Nate Silver again prods David Johnson and Strategic Vision for poll info

Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com continues to worry David Johnson and Strategic Vision like a terrier with a chew toy.

After the American Association for Public Opinion Research censured Strategic Vision last week for his refusal to disclose his methodology, Silver ran several years of SV poll results through a randomization test, and declared the results to be suspicious — though not definitive.

In a weekend post, Johnson rejected the suggestion that his numbers might be fake, termed Silver’s comments a matter of libel, and promised legal action. He also promised to release crosstabs with all future polling.

But Silver wants more, and is willing to pay to get it – to a bona fide charity.

Here’s what he posted late last night:

Subject: couple questions
From: Nate Silver
To: xxx@strategicvision.biz

Hi David,

I’m writing you for two reasons.

Firstly, I wanted to make sure that you had some decent contact information for me. Was really looking forward to the lawsuit and figured you might be having trouble getting in touch. I’m at this e-mail address — xxxxxxxx@gmail.com, or at xxx-xxx-xxxx.

Secondly, I wanted to provide you an opportunity to clear the air about one singular fact. What call center(s) have you used to conduct your public-facing polling? For every call center that you’re willing to publicly disclose, up to a maximum of 5, I will donate $538 to Children’s Healthcare of Atlanta (http://www.choa.org/).

Best wishes,
Nate Silver

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10 comments Add your comment

Will Jones - Atlanta Jeffersonian Exegesis

September 30th, 2009
3:26 pm

Nate Silver: Righteous American. How refreshing. Used to be at the beginning our whole Nation was made up of the same kind.

David Johnson: suffering from cultural erosion – thin blood and low morals.

GoOx

September 30th, 2009
3:39 pm

Dave Johnson is a great pollster – my man Ox is up 2-1 vs anyone in his polls

Lucas

September 30th, 2009
3:51 pm

Dude, GoOx, seriously? The guy’s polls are possibly totally cooked, yet you’re still citing them as good news? You and your “man Ox” must think alike.

Perimeter Progressive

September 30th, 2009
4:51 pm

Nate Silver has been owning Strategic Vision lately – if SV is legit, their credibility’s pretty much gone after refusing to show their legitimacy for so long.

Mike Tripp

September 30th, 2009
8:34 pm

Enter your comments here
Clearly this is nothing more than a liberal smear campaign. Johnson cannot release his methodology or his calling centers. It would be giving away trade secrets to competitors. Johnson has predicted correctly a ton of races and this is obvious a complete hatchet job by people who want to steal his secrets. I hope he sues the organization which has ties to the Democrat party. What a surprise!

Southern Guy

September 30th, 2009
9:31 pm

Mike Tripp is missing the point. Polling is a science… we as citizens need to have transparency and accountability in polling as they can control much of who wins and loses. Otherwise, we will find ourselves in some sort of “Banana Republic.”

This is a very scary day in Georgia when a polling firm that has this much power is allowed to pull a fast one on our citizens. These firms should not even have a hint of a perception of malfeasance… Johnson’s actions make me think it’s much more than a hint.

stat teacher

October 1st, 2009
9:48 am

Interesting that you would talk about these two pollsters. The only legitimancy that Insider Advantage has; is derived solely from the AJC and WSB as they splash them in the news every day. They are the most unscientific and politically driven as anyone in the business.

Will Jones - Atlanta Jeffersonian Exegesis

October 1st, 2009
10:54 am

Insider Advantage’s “credibility” flows from Matt Towery, formerly of the Gay Old Pervert party: a bald runt with a bag wig.

Jawja Dawg

October 1st, 2009
11:16 am

I agree with stat teacher. The AJC and the rest of the media need to stop reporting any data from this unaccountable polling firm. It’s a betrayal of public trust.

Ray

October 1st, 2009
2:21 pm

As long as we secede when we win, as is promised by Ox and the others, who cares!

Yeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee Haaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!!!!!

It’s gonna happen! It’s gonna happen!