A Hank Johnson poll: Survey shows him far ahead in a four-way Democratic primary

U.S. Rep. Hank Johnson has just released a poll that shows the two-term congressman miles ahead in a four-contender Democratic primary that includes former DeKalb County CEO Vernon Jones and county commissioners Connie Stokes and Lee May.

As always, take surveys like this with a grain of salt: Campaigns use them to attract contributions, and to undercut competitors.

But for those very reasons, the memo composed by Lake Research Partners will be required reading in DeKalb. See the entire thing here. But this is the gist:

On the full four-way ballot, Johnson has more support than all of his opponents combined, and he is already only 3 points away from the simple majority necessary to avoid a runoff. Johnson begins the primary season with 47% of the vote, followed by Vernon Jones with 19%, Connie Stokes with 12% and Lee May with 5%. Fifteen percent of voters remain undecided.

In head-to-head match-ups, Johnson easily defeats his two closest challengers. Against Vernon Jones, Johnson wins 64% of the vote to Jones’ 24% — a +40 point margin. Against Connie Stokes, Johnson wins 61% of the vote to Stokes’ 22% — a +39 point margin.

The essentials: 400 telephone interviews conducted Jan. 14-20; likely Democratic primary voters; MOE at +/- 4.9 percent.

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39 comments Add your comment

Lewis

January 28th, 2010
8:23 pm

The election is a long way off.

change

January 28th, 2010
9:38 pm

How about someone other than a dem/socialist? This district could use a change. Johnson and the other crew would not think of voting against the Health care disaster.

cb

January 28th, 2010
10:47 pm

Lee May is best candidate. But as long as Vernon Jones does not get it, that’s all that really matters.

Sharon jackson

January 28th, 2010
11:53 pm

Verno jones is by far the smartest and most experience of all the candidates and everyone knows it. He far outshines everyone and has a solid track record of governing one of the most efficient and effective government. I must admit he’s most hated by the ajc and channel 2.
But know matter what they try to do to him, he never bends his back. Let’s send Vernon jones to Washington!

AlvinP

January 29th, 2010
12:20 am

@ Steve – Lake Research is only the messenger. The one to fire in Massachusetts is the candidate so incompetent she lost what should have been a safe seat.

As for the 4th, Hank Johnson has done a good, effective job and the poll makes clear that the voters in the district know it and support him.

hmmm

January 29th, 2010
5:20 am

sharon jackson, i suppose it is a matter of perspective. “Verno jones is by far the smartest and most experience of all the candidates…”; depends on what you call smart. smart @ playing bs politics?….perhaps. Vernon Jones is about vernon jones. dekalb county does not need another selfish, bullish politician anymore than the rest of the country does. in case you are wondering, i am not one to believe what is published or reported in the media. i have met vernon jones and know enough about him; i am also african american and have voted and campaigned for him in the past. i would not put a drop of trust in vernon jones nor vote for him again

Bitter EX democrackkk

January 29th, 2010
6:18 am

DeKalb needs an UNaffiliated Independent to take this spot from the ‘crackkks…We want REAL CHANGE this time!

Road Scholar

January 29th, 2010
6:46 am

Steve berman: Your family must be so proud…

Justine

January 29th, 2010
7:41 am

I was one of the people contacted by this polling company. The questions were too simplistic and offered no real information. It is sad politics in this country are left to only two parties. What I cannot understand is how does that make us any different than those we claim are dictators.

Big t

January 29th, 2010
7:42 am

TER LIMITS..TERM LIMITS..TERM LIMITS…

VOTE THEM ALL OUT OF OFFICE

Justine

January 29th, 2010
7:43 am

Why do we keep electing and promoting people who have done absolutely nothing to improve OUR lives while they are in office. Vernon Jones is a joke. In order to determine how good a job someone has done, you must examine it and its effects after they have removed themselves from that job.

Bobby

January 29th, 2010
8:25 am

When are we going to have a choice in Dekalb county? All of the democratic candidates would vote the same. All of them would continue the trend of huge budget busting deficits. When will the Republicans or Liberterians put up a decent candidate so we can have someone that isn’t constantly pulling money our of our wallets? I have to balance my budget, the county has to balance the budget, the state has to balance the budget, why do we let the Federal government get away with deficits in the TRILLIONS of dollars???

Midtowner

January 29th, 2010
8:46 am

Hey Bobby – Were you squawking the same tune as the Bush Administration blew thru the budget surplus and left us with a staggering debt at the end of his term? Or since they were taking all the $$ from foreigners, or more accurately running up debts with foreigners, and not paying for it via our own tax $$, it was a-otay by you?

Aquagirl

January 29th, 2010
9:09 am

I hope Vernon runs, we can get all the latest gossip on his three-ways, then watch him get embarrassed in another election. With this economy we need cheap entertainment.

Morrus

January 29th, 2010
9:14 am

Vote out all incumbents and start over.

JRS

January 29th, 2010
9:25 am

Wow. Johnson leads the Loser’s Club. If any of this bunch gets the spot then we the residents of the 4th Congressional will be the ultimate losers. Let’s forget about party and color for a change. I think it’s time we have a new legacy, don’t you?

lmno

January 29th, 2010
9:27 am

Why won’t Vernon Jones just go away?

I am considering running for Dekalb County CEO myself. My platform will be, “If you hire me for CEO, I will eliminate my position and resign in under one year!”

No other metro county even has this position and its a waste of money.

Ellis is at least better than Jones who had to use police as personal security anywhere he went.

That would be part of my platform too. I won’t need security, unlike others, no one is trying to kill me.

I’ll also promise not to threaten and sexually harass my female coworkers.

Mr. Grumpy

January 29th, 2010
9:29 am

Hey, Sharon Jackson — You can’t be serious about Vernon Jones. Vernon Jones epitomizes everything bad about politicians: he misued his power for his own personal needs; he is a racial bigot who aliented and went out of his way to punish white county employees; he brought in a police chief who couldn’t chew gum and walk at the same time, and who is costing his fomer police department (Dallas, TX) to pay out case settlements for making promotions and demotions based exclusively on race ….I could go on and on. Vernon Jones has the ethics of a rattlesnake. No thank you, please.

Mr. Grumpy

January 29th, 2010
9:34 am

And Steve Berman — You are a comoplete idiot. Only in America could a guy with your intellect have access to technology which shows just how stupid and ifantile you apparently are. Jim Galloway’s wife would probably disagree with your statement. But even if he was gay, so what?

Captain Midnight

January 29th, 2010
9:40 am

I do hope Hank wins another term otherwise “dey probly gone put on white hoods and robes and ride thew da countryside”,and we sure don’t want that.

Mark of Gresham Park

January 29th, 2010
9:48 am

Listen up people; here goes the deal.

Please don’t be disMAYed by what is truly going on here. Mr. May, no pun intended, but really when did it occur to you that you were ready? And before I make this assertion, I WILL NEVER WISH ANY ILL WILL ON ANYONE! But Mr. Johnson himself has come out publicly and personally and released his current health condition. Therefore that’s why we have a bunch of non-contenders for this seat. All of these candidates know that they are rolling the dice for the “just-in-case” syndrome. Now with that said, can you blame them?

Unfortunately who do I think will win? Simple; Vernon Jones…why? Because as a Dekalb County resident, I’ve noticed that the voters are an impressionable ilk kind of people. That is the nicest way I can say it.

Who do I like as a candidate? NONE OF THEM! I just want to see someone NEW and smarter. Someone who has lots of money and does not need to be tempted by ‘payola’. Let alone try to buy themselves into office. But would genuinely run for this position because of the sincere altruisticness – if there is such a word, of bettering his or her community.

Historically, who wouldn’t want to be in DC now. You don’t think VJ is kicking himself now when Johnson ran the first time?

JB

January 29th, 2010
10:04 am

For what Jim? Congress, Senate, Governor? What exactly are they running for?

Isn’t one of the first rules of journalism to state what the article is about?

I am not surprised that this came from the AJC

Grant Park

January 29th, 2010
10:27 am

This isnt an article; its a blog. Informed readers and bloggers know as to what he speaks.

Aaron Burr V. Mexico

January 29th, 2010
10:33 am

Hank Johnson Jr. has been the best congressman I ever had, and thanks to Vernon Jones I can’t keep John “I’m a slave of the Insurance Cartel” out of the Republican slot for governor.

Vernon Jones is the single biggest joke to hit Dekalb since Cynthia “I think Cops are Punching Bags” McKinney. He is a supreme opportunist and an emberrasment to politics.

But not as much as an emberrasment as the Republican parts of our state. So those of you insulting the 4th can, quite frankly, suck it.

matchtuff

January 29th, 2010
10:36 am

Vernon Jones will choke you for change -lol

Roekest

January 29th, 2010
11:00 am

Big t hit the target on the money: TERM LIMITS. I don’t care who you are or what you’ve done for your constituents, pols shouldn’t rely on their offices as careers. It was never intended to be that way. But I think we should start with Washington and work our way down: 6 year terms for BOTH Houses of Congress, 2 term limit. 12 years is enough to accomplish your goals (or milk the taxpayer).

lmno

January 29th, 2010
11:09 am

I like Hank Johnson alright. I think he’s done a pretty good job and he was a decent councilman too.

TP4U

January 29th, 2010
11:36 am

Qualifying for the 4th Congressional district is in April, 2010. No one is running against Hank Johnson until they plunk down their money at that time. I believe all of the candidates will rethink this idiocy of running against an incumbent member of congress who is liked by his constituents. Regardless of whether he has been effective has no baring on the electorate. Sadly, Georgia voters are not politically educated and only care whether the elected official has caused them any embarrassment when they go to press the button for the person that has the (I) behind their name. Until the voters decide they want effective government and not popularity contests with the most money we will continue to get some officials staying in office just keeping a seat warm! No one on this post has said anything of substance about the accomplishments of any of the candidates including Congressman Johnson. Candidates must be judged on what they have delivered to their constituents, I don’t live in the 4th congressional district so I don’t have a dog in that fight. Please don’t bother to challenge what I am saying–I could care less.

Aaron Burr V. Mexico

January 29th, 2010
1:38 pm

Georgia voters reelected Sonny Perdue. That pretty much says it all doesn’t it?

Rick

January 29th, 2010
3:28 pm

Guess it just confirms what everybody already knew — you can bank on Hank but would be jilted by Jones.

Hep Johnson

January 30th, 2010
1:03 am

Looks like Rep Hep is in line for the Democratic nomination…

Name One

January 30th, 2010
1:54 pm

Sharon Jackson has either forgotten the huge number of scandals involving Vernon Nones, or she benefitted from one of them.

Name One

January 30th, 2010
2:02 pm

Great Facebook page: ‘You Might Be Vernon Jones if”:

http://www.facebook.com/group.php?gid=20435195786

john - atlanta

January 30th, 2010
10:17 pm

> Let’s send Vernon jones to Washington!

He should fit in with the sex perverts in Congress that like to have three way group sex, like he does. Maybe he can invite (R) Sen. Craig or (D) Barney Frank (he was doing the guy Moss at “fannie” mae, which was responsible for the housing collapse).

My website http://www.yankhank.com – I am the Independent.

I love Hank’s job “creation”, government jobs, even better for the IRS! Might as well send them to Harvard for a lawyer education so they can be real sons of hell.

Douglas Fields

January 31st, 2010
7:36 pm

Here is a quote from another brilliant Democrat, congressman Hank Johnson. He is talking about people that oppose Obama’s intrusive healthcare plan.
Such anger, he said, could lead to “folks putting on white hoods and white uniforms again, riding through the countryside intimidating people.” What an Idiot Hank Johnson is. He should be on comedy central.

[...] trounces other Dems in 4th district February 1, 2010 Leave a comment Go to comments Found this at the Political Insider blog. Hank Johnson is far ahead of the other Democrat candidates in their [...]

willie lynch

February 1st, 2010
10:01 pm

@hmmm

There seems to be some sour grapes. Politics is by nature bs, relationships by nature a rife with politics. If you’re good at it then you make a living doing it. I read somewhere about casting the first stone…hmmm.

Mrs. Jones

February 2nd, 2010
5:40 pm

Hmmm, let’s see — Vernon needs a job — sees his friend is sick and wants to take advantage of it, and Connie Stokes wants to get out from a whole heapin’ budget mess — wow — what a pair.

David

April 2nd, 2010
12:02 am

When will the forth district wake up and elect some one who is intelligent, listen to their constituents and vote for the people they represent not always on party lines. People in other states make fun of the forth district and have for many years. It started with Cynthia McKinney who in twelve years in congress she got only one law passed and that was to change a name of a post office. That means in 12 years in the house her only achievement was to change the name of a post office, thats some thing to be very proud of. She was a laughing stock in congress. Now we have Hank Johnson who is an idiot, this man thinks if you add 5000 more marines to Guam and American territory and military base the island will tip over. Rep Johnson has made racial remarks as well as Cynthia McKinney and these are coming from our representatives that we vote in office to represent every one. I am not a racist or bigot, I dont care if they are male or female, white, black, green etc, we need to stop electing people who are criminally ignorant and who will listen to everyone in their district and not be hung up on because I was asked if I was a democrat or a republican. I said I was a libertarian and was hung up on by one of Cynthia McKinneys croanies. I want representation for everyone in the forth district.