Live from Miami: Is Georgia Tech about to pack it in or what?

Lamar Miller against Tech last season. You'll hear his name today. (AJC photo by Johnny Crawford)

Miami's Lamar Miller against Tech last season. You'll hear his name again today. (AJC photo by Johnny Crawford)

Miami – Two schools of thought on this one. One is that the schedule is about to catch up with Georgia Tech and that the Jackets will do well to win two more games. (Duke being the gimme, and even that’s in Durham.) The glass-half-full outlook is to proclaim Tech’s loss at Virginia a raging blip that augurs nothing much at all.

I’m kind of split. I do think the schedule is toughening. (Don’t think anybody would disagree.) I don’t, however, think Tech is incapable of finishing strong and winning the ACC Coastal. I think Tech will beat Miami today, which would make the Jackets 7-1 and would render the next two games — both at Bobby Dodd Stadium — hugely huge.

I say this largely because I can’t tell what sort of team Miami is. Here’s its season: Lose to Maryland, beat Ohio State, lose to Kansas State, beat (but get outgained by) Bethune-Cookman, lose close at Virginia Tech, win at North Carolina. See a pattern therein? Me, neither.

Miami folks insist the ‘Canes are about to embark on a run that could leave them atop the Coastal Division, and I do think Al Golden is a good enough coach to make that happen — someday. Just not yet. I’m still not sure Miami can coalesce around a new coach with all that has happened around the program. (I refer to Nevin Shapiro’s allegations of pay-for-play, among other things.)

The Jackets, on the other hand, are stable enough to learn from their Virginia experience and ensure that it won’t happen again. I say this with great confidence — as of 1:37 p.m., roughly two hours before kickoff. By 4 o’clock, I may have been offered reason to rethink.

But that’s why they play the game, as we genius sports writers like to say, and that’s why I”ll be here until the game is done. I implore you to join the festivities, and I thank you in advance.

By Mark Bradley

1,303 comments Add your comment

Benjamin

October 22nd, 2011
1:53 pm

First. And Tech wins today. 34-24 is my prediction…

dawgfan

October 22nd, 2011
1:56 pm

Since no one at the AJC is ever interested in providing a real critical analysis of the primadonnas on North Avenue, it occurred to me that Georgia Tech has struggled in the second half of the season under Paul Johnson. The numbers confirm this.

First 6 games of season: Tech is a respectable 14-4.

2nd half of season (including postseason play): Tech is a very mediocre 12-10.

Of course there are many factors that go in to this: You’re usual creampuff OOC scheduling, you’re usual lack of depth, you’re usual losses to UGA, and, dare I say it, more film on Johnson’s offense. It doesn’t look good for the rest of 2011 Techies. Sorry.

Thanks.

Burgess

October 22nd, 2011
1:59 pm

What is the over/under on how many passes Tech will complete ? Maybe 3 ?

duece coupe

October 22nd, 2011
2:00 pm

GIVE ME A BREAK

October 22nd, 2011
2:06 pm

I hope Tech gets back on track today. It would be great to host Clemson at 7-1. ” ROCK & ROLL YELLOW JACKETS “

GTBob

October 22nd, 2011
2:06 pm

Since no one at the AJC is ever interested in providing a real critical analysis

You consider comparing records early in the season and records later to be real critical analysis? I’m fairly certain that most teams in the country have a better record early in the season. Any child with a brain can figure out why.

GOJACKETS!

October 22nd, 2011
2:06 pm

GT 30 – MIA 21

Steve

October 22nd, 2011
2:06 pm

Mark, what did you do to get punished and have to fly to Miami to cover a Tech game? On a serious note, are you or Jeff going to be in Jacksonville next weekend?

Techme

October 22nd, 2011
2:07 pm

Dawgfan, tell me again how many teams with winning records has Ga. beat.

Steve

October 22nd, 2011
2:08 pm

Techme, tell me again who lost to VIRGINIA last weekend?

Gorilla Biscuit

October 22nd, 2011
2:16 pm

You’re defense will have to play well…..oops! :)

Dirtybirdsin11

October 22nd, 2011
2:16 pm

It all depends on Tevin Washington. If he stays calm and gets the ball into the hands of the playmakers at A-back and WR Tech will win. If he stays in Reggie Ball mode like the last two weeks in which he thought he could win the game without his teammates, Tech will lose. If he chooses the latter I think it’s time to switch QB’s.

Nate the Great

October 22nd, 2011
2:23 pm

@GTBob: I wanna say that I do like you as tech poster and I do agree that dawgfan was a little less than “critical” with his analysis…but you’re assumption that teams “generally have better second halves than first halves” is a little foolish for numbers people like techies. You should know that the portion that have poor second halves are the same number as those that have bettersecond halves of the season. College football is a zero-sum game, meaning that no one wins unless someone loses, and every game has a winner and loser. So there are exactly as many losers as there are winners. And that info came from what y’all techies believe to be a second rate education at UGA;)

Dawg48

October 22nd, 2011
2:28 pm

I’m pulling for you jackets today! Is any one else getting sick of the ajc for never pulling for a home state team?

Mark Bradley

October 22nd, 2011
2:28 pm

Benjamin with belated kudos. (Sorry. I took a walk.)

Mark Bradley

October 22nd, 2011
2:29 pm

Bad news. Kickoff has been delayed — until 3:41 p.m.

Steve

October 22nd, 2011
2:31 pm

Mark, over/under is 62. Which way do you see it going?

Mark Bradley

October 22nd, 2011
2:33 pm

Under. But I have no reason to say that.

Steve

October 22nd, 2011
2:36 pm

Ole Miss 17, Arky 17. Who would have thought?

J Clay

October 22nd, 2011
2:36 pm

Techme, I can answer your question. Dawgs have beat one team with a winning record. But it goes both ways, guess how many Tech has beaten with a winning record? That’s right same answer, just 1…

What does this tell me? Neither team has beaten anyone any good and both still have a lot to prove.
What do each team’s losses tell me? Georgia has played a more difficult schedule as Boise St and USC > Virginia…

I am sure you homers will find a way to disagree but this is a fair assessment of each.

Dirtybirdsin11

October 22nd, 2011
2:36 pm

If Washington is abysmal at QB again today do you think it’s time to go with Synjyn Days or Vad Lee? or do you think we ride this one out with Tevin at the helm?

duece coupe

October 22nd, 2011
2:36 pm

What’s the delay all about?

MWC

October 22nd, 2011
2:37 pm

62….way too high, gotta take the under Steve…..

Steve

October 22nd, 2011
2:40 pm

Thanks Mark and MWC. The money is going on the under!

dawgfan

October 22nd, 2011
2:40 pm

“You consider comparing records early in the season and records later to be real critical analysis?”

Compared to the Paul Johnson Fan Club type stuff that we usually get out of the AJC, yes I do.

Mark Bradley

October 22nd, 2011
2:43 pm

TV is the reason for the delay, I feel sure. Early game must be running over.

Mark Bradley

October 22nd, 2011
2:44 pm

Be tough to burn Vad Lee’s redshirt season so late, don’t you think?

GTBob

October 22nd, 2011
2:44 pm

Nate the Great, I was speaking of BCS teams, not all College Football teams. Obviously if you consider every team in the country they they have an even record over any time span. However, BCS teams tend to schedule their OOC games early in the season, which usually includes 1-2 games that are automatic wins. Later in the season there are rivalry games, bowl games, and conference championship games. Its not exactly an even comparison. Some teams have a weaker schedule as the season goes on, like UGA this year, but its usually not the norm.

Big Country

October 22nd, 2011
2:44 pm

Tech should bounce back against Miami. They should have more focus after the last game. I will be surprised that they don’t play well. If they don’t, it will be a frustrating rest of the year. They need to find it because Clemson looks good right now.

Mark Bradley

October 22nd, 2011
2:45 pm

Oh, and I just saw that Steve asked me if I felt bad about being in Miami.

Is that a serious question? I mean, this is Miami.

Dirtybirdsin11

October 22nd, 2011
2:48 pm

Ideally Tevin Washington starts spreading the ball around, but if he can’t then I’d rather burn Lee’s redshirt than play Clemson, VaTech, and UGA with no chance to win.

dawgfan

October 22nd, 2011
2:49 pm

So so typical. Come at a Tech fan with facts and they come back with BS without any support and try to pass it off as a fact. So most teams struggle in the second half of the season? Am I supposed to just take your word for that GT Bob. You are a Tech fan. If you’re lips are moving you’re probably lying.

By the way, I conceded that your usual creampuff OOC early in the season plays a part in those numbers. How in the world that detracts from my point I have no idea. You lose more games in the second half of the season than you do in the first half under Paul Johnson. That is a FACT Techie. No amount of Techie spinning and rationalizing can change it.

Good day.

Gorilla Biscuit

October 22nd, 2011
2:50 pm

“Is that a serious question? I mean, this is Miami.”

All in all, I’d rather be in Jacksonville….next week.

19

October 22nd, 2011
2:50 pm

Thanks for your support Steve. You are a wonderful and intelligent person from what I’ve read. Get well soon and god bless.
Go Jackets!!!

bluecole

October 22nd, 2011
2:51 pm

You’re using the wrong version of your.

Ol'JacketFan

October 22nd, 2011
2:51 pm

For those thinking of is it time to burn the redshirt on Vad Lee. Take a look at Taj Boyd, he is RS sophmore and played behind Kyle Parker last year. I am comfortable with Tevin and Synjyn. Let’s allow Vad to physically mature and be ready to go.

Dirtybirdsin11

October 22nd, 2011
2:56 pm

You can not honestly be comfortable with Tevin Washington after the last two games. We are looking at Reggie Ball Jr. out there. If Days can perform then I’d love to leave the redshirt on Lee. I just haven’t seen enough of Days to have a valid opinion on him, but I do believe I’ve seen too much of Washington. He just doesn’t have it.

Delbert D.

October 22nd, 2011
2:56 pm

Steve, you blew it. You didn’t stay to the 3:30 finish line on the Georgia Tech blog to win the Loyalty Award.

Mark Bradley

October 22nd, 2011
3:02 pm

Yet again, Tech’s opponent is wearing orange.

Delbert D.

October 22nd, 2011
3:06 pm

That works in Tech’s favor. They will look familiar.

Ol'JacketFan

October 22nd, 2011
3:06 pm

Dirtybirds, sorryy I disagree with you, Tevin’s made plays but he and the team have been let down as there have been some unfortunate penalties and a lack of overall performance. Has he performed as he did early, no, but I just don’t think you rush in a true freshman at the QB in any offense unless you have no other choice. I would like to see more of Synjyn but that’s up to CPJ, not me ;-)

Delbert D.

October 22nd, 2011
3:11 pm

Lee is not the number 3 QB now, but I think if Washing gets hurt to the point where he misses a game, Lee becomes number 1.

Delbert D.

October 22nd, 2011
3:12 pm

ton, that is.

Ol'JacketFan

October 22nd, 2011
3:13 pm

DD I would think that would depend on when that kind of injury occurred. Would you burn a redshirt with 1-2 games to go? I just don’t think it’s a wise thing to do.

balismith

October 22nd, 2011
3:17 pm

why are you being so nice…thanking us in advance….just not used to the kinder mark bradley……….

Dirtybirdsin11

October 22nd, 2011
3:17 pm

I’m not saying I want Washington out. I want very badly for him to play at a higher level. The problem is that I have seen him hesitate to pitch the ball and throw awful interceptions on too regular of a basis. I think that we will find out today if he is capable of playing big boy football or if we have already seen the best he has to offer. Unless Washington improves I believe that Johnson will have to play a different quarterback if he wants to beat Clemson, VaTech, and UGA. Washington’s most impressive win in 10 starts is either a 7 point win at home vs UNC, or a 10 point win on the road at NC State. He has losses to a 5-6 UGA team, Air Force, and UVA.

GTBob

October 22nd, 2011
3:20 pm

So most teams struggle in the second half of the season? Am I supposed to just take your word for that GT Bob.

I didnt say they struggle the 2nd half of the season, they just play better competition. Are you really arguing that competition stays even throughout the year for most teams? If you want some proof:

Richt (Overall): 77% wins in first 6 games, 71% after that
Richt (first 3 years): 89% first 6 games, 73% after that

Does Richt have issues in the 2nd half of the season also?

Dirtybirdsin11

October 22nd, 2011
3:21 pm

I also would like to see more out of David Sims.

GT Jason

October 22nd, 2011
3:23 pm

No way we burn Lee’s redshirt, I don’t think he was even at the game last week in Charlottesville (didn’t see him on the sideline and I was there.) Lee will be an outstanding QB – every espn 150 player to come to tech is now doing well in the NFL, unlike the Dawgs we don’t waste out talent (sorry had to.)

Corso said our passing attack gives us the edge, anyone think Tevin can get out of his slump?

Ol'JacketFan

October 22nd, 2011
3:23 pm

Dirtybirds, not a lot to argue there. I will just say the timing in this offense is critical to its sucess. If Vad Lee is the talent we all seem to think he his I just want him to know the offense and to be physically ready to go. I do think today could tell Tech fans a lot about what Tevin is capable of. Going into this season the “experts” stated Tech would be lucky to win 6-7 games, I would like to think Tech will win 8-9 and with a break or two could exceed that.