Poll Position: Who will win the presidency?
The day is almost upon us. It’s time to declare.
After a very long election season, we’re a few days away from learning whether Barack Obama will be re-elected or if Mitt Romney will replace him. Which way will it go?
Who will win the presidency?
- Obama with a couple of states to spare (458 Votes)
- Romney by just a few electoral votes (367 Votes)
- Romney with a couple of states to spare (295 Votes)
- Obama by just a few electoral votes (270 Votes)
- Obama with 325+ electoral votes (185 Votes)
- Romney with 325+ electoral votes (184 Votes)
Total Voters: 1,759
Loading ...Now, you can find any number of data points to support your desired or predicted outcome. National polls, state polls, battleground polls, early voting totals, absentee ballot requests, TV ad spending, campaign stops by the candidates and their surrogates — all point to a tight race, and any can be used to explain why Obama will win or Romney will be victorious. In such a close race, with hardly anyone still undecided and likely to vote, it’ll probably come down to which side’s base is more enthusiastic, and which side’s get-out-the-vote efforts or “ground game” is more effective.
I’m not asking you to make a case for your preferred candidate, just to tell us what you think is going to happen. The nearby poll for this week’s Poll Position offers a range of possibilities for you to register a strong to moderate to narrow win for either candidate. Feel free to be more specific in the comments as to which swing state will go to each candidate.
As for me …
I’ll make my prediction next week!
– By Kyle Wingfield
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273 comments Add your comment
Lil' Barry Bailout - Vote American
November 2nd, 2012
10:51 am
Do you think of all Vets (and let’s just add former POW’s) that vote democrat in that manner?
———
As I’ve made clear in the past, many who think of themselves as Democrats will be doing the right thing by their country and voting against Obozo. Voting for Obozo is a vote against what our vets fought for. Some will vote for Obozo out of ignorance, some out of habit, some out of greed for other people’s property, some because they support Obozo’s effort to bring America low.
I can’t read minds, so you’ll have to figure out why your dad voted against his country’s interests on your own.
Kyle Wingfield
November 2nd, 2012
10:52 am
MANGLER: You’ll have to ask Jay about that.
Rush
November 2nd, 2012
10:52 am
I think dementia has set in, Finn.
Lil' Barry Bailout - Vote American
November 2nd, 2012
10:54 am
And oh, by the way, veterans support Romney by a 24-point margin.
Don't Tread
November 2nd, 2012
10:54 am
If Romney wins, it will be by just a few electoral votes.
We’re getting close to that tipping point (if we’re not there already, we’ll see) where people will vote for “free ride” over freedom.
Rush
November 2nd, 2012
10:55 am
Jamvet:
The private sector is precious….question is who will you go to for your monthly payouts when the gov’t. cuts you off? With your dour attitude I think a street corner and a tin cup are calling your name.
lefty_316
November 2nd, 2012
10:56 am
Because women in Ohio and Virginia are very angry about absurd and idiotic restrictions put on abortion in those two critical swing states by republican legislatures, they will vote to sweep those morally corrupt old white men out of office. And in the process they will send Obama back to the White House for a 2nd term.
When will the GOP do the right thing for the country and get out of the religion business?
Tiberius - pulling the tail of the left AND right
November 2nd, 2012
10:57 am
Rosemary, the really nice thing is that I don’t give a crap what non-Americans think I
of us or our elections.
Just don’t bother calling us when you want your next bailout or rescue from a tyrannical neighbor, OK?
Lil' Barry Bailout - Vote American
November 2nd, 2012
10:58 am
Unemployment higher today than when Obozo took office.
Sad.
Don't Tread
November 2nd, 2012
11:00 am
“Unemployment higher today than when Obozo took office.”
But we all know that’s Bush’s fault
joe
November 2nd, 2012
11:02 am
I usually don’t go for this stuff, but here’s an interesting take on November 6:
Mercury goes into retrograde on Tuesday, November 6, meaning the road that we have been on for five years since 2008 now requires that we make choices and decisions. The climb to the summit has ended but now we must choose the directions we need to go, to pursue the spiritual journey, purpose and pathway for 2013. This Mercury retrograde is setting the stage from the incredible climb since 2008, to now make choices of the path to pursue that takes us into our true purpose.
All of the challenges, difficulties and accomplishments can now become part of our shift into a new world. 2012 is a universal FIVE year (in numerology terms) which represents CHANGE, BREAKTHROUGH AND FREEDOM. You will need to be ready to break free from the past and move into new directions, shifting your goals, location and purpose. The day before Mercury turns retrograde, the planet of Uranus turns retrograde, to begin the changes that will come with the changing winds of Uranus. It is time to break free from the past situations in which we have been diligently working since 2008. It is now time to let go of the challenging climb and to instead look to the new directions pulling us. New avenues come into view and pull us toward our creative expression. We have set a new pace for 2012, now it is time to heed the call.
Sounds like a Romney win to me…
Tom(Independent Viet Vet-USAF)
November 2nd, 2012
11:05 am
Jamvet@10:37 – you really don’t think Mitt will be looking for a job do you? I think he has a few dollars to be retired on!
yuzeyurbrane
November 2nd, 2012
11:05 am
Poll results are interesting but are skewed because of conservative nature of most of your posters. Nevertheless, I agree with your basic assessment of state of play.
Lil' Barry Bailout - Vote American
November 2nd, 2012
11:06 am
Stocks Fall on Jobs Report
——-
We expected better.
We can do better.
Vote American.
Tiberius - pulling the tail of the left AND right
November 2nd, 2012
11:08 am
Nice to see liberals like lefty316 think women are so shallow that they are single issue voters.
They’re not all like AmVet.
Partisay
November 2nd, 2012
11:09 am
So I take your answer is yes, you think of many Vets and former POW’s as “non-Americans.”
And I thought the republicans were suppossed to be patriotic ones…
Bruno
November 2nd, 2012
11:09 am
If you value freedom, you sure don’t want more Scalia’s and Thomas’s on the Court.
Pretty funny analysis, Cherokee. Are you familiar with the “Kelo vs. City of New London” case??
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelo_v._City_of_New_London
Finn McCool (The System isn't Broken; It's Fixed)
November 2nd, 2012
11:13 am
from David Letterman Show:
Biden’s top 10 reasons for voting early
10. I’m not saying each early voter gets a free cheeseburger, but I’m not saying they don’t either.
9. It’s vastly more effective than voting late.
8. You know who votes early? People with a backbone like a ramrod.
7. In a less crowded polling center, there’s plenty of room to stretch out, linger and relax.
6. If you vote early you don’t have to pay taxes. I’m sorry I’m being told that’s not accurate.
5. Single and looking to mingle? Find that special someone in the early voting booth.
4. Of course, there’s the open bar.
3. Not exercising your right to vote is malarkey – it’s literally malarkey.
2. Early voters will receive a $5 million donation from Donald Trump.
1. Honestly, don’t you want this election over with already?
Finn McCool (The System isn't Broken; It's Fixed)
November 2nd, 2012
11:13 am
And I thought the republicans were suppossed to be patriotic ones…
Not really. Another one of their fabrications.
MarkV
November 2nd, 2012
11:15 am
Dusty @10:45 am
Dusty,
I would not expect anything else from you than what you have written about Romney and Obama, no matter how much I disagree. But I wonder why you keep repeating that “Obama has raised the national debt to 16 trillion, the greatest deficit this country has ever experienced.” As I have pointed out to you a few days ago, EVERY president in recent history raised the national debt to the greatest amount this country had ever experienced. (And please, for next time, do not confuse national debt and deficit.)
Dusty
November 2nd, 2012
11:16 am
Mangler,
Tthere are very few conservatives on Bookman’s blog as you probably know.. He has “moderated out” quite a few conservatives and some left because of the uncontrolled virulence and partiality there. That might give you a clue as to how a poll might go on political matters.
Kyle keeps this atmosphere a little more thoughtful . I believe a poll here might reflect veracity and thought not found at Bookman’s.
Finn McCool (The System isn't Broken; It's Fixed)
November 2nd, 2012
11:20 am
He has “moderated out” quite a few conservatives and some left because of the uncontrolled virulence and partiality there
Oh oh, the conservative victimization is back. boo hoo.
I’m sure we will have tons of that to wade through after Tuesday. Guess I’ll either rub it in and then just ignore it.
Electoral College
November 2nd, 2012
11:24 am
Mangler
Keep in mind, some of those bringing up Bookman; were bloggers there at one time.
Their inabilities to control their emotions and rants led them to take shelter elsewhere.
Getting past that, Kyle writes some good columns.
Dusty
November 2nd, 2012
11:25 am
Mark V
Call it what you want. Debt, deficit, owed, underwater, overboard, out in space, China’s chokehold, and keep explaining how you dismiss the failing finances of this country under Obama. Dance to the twist any time you feel like it.
If you want to be a blind protege of Obama’s, go ahead. But no president has raised a debt more than Obama even if we add your two cents.
Electoral College
November 2nd, 2012
11:29 am
Dusty
Just don’t kick the dog on Tuesday night or Wednesday morning.
281 to 257 Obama.
All your rants and excuses will not change that.
Finn McCool (The System isn't Broken; It's Fixed)
November 2nd, 2012
11:29 am
Staten Island has been the scene of some of the most heartbreaking storm-related devastation, especially on the South Shore where numerous trapped residents had to be rescued.
What part of “Evacuate” and “GTF Out Now” do people not understand? One lady lost her two sons when she tried to escape after it was too late. Come on, people.
Dusty
November 2nd, 2012
11:35 am
Finn
Put down your stone axe and your Dem paychecks and head over to Bookman’s lovely place. You fit in prefectly there. I wonder why you are here.
Naw, I don’t wonder too much. It is too obvious why you are here. A little bit of moola is better than nothing.
That goes for you too ELECTORAL COLLEGE. Many of us did try Bookmans after Luckovich’s blog closed and our conservative editor retired. But bogged in the mire became too much. There are a few enjoyable people left there but NOT MANY .
Why are you here?
Tom(Independent Viet Vet-USAF)
November 2nd, 2012
11:36 am
Finn@10:24 – Finally we can agree on something. If Geither would take Eric Holder(Atty General) with him?
JamVet
November 2nd, 2012
11:37 am
Tom, good point.
The guy who hides his money overseas was born filthy rich; I forgot.
Rushmeat, had you served this country, in any fashion(!), much less received a paycheck from Uncle Sam, maybe you wouldn’t hate him so much.
Then again, once a brainless ingrate, always a brainless ingrate…
BTW, got any good videos of those sluts, prostitutes and FemiNazis?
josel536
November 2nd, 2012
11:39 am
Can American trust Romney. Liar Liar
MarkV
November 2nd, 2012
11:39 am
Dusty @11:25 am
Dusty,
With all due respect, the problem is that you keep writing things you do not understand, and which are patently false. Not to mention the obligatory accusations like “blind protege of Obama’s.”
For one thing, no president really “raises a debt.” Perhaps you have not noticed, but it is the Congress that “raises a debt.” Second, you apparently also have not noticed the deep recession Obama’s term started with. Do you think it had nothing to do with the increase in the national debt? I could point out, for instance, that Ronald Reagan increased the national debt by 189%, more than twice percentage of Obama’s increase. I am not saying that it is an argument I would actually use, but it is no worse than what you argue.
josel536
November 2nd, 2012
11:39 am
Can America trust Romney. Liar Liar
JamVet
November 2nd, 2012
11:40 am
Tthere are very few conservatives on Bookman’s blog…
Actually there are about 15 of them masquerading under a plethora of fifty names.
Now that, ladies and gentlemen, is a sign of “conservative courage”!
Numerous others – most of them now here – could not play nicely with the other children and were sent to permanent timeout, after repeated warnings and violations. Which helped that forum, considerably.
Silly little sock puppets…
Electoral College
November 2nd, 2012
11:41 am
Dusty
Not for you to tell me which blog I need to be at or not.
I will blog here as long as I please. UNDERSTAND, if not today is the day you need to start.
You fit the category of those from all political stripes who do not like other views. You are comfortable being in the choir and being preached too. That is your choice, but not your choice where I blog nor anyone else for that matter.
I have seen read you whining about this very thing numerous times. GET OVER IT.
If you can’t, blogspot.com is waiting for you.
And have a wonderful day.
Dusty
November 2nd, 2012
11:43 am
Electoral College,
Control yourself. I don’t have a dog and have never kicked one.
I have a life outside of politics and have been blessed with a great family.
I want to keep our country in its best position and I don’t think Obama is the man to do it. He did not the first four years and I have not voted for him this time. There’s no hate involved. Just concern.
Maybe that is too much for you to comprehend. but try.
Electoral College
November 2nd, 2012
11:44 am
Dusty
I didn’t vote for Obama last time either, but surely not voting for Romney this time.
You do know that you do not have to vote Dem or Repub, right?
Dusty
November 2nd, 2012
11:47 am
Jamvet, aka Mr. Happiness
How’s the weather in Doraville? Over at Bookman’s?
Electoral College
November 2nd, 2012
11:47 am
Dusty
And “hate”? You brought up that word. Must have been a Freudian slip, but that is alright because you have that right.
JDW
November 2nd, 2012
11:49 am
I see the Rasmussen correction is beginning….todays poll is a tie down from Romney +2 which was down from Romney +4 which was down from Romeny +6. By the time Tuesday arrives they will be back to reality.
splavistic
November 2nd, 2012
11:51 am
I’ll make it for you, Kyle. Obama WINS! Also, can you tell me why Evangelicals are o.k. with voting for a Mormon? http://carm.org/joseph-smith-quotes
Dusty
November 2nd, 2012
11:52 am
Electoral College,
Your simplicity is amazing. I have already voted by absentee ballot for a man I think is quite capable of running this country. That’s Romney.
Vote for whom you please and blog where you desire. This is a free country and i want it to stay that way .If you don’t like what I write, then don’t read it. OK??
Tom(Independent Viet Vet-USAF)
November 2nd, 2012
11:53 am
Two comments here – (1) When Romney wins 35-38 states, Obama wins 12-15 states, is it Fair and Balanced for Obama to be re-elected? Will we still be the USA(United States of America) or do we become the UUSA(Un-United States of America)? (2) Already got a plan in mind if Obama is re-elected. I will immediately contact federal govt to get my free Obama phone and get my free stuff, just like the liberals do.All cons should do the same, everyone get your free stuff and then the tax-payers will get pissed! The money will eventually run out for everyone, then we will be just like Greece!
jconservative
November 2nd, 2012
11:53 am
I will make my prediction Monday afternoon.
I am struggling with how to handle one development. The weekend before the Denver debate Romney felt it necessary to move past the center to the left. Why?
Speculation leads me to believe that they did not believe they could win without that move. To me that means they are dependent on the ladies vote from the Democratic center; call them Romney Female Democrats. Those ladies may hold the election in their hands. Will that move to the left be successful?
Today I do not know.
Electoral College
November 2nd, 2012
11:55 am
Dusty
Simplicity is your middle name. You are a walking talking point for the right wing. Your choice, but don’t cry and whine as you usually do by telling others to blog elsewhere.
You do not run this blog nor have you been appointed to be the sherrif.
Grasp that and you will feel better about yourself. If you are unable to do so, I have some swiss and Gouda that I can offer you to go along with that whine of yours.
JamVet
November 2nd, 2012
11:56 am
Not too bad, Dusters.
Chilly, but sunny.
Bookman’s is rocking. As always…
Lou
November 2nd, 2012
11:56 am
If you do not remember what our last republican president along with Darth Vader. pillaged our world with lies and half truths and entered into a war which would be paid for with Iraqi oil {BS} and Caused misery beyond comprehension then vote for Romney the warmonger. War is good for business and millionaire portfolios.Smarten up and put O’Bama back so that he can finally achieve something that the repugnant party won’tveto.
Electoral College
November 2nd, 2012
11:57 am
Dusty
Just as you reserve the right to respond to any post, I will gladly do the same.
Thanks for your concern.
And again, have a wonderful day grazing……..
independent thinker
November 2nd, 2012
11:57 am
All the the voters have to do is compare today’s unemployment stats to 23% when Hoover left office after three years of the same economic meltdown as OBama was given by George Bush. However that takes some rational thinking.Most cons can’t do that and let El Rushbo, Hannity , Rove and Coulter tell them what to think.
St Simons
November 2nd, 2012
12:06 pm
we (barely) survived 8 years of Little Nero with a Cowboy Hat
you will survive 16 years of Obama, Hillary, & E Warren
Tom(Independent Viet Vet-USAF)
November 2nd, 2012
12:09 pm
independent thinker@11:57 – Nice name dropping! How about Reid, Pelosi, Chris Matthews, Racheal Madcow?