Obama’s back down to his pre-Osama poll numbers

A data point for those who thought President Barack Obama became invincible with the news that Osama bin Laden had been rendered, well, not invincible. From National Journal:

The bump President Obama received after the killing of Osama bin Laden more than two weeks ago in Pakistan has vanished completely, according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll released Monday.

Obama’s approval rating is now at 46 percent, equal to his approval rating in the last tracking poll conducted before Obama addressed Americans late on May 1 and informed them of bin Laden’s death. Forty-four percent of Americans now disapprove of the job Obama is doing as president.

According to the Gallup poll, Obama’s approval rating crested at 52 percent after the bin Laden killing. His disapproval rating never fell lower than 40 percent.

Obama’s bounce is smaller in magnitude and shorter in duration than the bumps enjoyed by other presidents over the past 70 years, according to a study by Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies. For example, George W. Bush received a 15-point bump after the capture of Saddam Hussein in 2003 — a bounce that lasted seven weeks.

The poll also comes the same day as Gallup announced that three in four Americans “name some type of economic issue as the ‘most important problem’ facing the country today — the highest net mentions of the economy in two years. Those numbers, combined with Obama’s fleeting boost, suggest the economy remains — by far — the dominant issue of the 2012 presidential campaign.

The Gallup poll was conducted Friday, Saturday and Sunday, surveying 1,547 adults. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percent.

Defeating Obama next year will still require a Republican who can present a credible, attractive alternative to the incumbent. But with the GOP field becoming a bit clearer over the past week — former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee said he’s out, as is Donald Trump — the process of identifying that candidate will be under way in earnest rather soon.

– By Kyle Wingfield

85 comments Add your comment

MiltonMan

May 17th, 2011
9:42 am

Obozo needs to find another terrorist target to take out – quickly. Also, good to see the Clown-in-Chief still issuing those beloved ObozoCare waivers to his friends.

bo

May 17th, 2011
9:45 am

yes, let’s focus on getting America to hate the president.

MiltonMan

May 17th, 2011
9:57 am

uh bo, that was already done. Remember all the liberal vitriol being spewed against Bush Jr.?

Lil' Barry Bailout

May 17th, 2011
9:58 am

Killing Osama doesn’t do a thing to address inflation, high unemployment, or the Idiot Messiah’s un-American $1.5 trillion deficits, so this new poll finding merits a big “DUH!”

Obama sucks

May 17th, 2011
9:59 am

Back to real life. Deficits, terrible health care legislation, no jobs…

Even a couple of bullets in the brain of #1 most wanted couldn’t help that.

Native Atlantan

May 17th, 2011
10:03 am

bo, look at Bookman and Cynthia. Labeling all potential candidates as not legitimate and racist. Everyone that throws their hat in the ring becomes targets for these two. And as far as hating the President, Obama is responsible for the way Americans feel about him, not this article.

No More Progressives!

May 17th, 2011
10:04 am

No need, bo. Most of America already does.

Derrick

May 17th, 2011
10:08 am

OBAMA 2012!!!! Yes he will!!!! You bunch of redneck IDIOTS!

Derrick

May 17th, 2011
10:09 am

The truth hurts!

Derrick

May 17th, 2011
10:12 am

LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL

You will lose again!

Derrick

May 17th, 2011
10:14 am

Derrick

May 17th, 2011
10:14 am

You are so mad….and nothing you can do about it. Obama 2012!!!

Lil' Barry Bailout

May 17th, 2011
10:26 am

Obozo’s performance did wonders for the Democrat party last November, eh Derrick?

Junior Samples

May 17th, 2011
10:30 am

and the republican front runner is???

Exactly.

Philip

May 17th, 2011
10:30 am

Derrick, it all runs in cycles. Enjoy your 5 more years of Obama (yes, I am pretty sure he’ll win in ‘12, much to my chagrin). Then it will revert back to Republican in 2016….Guaranteed. Hope that hopey/changey thing works out for you.

ByteMe

May 17th, 2011
10:31 am

MoE on the polls was 3.0, which could mean that the bump is holding steady at 49% or that the bump was much bigger and is now more than gone. Don’t celebrate polls until you understand statistics. In fact, don’t celebrate polls unless there are actual voters going to them instead of statistical samples of possible voters being asked a generic “approve/disapprove” question over the phone.

But it saved Kyle from writing much today. Good job! Lazy is the new busy, as Scott Adams would point out.

reebok

May 17th, 2011
10:34 am

President Obama, oddly enough, is not likely to simply concede the Presidency. Someone is going to have to beat him. And as much fun as it is for all the right-wingers to post poll info like that above, the truth is that Obama will steamroll anyone currently in the likely to be GOP field.

Furious Styles

May 17th, 2011
10:36 am

Numbers mean nothing. A pool this week, a poll next week. Polls are meaningless. Has anyone posting here today ever been apart of one of these polls? Just how many people are polled? I’ve never been polled nor any of my colleagues, coworkers, associates or business partners. So does this poll really mean anything? Blasting poll results every week is boring.

Find something else to pull out of the air.

Grasshopper

May 17th, 2011
10:39 am

‘But it saved Kyle from writing much today. Good job! Lazy is the new busy…’

You want to see lazy? Take a gander at Tucker’s copy-and-paste ‘columns.’ Ms Pulitzer herself usually barely types half a dozen words!

Chief Crazy Horse

May 17th, 2011
10:40 am

The ONLY poll that matters is the poll the week of Election Day 2012. Who cares or will remember or consider the polls every other week up until Election Day 2012?

Jack

May 17th, 2011
10:40 am

Obama’s bump came from the same people that voted him into office which doesn’t say a lot about the bump.

Jim

May 17th, 2011
10:45 am

If the republicans will get serious and nominate a business man who is focused on the economy and spending and not on a bunch of social nonsense, I think the republicans can regain the White House.

Mitt Romney or Governor Daniels fit the bill. I worry that the republican base (the base of both parties always controls the primary voting) will demand some yahoo like that lady from Minnesota or some other unelectable republican.

Think my worries are for naught? Look what happened to the Gingrich campaign. Its over before it really go started because Newt was willing to offer an opinion contrary to the base’s thought regarding Medicare.

I will vote for Romney or Daniels. I would not rule out voting for Pawlenty because of his record in Minnesota, not his campaign comments. I think he could appeal to a broad enough electorate if the electorate understands that both republicans and democrats always have to run to the right or left to win the nomination but don’t really believe all the hogwash they are forced to say to get the nomination.

I will sit on my hands if my choice is President Obama and some republican who is “pure” enough for the social radicals who control the republican party.

Bleeding Independent

May 17th, 2011
10:47 am

Why doesn’t it Jack, didn’t he get 53% of the vote? If that 53% approves, me says he gets another term as POTUS.

What say you

Gman

May 17th, 2011
10:52 am

Let the debates begin!

Kyle Wingfield

May 17th, 2011
10:53 am

Jim: I think what got Newt in trouble was not disagreeing with the House GOP plan, but handing Democrats a gift-wrapped campaign commercial by calling it “radical” and “social engineering.” It reinforced the idea that Newt is an “ideas guy” who doesn’t put a lot of thought into how he talks about his, or others’, ideas.

zeke

May 17th, 2011
10:55 am

What you leftist fools do not seem to understand is that unlike you who despised W., a great President, we do not hate or despise OBOZO! We realize he is an empty suit with no experience and no conscience! Has never been more than a leftist community organizer who associates with avowed communists! What we hate and want to fail is his LEFTIST SOCIALIST PROGRESSIVE COMMUNIST POLICIES!!! We also realize that you on the left that voted for him would be more than pleased if his redistribution agenda succeeded! Your envy of those successful is abhorrent! Absurd! And the fact that you leftist enabled 18 to 20 year old morons to vote is and will be the downfall of this great nation! They are not mentally mature enough to decide whether they can drink or not, but, CAN DECIDE WHO LEADS THE MOST POWERFUL, GREATEST NATION IN THE HISTORY OF THE EARTH! ABSURD!

ByteMe

May 17th, 2011
11:11 am

zeke wins the parody of the day posting.

Bleeding Independent

May 17th, 2011
11:14 am

So Kyle what you are saying Newt is to the right what Joe Biden is to the left…interesting

Reality Ck

May 17th, 2011
11:16 am

The reality is that, despite his performance (or lack of) so far, Obama will be a tough person to beat in 2012 – he doesn’t have anyone opposing him on the Dem side (so will have lots of money) and the media is in his pocket.

The Republicans should be able to beat him, but not if they implode like they often do. They must focus on Obama’s record and they must have a legitimate plan. Their nominee will most likely not have the charisma of Obama, but must make up for that with a clear message that shows leadership. Unfortunately, their messaging is often lacking and the Dems specialize in it.

Lil' Barry Bailout

May 17th, 2011
11:18 am

Obozo has charisma like Fidel has charisma.

joe

May 17th, 2011
11:25 am

Herman Cain…I want our black candidate to beat their black candidate, so their “racist” argument can be killed once and for all.

chillywilly

May 17th, 2011
11:41 am

President Obama WILL BE reelected in 2012. Newt “The Skirt Chaser”, Donald “The Chump” and Sarah “Miss Goofy” don’t stand a chance.

OBAMA, OBAMA, OBAMAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

gm

May 17th, 2011
11:42 am

I Just dont remember a white President having poll no. comming out ever 2 week.

Lil’ Barry Bailout

I rather have Pakistan people in American thean idiots like you, Rush, Hannity, bigots in America, can we trade you people out.
Obama should have let bid ladin continue with his plans till 2012, then maybe the retards like barry would become Ameicans again.

Screwy Louie

May 17th, 2011
11:50 am

Derrick-get out some and try to make some friends, dude.

kevin

May 17th, 2011
11:55 am

44% of Americans disapprove = 44% of the country are republicans. 52% of people approve, leaving 4% up for grabs. In other words, despite a recent poll dip, the math still bears out that Obama wins in 2012.

benny

May 17th, 2011
11:58 am

Uh Derrick. Off your meds? Oh yeah, must be as you sound so liberal. Two words for you. Obama’s gone.

Lil' Barry Bailout

May 17th, 2011
12:03 pm

gm, if you’re going to be calling folks “idiots” you might want to do something about you spelling, grammar, punctuation, and logic skills.

Your Idiot Messiah, while technically a citizen, is hardly an American. Americans don’t actively work to weaken our economy, hook citizens on government handouts, debase the currency, and apologize for their country around the world.

radiohead

May 17th, 2011
12:04 pm

When election time rolls arounds, I believe James Carvel said it best…”it’s the economy stupid!” Getting Osama was big, but it won’t provide jobs and keep food on the table.

We’ll see what happens, but I’m praying for a pro capitalist, business minded , fiscal conservative to win, and that ain’t Obama!

Darwin

May 17th, 2011
12:05 pm

Stop right wing social engineering. Re-elect President Obama.

Jefferson

May 17th, 2011
12:07 pm

How about a better topic ? That is just a snotty way to live.

kevin

May 17th, 2011
12:15 pm

Lil Barry Bailout,

The economy grew for the first time in over 2 years under Obama. Sure, it’s not completely recovered, but he inherited.a complete mess from the previous administration. Blaming Obama for the current economic situation is like blaming a firefighter for starting a fire.

Do you seriously think the previous president who inherited the largest surplus in US history and left us with our largest deficit, cattle-carted us to war in Iraq based on lies and deception without international support in a an unprecedented pre-emptive fashion, promoted government funds being distributed to religious organizations and de-regulated financial institutions allowing for credit default swaps causing the biggest economic collapse our country has seen since the depression did a better job?

Ever hear the saying, “you shouldn’t throw stones in glass houses.” Whatever you think of Obama, to suggest he is worse than the last president is ludicrous by any objective standard.

Get Christie in

May 17th, 2011
12:16 pm

Someone needs to get on the phone with Gov. Chris Christie and talk him into running. Take a look at some of the youtube clips of him. Prety impressive.

jconservative

May 17th, 2011
12:20 pm

The Obama Bin Laden bump – it was not much of a bump in the polls. It was and is the economy.
The election will be a referendum on Obama, The same Gallup poll shows Obama at 43% of vote to the Republican nominee 40%. Independents still have not decided and as always will not decide until a day or two before the election.

Bottom line, Obama occupies the White House, and that is worth a lot of votes.

Gingrich – the man is absolutely unable to stay on message. No self displine, in his life choices or in his thinking/talking. And he would be a lousy VP choice.

The GOP needs one of the governors to jump into the race. One who is more charismatic than watching grass grow.

And where is the Republican movement of years ago to amend the Constitution to allow Schwarzenegger to run for President? It died after a few weeks as I recall. (If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.)

[...] I mentioned in another comment thread earlier today, this episode also gives one the impression that he’s [...]

gm

May 17th, 2011
12:22 pm

Lil’ Barry Bailout

Maybe if your last cow boy President policies had not got 3,000 people killed in Ny and we became the most hated country around the world maybe he would not have to apologize, and maybe if the cow boy had not destroyed the enconomy people would not depend on social programs.
Please stop watching the idiots at fox and friends.

Lil' Barry Bailout

May 17th, 2011
12:22 pm

kev, our President Bush never ran or proposed $1.5 trillion deficits, never had 8% unemployment (much less 9 or 10%), and never confiscated companies in order to give them to union thugs. The next problem your Idiot Messiah solves will be his first.

Kyle Wingfield

May 17th, 2011
12:22 pm

For those who want to talk specifically about Newt, there’s a new post upstairs: http://blogs.ajc.com/kyle-wingfield/2011/05/17/on-newt-gingrichs-careless-right-on-right-attack/

Paulo 977

May 17th, 2011
12:27 pm

kevin
“Blaming Obama for the current economic situation is like blaming a firefighter for starting a fire.” Excellent simile , very powerful!!!

Who Cares

May 17th, 2011
12:28 pm

Polls mean nothing, Obama has managed this economic crisis as well or better than any other man could do. It wouldn’t matter if he was a republican or a democrat the economy is what it is. When Bush was in office and the republicans contriolled everything they had no answer or ideas how to generate jobs. They had a number of years to excerise their economic ideals and it failed, and you can not blame the democrats for that. The matter of the fact is business controls the economy and niether side has a clue how to get it to create jobs here in America. I believe most of the hateful comments about Obama is based on the fact that he is half black, not due to the job he is doing. Business are self serving and if they can save money hiring people over seas and increase profits that is exactly what they will do, any one would. Maybe what we need to do is lower our standard of living so that big business will bring jobs back to America.

Linda

May 17th, 2011
12:33 pm

kevin@12:15, It appears that you have failed to read this report by members of the Financial Crisis Commission that Obama appointed. It’s entitled “Question and Answers on the Causes of the Financial Crisis.” It began with the passage of the GSE Act in 1992 & facilitated government intervention into the housing market in the Democrats’ quest for social justice thru affordable housing. It’s only 13 pages.

http://keithhennessey.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/12/Financial-Crisis-Primer.pdf

The practice was contined during the Bush adm. but many Reps. tried to rein it in. I’ll be happy to post the videos. I also will post the vidoes of the statements from Democrats who voted in favor of the Iraq War.