Primary-night open thread: So, who wins?

Or, in races like the GOP contest for governor, merely survives until the next round?

Who will advance to the GOP runoff for governor? (Please choose two)

  • Karen Handel (215 Votes)
  • Nathan Deal (141 Votes)
  • John Oxendine (59 Votes)
  • Eric Johnson (20 Votes)

Total Voters: 246

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Will Roy Barnes win the Democratic nomination without a runoff?

  • Yes (192 Votes)
  • No (14 Votes)

Total Voters: 206

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The official polls have closed by now, and I’ll post updates as the results come in. But the two blog polls posted just to the left are opening now.

I’ll also begin the guessing with a hunch that Roy Barnes wins the Democratic gubernatorial nod outright tonight, and that Karen Handel and Nathan Deal advance to what will probably be a vicious GOP runoff.

Make sure to vote early in the two polls here — they’ll stop taking answers at 9 p.m., when the real results should start clearing up.

Comments on the other races are also welcome. There are some very good contests in both parties for attorney general and secretary of state, among others.

And try to keep it clean …

37 comments Add your comment

Dave

July 20th, 2010
7:13 pm

You may want to tweek your poll software. The percentage “total” is over 150%.

Dave

July 20th, 2010
7:14 pm

Kyle Wingfield

July 20th, 2010
7:39 pm

Dave: I see what you mean…not sure there’s anything I can do about it. My guess is that, since this is a multiple-option poll, the numbers ought to come to 200%…and that not everyone is picking two choices.

But that’s just a guess. And I’ll see what I can find out.

[...] AJC columnist Kyle Wingfield predicts former Gov. Roy Barnes will avoid a runoff, but the Republican side of the ballot will be more complicated. Karen Handel and Nathan Deal will likely advance to what will probably be a vicious GOP runoff, he says. [...]

Johns Creek

July 20th, 2010
7:54 pm

I agree with you on Barnes, but I think it will be Handel and Oxendine on the other side.

Kyle Wingfield

July 20th, 2010
8:13 pm

Dave, and others: I was able to take down the percentages, but unfortunately I had to take them off both polls. Still, I think that’s less confusing than having weird percentages on the GOP poll.

Thanks, and keep voting!

Grand Forks

July 20th, 2010
8:31 pm

Handel will win and left wing retards will explode when she beats Barnyard.

Le Bourgeois

July 20th, 2010
9:06 pm

off topic post:

Kyle, we need a future article on this little nugget from the healthcare bill that I have blogged about before. An exceprt: “Don’t forget that the healthcare bill also states that employers will have to add to the W-2’s issued in 2011 how much you received from said employer in healthcare benefits. This, we are told, is only for “reporting purposes.” What that really means is the administration is trying to take an aggregate amount of all health care benefits paid so they can see at what rate they need to tax these benefits just as it was income in the next few years to help pay for the looming monster of a healthcare bill.

I would like to see Deal in the runoff. That would make for an interesting run.

miles

July 20th, 2010
9:11 pm

HANDEL is running on letting folks who dont have health insurance die…i guess thats what JESUS would do

Grand Forks

July 20th, 2010
9:13 pm

miles hates white people.

Hillbilly Deluxe

July 20th, 2010
9:21 pm

Choosing for Governor, this year, is like playing Russian Roulette with only one empty chamber.

miles

July 20th, 2010
9:22 pm

grand forks

why do conservative christians like u want folks who dont have health care to die…

Vik

July 20th, 2010
9:31 pm

Kyle, How close must the results be to force a runoff?

On Patroll

July 20th, 2010
9:32 pm

GF is a hack.

SW Atl

July 20th, 2010
9:33 pm

There is not one person running who is campaigning on anything good, just tearing down the people they are supposed to represent. We are all losers with the choices we have.

miles

July 20th, 2010
9:36 pm

nobody fights dirtier than christian conservatives…the runoff in the repub primary will be the dirtiest on record…must be a JESUS THANG

Marvel Goose

July 20th, 2010
9:52 pm

Dave, curious about the precinct line up. What is out that candidates count as big numbers for them? What precincts should we be looking for?

Grand Forks

July 20th, 2010
9:56 pm

On Patroll = miles

Grand Forks

July 20th, 2010
9:56 pm

Why do democrats want everyone to be poor?

Grand Forks

July 20th, 2010
9:58 pm

miles

I did a google search for “pizza delivery driver shot in Atlanta” and nothing came up. Made me wonder if you lied about that.

Grand Forks

July 20th, 2010
10:06 pm

Looks like the democrats are running short on voters. I guess they couldn’t bus in folk from the ghetto or dig up enough dead people. Also, I hear the illegal votes ran back to Mexico. Something about a bill.. huh, whodathunkit.

Oh well. Sucks for democrats.

Ox Loses!

July 20th, 2010
10:07 pm

The big story tonight is that Oxendine will finish in fourth place among the Republicans. As he should have. What an idiot!

Ox Loses!

July 20th, 2010
10:09 pm

Apparently he had a lifetime desire to be the gub’nor but he was so pathetic that all he could do is finish fourth in his own primary despite having the most money of anybody. What a loser.

Ox Loses!

July 20th, 2010
10:10 pm

Hasta la bye-bye, Ox!

miles

July 20th, 2010
10:20 pm

grand forks

ask yourself, why would someone lie about being shot and paralyzed?…it happened in 1997…i’ve been trying to find the story too, i think crime was so bad back then that it was overlooked by the media

Flash

July 20th, 2010
10:22 pm

Thank God Ox has lost. Georgia could not survive his contract on the state. My bet is that we will be seeing Barnes moving bake to the Governors Mansion.

bill

July 20th, 2010
10:48 pm

wonder if the NEA and all the teachers will get jerked around by barnes?? Dick Yarborough must be having a coronary ’bout now!!

miles

July 20th, 2010
10:49 pm

hey bill

teachers get jerked around by both parties

bill

July 20th, 2010
10:52 pm

OX might wanna consider retirement!! He really is a “sorry” politician…how did he keep getting elected as insurance commissioner?? same way Obama ….electorate eat up with stupid!!!

miles

July 20th, 2010
11:01 pm

yeah bill…just like u dumb repubs voted for MCCAIN N PALN…how foolish

NJF

July 20th, 2010
11:01 pm

Recycled…Replicated…Repugnant candidates…Everybody loses.

Kyle Wingfield

July 20th, 2010
11:07 pm

Had to be away from the computer for awhile, longer than I anticipated. Results are more than two-thirds of the way in…looks like Handel and Deal, but with Chatham County (Savannah) still mostly yet to report, Deal will have sweat this thing a little more than it first appeared.

Vik: There will be a runoff unless one candidate gets 50% plus one vote. In other words, there will be a runoff.

Kyle Wingfield

July 20th, 2010
11:10 pm

One quick observation away from the horse race: Almost two-thirds of the votes counted so far (71% of precincts reporting at this point) were in the Republican primary. Roy Barnes will have the advantage of sitting back while two Republicans bloody one another, but in the end this is still an uphill climb for him.

DawgDad

July 20th, 2010
11:45 pm

I too was very pleased to see the R vs. D vote counts. Not sure how this tracks historically, but all that matters is November.

I’m not expecting a bloodbath in the runoff. These are two party insiders; I’m sure there will be the obligatory negative ads but I expect (and hope) the campaigns focus on taking the high road and realize they’re ultimately both playing on the same team. There’s enough governing work to keep them both very busy. Fight hard, but focus on the issues and make us proud – now that would be REAL Hope and Change!

The left and the media can say what they want about Sarah Palin – she packs a political wallop and she’s steadily building a strong base of support and political capital. As I’ve posted before, she is energizing a large segment of normally apolitical conservative leaning voters, many who never consistently found their way to the polls. She’s strengthening our base the way Reagan did – by pounding the core issues home and not kowtowing to the mainstream media like the Washington crew tends to do. Whoever ultimately prevails in the runoff will benefit from this energy because it’s focused on November and beyond, not on bashing within the party.

kinsi

July 20th, 2010
11:50 pm

Don’t look TOO much into the vote totals D vs. R. Republicans had a feisty primary on their hands. Democrats didn’t – everyone knew Barnes had it. Most of the democrats I know stayed home today because it wasn’t worth the hassle to go vote when everyone knew the main event winner.

P. Robertson

July 21st, 2010
4:11 am

Glenn Beck, like Haiti, must have made a deal with the devil.

Grand Forks

July 21st, 2010
7:50 am

miles wrote

HANDEL is running on letting folks who dont have health insurance die

then wrote

nobody fights dirtier than christian conservatives

and finally

ask yourself, why would someone lie about being shot and paralyzed?

Gee miles, I wonder why someone would lie indeed.