Poll Position: Which candidate will get your vote Tuesday?

Sometimes, the obvious is just too hard to see. As I looked around the Interwebs for ideas about a Poll Position question today, suddenly it dawned on me: Hey, why not ask about the big, real poll taking place here next week?

I consider myself CONSERVATIVE and my choice for the GOP nominee is:

  • Mitt Romney (53 Votes)
  • Newt Gingrich (44 Votes)
  • Ron Paul (27 Votes)
  • Rick Santorum (26 Votes)

Total Voters: 150

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So, I’ll go with the GOP presidential primary — but with a twist: I’d like you to vote in the poll that fits the ideological leaning that best describes you.

It’s the closest I can come to a kind of cross-tabs for one of these (still unscientific, of course) polls.

Yes, the labels are limited and perhaps overly broad, but I will be intrigued to see if we get anything interesting from the results: Which candidate gets the “conservative” vote, the “moderate” vote and the “liberal” vote.

Then we’ll compare these results to the exit polls from Georgia next week and see exactly how unscientific today’s poll really was.

I consider myself MODERATE and my choice for the GOP nominee is

  • Mitt Romney (48 Votes)
  • Ron Paul (25 Votes)
  • Newt Gingrich (21 Votes)
  • Rick Santorum (8 Votes)

Total Voters: 102

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I don’t have any way to limit folks to voting in just one poll, so this will be done totally on the honor system. So, please, vote early but not often.

I admit from the start that this is an experiment — including the need for spacing out the paragraphs more than usual to make the polls appear somewhat normally on the page — so we’ll see how it goes and whether I should ever consider trying it again.

As always, I encourage you to explain yourself further in the comments thread below.

– By Kyle Wingfield

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I consider myself LIBERAL and my choice for the GOP nominee is

  • Ron Paul (29 Votes)
  • Mitt Romney (27 Votes)
  • Rick Santorum (19 Votes)
  • Newt Gingrich (13 Votes)

Total Voters: 88

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203 comments Add your comment

md

March 2nd, 2012
11:26 am

From what I see posted on blogs on a daily basis, good luck with that honor system request.

Logical Dude

March 2nd, 2012
11:29 am

oops, voted twice. I thought there was one poll, then I scrolled down and saw three polls.

Logical Dude

March 2nd, 2012
11:38 am

I consider myself a moderate, which means most of the conservative bloggers think I’m a “leftist” or “Obamabot” or some other ridiculous term that does not define the complex nature of who/what I am.

So, subtract 1 Romney vote from the Conservative field. LOL

Tea Party Hobbit

March 2nd, 2012
11:43 am

Logical Dude – and most liberal bloggers think you are the spawn of Satan!
Personally I am sick of the trend toward social conservative topics – this election needs to be all about the economy! And it ain’t headed in the right direction, no matter what short term statistics may indicate.

jconservative

March 2nd, 2012
11:50 am

I voted for Romney as my main goal is to prevent another Obama term.

The key, as always in presidential elections, is how will the independents vote. I see nothing in Gingrich, Paul or Santorum that indicates they could carry the independent vote. All three are out of the political mainstream. I do believe Romney can carry the moderate indepentent vote.

Historically the independents are “moderate” in their political lean. Both Bush and Obama carried the independents in 2004 and 2008.

The Anti-Wooten

March 2nd, 2012
11:56 am

I’ll be voting for Newt, I want this primary season to go on as long as possible for the Republics. More entertaining that a 3 Stooges marathon.

Del

March 2nd, 2012
11:58 am

I go with the William Buckly’s metric. I’ll support the conservative that has the best chance of winning and that be Romney.

Tea Party Hobbit

March 2nd, 2012
12:02 pm

The Gainesville Times website has results of a poll at Gainesville State where Ron Paul edged out Barack Obama by one vote in mock election. Not that it was set up properly, or that Paul even has a chance to be the GOP nominee, but it does show that a) not all young people are liberally brainwashed and b) young people reject traditional GOP candidates.

SwamiDave

March 2nd, 2012
12:11 pm

Having already voted, mine for Gingrich is already in the delivered column.

jconservative:

I do disagree with your perspective on one count. The “moderates” or “independents” that you mention are not defined by “their political lean”. They are drawn by the vision and motivation of the candidates and campaigns. They are actually better defined as followers and thereby requiring a candidate or campaign by which to be led! Both Bush and Obama carried this group in their respective elections based on the fact that they simply followed along in the political winds of the times. In each case, it was less about Bush or Obama winning; more about Gore, Kerry, & McCain (along with HW Bush & Dole) losing.

To that end, Romney having a perpetual inability to engender support from within the base of his own party is likely the weakest candidate among the top three contenders.

Romney is struggling to win the nomination in a race where he is outspending all opponents combined 4-or-5 to 1. He is doing it by constricting support from his opponents instead of building it for himself.

Here is the reality:

- He will not outspend Obama.
- Obama beat McCain who beat him.
- In the General Election, he will have to grow his support instead of simply shrinking Obama’s.

Time will ultimately tell.

-SD

Kyle Wingfield

March 2nd, 2012
12:17 pm

jconservative: Fwiw, most of the current polling suggest Santorum actually stands a better chance of winning independents, particularly in swing states. (Remember, for all practical purposes, it doesn’t matter what “independents” or “moderates” in NY or CA — or TX or MS, for that matter — think.)

Now, will those numbers hold up? I don’t know — it’s entirely possible they’re a product of Santorum’s still being relatively lightly vetted. OTOH, they do appear to be holding up after a month in which social issues, and his stances on them, have been very much in the news. So, your guess is as good as mine.

Hillbilly D

March 2nd, 2012
12:24 pm

I’d say my views pretty much defy description. I’ve been called everything on here from a liberal to a right-wing reactionary. Don’t know who I’m going to vote for but I think this is probably the election that matters the least, so far in my life time. No matter which candidate wins this or which one wins in November, I don’t see a whole lot changing. In my mind, we’re in a period much like the late 1800’s, where we get a series of “caretaker” Presidents, who are basically ineffectual. The tail is wagging the dog, basically, and I don’t see it getting any better, anytime soon. I would just vote for myself but then they’d probably put my name in the local paper and I sure don’t want that.

ByteMe

March 2nd, 2012
12:25 pm

Unforunately, you didn’t offer us “NONE OF THE ABOVE” because of the way you worded the question about our choice for GOP nominee, not who we’d vote for on Tuesday.

Do what??????

March 2nd, 2012
12:26 pm

“Unforunately, you didn’t offer us “NONE OF THE ABOVE””

Good, so go away. Bye bye.

saywhat?

March 2nd, 2012
12:37 pm

If I were going to vote on Tuesday, I would vote for Santorum, but only in hope of gumming up the Republican primary even further, not because I share any values with the sanctimonious twit.

Kyle Wingfield

March 2nd, 2012
12:44 pm

ByteMe: Sorry, I figured it was pretty obvious the two phrases were synonymous in this particular instance.

1961_Xer

March 2nd, 2012
12:45 pm

Gingrich carries too much baggage, Paul was always DOA, and I cannot bring myself to vote for a Washington Insider & Culture Warrior (Santorum).

Mitt is it.

Do what??????

March 2nd, 2012
12:47 pm

saywhat?

All you’re doing is trying to delay the inevitable. Obama is toast in November.

Do what??????

March 2nd, 2012
12:47 pm

“and I cannot bring myself to vote for a Washington Insider”

Who’s the insider?

George P. Burdell

March 2nd, 2012
12:48 pm

I really don’t believe a poll that would indicate Santorum will pick up more of the independant vote than Romney. I am fiscally conservative and socially moderate and if it comes down to a choice between Santorum and Obama, Obama scares me less. The Republican party seems to be in a civil war between the conservatives and the more libertarin focused. No matter what, I hope that this election will lead to resolving some of that battle. I would have thought the 2008 election would have pushed everyone in that direction, but it does not seem to have done that. The conservative base of the Republican party has shown zero ability to compromise, even with more moderate conservatives, and that has done real damage to the party and the country. Go ahead and nominate Santorum but be ready for a real blood bath. I honestly think if he ran against Obama you are looking at a Mondale type count in the Electoral College. I’m not even sure he carries Pennsylvania at this point.

K.Conway

March 2nd, 2012
12:54 pm

Any of the three would be much better than President OBAMA !!!!

Hillbilly D

March 2nd, 2012
12:54 pm

Who’s the insider?

They all are.

GTT

March 2nd, 2012
12:57 pm

I did the same thing logical dude did. Broder is right. I’ve been a Republican since 1980 and actively campaigned for Ronald Reagan as a Young Republican at South Georgia College. I detest the purity tests this party has placed on candidates. I’m holding my nose and voting for Romney in the hopes if elected, he will be himself … which I think is a moderate, who will focus on a fiscally conservative, smaller federal government that keeps out of people’s personal lives.

Tiberius - Your lightning rod of hate!

March 2nd, 2012
12:58 pm

Is Herman Cain still on the official ballot?

I might just write him in anyway.

euler

March 2nd, 2012
1:01 pm

I’m writing in a vote for Nixon.

Rick

March 2nd, 2012
1:01 pm

“All you’re doing is trying to delay the inevitable. Obama is toast in November.”

You’re delusional if you don’t think this race is going to be close. The pool of candidates the GOP put together is laughably bad.

Georgia, The " New Mississippi "

March 2nd, 2012
1:12 pm

I will have to go with Slick Mitt because he is the best educated . Can visualize the big picture and is capable of modifying his positions based on reasonable fact based knowledge.

Becky

March 2nd, 2012
1:16 pm

People may have degrees, doesn’t mean they are educated or have any common sense.

See Bush, George. Romney, Mitt. Santorum, Rick. Gingrich, Newt.

Tiberius - Your lightning rod of hate!

March 2nd, 2012
1:17 pm

“People may have degrees, doesn’t mean they are educated or have any common sense.

See Bush, George. Romney, Mitt. Santorum, Rick. Gingrich, Newt.”

See Obama, Clinton, Carter, the entire Democrat leadership in the House and Senate . . . :roll:

ragnar daneskjold

March 2nd, 2012
1:18 pm

I regard myself as conservative, and I cast my vote for Mr. Santorum, as I will next week. Nothing against the other candidates, and any of the four would be my choice in November.

Bernie

March 2nd, 2012
1:18 pm

As a tree hugging Liberal, my vote will be for MULLAH RICK. this will be a protest vote against Newt to further insure Republican Party convention madness. Come November, I will vote for President OBAMA
again and pray that he gets both Houses, so that he may decisively move America forward. The Republican Party and its candidates have completely lost their way and the support of the American people.

Becky

March 2nd, 2012
1:20 pm

Bernie-right there with you!!!!

Let’s keep the clown car rolling till November!

I'd Vote for a Republican But I Am Allergic to Nuts

March 2nd, 2012
1:23 pm

If Liberals hated America we’d vote Republican.

Shark Punch!

March 2nd, 2012
1:24 pm

As a moderate who lived in Pennsylvania for most of the time that Santorum was in the U.S. Senate, I find it difficult to believe that he’ll be able to attract a large portion of the independent vote. This is the same guy who once equated homosexuality with bestiality, supported the teaching of Creationism (whoops, I meant Intelligent Design!) as part of NCLB, and those are just the tip of the iceberg. I really hope the Republicans primary voters are wise enough to nominate somebody else, because I really don’t want to have to vote for Obama in the general election.

Linda

March 2nd, 2012
1:24 pm

Romney is as allergic to red ink as Obama is to fossil fuels. Romney did not even consider the preposterous notion that he could spend his way into prosperity. Romney knows that we have stimulated our economy to death.

I'd Vote for a Republican But I Am Allergic to Nuts

March 2nd, 2012
1:25 pm

@Do what??????

March 2nd, 2012
12:47 pm
saywhat?

All you’re doing is trying to delay the inevitable. Obama is toast in November.

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

Obama will toast the Republican N*t in 2012

Tiberius - Your lightning rod of hate!

March 2nd, 2012
1:27 pm

“The Republican Party and its candidates have completely lost their way and the support of the American people.”

The GOP governors of 27 states and the legislatures of 29 states would disagree with you, Bernie.

Hyperbole, much?

md

March 2nd, 2012
1:29 pm

“Come November, I will vote for President OBAMA
again and pray that he gets both Houses”

Oh Joy…….as if “mandates” haven’t done enough damage to this Country……….

Freedom for ever

March 2nd, 2012
1:30 pm

I will vote for the candidate with a proposed plan to balance the budget. Are there any?

Rick

March 2nd, 2012
1:33 pm

“I will vote for the candidate with a proposed plan to balance the budget. Are there any?”

Ron Paul is the only candidate who’s plan will actually reduce the deficit.

Finn McCool

March 2nd, 2012
1:37 pm

The fat lady will soon begin to sing:

George Will has concluded that neither Mitt Romney nor Rick Santorum is likely to be elected president and believes that conservatives should set their sights on a more “attainable” 2012 goal: holding the House and winning the Senate.

http://www.salon.com/2012/03/02/when_a_party_quits_on_its_candidate/

Jefferson

March 2nd, 2012
1:37 pm

Newt for the world.

Tiberius - Your lightning rod of hate!

March 2nd, 2012
1:42 pm

And there’s a reason why our Presidents aren’t picked by opinion columnists, Finn.

carlosgvv

March 2nd, 2012
1:54 pm

If I were voting, it would be Romney. Unfortunately, there’s no way of knowing which Romney I’d be voting for. He keeps changing from one candidate to another.

Peadawg

March 2nd, 2012
1:54 pm

How about one more option:

5) Really? This is the best the GOP has to offer?

Do what??????

March 2nd, 2012
2:02 pm

“You’re delusional if you don’t think this race is going to be close. The pool of candidates the GOP put together is laughably bad.”

Good luck with that.

Do what??????

March 2nd, 2012
2:03 pm

” I will vote for President OBAMA
again and pray”

Good luck with that.

Do what??????

March 2nd, 2012
2:03 pm

Peadawg

Go back over to Bookman’s blog and pander for his attention. Also, UGA football sucks.

Do what??????

March 2nd, 2012
2:04 pm

“He keeps changing from one candidate to another.”

So does Obama.

Rick

March 2nd, 2012
2:05 pm

“Good luck with that.”

Currently Obama is, and has been, polling ahead of all the GOP candidates.

Linda

March 2nd, 2012
2:08 pm

Romney would lift Obama’s moratorium on drilling on the Outer Continental Shelf & on federal lands, including the Alaskan Natl. Wildlife Reserve. He would approve the Keystone pipeline & minimize regulations.
North Dakota is drilling on private land. They have more oil than Saudi Arabia. Their unemployment rate is 3.3%.