Another poll shows ATL mayor’s race a dead heat

WSB-TV and InsiderAdvantage today released a poll that, like a survey earlier this week, shows the Atlanta mayor’s race in a dead heat: Kasim Reed at 46.3 percent, and Mary Norwood at 46.1 percent.

This from IA CEO Matt Towery:

“What sticks out in this survey to me is the fact that Norwood does well with men while Reed does better with women. A closer examination explains this: African American men are the least likely to vote, based on our analysis, and African American females are one of the demographics most likely to vote.”

Which could give an advantage to Reed, he said.

The WXIA/V-103/Survey USA poll had Reed slightly ahead, 49 percent to Norwood’s 46 percent. – but the lead didn’t exceed the margin of error, and thus wasn’t statistically significant.

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201 comments Add your comment

Mary

November 20th, 2009
10:49 pm

Reed has the momentum. I think he’ll win on December 1st. Norwood had everything in her favor coming into this, but hasn’t done much as of late.

Atlanta Jan

November 20th, 2009
10:52 pm

I’ve heard Mary Norwood’s missed several events as of late. She may have broken down once she saw Kasim Reed was up on her.

Reed's losing momentum

November 20th, 2009
11:14 pm

Reed peaked too early. The endorsements are backfiring, and now people are too concerned he is more aligned with a political machine, than with the average voter.

Disappointed

November 20th, 2009
11:57 pm

How is it that the media keep quoting people stating that Kasim was not at the Pride parade and Mary was, when he was very much present. He just happened to be on the ground walking and meeting folks and not on a float. Pictures can be found here:
http://www.kasimreed.com/blog/2009/11/kasim-reed-attends-the-2009-atlanta-pride-parade
And, he has the only openly gay member of the state house, Karla Drenner, avidly supporting him! Get your fact straight, people!!

What if Hitler was black

November 21st, 2009
12:12 am

If Hitler was black he would get elected in Atlanta. Reed is a crook people. Bill Campbell all over again.

Jamesbrennandoyle

November 21st, 2009
12:39 am

If I lived in Midtown or Buckhead….I would probably vote for Kasim Reed. Those areas have their own security (midtown blue, etc). Sure there are issues but they are not that noticeable. I dont live in Midtown or Buckhead, I live in Vine City. I used to experience many problems living on the West Side. Most have subsided due to all the hard work that Mary Norwood has done for the “forgotten section.” People think that this city stops at buckhead, midtown, and cascade. This city caters to people who live in those areas…and unfortunately forgets about neighborhoods like the West End, Vine City, English Avenue, Westview, Oakland City, Capital View, CVM, Sylvan Hills. While the city was ignoring us…MARY NORWOOD never did.

Lillian

November 21st, 2009
1:10 am

Mary, I am African American. You have the votes of myself, entire family, friends and church congregation. Hang in there. You are almost at the finish line. Atlanta knows you are the best qualified for the job.

Raquel Morris

November 21st, 2009
1:34 am

I heard that Reed was broke and has several bounced checks. I think in addition that Mary has the momentum. Her signs are all over the South. She got it going on!!!!

Justin

November 21st, 2009
1:42 am

I’m laughing at how some of you feel Mary has the momentum and Reed endoresments are backfiring. Mary Norwood had a double digit lead over him and now they are neck and neck! Sounds to me like wishful thinking on behalf of the Norwood supporters. GO KASIM REED! WE ARE BEHIND YOU!

This is what you sound like

November 21st, 2009
1:46 am

I’m a Martian and think Alfred E Neuman has done more for my part of town than anyone else. Don’t call me a racist, sexist or even imaginary because I’m voting for an cartoon character. I know what Alfred has done for me and that’s what he’ll do for Atlanta. Alfred is our only hope. Vote Alfred and all will be well, vote for someone else and Atlanta will make the Book of Revelation look like Disney World.

Vote Alfred or you’re an evil horrible person who kicks kittens!

Mark

November 21st, 2009
2:02 am

We need a change and we need Mary! Reed is the same old BS that we had with Shirley.

Agent007

November 21st, 2009
2:22 am

Can anyone prove that Mary actually accomplished anything for the “forgotten” sections of the city? Mary isn’t “change” we can believe in because she’s been in council for a long time.

Yes!!

November 21st, 2009
3:25 am

Shishkebob Warhole

November 21st, 2009
3:28 am

If Blacks say “BLACKS UNITE”, it is politically correct. If Whites say “WHITES UNITIE” it’s racist. Well KMA, and whites had better unite. Reed is a crook. He even sounds stupid when he talks. Can we get someone in office who speaks the English language properly and has some degree of inteligence and obvious education? It ain’t gonna come from Reed.

JJ

November 21st, 2009
4:49 am

I can’t believe all of these crazy Black People supporting Mary Norwood. She will turn back the hands of time. Black people have worked so hard to get where we are today in Atlanta. Why would you vote for someone that can’t even speak that well. She sounds like a Hillbilly. She will be an embarrassment to Atlanta. The Black people that are voting for her will be sorry if she wins.

Rumpole

November 21st, 2009
5:17 am

None of the above.

Shirley Franklin has been a great mayor. This crop (I include the also rans) are ants in comparison – just self-aggrandizing polticians, not leaders. Really a disappointment. I almost never feel so negative about a political race but this one is the contest of the losers. I’ve voted in every election in which I’ve had the opportunity for right at 40 years but I may stay home this time.

David

November 21st, 2009
5:48 am

Go JJ vote Black. It makes no differance who will do the better job. And people want to know what’s wrong with Atlanta.

Twayne

November 21st, 2009
5:55 am

As a former Atlanta Cop, Mary, her main concerned is for the safety of Atlanta Residents, where Mr. Reed just wants to get water in the pools. Great Mr. Reed now you got water in pools, Now who will be there to protect the citizens so they can enjoy it. Mr Reed with backers like former Gov. Barners and a want be like Martin you choices are slim to none. GO FIGHT WIN MS MARY

Derek

November 21st, 2009
6:09 am

JIM GALLOWAY. please tell me how WSB and Insider advantage did this POLL!? First of all the margin of error would have to be outrageous, secondly, how do you target people for a poll in which less than 30% turned out to vote in the General election, because ONLY those who voted then are eligible to vote in the run-off! Since Norwood caputered 46+ percentage of those votes in the first place, I believe your pollsters are making up numbers in their head,,,,

Bill

November 21st, 2009
6:22 am

Derek,
Voting in the general election (first round) is not a prerequisite for voting in the runoff. Any registered voter can vote in the runoff, whether they participated the first time around or not.

Harry

November 21st, 2009
6:27 am

Derek, ANY registered voter can vote in the run-off. There is no requirement that you voted in the general.

The Late Maynord Jackson

November 21st, 2009
6:53 am

This poll is all wrong, it did not include the dead people that the Jackson Machine will have voting for our boy Kasim Reed. Kasim Reed will be a fine mayor in the tradition of BILL CAMBELL, 4 more years.

Derek

November 21st, 2009
7:24 am

Bill, Harry – you can vote if you want, however your vote won’t be counted. It’ll be kicked out and voided. It’s in the GA State Elections Code and it makes sense,if you were too lazy to go to the polls in the General Election, or to vote absentee.Why should you be allowed to affect a run-off election!? By the way , heres the code in case your a wanna be Poll worker who hasn’t been educated on the rules yet, or are too lazy to Google it!
RULES OF STATE ELECTION BOARD GEORGIA ELECTION CODE CHAPTER 183-1-20

Derek

November 21st, 2009
7:26 am

Course I would expect as much from the City of Atlanta elections, they are beginning to mirror Chicago as far as election fraud

PTC DAWG

November 21st, 2009
7:29 am

Any registered ATL voter can vote, and it will be counted….that’s a FACT.

Coach M. Richt

November 21st, 2009
7:29 am

Well, if Derek is right then the polls are completely bogus.

Coach M. Richt

November 21st, 2009
7:35 am

Derek, sorry but I looked up Chapter 183-1-20 and it says absolutely nothing about throwing out votes of those who didn’t vote in the general election. What’s your source?

Tired of the status quo

November 21st, 2009
7:50 am

Mary definitely has the momentum, and will win the election. It’s time for a fresh start in Atlanta. I think it’s wonderful both whites and blacks can unite proudly behind Mary Norwood. Keep it up Mary, you are almost there!

MC W

November 21st, 2009
7:52 am

Jim, you need to kick Derek off for awhile.

Kasim Wins!

November 21st, 2009
7:57 am

With all the endorsements from African-American leaders and Roy Barnes, Kasim will win this race easy! The Atlanta mayor must remain African-American to protect the interests of the minority community. The white people in the city and state will try to keep us down so we need representation!

BILL

November 21st, 2009
8:01 am

A REMINDER TO THE GAY COMUNITY
Mary has been with us from the jump start as was lisa until she sold out for pices of silver , Reed has made it clear, he could care less about the community , look at his backers, Shirley, Andrew, etc all wanting one of thier own to be mayor to protect thier under bidded contracts around city and airport to keep going. do not be fooled by Lisa’s old staff and campain mngrs he is working to save his own hide and future promised job. We were SOLD OUT by Lisa once, NEVER AGAIN

Steve A.

November 21st, 2009
8:05 am

The race is Kaseem’s to lose. This is reminiscent of the Olympics where Atlanta was second to Athens until the final vote when Atlanta won. Kaseem’s experience running campaigns will pay off when December 1 comes around.

BILL

November 21st, 2009
8:15 am

JJ ARE YOU WARNING BLACKS NOT TO VOTE FOR MARY. I tae that as a personal warning to my well being. does that mean YOU are going to rob , harm, kill, etc me if i vote for mary Well that is what the backers of Reed preached,,,,,,,,,,sorry i am voting for Mary just because you warn me not too

atlantagirl

November 21st, 2009
8:15 am

atlantajan: one reason for that is she wasn’t invited (um, can you say set up?).

Ingemar Smith

November 21st, 2009
8:19 am

Polls indicate that this website isn’t representative of Atlanta.

Imagine that!

Chris Murphy, Atlanta, GA

November 21st, 2009
8:19 am

@ jamesbrennandoyle:
The reason Norwood has done so well is that the entire Southside has been ignored by City Hall. But the fact of the matter is that from “Bank head to Buckhead,” from Ben Hill to Ormewood Park, none of us- None Of Us!- can make a simple phone call and expect any level of service from any City department.
Even 911 doesn’t work! We’re going back in time, alright, to the Stone Age. Anyone know how to interpret smoke signals? Oh yeah- there goes another house burning to the ground because 911’s computers and phone system were bid out to incompetents (but they are friends of certain people and we certainly don’t want to embarass them!).

Brother D

November 21st, 2009
8:25 am

The machine is strong. That’s how they have been able to wreck the city. Keep following the machine and you’ll keep getting more of the same.

Vote for change at City Hall.

Vote for Mary Norwood!

BILL

November 21st, 2009
8:30 am

REED peaking early hmmmm maybe he can get job from his airport friends

Marcus

November 21st, 2009
8:33 am

I’m African-American and I am going to vote for Mary Norwood.I urge all Atlantans to set aside the candidate’s race and vote for the person and what they stand for. If that is done, Norwood will easily be the winner. The only thing Mr. Reed has going for him is that he is the black candidate in a city comprised largely of blacks. WE need to do the right thing and vote for Norwood. She will simply do a better job for ALL of us.

The Jackson Machine

November 21st, 2009
8:34 am

We have this in the bag our man Kasim Reed will get 51% all we need to know is how many votes that white girl gets. Vote for Cambell-Reed early and often.

JJ

November 21st, 2009
8:37 am

Please, don’t vote for that HILLBILLY Mary Norwood.

Terrence Poole

November 21st, 2009
8:41 am

We must have a black mayor to keep the center of power in the hands of blacks. I don’t care who is the better candidate. It all comes down to who is going to look after me and the people I associate with, If it is between a white woman and a black man, the black man gets my vote on two counts. Norwood will bring too much change to Atlanta government. We need to leave well enough alone.

Jamal

November 21st, 2009
8:44 am

I’m voting for Norwood.

Elector

November 21st, 2009
8:56 am

The mayor’s race is not a horse race where serious people are only interested in who is ahead or behind. It’s about the quality of our life here in the city. It’s about whether our streets will be safer, corruption will be rooted out and competence brought to the running of the city. It’s vitally important that we all focus on the real issues not on the silliness of politics.

SWest Atl

November 21st, 2009
8:56 am

Looking at jamesdoyle’s comment, I agree. For those of us South of 20, Mary was always here to help. She’s already proven her support for this area, so supporting her is easy.

Norwood paying Bloggers

November 21st, 2009
9:03 am

Look Norwood paying her staff to come on here to scare Reed Voters.
We are united 100% behind Reed. The same person on here is using different name to scare Reed supporters. Why Norwood poll number have move up since primary an Reed have move up in the poll.

Norwood campaign is in shamble beside they talking about Reed remind them of Campbell look who one of Norwood campaign manager is Zee Bradford who worked for Bill Campbell this tell you how Norwood campaign is in shamble.

By the way it was around 100 white people at Reed get out the vote rally
so white people are backing Reed also.

FlyboyATL

November 21st, 2009
9:07 am

In regard to the LGBT vote, a comparison of two events took place in Midtown last week really tells the story.

LGBT Atlantans for Norwood, a group consisting of Atlanta’s top LGBT civic leaders and professionals, hosted an extraordinarily successful and standing-room-only rally for Mary at Amsterdam Bar and Cafe’ on Wednesday night. Approximately 500 atttended. The audience were men, women, black, white, latino, asian, young, old, Democrats, Republicans, Independents…an incredibly diverse mix of people from all walks of life and every economic level. It was a genuine rainbow collection of people that shows how Mary Norwood can bring together and unify this city. The atmosphere at this event was electric with enthusiasm, perhaps even more so than at some of the Obama events held in this same venue last year.

On the other side of Piedmont Park Friday evening, a similar LGBT event was held for Kasim Reed at Einsteins. Less than a hundred people attended, The atmosphere was muted, and the audience consisted of an array of tired old political hacks, straights, and the usual cast of characters who always embrace the status quo. Yawn.

Mary Norwood, who is the parent of a gay child and longtime advocate for LGBT rights, really understands the needs of the LGBT community. She is “Atlanta’s PFLAG Mom” and she is deservingly going to carry the LGBT vote by substantial majority. Mary has our back and we have hers.

Walter

November 21st, 2009
9:07 am

I don’t live in Atlanta, but it will be very interesting to see if Obama has really led us into an era of post-racism, as many pundits say has occured. My guess is that it will be business as usual and that blacks will vote for a black candidate. Very sad.

Bill Campbell

November 21st, 2009
9:09 am

If you like the job I did, vote for the machine.. VOTE FOR REED…

Warren

November 21st, 2009
9:09 am

The mayor race is not about whats best for the city,but whats black for the city.”Change” how do you feel about it now….