Poll Position: Which party’s most pooped about 2012 race?

Some of the Republicans who are weary of — and Democrats who are delighted by — the GOP’s long primary process have taken to pointing to turnout numbers as proof the party faithful are uninspired. In Mississippi’s hard-fought primary this week, for instance, turnout was lower than four years ago when John McCain already had all but wrapped up the nomination. We’ve seen similar results in other states throughout the primary season.

Then, along came Karl Rove with evidence the current president is suffering an enthusiasm problem of his own.

Which party has the least enthusiasm regarding the 2012 presidential race?

  • Republicans (71 Votes)
  • Democrats (29 Votes)

Total Voters: 100

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In his weekly op-ed in the Wall Street Journal, Rove noted that Barack Obama and the Democratic National Committee had a combined $91.7 million in cash on hand by the end of January. At the end of January 2004, by comparison, Rove pointed out that George W. Bush and the Republican National Committee had a combined $122 million in the bank. Obama is lagging behind not only Bush’s pace, but his own expectations: He’s bringing in money at about half the rate required to hit the $1 billion mark (a goal his campaign has since tried to play down, if not abandon).

All this, even though Obama “has already attended 103 fund-raisers, roughly one every three days since he kicked off his campaign last April (twice his predecessor’s pace).”

Part of the problem, according to Rove, is that Obama and the DNC are burning through cash at a much faster rate than Bush and the RNC did. But he also noted one difference that definitely speaks to enthusiasm:

The Obama campaign itself reported that fewer than 7 percent of 2008 donors renewed their support in the first quarter of his re-election campaign. That’s about one-quarter to one-third of a typical renewal rate: In the first quarter of the Bush re-election campaign, for example, about 20 percent of the donors renewed their support.

So, which side in 2012 is lacking most in enthusiasm: Obama and the Democrats, or the Republicans who want to unseat him? That’s this week’s Poll Position question. Answer in the nearby poll and in the comments thread below.

– By Kyle Wingfield

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91 comments Add your comment

Fred ™

March 16th, 2012
6:21 am

You mindless party hacks (left and right) must really have to try to be excited about the current candidates. Down on Jay’s blogs a regular posted an article similar to what you are talking about Kyle. The apathy of the Republicans as opposed to 4 years ago. I think that also applies to the Democrats.

I have read from several of the fanatical democrat posters on Jay’s blog that while they will (of course) vote for Obama, thye aren’t exactly thrilled with him.

As an independent, I’m not thrilled with him either, but he seems to be more palatable than the current crop of Republican nutcases seeking the job. I keep hoping for some ‘miracle” candidate to appear on the horizon like the old Cowboy riding in from the west to save the day, but I don;t see it happening. Given that the lunatic fringes rule BOTH major political parties in the Country no one but nutcases can win a primary anymore…….

ByteMe

March 16th, 2012
6:35 am

Rove is comparing how much the current Presidential campaign has on hand to a Presidential campaign before SuperPACs even existed (ahem, like the one Rove has with millions to spend) to PROVE that the current President’s campaign has an enthusiasm gap? Seriously?

It’s going to be 80 degrees out today in mid-March. Based on Rove’s logic, that must mean that global warming is real.

Oh, wait, a single fake data point is not a trend.

The only enthusiasm gap that matters is the one at the voting booth. And that shows that Republicans are lacking enthusiasm about ANY of the nominees. It doesn’t show anything about the President… yet.

DeborahinAthens

March 16th, 2012
6:40 am

Leave it to Rove to equate money with popularity. That might be the reason he’s wiggling out. Romney has outspent Santorum 3 to 1 in states where he has been trashed. By Bush’s Brain’s logic, Romney would already be the de facto winner…and he isn’t. And Rove feels like his power is slipping. You gotta love Karl Rove, bless his black heart.

Joel Edge

March 16th, 2012
6:48 am

Lack of enthusiasm is only going to count in November.

Karl Marx

March 16th, 2012
7:33 am

Mr; Wingfield your poll does not have enough choices. Please add “both” to the choices of parties that has the least enthusiasm .

One Old Woman

March 16th, 2012
7:43 am

Apples and oranges, Kyle. The amounts of money each candidate had at similar points in their lives being apples, the oranges have it! Super PAC’s, as noted above, and ecomonic conditions are vastly different today than in 2004. I believe the Democrats are also vastly more confident that they will prevail, given the state of the opposition. The last orange, also noted above, is that the Democrats haven’t had to turn out to vote yet. And, finally, anything Karl Rove says needs to be examined with a left-leaning microscope to attempt to find the truth in the center.

Tiberius - Your lightning rod of hate!

March 16th, 2012
7:43 am

DeborahinAthens, Rove is equating money with ENTHUSIASM, not popularity.

Maybe they didn’t teach that where you went to school, but they mean two different things, especially in politics. And he’s doing it with the rank and file voter, not the SuperPAC donors, which is the logical and smart thing to do.

As for voting enthusiasm, while there is some in the GOP ranks, and while some can be attributed to the set of candidates still in the race, there remains but one goal for the GOP voter come November: ensure that the current Disaster-in-Chief gets the term “former” tacked onto his sorry title.

There is equal lack of enthusiasm on the left, with the exception of the union vote. Fortunately, there are far less of them than there used to be, so their myrmidon-ish knee-jerk ticket punching won’t mean as much as it used to. The Occupy Movement (insert your own joke here) is dead, if it ever had any real life except in the media anyway. And with no bumper sticker message like the dopey “Hope and Change” to attract the American Idol generation, we should be seeing far less videos of truly ignorant people being posted on the web answering questions incorrectly about the candidates they did (or didn’t) vote for this time.

Once again, it will all boil down the the moderate middle and independents (the real ones, not the ones like Fred who just claim to be in order to stake some position on a blog). If they want change, the current Disaster-in-Chief is out. If not, he stays.

JohnnyReb

March 16th, 2012
7:52 am

Rove is spot-on with his analysis. The Lefties can deny if they wish, but when the Obama campaign and DNC tells those lower on the ladder to expect zero money to flow to their campaign, they have a problem with fundraising.

As to enthusiasm, come November Conservative in-fighting will be completely gone from the rear view and record numbers will vote. The desire to get Obama out of office exceeds all other concerns.

JF McNamara

March 16th, 2012
7:53 am

It’s not an enthusiasm problem. It’s a satisfaction problem. Bush put us in such a bad situation, it kept people in political angst. His first term polarized people because of Iraq. The second drove donations because he had driven America off a cliff.

People don’t have a lot to worry about, so they were lethargic. They aren’t polarized and mad. The only mad people are far right Republicans. Most folks are indifferent about Obamacare, and the unemployment doesn’t personally effect them. Iraq and a stock market crash equaled both sides really, really wanting to win, and the donors stepped up with cash to do so.

Gm

March 16th, 2012
8:10 am

Why do rep listen to idiot Karl Rove, he will say anything to trash Obama this is the same rove who said Obama will lose in 08.

Hey Rove its does not take a smart person to understand in 08 people had more extra cash to give then in 2012, the econony was different, hannity and rove would sell their soul to the devil if it means getting President Obama out of office.

Tiberius - Your lightning rod of hate!

March 16th, 2012
8:16 am

“Bush put us in such a bad situation’

Not intended to be a factual statement.

“Most folks are indifferent about Obamacare”

Nor that.

carlosgvv

March 16th, 2012
8:18 am

When you combine the Republican’s lust for political power, an overwhelming desire to control women’s reproductive lives and a desperate desire to have a whiter White House, be assured their enthuisam is definitely at an all time high.

Tiberius - Your lightning rod of hate!

March 16th, 2012
8:30 am

“When you combine the Republican’s lust for political power,”

Yet which party is the one for more government? :roll:

“an overwhelming desire to control women’s reproductive lives”

Proof?

“and a desperate desire to have a whiter White House,”

Ahhhh. the racist argument. Used when nothing intelligent is available.

“be assured their enthuisam is definitely at an all time high.”

First thing right in your entire ignorant screed, carlos.

AmVet

March 16th, 2012
8:35 am

JF, George put us in a great situation. Every intelligent analysis confirms that.

When he left office the economy was roaring ahead. In fact, there were virtually no significant problems at all!

That is why he is consistently listed in the top 10 best US presidents of all time!

And much of that is because of that fine human being, Karl Rove…

And on the

Chip

March 16th, 2012
8:40 am

It’s not surprising that Obozo is lacking in support. His horrible performance aside, remember — a LOT of people voted for him only because he’s black. The shallowest did if for the novelty of it, and now that they’ve “been there, done that, still have the tee shirt” many of them probably won’t bother this time around.

Then there are those strange, psychologically warped white people called “liberals” who voted for a man based on the color of his skin… to “prove” they aren’t racist and don’t care about skin color! Polls and surveys are showing that this segment is fractured for various reasons, and many of them probably won’t bother a second time around… especially those who thought Obozo would have given them lot’s more freebies by now.

He’s still very dangerous, but because many of the stupid and braindead who voted in 2008 are turned off, there’s some hope that the GOP still has time to get their act together and put up someone who can save the country from this moron and his merry band of Bolsheviks before civil war breaks out.

jconservative

March 16th, 2012
8:43 am

The polls are indicating that both parties have seen a drop in “enthusiam” since the Republican primary voting has started. The Republican drop has been larger than the Democratic drop but both parties are down from December.

Lil' Barry Bailout (Revised Downward)

March 16th, 2012
8:47 am

Tiberius – Your lightning rod of hate!
March 16th, 2012
8:30 am
————-

Nailed it.

JohnnyReb

March 16th, 2012
8:48 am

There are several indicators of Obama reelection weakness. Most recently, he and Biden are now in full-campaign mode yet they don’t even know who their opponents will be. There is the fundraising issue, plus a recent USA Today poll showed a majority of voters in swing states want Obamacare repealed. Energy policy is proving to be Barry’s undoing, which is well deserved. He is so in-bed with the rabbid environmentalists he deserves the thrashing. Even the unions are turning against him becuase of the pipeline.

jconservative

March 16th, 2012
8:49 am

Speaking of the election, will this move by the Arizona legislature move Arizona from the solid Republican to tossup category?

“PHOENIX (AP) — Women in Arizona trying to get reimbursed for birth control drugs through their employer-provided health plan could be required to prove that they are taking it for a medical reason such as acne, rather than to prevent pregnancy.”

Mudfoot

March 16th, 2012
8:50 am

“Once again, it will all boil down the the moderate middle and independents…If they want change, the current Disaster-in-Chief is out. If not, he stays”

Agreed, the middle will (again) decide the election and thankfully so as they are the ones with enough cognizant ability to understand that the pure form of either party’s ideology will not alleviate our most daunting problems, and that the plentiful demagogues on both sides are simply fanning the flames then blowing smoke up butts in efforts to energize their “bases”. In a nation that is generally split down the middle on most issues, compromise is an absolute necessity to any legislative accomplishments… yet compromise has been demonized amongst the public. Simply stated, any politician who refuses to even consider compromise on any issue (or at least the major issues) should be immediately removed from their position and sent packing without severance or benefits for refusal to perform a vital function of their job imo.

As far as change goes the situation is not quite as cut and dried as the poster seems to believe. Agreed, Obama could have accomplished more and better and an alternative to him would be a blessing to many. However one must consider the alternatives offered: Change from the republicans…? Change to what? Back to George W Bush’s fiscal policies… supply-side smokescreen whose benefits are weighted towards enriching the already-wealthy in ridiculous proportion in hopes that they may return some of that wealth to the nation’s economy via their urinary tracts? What else have any of these candidates offered? Anything new? This needs to be considered while thinking about change. Changing from Obama may not be a bad thing if the change is correct… changing BACK to W economics, however, is something this nation needs to avoid at all costs.

Lil' Barry Bailout (Revised Downward)

March 16th, 2012
8:50 am

If you want to see enthusiasm, wait until Americans have the opportunity to vote in the referendum on Obozo in November. All the rest is merely fodder for the 24×7 news business.

Oh, and here’s a debate question for Obozo: How do you plan to pay the $800 billion overrun in Obozocare?

DannyX

March 16th, 2012
8:51 am

Can’t wait to see W out on the campaign trail. That is exactly what Republicans need to boost their enthusiasm.

Let’s all hope Bush ends his self imposed exile, Romney I’m sure is really hoping to have Bush by his side.

FREE BUSH

Cutty

March 16th, 2012
8:54 am

Money does not equate to votes. If that was the case Romney would have the GOP nomination sewed up. I contributed $50 to Obama in ‘08, but don’t plan to give as much this year. My vote will be there in November. Rove and Kyle just need some filler to make their deadlines. Riddle me this, if republicans are so eager to get Obama out of office, why isn’t their fundraising through the roof?

DannyX

March 16th, 2012
8:54 am

“How do you plan to pay the $800 billion overrun in Robamneycare?”

With the new Romney tax cuts. The new tax cuts will add $900 billion to the deficit in 2015, but just watch, it will create an economic miracle not seen since the Bush tax cuts.

Tiberius - Your lightning rod of hate!

March 16th, 2012
8:55 am

You started off good, Mudfoot, but you blew it at the end.

The whole “Bush did it” thing is not only so old, it’s also incorrect.

carlosgvv

March 16th, 2012
8:57 am

Tiberius – 8:30

1. Lust for political power and wanting bigger Govt. are not necessarly the same thing.
2. Which Party is absolutely against any Federal fuding for abortion? Which party went crazy when they thought Obama was going to require insurers to cover birth control?
3. It could not be more clear they want a lighter shade of pale in the White House.

If you did not have poop for brains, these things would be apparent.

Tiberius - Your lightning rod of hate!

March 16th, 2012
8:58 am

“Riddle me this, if republicans are so eager to get Obama out of office, why isn’t their fundraising through the roof?”

Uhhhh, because they don’t need to spend as much in the primary, knowing that whoever is nominated they’re going to support. :roll:

Don't Tread

March 16th, 2012
9:00 am

“any politician who refuses to even consider compromise on any issue (or at least the major issues) should be immediately removed from their position and sent packing without severance or benefits for refusal to perform a vital function of their job”

Any politician who acts to pass unconstitutional legislation should be immediately removed from their position and sent packing without severance or benefits for refusal to perform a vital function of their job.

That would take care of most of the incumbents for sure. Then we’d see plenty of “enthusiasm”, as this country would actually have a chance to get back on the right track.

Tiberius - Your lightning rod of hate!

March 16th, 2012
9:02 am

“1. Lust for political power and wanting bigger Govt. are not necessarly the same thing.”

Yeah, because all those people currently IN office just create those laws and then get OUT of office, don’t they? :roll:

“2. Which Party is absolutely against any Federal fuding for abortion?”

The one that says if you do the crime, you have to pay the dime. Why should Federal funds pay for ANY medical procedure needed due to irresponsibility?

“Which party went crazy when they thought Obama was going to require insurers to cover birth control?”

The GOP. Due to church and state issues.

“3. It could not be more clear they want a lighter shade of pale in the White House.”

Only to the unthinking.

jconservative

March 16th, 2012
9:04 am

” Riddle me this, if republicans are so eager to get Obama out of office, why isn’t their fundraising through the roof?”

Good point Cutty.

Or this: Why isn’t their turnout higher than in decades instead of lower than in decades?

One gets the impression that Republican voters are satisfied with Obama and would be content to see him in ofice another 4 years.

Tiberius - Your lightning rod of hate!

March 16th, 2012
9:06 am

Don’t Tread, too bad there would be a whole separation of powers thing going on, but can you imagine if any lawmaker who voted for a bill deemed unconstitutional by the Supreme Court had to vacate their office as a result?

We an only dream . . . . :D

Junior Samples

March 16th, 2012
9:06 am

No matter what, I’ll probably never see eye to eye with Karl Rove. Not to be trusted.

“Part of the problem, according to Rove, is that Obama and the DNC are burning through cash at a much faster rate than Bush and the RNC did.”

The Citizens United decision played a huge role in that. Interesting that he didn’t mention the amounts of cash spent by the republican candidates so far comnpared to what Bush spent.

Jefferson

March 16th, 2012
9:09 am

Rove is a traiter, cheese eating rat. He should have been jailed for outing the CIA agent. Why you folks worship, quote or listen to criminals is why you seem uncreditable.

Button Gwinnett

March 16th, 2012
9:20 am

Actually, the reason for the low turn-out for the republican primary is embarressment.
.
If Ron Paul was not on the ballot, I sure wouldn’t have voted..lest someone thought that I was actually voting for the three stooge Obama wannabes.
.
Liberty will win in November.
Ron Paul 2012-2020.

JohnnyReb

March 16th, 2012
9:21 am

Junior Samples

March 16th, 2012
9:06 am

“Part of the problem, according to Rove, is that Obama and the DNC are burning through cash at a much faster rate than Bush and the RNC did.”

The Citizens United decision played a huge role in that. Interesting that he didn’t mention the amounts of cash spent by the republican candidates so far comnpared to what Bush spent.
___________________

Junior, are you a Democrat? Your post shows typical Democratic thinking. That being, blaming overspending on lack of income.

Don't Tread

March 16th, 2012
9:24 am

Yeah, wouldn’t that be nice? They would actually have to…let’s see….actually READ the bill and exercise some due diligence on whether it’s Constitutional or not (instead of just doing what the party leader says to do).

Don't Tread

March 16th, 2012
9:26 am

Speaking of unconstitutionality, the Citizens United decision is what happens when you try to restrict the freedoms of people you don’t like, and it blows up in your face.

clyde

March 16th, 2012
9:26 am

Apathy doesn’t begin to describe my feelings toward the Republican primary.Disgust comes closer.

JohnnyReb

March 16th, 2012
9:30 am

I reallly like the way Rove gets to Dems. They have no one who can hold a candle to his political savy. He can take a white board and laptop computer and run circles around them. He knows America’s political landscape and where it is important to concentrate resources. His PAC is also getting under their skins. Way to go Karl.

clyde

March 16th, 2012
9:30 am

One other thing;what’s this tendency toward throwing votes away by voting for Ron Paul?Does anyone out there really think he has a snowball’s chance in hell of winning anything?

Darwin

March 16th, 2012
9:39 am

Since 99.5% of campaign contributions come from special interests and not regular people, I guess it says that when you’re not out to be a puppet of the rich and powerful, you pay the price. Interesting that you bring up money as the indicator of how well your democracy is running.

Button Gwinnett

March 16th, 2012
9:40 am

clyde-
.
Throwing votes away?
This from someone that has been programmed to vote for the designated loser?
.
Too funny.
.
Ron Paul has already won….by being the champion of liberty.
The Dinosaur MSM and Q-Tips refuse to see it, but the youth don’t.

George Walton

March 16th, 2012
9:47 am

Dear Sir Button Gwinnett———-
.
Thank you on behalf to your service for the cause of Liberty.
Who would have thunk that we would be fighting the same cause after all of these years.
Roughly 15% of freedom-lovers agin the 85% frightened morons.
.
We won then………….and we’ll win now.
.
Cheers.

clyde

March 16th, 2012
9:51 am

Dear Button,
Over the years I have voted for mostly winners.Starting with Johnson.Reagan,Nixon,Carter,Clinton,Bush,Just to name a few. In 2008 I did not vote.

I have never been guilty of voting for a loser such as Paul.Don’t you realize that if he’s alive in 2016 he’ll be running again????

hryder

March 16th, 2012
9:54 am

Vote against ALL INCUMBENT elected office holders in the November elections which will lead to representation of the citizens paying for government services rather than those demanding benefits for providing their vote and maintaining the amoral bribe takers in office.

td

March 16th, 2012
9:59 am

Do all you libs realize that Rove has about $250 million to spend in his superpac? Do you think he is going to spend it on Obama?

td

March 16th, 2012
10:04 am

Kyle,

I think Rove’s analysis and maybe yours as well is not considering the money that is being funneled into the Superpacs?

You also did not mention that bringing down enthusiasm may be the plan of the Obama campaign. They may want this to be a base election instead of a change election because they may think they can win a base election, hence all the MSM talking and prodding the Republicans to talk about social issues instead of the economy and gas prices.

Mudfoot

March 16th, 2012
10:06 am

Tiberius

I disagree, and believe many share my opinion. While by no means the sole contributor to our piss-poor economy, Bush’s policies did indeed contribute greatly. Republicans’ staunch denial of that obvious fact detract greatly from their credibility, just like democrats who believe their partys’ policies had no part. Such vehement and consistent statements to the contrary belie self-imposed ignorance or true lack-of-interest regarding actual restoration of a vibrant economy. Again, this is something practiced on both sides of the aisle and is anything but beneficial to the nation. Sadly, republicans embrace of this tactic is far more visible in recent times and they are more inclined to cling to it because of George W Bushs’ failures (which are obvious to those who look somewhat objectively).
I’m not one who believes that Bush and Bush alone caused our economic woes… far from it, but todays’ GOP practice of TOTAL denial of ANY compliance makes todays’ GOP look ridiculous, especially in light of the fact that the GOP candidates are offering NOTHING new, only a return to GOP fiscal policy of 2000-2008. C’mon guys… that ain’t the answer and you know it

Oblama

March 16th, 2012
10:10 am

Both parties should be weary from all the lies and disinformation about the economy spouted by the leftist media (NBC, CBS, ABC, CNN, Yahoo, etc.) and the right (Fox News). The fact is that if ALL the profits from the big corporations and private enterprise were confiscated (taxes) by the fed government they would not even cover the INTEREST on the national debt – much less reduce the actual debt. Wake up America. We have a problem more important than government assistance for free contraception here! It’s called SPENDING. Like it or not these politicians are going to have to actually cut the size of the government, the military and the so called entitlement programs. Oblama’s plan to increase spending to save the economy is like throwing jet fuel on the fire. The clock on the national debt is TICKING! Bush and Oblama didn’t cause this problem – they just made it a lot worse. Vietnam was a Dem war, Iraq was a Repub war and Afghanistan is an Oblama war. All were and are a waste of lives, a waste of tax money and with what results? Three wars – no plan or desire to win on the part of the politicians. Just EXIT plans. Oblama has no plan to reduce the debt – just a plan to get himself and his comrades reelected. Keep those unemployment checks, medicaid checks and social security checks, government grants coming until after the election and then what? As Samuel L. Jackson said in EBONY magazine ” Oblama ain’t got no (expletive) plan to save this country, I’m not interested in his (expletive) plan. I didn’t vote for Oblama because of any (expletive) plan. I voted for him because he is black.” (Actually he voted for him because Oblama is black and liberal – typical Hollywood). We can’t afford one more year of Oblama and increasing the debt. Where is Ross Perot when we need him? Now I remember – the Dems and Repubs said he was crazy about the doom of our economy unless spending was gotten under control and YOU believed them -thus voting to increase the debt and keep the hacks in office.We don’t need a politician with no clue – we need some one that is honest – like Ross Perot.

Steve Dunbar

March 16th, 2012
10:12 am

You look to Karl Rove for inspiration for a column? This is the best you can do?