Georgia’s WIN List, a political action committee aimed at supporting Democratic women, published its list of endorsed candidates for 2010.
A state version of Emily’s List, one of the Georgia PAC’s criteria is support for “reproductive freedom.” In other words, abortion rights.
We’ll list the recipients below, but most important is who the WIN List did not endorse: Carol Porter of Dublin, who as a candidate for lieutenant governor will be be the highest-ranking woman on the Democratic ballot in the July 20 primary.
Porter, wife of the Democratic candidate for governor, did not apply for consideration by the group, said Amy Morton of Macon, chairman of the group. (Morton says she is personally supporting Porter.
Morton says she is personally supporting Porter, who is attempting to chart an unusual middle ground on the abortion issue, refusing to describe herself as either “pro-life” or “pro-choice.” Her husband, House Democratic Leader DuBose Porter, describes himself as “pro-life.”
Those endorsed by Georgia’s WIN List:
– For state insurance commissioner: Mary Squires;
– For state Senate: Freddie Powell Sims, Nan Orrock, Valencia Seay, Horacena Tate, Gloria Butler;
– For state House: Pat Dooley, Stacey Evans, Elly Dobs, Alisha Thomas Morgan, Kathy Ashe, Pat Gardner, Simone Bell, Margaret Kaiser, Elena Parent, Mary Margaret Oliver, Stacey Abrams, Stephanie Stuckey Benfield, Karla Drenner, Michele Henson, Pam Stephenson, Dee Dawkins-Haigler, Debbie Buckner, Carolyn Hugley, Nikki Randall.
The poll puts Barnes at 64 percent, far more than is needed to win the Democratic primary without a runoff. Half of white voters surveyed and nearly three-quarters of black voters declared support for Barnes.
By the numbers:
– Roy Barnes, 64 percent;
– DuBose Porter, 8 percent;
– Thurbert Baker, 6 percent;
– Carl Camon, 5 percent;
– David Poythress, 1 percent;
– Randal Mangham, 1 percent;
– Bill Bolton, 0 percent;
– No opinion, 15 percent.
The automated poll was conducted May 26 among 428 respondents who said they were likely Democratic voters. MOE is 5 percentage points.
An increase could reflect the fact that Barnes is currently the only candidate – Republican or Democrat – with a substantial presence on television in Georgia. But the former governor has been on the air in metro Atlanta for less than a week.
Jeff DiSantis, spokesman for Baker – the candidate hurt most by the poll, says he has his suspicious about the survey’s methodology.
“A broken clock is right twice a day. It’s also wrong the rest of the time. Well, this poll is a broken clock and it’s just wrong. It doesn’t match any other public or private poll we’ve seen. Even the poll’s author suggests his numbers won’t hold up,” DiSantis said.
These were the standings in April, according to that previous IA poll:
– Barnes, 47 percent;
– Baker, 18 percent;
– Poythress, 6 percent;
– DuBose Porter, 5 percent;
– No opinion, 24 percent.
The Fulton County Daily Report keeps its online material behind a screen, so we haven’t seen it ourselves.
But we’re told that an Andy Peters story today details an appearance by candidates for attorney general before the Georgia Chamber of Commerce, includes this assessment from Democrat Ken Hodges on whether Georgia election law should continue to be subject to Section 5 of the federal Voting Rights Act:
“Certainly there was a need for [the law] originally,” Hodges said. “If there is evidence of discrimination [it should still be enforced], but I have not looked at that [law] to give an opinion on that now.”
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball is out today with a cold-eyed assessment of likely GOP gains in the U.S. House this November.
U.S. Rep. Jim Marshall’s 8th District race against Republican Austin Scott is listed as “likely Democrat.” U.S. Rep. John Barrow (D-Savannah) is not mentioned at all in the Crytstal Ball collection of competitive House races.
Sabato’s Web site predicts a 32-seat gain for the GOP, but says it can find no evidence that Republicans are near a takeover of the House. And warns that GOP leaders may be hurting themselves by puffing up expectations:
Republicans would have every reason to boast about a 32-seat gain. But it may appear diminished if GOP leaders continue to project that the party will pick up 60, 70, even 100 seats or more, as some Republicans have done in the past couple of months.
Barring a massive GOP wave, these predictions appear to be unrealistic daydreams. In politics, expectations matter, and more than a few prominent Republicans are setting the bar ridiculously high—at least given what we are seeing in the key districts across the nation in late May.
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