Even if Brantley starts for the Gators, Georgia’s still favored

Here's that picture of Brantley again. Couldn't find a better one. (AJC photo by Brant Sanderlin)

Yes, here's that picture of John Brantley again. No, I couldn't find a better one. (AJC photo by Brant Sanderlin)

The Vegas folks waited a while before posting a line on Georgia-Florida because they wanted to see if Florida quarterback John Brantley is apt to play. On Monday, the Gators classified Brantley as “probable.” And Georgia has been made a three-point favorite.

Which makes you wonder: If Brantley had been listed as “doubtful” or even “questionable,” would Georgia be a seven-point favorite?

There’s no doubt Brantley makes some difference for the Gators. Florida was 4-0 and had taken an early lead on Alabama — which admittedly didn’t last long — the night he suffered his “lower leg” injury. They’ve scored a total of 17 points in two games since.

Brantley has been better under Charlie Weis than he was last season. Had he thrown enough passes to qualify, he’d be second in the SEC in passer-efficiency rating behind Jarrett Lee of LSU. (Brantley’s at 152.6; Georgia’s Aaron Murray is at 150.3.) But I don’t know that Brantley is a Tebow or a Wuerffel or even a Kerwin Bell or a Rex Grossman. He’s a good college quarterback. His presence will give Florida a fighting chance. That said …

Alec Ogletree will return at linebacker for Georgia. That’s a pretty big deal in itself.

Oh, and if you care to chart an intriguing bit of line movement, watch what’s happening with Georgia Tech and Clemson. The Tigers opened as a 4 1/2-point road favorite. They’re now favored by 3 1/2 points, which means: Some speculators out there like the Jackets’ chances.

By Mark Bradley

304 comments Add your comment

UGA student

October 26th, 2011
10:39 am

We’re the best at finding a unique way to lose

But I have faith! with this first, i shall take it to jacksonville!

go dawgs!

Sam Robards, Dawg Fan

October 26th, 2011
10:44 am

Florida’s got talent, but they don’t seem to be gelling as a team, especially on offense.

I don’t think that changes this week, and Georgia wins by 10-17.

To alter the old baseball phrase, good defense beats good offense every single time, and Georgia’s got a pretty dang good defense.

Go Dawgs!

Sam Robards, Dawg Fan

October 26th, 2011
10:45 am

As for Tech, I think it’s close through three quarters, but Clemson pulls away in the fourth and wins by 7.

I could be totally wrong on that, though. Clemson could win by 10+.

Go Dawgs!

happydawg

October 26th, 2011
10:48 am

Yes… first timer…I still think dawgs gonna pull out the close one as long as we(the dawgs) don’t make usual mistakes. As a UGA grauate, I will be watching and cheering my dawgs throughout..
GO~ DAWGS!!!

dawgwalker

October 26th, 2011
10:49 am

We never cover so that means nothing.We just need to win by one skinny point!!!!

murfdawg

October 26th, 2011
10:50 am

Hopefully, Grantham will send Jones and Ogletree early and often after Brantley. We need to take a page out of the old FSU playbook against fl, and hit really hard the first two series and not let up.

How does Murray have a qb rating of 150? Did they throw out the USC game like a teacher throws out your lowest test score? Crowell needs to step up and play big to take the pressure off of Murray.

If I were a betting man(which I’m not), I would think the Clemson game would be the best bet. Of course all the Techies will think fl is a good bet.

happydawg

October 26th, 2011
10:50 am

my bad, graduate, I mean.. ^^ too early for me..
GO~~ DAWGS!!

DawgInDFW

October 26th, 2011
10:50 am

I would “speculate” that the Tech-Clemson line movement means the “sharps” (aka, the smart money) are putting their money on the Tigers. Often the line will move in small increments like that if they’re getting money heavily on one side. They always want to get even betting on both sides…that’s why and how the house always wins.

bill

October 26th, 2011
10:50 am

Memo to Coach Righteous — just win the darn game, and improve your stellar gator record to 3-8!

WinderDawg

October 26th, 2011
10:51 am

Florida still has the home field advantage….like every year

Abnerish

October 26th, 2011
10:53 am

If Brantley plays, Dawgs lose. If he doesn’t, Dawgs win. Having Brantley gives an emotional boost to the entire team. It gives the whole team a reason to believe they can win. Now, if he’s out there on basically one leg, that could really cause Florida problems as he will be a sitting duck for Washington, Jones, and O’tree.

DawginLex

October 26th, 2011
10:55 am

Must win

Gotta win

Richt needs it in a big way

Play 4 complete quarters and compete with class and intensity

It will be close.

florida is much better with Brantley

Dawglasville

October 26th, 2011
10:55 am

UGA/UF – close. I wouldn’t bet money on us winning. Still think that Auburn is the best team left on our schedule.

Tech/Clemson – Clemson always finds ways to lose games they shouldn’t.

SouthJaxBeach Bulldawg Fan

October 26th, 2011
10:58 am

Let the tailgating and RV’ing begin! I have UGA fans driving down for the game and nothing could be better.

MB, what is the status on Malcolm Mitchell?

Dawg stuck in Bammer...

October 26th, 2011
10:59 am

Dawgs win…I don’t get this gut feeling often. It’s been the opposite most of the time.
Having a fresh Geathers in the 2nd half will help a ton. Ogletree back is big. UF’s O-line just not very good right now. UGA’s D will handle.
I feel like Crowell is gonna have a field day. UF’s D-line just isn’t what it used to be. Omar Hunter is about all they have.
Dawgs win 27-17

PMC

October 26th, 2011
11:00 am

Who in their right mind would bet this game anyway?

Mark Bradley

October 26th, 2011
11:03 am

I wouldn’t be UGA-UF. I wouldn’t bet on any game.

Mark Bradley

October 26th, 2011
11:04 am

And slightly belated kudos to UGA student.

Mark Bradley

October 26th, 2011
11:05 am

I’m informed Malcolm Mitchell hasn’t practiced since being injured. Didn’t go Tuesday.

All I remember is

October 26th, 2011
11:07 am

Georgia Tech is 3-0 against Clemson,
in the last three games at Bobby Dodd Stadium.

UGA student

October 26th, 2011
11:10 am

If I didn’t get kudos, I was to call a conspiracy against my “first” luck for the UGA-UF game

OkieDawg

October 26th, 2011
11:10 am

The Offensive line is the key to winning. We can’t have the missed assignments on the line that we had against Vandy. There were too many unblocked defenders rushing Murray. They were also in our backfield disrupting the handoff and timing. Given time and adequate blocking, Murray will do his job and the running backs will do their job. The defense is solid. The Gators have speed in the backfield but we have as much speed at linebacker as any team in America. We can run down the Gator backs from sideline to sideline. Our secondary is as talented as any team in the league. If we can hurry Brantley, we can get some picks. If they start either of their other two QBs, this won’t even be a fair fight. Our special teams just need to be aware of the situation and stay disciplined and they will do okay. Go Dawgs!!!See you JAX!!!!

Brandon Spikes

October 26th, 2011
11:12 am

Yea Ogletree was stout against Boise!

Herschel Talker

October 26th, 2011
11:13 am

DawgInLex:

If Richt blows this game (which is highly likely, of course), are you ready to ship him out and bring in a winner to lead us to the promised land?

FIRE MARK RICHT!!!

HT

Herschel Talker

October 26th, 2011
11:13 am

MB:

I suspect Richt is sandbagging on Mitchell to try and gain an advantage via misdirection. I think he plays.

HT

ga gator

October 26th, 2011
11:16 am

The front 7 of the Gator defense is pretty good the secondary too young with 2 true Fresh a true soph and junior. That said the D will tire in the second half and my prediction is UGA 24-UF 17 if Brantley plays and UGA 34-UF 12 If Brantley does not play.

Gator Mike

October 26th, 2011
11:18 am

Both teams have a lot of talent. If the Gators jell and quit making so many mistakes resulting in penalties, it will be a close game. If our Gators “play stupid”, we loose because UGA is hungry.
Hope everyone has a safe trip to/from Jax.
Go Gators!

Abnerish

October 26th, 2011
11:19 am

Thankfully, I don’t think Mitchell is that big of a loss. Sure, we are a better team with him than without him, but it’s not like we don’t have other high quality receivers on our team. Mitchell is real good, but it’s not like losing an AJ Green (at least not yet). I think a healthy Crowell and a healthy Murray are more important to our chances than Mitchell.

If Brantley plays, it comes down to turnovers. We need to win the turnover battle.

jake dawg

October 26th, 2011
11:19 am

and who is this proven winner you refer to HT? Ask Alabama how they enjoyed 93 through 2006?

Mike

October 26th, 2011
11:19 am

Sure UGA’ has a good defense against losing teams like Ole Miss,Miss State, Coastal Carolina,UT and Vandy…not much to measure against is there? I like the way this is setting up! Go Gators!

Evansdawg

October 26th, 2011
11:20 am

After letting Vandy have a GREAT chance of beating us after the game was in-hand….I don’t trust us. We will shoot ourselves in the foot and pray to God that its not what is going to sink us, yet again.

lookin for a good story

October 26th, 2011
11:20 am

richt doesn’t know how to sandbag. v dooley was the best.

layinlow

October 26th, 2011
11:21 am

I keep hearing how great our defense is but the Vandy game to me says otherwise. They hadn’t scored a TD in two games prior to playing UGA and they moved the ball pretty well in that game. Both the MISS schools offenses are atrocious and TENN lost their best offensive weapon prior to us playing them. I think our defense is evolving toward being a good defense but we are certainly not there yet. I think this will be a very close game and could be decided by special teams which scare the hell out of me considering how that is our area of weakness. Those calling for a 10 or even 17 point win over UF are being overly optomistic in my opinion. This game is gonna be a nail biter.

Abnerish

October 26th, 2011
11:22 am

No way Richt is sandbagging. Mitchell is a true freshman and still needs reps to get better. Now, he may still play and that he’s trying to give the hammie as much time as possible to heal. I think you hold him out unless you are sure he’s not going to re-injure it. He won’t be needed next week, so that’s another week to let it heal. Then he will be back at full strength for the Auburn game.

piermontdawgny

October 26th, 2011
11:23 am

Dawgs win Xtra Large…brings the compete, #1 Singles Hit Lit List…
44-20 Dawgs

Tom, Resident Georgia Fan

October 26th, 2011
11:23 am

Where’s the Beast from the East?

Gbal

October 26th, 2011
11:23 am

who knows Tee it up.

Cohutta Dawgman

October 26th, 2011
11:26 am

GO DAWGS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Herschel Talker

October 26th, 2011
11:27 am

jake dawg:

Just because Bama hired idiots doesn’t mean anything. Do you not have confidence in McGarity to find a competent coach? Do you really think there are no better coaches than Richt out there in the entire country? Really? How about Chris Petersen? That’s not so say that he would come (he specifically probably wouldn’t), but the point is that you really think that Richt is the best we can do? Hilarious. I guess you want us to be Ole Miss.

HT

bucket

October 26th, 2011
11:27 am

Here’s hoping for a win for the Dawgs in Jacksonville and I don’t care what the margin is! Just win! I am also going to say something I don’t say often, please GT, beat the Tigers! I hate all things Orange!!!!

MattDawg

October 26th, 2011
11:31 am

They haven’t said a word about Mitchell… could be good, could be bad.
Either way, we need to win two in a row in Jacksonville to break this curse we have down there. I think once that happens it will get our players out of the funk they seem to have down there. Hope this year starts the winning streak reversal.

Ted M

October 26th, 2011
11:31 am

Tech is gonna get killed.

If UGA doesn’t win, we can look forward to 1 win over FL per decade.

DawginLex

October 26th, 2011
11:32 am

HT

If we lose to florida and auburn and Tech, Richt will resign.

You will get your wish.

Now, let’s flip things.

If we win out and got to the Dome, are you going to shutup when GM gives Richt a 5 year extension????????????????

Angry Mobster

October 26th, 2011
11:34 am

Mark, why are Geathers & S.Williams sitting out 1st half ?

Ted M

October 26th, 2011
11:34 am

“I wouldn’t bet UGA-UF. I wouldn’t bet on any game.”

I’d bet on Clemson minus 3 1/2. But I can’t find any takers.

DawginLex

October 26th, 2011
11:34 am

suspended from vandy game

Mark Bradley

October 26th, 2011
11:36 am

Suspended, Angry Mobster, after their part in the Vandy follies.

Mark Bradley

October 26th, 2011
11:37 am

Vince Dooley was the greatest sandbagger ever. Nobody else is in second place.

Angry Mobster

October 26th, 2011
11:37 am

But Grantham & Vandy Head Coach aren’t sitting out any games ? What a bunch of bullshiottl… They were the instigators not the players !

82Dawg

October 26th, 2011
11:39 am

@ DawginLex……Agree totally with your post @11:32.