A poll has fallen into our hands, conducted by a reputable firm for a private company with an interest in who will be the next mayor of Atlanta.
It was performed in mid-September, so the results are slightly dated. But the survey of 600 city voters (MOE is plus-or-minus 4 percent) says we need to begin thinking seriously about the unthinkable:
Mary Norwood could win the Nov. 3 mayoral race without a runoff.
This poll shows the councilwoman running stronger against rivals Lisa Borders and Kasim Reed than anything we’ve seen previously. It has Norwood even taking a plurality of Atlanta’s African-American vote.
This is the analysis accompanying the poll that’s being passed around Atlanta’s business elite:
Norwood’s impressive support measures translate into a better than 2:1 lead over second-place Borders (41% Norwood, 19% Border/14% Reed). Norwood’s advantage is built on a 41 point lead with white voters and a surprising 8-point plurality among African-Americans. Despite a double-digit name-ID gap with Borders, Reed takes as much of the [African-American vote] as does Borders (though Reed has little support among Atlanta whites).
Norwood’s African-American vote (26%) is driven by double-digit margins with men and those 60 plus, as Borders and Reed each pull roughly 20% of African-Americans. Norwood leads Reed by single digits among women, and those age 45-49, while Borders carries African-Americans under 45.
Geographically, Norwood breaks 50% in the North and Northeast, while carrying a plurality in the Inner City, Southwest, and DeKalb by margins between 9-20 points. Borders holds only a slight lead in the Southeast, with a narrow 2-point margin over Norwood.
In this poll, 23 percent of voters are undecided. If those undecideds stay home, Norwood could win on Nov. 3. If undecided voters split in roughly the same manner as the rest of the electorate, with Norwood getting 41 percent, the councilwoman could still win without a runoff.
This summer, the local unveiling of indie documentary on the experiences of two whistleblowers in Albany, Ga., who tried to draw attention to the finances of non-profit Phoebe Putney Health System, was interrupted by legal wranglings.
Which have now been resolved.
A screening for “Do No Harm” is set for Albany at 7 p.m. Tuesday at the Merry Acres Event Center. Another screening will be held at 7 p.m. Wednesday at the Landmark Midtown Art Cinema. Both are free.
The documentary has political implications in Georgia. Former Dougherty County prosecutor Ken Hodges, who is now running for attorney generally, is featured prominently.
State Rep. Austin Scott, a GOP candidate for governor, had this interesting paragraph in a weekend op-ed piece on the state’s water crisis:
I believe that Georgia and Alabama had an agreement to resolve their portion of the crisis on the table and ready for signature. Based on my inquiries, it also appears that the Governor of Alabama withdrew his support for the agreement at the request of Alabama Power—a subsidiary of the Southern Company, which is headquartered in our very own Atlanta, Georgia. I was not present when the decision was made, and if they dispute this, I have no hard evidence to substantiate my belief. But this should give them a good opportunity to correct me if I am wrong.
On the weekend that President Barack Obama was awarded the Nobel Peace prize, Democrats opened a booth at the Georgia National Fair in Houston County. It included a life-size cut-out of Obama.
The following was posted by 73-year-old Kristinia Sims, a local activist, at Georgia Women Vote:
I would like to say that it surprised me when a young man stood in front of our booth and went through the motions of firing an imaginary rifle in the direction of an image of the President of the United States.
It doesn’t surprise me because I was at the same booth last year and encountered the same type of verbal abuse.
What does surprise and shock me is the culture of violence and disrespect for the Presidency that is taking root in my beloved United States of America.
Southern Voice, the local newspaper aimed at gay readers, has latched onto a May 11 deposition given by Legislative Counsel Sewell Brumby in the matter of Vandy Beth Glenn, a former editor in his office who was fired after announcing intentions to transition from male to female:
Although the legislative cousel office has four one-stall gender-neutral bathrooms, Brumby was concerned about what would happen if Glenn were to use one of the public women’s bathrooms. He also expressed personal concerns about his reactions to Glenn’s transition.
“I think it would have made it very uncomfortable and emotionally upsetting for me to communicate with Mr. Morrison under those circumstances, and I imagined that some other number of our employees would feel likewise,” he said.
“It makes me think about things I don’t like to think about, particularly at work … I think it’s unsettling to think of someone dressed in women’s clothing with male sexual organs inside that clothing.
While you ponder the above, consider these items found while perusing this morning’s ajc.com:
>Most of money intended to train teens behind wheel goes elsewhere. No walking away from panhandling problem. Isakson confident tri-state water deal will be made. East Pointers owe city due to underbilling. Newton county commissioner charged with battery. Douglas County road project to spur big changes. Clayton to learn accreditation fate in 30 days. Fired Clark Atlanta coach charges racial discrimination. Ethics panel members report neglect in DeKalb County. Forsyth IT director alleged to have withheld evidence in child porn case. Obama says he will end ‘don’t ask, don’t tell.’
>Cynthia Tucker on the Pentagon’s changing opinion of gay soldiers. Kyle Wingfield says conservative objections to ObamaCare about more than money. Marietta: Bonds raise debt — and questions.
And from beyond:
NYT: U.S. still can’t trace foreign visitors on expired visas. WSJ: U.N. envoy calls Afghan fraud widespread. LAT: North Carolina’s dividing line on John Edwards.
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