In 2008 Florida scored at least 30 points in all nine games against SEC opposition, including the one it lost to Ole Miss. Its average margin of victory in those games was 30 points.
In 2009 Florida has scored 30 points against one SEC opponent, that being Kentucky. The Gators managed 23 against Tennessee, 13 against LSU, 23 against Arkansas and 29 against Mississippi State. Their average margin of victory in those five games was 13.4 points.
As silly as it sounds to say of the nation’s No. 1 team as led by the nation’s No. 1 player, Florida isn’t playing well. It was lucky to beat Arkansas in the Swamp — remember, Georgia scored 52 points against the Razorbacks on the road — and needed a phantom interception to escape Starkville with a 10-point victory. (Remember, Georgia Tech beat MSU by 11 points on the same field in a game that was only cosmetically close.)
Tim Tebow ranks 45th in the nation in total offense. By way of comparison, Joe Cox ranks 53rd. After the Mississippi State game Tebow didn’t meet the media, which was an utter shock. (He said later he wanted to spend time with MSU coach Dan Mullen, formerly Florida’s offensive coordinator, and family.) But Urban Meyer acknowledged this week: “Tim Tebow is not playing at his highest level.”
Tebow told reporters on Monday: “It’s kind of new and it is frustrating.”
Put simply, Florida is vulnerable. And looky who the Gators play this Saturday.
Georgia is coming off its most impressive game of 2009, albeit against Vanderbilt. It has had a week to rest and ready a new end-zone dance. (Sorry. Couldn’t resist.) When last the Bulldogs had a bye before Florida, they beat the Gators and Tebow in a performance so stunning it rankled Florida for the next calendar year.
But let’s get serious. Georgia is 4-3. It needed a last-gasp pass breakup to beat South Carolina and a last-second field goal to subdue Arizona State. It lost by 26 points — the second-worst defeat under Mark Richt, topped only by 49-10 in Jacksonville last season — to unranked Tennessee. It led Vandy only 17-10 after 40 minutes.
Some team is going to beat Florida. Georgia, sorry to say, is not that team. It doesn’t defend well enough, and it isn’t going to score many points against Charlie Strong’s inspired bunch. (Florida ranks No. 1 in the nation in total defense; Georgia ranks 70th.) The Bulldogs will play hard and keep it close for a half, and then superior forces will carry the day/night.
It’s weird. Georgia hasn’t beaten a No. 1 team since it stunned Florida 24-3 in 1985, and these Gators don’t look nearly as impregnable as those Gators did. But this isn’t a vintage Georgia team. In almost any other year it would be easy to pick the upset. Not this time.
563 comments Add your comment
Art Vandalay
October 28th, 2009
12:06 pm
Urban Meyer is the greatest coach in recent history at adjusting his game plan to fit his team, Tebow gets comfortable,Deonte Thompson joins Riley Cooper as a down field threat and Omarius Hines makes his big game debut… Gators break out UF-51 UGA-20
Pi$$onaDawg
October 28th, 2009
1:48 pm
All things equal Joe Cox vs Tim Tebow the GATORS win. I would have said all things equal UT Comptom vs UGA Cox UGA wins, but Willie Martinez is the factor that cannot be measured. HAHAHAHHAHA
Chris
October 28th, 2009
2:11 pm
5% chance UGA wins outright
5% chance UGA wins a close, hard fought, nail biter that comes down to a UF misfortune (injury or turnover)
5% chance UGA wins, but it’s controversial (SEC refs anyone?)
10 % chance UF wins a nail biter that comes down to a UGA misfortune (injury or turnover)
15% chance UF wins, but it’s controversial (SEC refs, again)
55% chance UF makes UGA look like a bad middle school team
5% chance that the beat down is so intense that the entire UGA staff is canned Nov. 1
lisa
October 28th, 2009
2:16 pm
I love my bulldogs dont count them out just yet. Ya never know
FlaFan15
October 28th, 2009
2:39 pm
Yea i dont know what the hell the UGA fans are thinkin bout we gonna blow them out. hell i think we will lose. tebow is worried bout the money he will be losing in the draft by not going under center but twice in his college carear. he has to be looking for a job right now instead of looking at the games. HAHA GO DAWGSSSS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! SICKEM
HairyDawg
October 28th, 2009
4:41 pm
Dawgs is unloading a whooping can on Gaytors on Jax Sats.
We wills be pounding and superising Gaytors with lots a points in beat down during Jack-o-laturn day. No body be stopping Dawgs while we table ruining to win season.
HairyDawg
October 28th, 2009
5:02 pm
Ed – “Georgia has a long history of upsetting heavily favored Florida teams, even in the post-Dooley era. Besides, Florida’s one of the least impressive undefeated, No. 1 ranked teams I’ve seen in a long time, and there’s no way that Georgia is that bad.”
Dang straits Ed!
FLA is playing like the Zookster days, and Dawgs got history of upsetting and hunkering down to winning. The only thing you’ve been wrong in stating is scoring. UGA will haves been responsible for putting up 20+ more pointes than you listeds.
HairyDawg
October 28th, 2009
7:48 pm
Art Vandalay – “Urban Meyer is the greatest coach in recent history at adjusting his game plan to fit his team.”
Art, you may be a greats person at importer-exporter or even architectures, but you don’t know Jacks Gaytors squat about the playing of the football. Myers is a second rate bump coaches who is nothing buts a arrorgants horses backends. He only gets away from it by pollaticking the reffers and the BCS pollesters to get into champs games.
This year FLA is extra stinkyness because FLA aint gots the Harbins no more on such a sorry teams. FLA has no chances at winnings unless UGA give em the games away.
Go DAWGS! Beat them sorry Gaytors!
Shane
October 28th, 2009
11:49 pm
Darkness falls across the land
From the ‘08 grave a vengeful hand
Blue and orange scream with fright
Tebow and Meyer go down Saturday night!!!!!!!!!!!!
GO DAWGS!!
Shane
October 29th, 2009
12:13 am
The daws are going to whip some Gator “Behinds” this Saturday!! The Stars are aligning!
\
HairyDawg
October 29th, 2009
2:43 pm
Dawgs wills be whipping can unloading on Gaytors in just two days. Can’t waits to make Myers pay for time out calling in last year. With extra off weeks Dawgs will be geeked up to slam sorry Gaytors.
Go Dawg!
HairyDawg
October 29th, 2009
3:13 pm
FLA is a team of losers for loosers. They is wearing that ugly oranges on Hallowseenie, and goning to end up looking for like a bunches of smasherd punkins.
UGA is going to bites off that’s tail on the Gaytors and then chew em up while spiiting out. The Dawgs will be big winning by huge points spreading.
T-blows is nothings but a media hypes machine that’s no any goods. Dawgs got the Christian coaches committed to All Saints Days on Sun so God will take a hand in beating Gaytors by chasterizing the non-believers of Gaytor nations.
Go Dawgs!
HT
October 30th, 2009
7:32 pm
Get out of denial Mark. Georgia is now an average program at best!