Your morning jolt: Survey still has Oxendine in lead, three Republicans tied for second

InsiderAdvantage has a poll out today showing the Republican race for governor in a state of stasis:

– John Oxendine, 25%

– Karen Handel, 10%

– Nathan Deal, 9%

– Eric Johnson, 7%

– Austin Scott, 3%

– Ray McBerry, 1%

– Undecided, 45%.

The essentials: 580 likely Republican voters, MOE -/+ 4 percentage points.

“This number marks a significant increase over the last gubernatorial poll conducted by Insider Advantage,” says the press release put out this morning by the Oxendine campaign. The reference is to a May 2009 poll that put Oxendine at 21.3 percent.

Given a 4 percent margin of error, it is a statistically significant increase, but barely. What the campaign doesn’t mention is that, seven months ago, Oxendine was crowing over a Rasmussen poll that gave the insurance commissioner a “commanding” 35 percent lead over the field.

One other note: Again, given the margin of error, it looks like we’ve got a three-way tie for second place in the Republican field – which speaks well for Johnson, who hails from small-market Savannah.

State Rep. Austin Scott, the Republican candidate for governor from Tifton, has apparently assigned himself the job of tarnishing front-running state Insurance Commissioner John Oxendine.

Last week, at the Georgia Christian Alliance debate, with Oxendine looking on, Scott introduced himself to the audience thusly:

Let’s be honest. How many of you hate political corruption? I can’t stand it. I know, I get pretty passionate about it. I can even blow my top when I see political corruption.”

This afternoon, Scott has scheduled a press conference in the state Capitol to show off new legislation “to change campaign finance laws governing the office of the insurance commissioner.”

We’re told the legislation would bar solicitation of campaign funds from insurance company officers.

State Rep. Barry Loudermilk (R-Cassville) is the lead sponsor of H.B. 1155, which is likely to become the focus of anti-abortion forces this session. The “Prenatal Nondiscrimination Act” would make it a crime to solicit abortions on the basis of race. The bill was dropped Wednesday.

Those billboards around town declaring black children to be an endangered species? That’s what this is about.

The Democratic Party of Georgia says it has landed former Virginia governor Tim Kaine, the party’s national chairman, for its annual Jefferson-Jackson fund-raising dinner on March 22.

For instant updates, follow me on Twitter.

78 comments Add your comment

GA110

February 11th, 2010
9:47 am

If the stupid, well never mind, that would be implied, Republican primary voters nominate OxenSWINE, Roy Barnes will be Governor again.

So, Republitards, go nominate the Swine.

lmno

February 11th, 2010
9:52 am

Honestly, I can’t believe this. I mean, the guy is in a constant state of controversy. Who are his supporters?

People apparently don’t care if you take sketchy donations, try to coerce litigants, and put a for sale sign on yourself. I suppose it would take a sex scandal to bring him down.

RUKidding

February 11th, 2010
9:53 am

Ox is crowing about an increase in the polls form 5/2009. Didn’t that poll include Cagle, who was the front runner at the time. I also seem to remember the Oxen camp crowing about closing in on 50% in some poll at one point.

Ox is sinking fast.

GoOx

February 11th, 2010
9:55 am

My man Ox has – another poll another resounding lead. Combine the next three and they barely beat my man Ox.

tc

February 11th, 2010
9:56 am

once a penal colony, always a penal colony can be the only explanation

Hey Ox

February 11th, 2010
9:57 am

Looks like you are getting beat almost 2-1 by undecided. Nice work. Keep taking that cash. Book your flights to the Oscars yet? How’s that gun safety class coming?

Ox=Corrupt

February 11th, 2010
10:00 am

…Karen Handel needs to get her act together. If we nominate John Oxendine I’ll either not vote or vote for Barnes. The guy is your prototypical corrupt politician.

d2

February 11th, 2010
10:02 am

Why is it everyone assumes that it is going to be Barnes and Ox? I have talked to hundreds of people and they are looking at Austin Scott and Dubois Porter. I personally haven’t decided yet, on which person I am voting for. The election is still early. Remember the polls with Sonny and Barnes. I think things will shift. Most people look like they are undecided according to the polls. The only thing I know of Cox (state school chief) probably won’t go back in.

The Late Maynord Jackson

February 11th, 2010
10:12 am

The Ox is the Jackson Machine’s Man. We can work (for a price) with John The Ox.

Vote Roy Barnes EARLY & OFTEN…

lmno

February 11th, 2010
10:16 am

I like Poythress but he can’t seem to get any press. Not every day you have a General running.

Rob Vinson

February 11th, 2010
10:17 am

Ox vs Barnes for 2010….The Ox will be sent to the slaughter house!

foodfight

February 11th, 2010
10:24 am

Hey, TC. I think you have a great new slogan for the state flag! I agree that a vote for Ox in the primary gets Barnes closer to West Paces Ferry, again.

Been Around-Done That!

February 11th, 2010
10:42 am

This is one north Georgia fiscal conservative who has had more than enough of the Oxendine/Handel/Deal type who play cheap politics and feather their own nests instead of looking after the folks. McBerry is just too far out in hard times like these. I am starting to take a hard look at Eric Johnson to try to figure out whether it is worthwhile to even bother to vote in the Republican Primary. Please no more Roy Barnes! Once was enough! Oh for a qualified independent candidate with a successful business background who common sense, integrity, and guts. We could sure use a Scott Brown type as Georgia’s next Governor!

frugal voter

February 11th, 2010
10:42 am

OX and Deal are sleaze. Neither has resigned their office to campaign. Yet they borrow money against other money to “look” like they have more than reality.Even the DOT can’t do that anymore.
I look forward to their eventual unemployment.

UGA1954

February 11th, 2010
11:11 am

The more significant number is the fact that there are still 45% undecided. So before anyone goes and claims Ox is the victor, or that Karen should be crowned Queen and anointed prior to July, perhaps you should give thought to the huge percentage of undecideds. Plus, people keep forgetting that July is still five months away AND endorsements can be game changers for the candidates not on the radar yet.

Will Jones - Atlanta Jeffersonian Exegesis

February 11th, 2010
11:14 am

Barnes cannot be governor for he is corrupt.

Georgians must look to DuBose Porter and Carl Camon for inspiration, unless Jeff Chapman finds a personality.

UGA1954

February 11th, 2010
11:19 am

Amen, Will Jones, about your Barnes’ comment. We tried riding that horse and got thrown off. Why give him another chance?

Hey Ox

February 11th, 2010
11:21 am

UGA1954,
Endorsements game changers? Seriously, how many people vote for someone based on endorsements. Endorsements are inside baseball that makes for press releases.

DICK

February 11th, 2010
11:29 am

Poythress is a no go. I am insurance agent and I don’t remember Oxedine doing anything good for the industry, oh wait yes he did do one thing right, he defeate Tim Ryals. After that it has been down hill every since. I like Karen stepping down as Sec of State, that showed me she was willing to sacrifice one thing for another. Maybe we can get ole Sonny and Roy to go fishing together and both ride off into the sun set. Re-electing and incumbent (Perdue) or one who has held the office before (Barnes) is like marrying your ex-wife again. She is only coming back to get what the courts didn’t give her the first time.

Ronnie

February 11th, 2010
11:29 am

True conservatives check out Ray McBerry. He’s solid. http://www.georgiafirst.org.

UGA1954

February 11th, 2010
11:33 am

With 45% of the people undecided, I disagree with you about endorsements. It does help candidates, rather you want to believe it or not. It does depend on who is doing the endorsing and how the public receives the one endorsing. There are so many voters who do not educate themselves enough about the candidates that they will vote for someone from their district or county who comes out and endorses a candidate. Some voters are spoon fed and you know that. It’s happened before and will continue to happen until people research everything they can about the candidates so they know what they’re getting.

UGA1954

February 11th, 2010
11:34 am

Oops — perceives (not receives). Sorry about the typo!

Road Scholar

February 11th, 2010
11:50 am

“Barnes cannot be governor for he is corrupt.”

How? Please enlighten me.

d2

February 11th, 2010
11:50 am

Ray Mcberry is a little to far for me.

Snafu

February 11th, 2010
11:52 am

The people of GA who vote for Oxedine are idiots to say the least. This is the ba..stard who has allowed the insurance companies to run amok here in GA. You want to know why you insurance premiums are going up? Well, you can thank the rogue idiot Oxedine. Then this ba..st..ard has the nerve to use the license database to solicit for his campaign. Where is the ETHIC COMMITTEE in GA? OOPs. Ethic in GA? Insurance companies have been getting way with crimes of not paying claims or making it hard for consumer, yet OXEIDIOT is allowing them to continue. HE is getting money from them, yet he is saying he is for the people. What a joke! The idiots in Georgia who vote for this moron deserve what they get.

Snafu

February 11th, 2010
11:54 am

Karen Handel is another joke. Can they find a qualified candidate that is not a crook. Oops, wait, were are talking Georgia here. The crooks are all over here regardless of party. Do you people think its not time to get the uneducated, doofus, incompetents out of office here in GA? When are people going to vote for someone that is educated and knows what they are doing?

Unfortunate

February 11th, 2010
11:55 am

@UGA1954 – I know a candidate that received every endorsement conceivable to man last City Council race and the person lost big time. Voters want to know you are going to do something about their issues. Endorsements are not resonating with voters. There is a faction of Voters who are becoming educated about the candidates and don’t like what they see or hear. They are researching, perusing disclosures and are not swayed by endorsements. In fact, if you are running for a statewide position the last thing you want is an endorsement from the AJC! The majority of the voters perceive the AJC as liberal and won’t vote for anyone that is endorsed by them. Sadly, it still comes down to money. How can they reach the voters without any money? Poythress is a great candidate but doesn’t have the money Barnes has and that is a shame. Porter sat around for the last few years and barely raised an eyebrow with all the bad legislation that has passed in the legislature. He is ineffective. I would never consider Oxendine because he is in the pockets of the insurance industry and can’t wait to give them Georgia on a platter. And, seriously Handel is not ready to be anyone’s governor. She is like those kids on Jersey Shore-bar hopping from one position to another.

Red

February 11th, 2010
11:57 am

I love the irony of the Dmeocrats holding a “Jefferson-Jackson” dinner. These two are some of the ‘greatest’ oppressors of minorities in this country – from slaves to Native Americans. Both claim to be for the common man but records speak counter. Sort of like Democrats now – pretending to be for the common man but instead doing the opposite. Fitting their party here in Georgia recognizes that feat.

Gary

February 11th, 2010
12:16 pm

25% for a guy who is known and elected statewide already? And this coming after he garnered 35% in the last Rasmussen poll? Ox is toast and will not win the GOP primary. I think he is dropping faster than Borders did in the Mayoral election. Don’t be surprised if he doesn’t make a run-off.

Whenever you have more than 40% undecided and one or two of the candidates were recently elected and known statewide (Oxendine and Handel), then this goes to show the electorate is seriously considering the other candidates, though they don’t know which one. It’s basically how Sonny won the GOP in 2002 without a run-off; he won over all the undecideds because no one wanted to vote for Shrenko (sp?) even though she was well known statewide. I see a similar thing happening to Oxendine this summer and that spells good news for Deal, Johnson, and possibly Austin Scott.

Gary

February 11th, 2010
12:20 pm

frugal voter, why should any of these candidates resign their current office to run? Handel did that and she was destroyed in the press. If any of the Republican candidates must resign, then how about Baker and Porter resigning as well?

All of these candidates owe it to the constituents who voted for them to finish their current job. If you want candidates stepping down to run for other posts, then we need to change state law.

jackie

February 11th, 2010
12:28 pm

I can’t imagine anyone who was here when “King Rat” Roy Barnes and his phony south Georgia accent (he is from Mableton) served(?) as governor would consider voting for him as official state manure spreader. Although it would be one of the few jobs he would be qualified for. I’m not excited by OX but he is much preferrable to arrogant, incompetent Handel, Deal is a “no” Deal. Hopefully one of the others candidates of either party will step up and put all of those out to pasture.

Mr. George Jung

February 11th, 2010
12:30 pm

If you have no college degree, not even a H.S. diploma, I can’t take you serious for the position of Governor. Sorry, can’t do it. Won’t do it. Times are too bad to elect someone with only a GED. What are you Handel folks thinking? She played politics to get where she is, not based on her performance.

Will Jones - Atlanta Jeffersonian Exegesis

February 11th, 2010
12:38 pm

Having purchased the bank whose start up – in an inarguable conflict of interest – enriched the co-opted Barnes while he was in the Georgia Legislature overseeing the banking industry in Georgia, the Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) is now the “gatekeeper” through which to enter his tightly secured, fully bogus, “Shrine to Law” offices in Marietta. Check out his pseudo-church, stained glass “store front” on Atlanta St. – it’s a real “classy” hoot.

Barnes is a Vietnam law school draft-dodger without the integrity or patriotism, once licensed to practice law, to go after the traitors who killed John Kennedy to send us to that false war to die for the Roman Anti-Christ’s lies.

Instead of serving the American Creed and G-d he joined that treasonous “Fifth Column’s” “Federal Reserve” faction, as his banking “deals” prove.

John Kennedy ended the Fed’s unconstitutional, economically fraudulent fiat-money, fractional banking franchise (recently bailed out through rampant inflation and welfare fascism) with Executive Order 11,110.

Barnes is corrupt – a physical coward, a draft-dodger, a hypocrite, and no man: a Mammon-worshipping, obese philistine on the side of money and the Roman Anti-Christ, he is not of, by, or, for, the People.

Selling hardware to the righteous in South Cobb was too good for him.

Some twisted deviants may want unctuous scum for politicians, but Barnes certainly isn’t worthy of the righteous People of Georgia.

Road Scholar
February 11th, 2010
11:50 am

“Barnes cannot be governor for he is corrupt.”

How? Please enlighten me.

burp Bacharach

February 11th, 2010
12:40 pm

OX luvs the Lord and shooting quail, he’s a lock for this backward state….

Will Jones - Atlanta Jeffersonian Exegesis

February 11th, 2010
12:41 pm

Andrew Jackson was scum, and his line, appropriately, like Reagan’s, is cut off by G-d.

Jefferson, however, was Author of the Declaration, hence The Founder of the United States of America. This is not surprising as his writings prove him to have been an anointed Prophet of G-d, the Creator of the universe.

Say otherwise and know yourself to be no American, and no man.

Red
February 11th, 2010
11:57 am

I love the irony of the Dmeocrats holding a “Jefferson

king of mean

February 11th, 2010
12:52 pm

Conservatives/Repub’s – we can NOT put this guy on the ticket. He’s a showboating government guy. He stages arrests for the cameras…

we HAVE to put Handel in office – she’s the real deal…

Strident_hack

February 11th, 2010
1:01 pm

Look closely at the numbers. What does it really mean?

With the number of years on statewide ballots for Oxendine and he is only at 25%, with 45% undecided – his campaign is on critical life support. As Deal and Handel are sharing the “anyone not under the dome” vote, the real meaning of these numbers is Eric Johnson is the odd’s favorite to join Ox in a run off, and then defeat Ox 55-45.

Rememeber this post. Print it and post it on your wall. Eric Johnson will face Roy Barnes in the fall.

bart

February 11th, 2010
1:05 pm

I am flabbergasted that anyone would even consider voting for Oxendine. It speaks volumes about the level of intelligence of the average Georgia voter. And frankly, Deal is not any better. I am one of his constituents in the 9th district, and he has done NOTHING for us since he’s been in office. It just goes to show that ignorant Georgia voters will vote for anybody with an R by his name. Handel is by far the best choice, but, unfortunately I don’t think we backwards Georgians are ready to vote for a woman for governor.

Paul A

February 11th, 2010
1:28 pm

Support Ray McBerry for Governor.

Limited Constitutional Government.

burp Bacharach

February 11th, 2010
1:36 pm

Ox is in bed with BlueCross…

Bill Orvis White

February 11th, 2010
1:37 pm

Too bad Ray can’t lead in this. I think he should challenge Johnny in a US Senate primary. I like Eric, but he’s too far behind. Karen is far too liberal for Georgia or any other state for that matter. She has no conservative cred — if anyone here thinks she does, they are buying her pack of lies. She’s really a lefty Dem in disguise. This leaves Ox, who is a great man who will fight for the majority of Georgians who care about family values, low taxe$ etc.

PC Bobby

February 11th, 2010
1:48 pm

This is the Keystone Cops of politics. Ox is corrupt. Deal, Handel, Johnson and especially, McBerry are racists. The state and national GOP are great at fear mongering and opposition politics, but most, not all, are divisive and cannot hold onto power very long. If King Roy loses the general, the state Dems ought to think about cleaning house.

UGA1954

February 11th, 2010
1:48 pm

@Unfortunate — endorsements have aided some candidates. I did not say it would/will aid all candidates. Fell out laughing about your other comments about Ox and Handel. As for the AJC, didn’t they say that they were no longer endorsing candidates? I think so (for some reason); anyway, you are so right — an endorsement from them could equal death. You’re quite humorous. :)

RTD

February 11th, 2010
1:55 pm

Let’s be real for a moment If John Oxendine gets the nomination even Lt Gov. Cagle will vote for Mr Barnes. God help us all.

green green

February 11th, 2010
2:07 pm

well austin just eviscerated the ox in about a 6 minute press conference. Yes, it only took six minutes. don’t know if anyone was watching tho.

Emmett Clower

February 11th, 2010
2:15 pm

As much as I hate to admit it, the nomination of John Oxendine will ensure the election of Roy Barnes. The people of Georgia will simply not elect a loser like J.O. He would never have been elected insurance commisioner if not for his then wife Lee.

Undecided

February 11th, 2010
2:17 pm

Ox is a goner. Too bad Handle is an idiot, too. Deal? idiot. I dunno a single Repub that I can actually respect.

There must be a lot of Porter staffers on here because I don’t know anyone that would vote for him and this article isn’t even about Dems. Don’t be suprised when a dem wins because the Repubs don’t have a single good candidate. I like Barnes but will take anyone except Porter and Camon. Porter is a mini-Obama. He is a career politician that doesn’t actually solve anything, takes all the credit for other people’s work, and blames the other party when anything goes wrong. Reminds me of a Kris Kristofferson song, actually. Camon just doesn’t have any experience, but could be a better option down the road.

UGA1954

February 11th, 2010
2:19 pm

Green, where did you see that? What did he say? Thanks in advance.

ACC12_Booster

February 11th, 2010
2:27 pm

The number that sticks out at me in this recent poll is the strikingly high number of undecided voters which is at about 45%. With that high of a number of undecided voters it looks as if no lead is safe for any perceived frontrunner. Another thing about this poll that is striking and that should be and probably alarming to the supposed frontrunner is that the number of undecided voters appears to be rising over time as we get closer to the primary. That kind of tells me that Republican voters seem to be increasingly dissatisfied with the choices they have before them to be gubernatorial candidates.

UGA1954

February 11th, 2010
2:33 pm

@ACC12_Booster, you are absolutely correct. That means that 261 people out of 580 had not decided. That a fairly significant number anyway you look at it. I’m not so sure it means that they don’t like any of the candidates, I think it means that they either haven’t heard enough about them (in a positive light) or they just flat out don’t know yet.