Whatever you think of the odds of the T-SPLOST passing, there’s an opinion poll that says you’re right.
On May 21, Channel 2 Action News reported a poll by Rosetta Stone showing 42 percent for, 45 percent against and 13 percent undecided.
A day later, the group advocating passage of the tax touted a poll of its own indicating — surprise, surprise — the tax is sailing toward passage: 51 percent for, 36 percent against and 13 percent undecided.
If you thought those two results were incompatible, get a load of a new poll out today and reported by Fox 5 Atlanta:
A new InsiderAdvantage polls shows that most people oppose the penny sales tax referendum, with 47 percent saying they plan to vote against it, 32 percent said they are in favor of it and 21 percent remaining undecided.
So, it’s either 32 percent, 42 percent or 51 percent for the T-SPLOST; either 36 percent, 45 percent or 47 percent against it; and anywhere from 13 percent to 21 percent undecided. Only the Rosetta Stone poll’s cross-tabs and margin of error are available.
If I had to guess, I’d say the Rosetta Stone poll’s splits — 42 to 45 with a lot of undecideds, which is within the margin of error — sound most likely to be correct. The in-house poll for the advocates sounds the most off-base; given that they originally thought they needed to move the vote to November to get a larger Democratic-leaning/pro-tax electorate, I find it hard to believe they’d have a majority today with so many still undecided.
Any guesses as to how it’ll pan out?
– By Kyle Wingfield