New poll: T-SPLOST trails by 15 points
Whatever you think of the odds of the T-SPLOST passing, there’s an opinion poll that says you’re right.
On May 21, Channel 2 Action News reported a poll by Rosetta Stone showing 42 percent for, 45 percent against and 13 percent undecided.
A day later, the group advocating passage of the tax touted a poll of its own indicating — surprise, surprise — the tax is sailing toward passage: 51 percent for, 36 percent against and 13 percent undecided.
If you thought those two results were incompatible, get a load of a new poll out today and reported by Fox 5 Atlanta:
A new InsiderAdvantage polls shows that most people oppose the penny sales tax referendum, with 47 percent saying they plan to vote against it, 32 percent said they are in favor of it and 21 percent remaining undecided.
So, it’s either 32 percent, 42 percent or 51 percent for the T-SPLOST; either 36 percent, 45 percent or 47 percent against it; and anywhere from 13 percent to 21 percent undecided. Only the Rosetta Stone poll’s cross-tabs and margin of error are available.
If I had to guess, I’d say the Rosetta Stone poll’s splits — 42 to 45 with a lot of undecideds, which is within the margin of error — sound most likely to be correct. The in-house poll for the advocates sounds the most off-base; given that they originally thought they needed to move the vote to November to get a larger Democratic-leaning/pro-tax electorate, I find it hard to believe they’d have a majority today with so many still undecided.
Any guesses as to how it’ll pan out?
– By Kyle Wingfield
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53 comments Add your comment
Fred
June 15th, 2012
3:05 pm
I wish these “special elections” were held at the time of the general elections. Save money and a larger part of the community votes. When was the last time a Special Local Option tax or Education tax voted on in a general election. A lot of money wasted
Kyle Wingfield
June 15th, 2012
3:12 pm
Fred: The vote is being held at the same time as this year’s primaries, so the cost issue is a moot point in this case (though not in many other cases, as you point out).
bu2
June 16th, 2012
1:32 pm
They’re going to put light rail lines on our already limited city streets and make traffic WORSE. And spend billions doing it.
The beltline takes you the last mile to nowhere. Other than the zoo, its mostly single family residential. There was a pro article when they completely redesigned it last August (since they realized noone would ride the original circular design) whose first comment was what a boon it would be for real estate developers. That’s what the beltline light rail is about.
The Emory/CDC line was a good project but they’ve switched it to light rail which will have 2/3 the ridership of the MARTA extension from Lindberg to Emory (and that seem optomistic) and burden already difficult city streets.