice about voting for this guy? I truly hope not.


June 16th, 2010
2:50 am

The story here is that only 20% admit to not having a clue!

Georgia Pete

June 16th, 2010
3:00 am

Lester, Zell, Roy, Sonny…how about a candidate with a repseactable first name?


June 16th, 2010
8:45 am

I hold an elected office. During my campaigns, I did not bring up my opponents. My philosophy was that this office was about what I could do to help the people, not the “down fall” of others who were running. If someone’s campaign is only about how bad the others are, then they don’t have a grasp on what they need to do even if they are elected. Nathan Deal’s campaign, so far, is only about Karen Handel. Nathan, get a grip and tell us about yourself-not your opponents.

No Thurbert

June 16th, 2010
9:04 am

Thurbert Baker, with his hypocritical politics, stands for whatever will get him the most votes. Apparently, Baker feels that laws apply to everyone but him. Rural white Georgians are not going to support Thurbert Baker for Governor. And, neither are African-American voters, who are disgusted by Thurbert Baker’s snubbing of their support over the years, as well as controversial rulings by Baker (such as in the Genarlow Wilson case). Looks like Roy Barnes will secure the Democratic Nomination.

Lee Howell

June 16th, 2010
9:04 am

If Roy & Ox are the best we can do as a state, God help us!

I wouldn’t vote for either, and don’t understand why the GMA seems to be, unless they are either corrupt or predicting that the electorate is totally stupid. Of course, considering some of those we’ve voted for already, including many members of the GMA, the latter can’t be ruled out.


June 16th, 2010
9:09 am

They were wrong before when Perdue was elected despite all pundits saying Barnes was a shoo-in because he was swimming in money and was the incumbent.
Millions in campaign funds and endless pandering ads do not assure election.
In fact, millions in campaign funds demonstrate that a candidate owes lots of favors to lots of donors that the donors intend to collect, whether or not in the broader public interest.

Bobby Anthony

June 16th, 2010
9:40 am

King Roy will receive the same fate that Cuff Links Carl suffered. History always repeats itself.


June 16th, 2010
9:57 am

Lee Howell – the GMA survey isn’t about who they would vote for, but who they think will win. Big difference.

Bobby Anthony – bad deduction. From your perspective, the majority indicates that all the candidates look to lose, which can’t be the case … one will indeed win. It’s a hypothetical question to gauge some generalities about the race.

Kiljoy – no story in 20% of the folks not knowing who would win. Maybe it’s indicative of the race as it stands now, meaning maybe it’s too close to call at this point.

Bobby Anthony

June 16th, 2010
12:10 pm

Bubba it was not a question. Do you see a question mark in my statement? It was an opinion, and I did not state that someone will not win. I said Roy will not win.If the majority of the people cast their vote as I intend to do, David Poythress will win the election.

David S

June 16th, 2010
12:12 pm

None of the Above is looking better and better. If you don’t like the choices, just don’t vote. They only function with our support. Withdraw the support and the whole thing stops functioning.

An election in which the governor gets only 5-10% of the eligible vote sends a message far more that voting (as we always seem to have to do) for the “lesser of two evils.” The lesser is still evil, and I will not vote in support of evil.

My vote is too important to waste on a republican or a democrat (unless the republican is Ron Paul).

Pickin' Cotton

June 17th, 2010
6:01 pm

My take, majority of the state will vote Republican and Roy will go home to his rockin’ chair.