U.S. Rep. Hank Johnson has just released a poll that shows the two-term congressman miles ahead in a four-contender Democratic primary that includes former DeKalb County CEO Vernon Jones and county commissioners Connie Stokes and Lee May.
As always, take surveys like this with a grain of salt: Campaigns use them to attract contributions, and to undercut competitors.
But for those very reasons, the memo composed by Lake Research Partners will be required reading in DeKalb. See the entire thing here. But this is the gist:
On the full four-way ballot, Johnson has more support than all of his opponents combined, and he is already only 3 points away from the simple majority necessary to avoid a runoff. Johnson begins the primary season with 47% of the vote, followed by Vernon Jones with 19%, Connie Stokes with 12% and Lee May with 5%. Fifteen percent of voters remain undecided.
In head-to-head match-ups, Johnson easily defeats his two closest challengers. Against Vernon Jones, Johnson wins 64% of the vote to Jones’ 24% — a +40 point margin. Against Connie Stokes, Johnson wins 61% of the vote to Stokes’ 22% — a +39 point margin.
The essentials: 400 telephone interviews conducted Jan. 14-20; likely Democratic primary voters; MOE at +/- 4.9 percent.
For instant updates, follow me on Twitter.