A fiscal black hole grows deeper

Add another half-trillion dollars to America’s debt.

No, Congress hasn’t been on another spending spree. (Yet.)

I’m talking about another $600 billion in debt — almost $2,000 for every man, woman and child — that state and local governments have racked up but don’t recognize.

I’m talking about money that we owe to just one category of retirees: Teachers. Money that we already would have known about if government followed the same accounting rules as private companies.

Add that money to the teacher-retirement debt we already knew about, and we’re talking about almost $1 trillion.

Whoever said “trillion” is the new “billion” wasn’t kidding.

These figures come from a new report, “Underfunded Teacher Pension Plans: It’s Worse Than You Think.” The authors argue the funds underestimate funding gaps by overestimating the rate of return on their investments. They say the funds could avoid this problem by following private-sector accounting rules, which require adjustments to account for pension investments’ risk.

That’s right: The unfunded liabilities of teacher pensions across the country have been understated by an amount — $600 billion — roughly equivalent to the 2008 bailout of Wall Street. And it’s because the plans, like the banks, weren’t accounting prudently enough for risk.

As a result, the plans nationwide are not close to the benchmark of 80 percent funded, as previously thought, but just more than half-funded.

“The Dow Jones Industrial Average would have to nearly double overnight to make up for the present underfunding of these plans,” write co-authors Josh Barro of the Manhattan Institute for Policy Research and Stuart Buck, a doctoral fellow at the University of Arkansas.

Georgia is better off than most states, which isn’t to say we’re in great shape.

Our Teachers Retirement System is still two-thirds funded after Barro and Buck’s adjustments. But they peg the plan’s unfunded liabilities at $23.6 billion, compared to the officially reported $4.8 billion. The difference in those figures, $18.8 billion, is greater than the entire 2011 state budget will be.

Yep, the hole just got deeper.

Actually, it got deeper a long time ago. For decades, governments have hired workers on the premise that they would earn lower wages but make up for the shortfall with better benefits and job security.

That premise is no longer true. USA Today reported last month that government workers earn 13 percent more than their private-sector counterparts in the same occupations. With benefits, public-sector compensation is an astounding 55 percent higher.

It’s a model that was bound to fail, because it allows elected officials to make promises their successors will have to keep.

“I think there is a real institutional problem with these systems where you get to make the promise now” about pay and benefits, Barro told me in a telephone interview Tuesday, “and you don’t have to pay for it for decades.”

Barro’s comment is a perfect description of the government model used in this country since the New Deal. The most crushing components of our growing federal debt are two programs that likewise promise today’s workers a share of their children’s future wages: Social Security and Medicare.

It is a failed model.

And we can’t afford to keep funding this failure much longer. Barro notes that our $1 trillion nationwide in unfunded liabilities for teacher pensions equals two years of our entire spending on K-12 education.

Federal debt of $12.8 trillion. Cumulative state and local debt of $2.4 trillion. State and local pension debts of $2 trillion (the estimated total including retirees besides teachers).

Happy Tax Day. It won’t get any easier from here.

118 comments Add your comment

CJ

April 14th, 2010
7:51 pm

USA Today reported last month that government workers earn 13 percent more than their private-sector counterparts in the same occupations. With benefits, public-sector compensation is an astounding 55 percent higher.

Restating this figures, private-sector workers earn 12 percent less than their public-sector counterparts in the same occupations. With benefits, private-sector compensation is an astonishing 35 percent lower.

Beginning with Reagan, in the early 80’s, the private-sector has slashed both compensation and benefits — adjusted for inflation — with the end result being that a tiny percentage at the top hold more wealth than 95 percent of the households.

The USA Today figures are not reflection of public-sector inefficiencies. Rather, they’re a reflection of private-sector greed.

JTK

April 14th, 2010
8:37 pm

CJ, don’t you think the reason for the pay difference is the fact that government can run at a deficit while the private-sector has to at least break to be sustainable? Using the libtard mantra of greed totally discounts your argument.

Mr T

April 14th, 2010
8:48 pm

I guess starting a bogus war that is and will cost trillions (and not including it or Afghanastan in the deficits), and taking a surplus and spending money like a drunken sailor on shore for 8 years makes you an expert on “fiscal responsibility”? It’s always the social spending,you know the helping your fellow man which your bible talks about when you are born again for the hour and a half of the week on Sunday morning, that bugs you elephants the most. Except when you or family members need it! Like unemployment, grandpa’s SSI, mom’s medicare. Anybody else should be able to take care of themselves. Need I say most elephants aren’t that bright and are tools???

Paulo 977

April 14th, 2010
8:49 pm

CJ…you are right on target . Private- sector ‘cheerleaders’ have just not figured it out!!

Taxpayer

April 14th, 2010
8:55 pm

Well, we could always trim back on that 1+ trillion dollar annual military budget and put that money to better use. Of course, we could have also quit taking all the money paid into social security over the years and diverting it to pay for tax cuts. There are just so many things that could be done better. Keeping fiscally irresponsible Republicans out of office helps a lot.

JDW

April 14th, 2010
9:04 pm

Taxpayer:

“Keeping fiscally irresponsible Republicans out of office helps a lot.”

AMEN

StJ

April 14th, 2010
9:05 pm

“Need I say most elephants aren’t that bright and are tools???”

I have yet to see a single conservative suggest that a bill should be passed and then “we’ll see what’s in it”. For that matter, I’ve not seen any conservatives that think an island will tip over if too many people get on it at the same time.

Back on topic…Not only do government employees make more than private sector employees, they are nowhere near as efficient…further deepening the money pit.

Daedalus

April 14th, 2010
9:37 pm

According to the St. Petersburg Times (a conservative paper) that pay disparity study is flawed and the GOP Senators that keep quoting it don’t score too well on the ‘Truth-o-Meter’:

http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2010/feb/03/scott-brown/politifact-debut-brown-says-federal-jobs-pay-twice/

I’ve worked private sector and public jobs. Both have lazy people and great people. Its easy to generalize. If I had to choose between US military personnel and Blackwater, I’d take the GI’s over an outfit like that or most of the contractors (Halliburton?) who are only in business to bilk the govt.

How’s that for a generalization?

Michael H. Smith

April 14th, 2010
9:43 pm

I’m always ready to cut BIG GUB’MENT anytime. Let’s see: Get rid of the Postal Service, Fannie and Freddie, HUD, DHS, Department of Education, about half of the IRS, about 32 czars, end all GUB’MENT pension plans, get rid of all Democrats in now in Congress and ObumerCare…

In the public sector social security is called an entitlement. In the private sector it is called a ponzi scheme. No matter what they’re called they always fail. Only difference is the thieves in the public sector get re-elected, while those in the private sector go to jail.

zoe

April 14th, 2010
9:46 pm

Don’t worry, you won’t have to pay teachers Social Security, we fall under the windfall provision act. Even if we work second jobs and pay into Social Security, we aren’t allowed to get benefits. Every year when I get my Social Security statement and see my estimated benefits and start calculating the amount I would receive that I will never see. Many other jobs allow retirees to receive retirement benefits AND Social Security. This is common in many states around the country.

Bombon

April 14th, 2010
9:52 pm

I know the value of a trillion dollars. It’s what GWB’s false war in Iraq has cost us to date. 3 billion a week for 8 years. Funny, I don’t remember the Kyle Wingfield’s of the world doing too much griping about this over the past 8 years or so.

Michael H. Smith

April 14th, 2010
9:53 pm

Social Security is broke. Don’t bet on what anyone will receive.

Jason T

April 14th, 2010
10:16 pm

Always amazing how the Dems and libtards defend The Imperial Federal Government, with all their wealth distribution schemes and money lost in black holes, waste and fraud. Yet, they have so much problem with individuals keeping their own money! War on Poverty? over 4 Trillion spent, and what happened? The Post Office? AMTRAK? Social Security? Medicare? Medicaid? The wonderful world of Government. If Corporations ran themselves like The Imperial Federal Government, they would be in jail, not the Government. You wanna talk about “tools”???? None bigger than believers in Government being the answer!

Kyle Wingfield

April 14th, 2010
10:31 pm

Unfortunately for Daedalus, we’re talking about different studies. And the criticisms leveled in the article he links aren’t applicable to the USA Today review, which looks at comparable jobs and doesn’t exaggerate the numbers as Sen. Brown did. Yes, it also refers to Brown and quotes Cato’s Chris Edwards, but they’re not talking about the same study.

Is it too much to ask that you read something before you try to poke holes in it?

Kyle Wingfield

April 14th, 2010
10:34 pm

And, unsurprisingly, CJ has ignored the main point here: That our model for public pensions was designed in an era when the private sector paid better, and government needed a way to offer better compensation to attract good workers. The point is that we are still operating that old model when — for whatever reason, although CJ prefers to cling to good ol’ greed — the circumstances have changed.

But explaining why we should stick to an obsolete model would be more difficult for CJ than trotting out good ol’ greed.

The Cynical White Boy

April 14th, 2010
10:52 pm

Having worked for a Georgia Congressman who sat on the Ways & Means Committee (tax writing committee), I know that the rich and the corporate powers will always have their tax shelters protected from harm…so…

The next Revolution, if there ever is one, will arise from the middle class. The rich and the corporate will have their tax shelters, the ‘poor’ will have cradle-to-grave Obama benefits and never pay taxes, so the middle class will work and pay and work and pay and work and pay until the day that the Bastille is finally stormed.

CJ

April 14th, 2010
11:45 pm

Kyle is correct. I did ignore his main point.

Why? Because anybody who votes Republican has zero credibility when complaining about deficits and unfunded liabilities. Let’s forget about Reagan, Bush 41 and 43, the Republican Congress, and the enormous financial burdens each left behind for a moment, and look at another example close to home.

Even today — as our state struggles financially, as college tuition rises dramatically, as school districts close schools, layoff or furlough teachers, and increase class sizes dramatically (while our education system remains among the worst in the nation), as our roads become more congested, as we struggle with water issues, as we struggle to fund care for children in foster homes, as we struggle to fund our justice system — today our Republican-led state legislature voted to phase in $387 million in tax cuts, including eliminating state income taxes for seniors. These tax cuts include no triggers in the event of financial catastrophe or provisions for rainy day funds or provisions to fund underfunded pensions. They’re just another present from the Republicans in the state house for the rest of us to grapple with in the years to come.

Of course, they legislate these future tax cuts intending that their cost will eventually be transferred to the poor and middle class in the form of increased state sales taxes and other regressive forms of taxation. But, if they have their way, one place that the $387 million that has just been cut will not go is to keep the promises made to teachers by fully funding their pension plans.

So directly to Kyle’s point, the model for public pensions for teachers and others are only obsolete to the extent that people who vote Republican make them so.

Gerald West

April 15th, 2010
5:55 am

Kyle, you and many of those readers who comment on your column just don’t get it!

Government jobs are the only jobs worth having! You get good pay and benefits, and don’t have to worry much about layoffs and recessions.

Government-backed health care is the only health care worth having! You pay reasonable premiums and co-pay fees, you gain access to the medical providers of your choice, you can never be denied coverage, and there are no lifetime limits.

Why don’t you people wise up and support more government benefits and higher taxes? Over time and with better management, the US might even catch up with the social democracies of northwest Europe and Japan in prosperity and quality of life. Not one of those countries is as poor in income and household worth, or as lacking in prospects for a secure future, or as uncompetitive in private enterprise as our own state and its backward neighbors.

Gordon

April 15th, 2010
6:46 am

The libs on this blog who whine about Republican debt and deficits are both right and wrong. Both parties ARE responsible for this catastrophic mess. But there is no comaparison between what Obama is doing and what Bush did. And for the record, there were lots of us who WERE complaining when Bush was spending too much money. All you can do is say “Bush did it too!” like a bunch of 4 year olds. Why don’t you just admit that America made a huge mistake on November 4th, 2008? Anyone who is not completely partisan can see that. If Republicans go back to overspending we’ll throw them out of office as well.

Whacks Eloquent

April 15th, 2010
6:53 am

Geez Kyle, don’t you remember that the term “black hole” is racist?!?

Refresh your memory: http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,380143,00.html

Seriously, when will it stop?

Buzz G

April 15th, 2010
7:34 am

Yes, Republicans under Bush spent too much. But Obama and the Democrats have made the Republicans look like rank amateurs. It is now a race against the calendar to get the Democrats under control before we can kick their corrupt butts to the curb in November. It now looks like before we can get rid of them, they will have run the national debt to an amazing $13.6 trillion. I cannot even get my brain around a trillion dollars.

When I was young people used to say “When I get old I do not want to be a burden on my children.” Now days we elect Democrats to steal from our children and our grandchildren. Our grandchildren will have every right to judge us harshly.

Ole Guy

April 15th, 2010
7:46 am

OK…so we’ve more-than-amply identified the problem(s). Any (logical) proposals to remedy the situation, or are we on a slippery slope from which recovery is all but moot? “Throw out the bums” is part rational and part inconceivable…who, after unmet pre-election rhetoric, do we oust? Pre-election lies, after all, have become the norm for American politics. Term limits? Who, in Congress, will have the guts to introduce that one?

We’ve talked about the problems; unfortunately, talk, alone, won’t achieve much of anything. I, and generations before me, have been educated to a reasonable standard. I, and generations before me, will probably see Social Security. But I sure as hell can’t imagine a USA, in another 30 to 50 years, achieving, much less maintaining, the global imminence we’ve enjoyed throughout the 20th Century. Those of us with kids had better prepare them for a bleak future…OR, WE CAN DO THE HARD AND UNPOPULAR THINGS TODAY. YOU IN?

kitty

April 15th, 2010
7:59 am

Buzz G, if the Republicans who yell “Fiscal Responsibility” every chance they get and THEN do the exact opposite are allowed to do what they do…I call then the “don’t tax and spend more anyway” party…, why do you expect the Democrats who are open about their spending to spend less? Guess what! you moral hypocrite Republicans are providing a bad example. You idiots screaming about the Dems after what your party did is completely laughable. Wonder why no one takes the GOP seriously anymore? THAT is why.

jconservative

April 15th, 2010
8:13 am

“Happy Tax Day. It won’t get any easier from here.”

No it will not. It will only get much worse. You guys 45 and under are in for a long hard climb.

But do yourself a favor and think about how we got into this mess. If you want to blame Democrats, go ahead, it is cute to do so, but only that. If you want to blame Republicans, go ahead, it is cute to do so, but only that.

Who you need to blame is the incumbents you have been trained to send to congress and your state legislatures year after year after year.

Here are some interesting numbers about who has controlled what the past 29 years since we started this policy of increasing spending while cutting taxes & the debt has jumped from $957 billion to $12.8 trillion:

Republicans in the WH – 20 of 29 years
Democrats in the House – 17 of 29 years
Republicans in the Senate – 16 of 29 years.

For 29 straight years the House and Senate have sent the president deficit creating tax & spending bills. For 29 straight years every president has signed into law deficit creating tax and spending bills.

Now who is at fault?

Morrus

April 15th, 2010
8:19 am

Vote out the incumbents and start over

brad

April 15th, 2010
8:38 am

This should make everyone feel better:

http://www.costofwar.com/

Glenn

April 15th, 2010
9:10 am

Nov. 15, 2002
Dick Cheney
“Reagan proved deficits don’t matter.”

One would have to be a total idiot to view republicans as fiscally responsible . Please name the Republican administration that sought out to reduce government spending . Power & promises is a bad combination . Both parties are irresponsible with our tax dollars according to history . Until this Tea party movement forms its own party or throws its weight behind the libertarian or constitution party I have no respect for it . Even Ron Paul , Americas new conservative darling , said the only reason he is in the Republican party is because it was the only way to be elected .

As far as the article , from what I understand Clinton is responsible for the short fall in social security , medicare , & probably pensions as well . His supposed balanced budget came from paying down public debt at the expense of these programs & government holdings .

RJ

April 15th, 2010
9:12 am

Buzz G,
“Yes, Republicans under Bush spent too much. But Obama and the Democrats have made the Republicans look like rank amateurs.”

True, but the democrats never claimed to be fiscally conservative.

RJ

April 15th, 2010
9:14 am

Jason T,

“Always amazing how the Dems and libtards defend The Imperial Federal Government, with all their wealth distribution schemes and money lost in black holes, waste and fraud.”

And if you think that’s bad, just wait till you get a republican wealth distribution scheme like Florida’s A+ plan.

Tyler Durden

April 15th, 2010
9:16 am

Kyle has a valid point that the current system is based on a bygone era when gov’t had to compete with the private sector. Of course, the knee-jerk response by many here to blame Dems for that is neither surprising nor credible. And other posts have equally valid observations that it’s hard to take conservative criticism of current deficits seriously when their heros (Reagan and Dubious) did FAR WORSE in the exact same arena. In fact, Dubious mangled all forms of gov’t policy across the board, yet nary a word of criticism was heard from those squelching loudest now. Ditto for their previous ‘respect the President’ arguments during Dubious that have convenientely turned into ‘Dissent is Partiotic’ now.

If hypocrisy was an art form, these folks would be modern-day Picassos…

CJ

April 15th, 2010
9:35 am

Yes, Republicans under Bush spent too much. But Obama and the Democrats have made the Republicans look like rank amateurs.

Any Econ 101 textbook not written by Thomas Sowell would say that the feds should run surpluses in times of economic growth and temporary deficits in times of economic decline or instability to make up for the temporary hole in private sector spending. Otherwise, the economy continues to contract, revenues continue to fall, and yes, long-run deficits grow even bigger as a result.

Excluding the portion of the current and most recent deficit caused by lost revenue from the Bush recession (about $1 trillion, give or take) the Dems are running temporary deficits (aka: stimulus) deliberately to make up for the shortfall in the economy due to the loss of private sector spending. These deficits brought us back from the brink of depression, and we need to continue running deficits in the short term until the economy stabilizes and private sector spending picks up again.

In short, rather than complaining about the deficits under Obama, we should be thankful for them. If McCain were elected, he would have run us into the ground.

As I said, when those who vote for Republicans — who run deficits at times of economic growth or stability and complain about them in times of economic instability — speak about deficits and debt, they have zero credibility.

Chris Broe

April 15th, 2010
9:38 am

Reading the comments today makes even the most budget-conscious flat-earthers support funding for more dunce caps, castor oil and detention monitors. Perhaps we could pay for this with an IQ-subtracted tax.

Conservatives SUX

April 15th, 2010
9:43 am

I cosign with CJ.

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
10:00 am

Here’s how “temporary” those deficits are, CJ (see page 12): http://bit.ly/butzqu

Or, if you prefer a visual: http://bit.ly/9zmJcr

Now, try to explain how those numbers compare favorably to Reagan and Bush.

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
10:01 am

The point being, “bad” and “horrific” don’t mean the same thing.

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
10:06 am

And as jconservative points out, the president isn’t the sole creator of budgets. He isn’t even the main creator of them.

I’ll also wait for CJ to explain how the early 1980s and 2000s were “times of economic growth or stability.”

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
10:17 am

Now, back to the real topic hand: What to do about all this debt.

I’ll hazard a guess that you could get broad support, even among many conservatives, for a tax hike on the following conditions:
1) Every penny — every fraction of a penny — every fraction of a fraction of a penny — was explicitly and irrevocably dedicated to paying off debt.
2) The tax hike was statutorily required to sunset as soon as the debt fell below a certain percentage of GDP. Something above zero, because frankly there is a point at which it does less damage to the economy to have some degree of debt than to keep taking money out of the productive sectors.
3) The tax hike was designed to be as small, transparent and broadly applicable as possible. That’s right: All of us, not just “the rich,” pay for the debt that all of us have built up.
4) Spending was cut in real terms. I don’t mean decreasing the amount of increases forecast, which is how both parties in Congress typically talk about cutting spending. I mean a reduction of spending in inflation-adjusted dollars.

All of that may be fantasy. But as Ole Guy says, some of us at some point are going to have to make some hard decisions.

CJ

April 15th, 2010
10:47 am

I’ll also wait for CJ to explain how the early 1980s and 2000s were “times of economic growth or stability.”

Despite his implication to the contrary, I’m confident that Kyle understands the difference between temporary deficit spending for stimulus and long-term deficit spending for no reason whatsoever other than the view that “deficits don’t matter”.

For example, the $1.8 trillion dollar tax cuts that Bush “rammed down our throats” (with Cheney casting the tie breaking vote in the Senate) were not stimulus cuts — they were put into effect for ten years. The only reason they weren’t permanent is that Republicans used the now-evil reconciliation process to get larger cuts passed (to their discredit, some Senate Dems supported smaller permanent cuts at a time when we still had a $5.4 trillion debt).

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
10:53 am

I’ll respond, CJ, but I’m waiting for you to view the information I linked above and explain how the Obama deficits are temporary. Otherwise, there really is very little point in this exchange.

Glenn

April 15th, 2010
10:55 am

Nice post Kyle . It takes a big republican to propose a new tax : ) Fantasy indeed . Once a source of revenue comes into play it would just about take an act of god to have it removed . Think the 400 toll road . Both parties are addicted to spending . They just want to spend it on different stuff . Don’t shoot me but I think I would go the tariff route .

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
11:06 am

Glenn, you raise a good point: What kind of tax? Almost every tax is avoidable to some degree, and the most onerous ones give birth to the most creative methods of avoidance. This is one reason that limits on CEO pay and tax-the-rich schemes almost never produce the money expected: CEOs and the rich have more resources than the rest of us to find (legal, usually) ways to avoid the restrictions placed on them. Meanwhile, we all suffer from the resulting inefficiencies.

A tariff would be just about the most damaging tax we could propose. (Smoot-Hawley, anyone?) There’s no such thing as a unilateral tariff hike; they’re always reciprocated, hurting the people and producers of all countries involved.

This is the problem with trying to erase the debt through taxation. Growing the economy, and tax revenues along the way, is still the most palatable choice. But it requires really holding the line on spending, which, as I noted above, happens rarely if ever.

Jess

April 15th, 2010
11:09 am

We have been run into the ground, and we are digging deeper. The idea that the deficits we are creating today are temporary sound much more like a rationalization than an explaination. Obama and his band of academics, and lawyers have shown a gross ignorance of what makes our economy work, and have wasted a trillion dollars in the process trying to stimulate by growing government and funding pet projects. He has crippled small businesses with increased costs, while totally ignoring the fact that they create over 70% of the private sector jobs in this country. I cannot think of a single thing he has done which had a positive effect on business.

The Tar and Feathers Party

April 15th, 2010
11:09 am

The more you give to government, the more they demand. The solution is to reduce property taxes in Georgia at least, cut teacher pay, reduce schools to teaching read, writing, and arithmetic, and nothing else. Raise class size to 50, and cut administration to one principal per school, no secretaries, no vice principles, just the principle and teachers. We may not be able to cut the already promised pensions, but we can surely reduce the number of teachers and hangers on, and reduce their top pay level. A 50% across the board pay cut will mean the teachers top 5 years of earnings will all be in the past. There will be no maxing out in the last five years of work. Remember the Social Security Trust fund theft that Kyle so helpfully deleted from yesterday’s blog? Well that fund gave 2 trillion dollars to the government to save toward paying for the baby boomer’s retirement on social security. Did the government save that 2 trillion dollars? No, they spent every penny on pork barrel projects, gifts to foreign nations (mostly israel), and wars, wars, wars. Proof positive that the government will spend every penny we give them, and they will demand more, more, more. I say cut, cut, cut government down to size, and punish the thieves who have already robbed us.

CJ

April 15th, 2010
11:18 am

Kyle,

When Clinton came into office and introduced his first budgets, the CBO/JCT 10 year projections were similar — growing deficits as far as the eye could see.

When Bush came into office and introduced his first budgets, the CBO/JCT 10 year projections were similar — growing surpluses as far as the eye could see (incidentally, lobbying for tax cuts, Alan Greenspan testified at the time that those surpluses could be detrimental to our economy).

You can rely on that data if you want, but the evidence is clear that Presidents don’t propose, and Congresses don’t pass, operating budgets and then leave them on auto-pilot for a decade.

mit

April 15th, 2010
11:20 am

cut teacher pay, reduce schools to teaching read, writing, and arithmetic, and nothing else? Are you serious? That’s the dumbest thing I ever heard.

Jess

April 15th, 2010
11:27 am

CJ,

When Obama came into office and bulldozed the stimulus program through, he projected that unemployment would be held to 8%. And what happened to the millions of new jobs? Anyone who thinks our government can spend itself out of a financial hole is rationalizing, not thinking.

Glenn

April 15th, 2010
11:27 am

Now Kyle we all know our biggest trade partners , China as well as Saudi Arabia , are manipulating our currency . Does it get more protectionist than that ? If we could reduce our imports & help strengthen our manufacturing sector how could that be a bad thing ? We need to keep more of our money in this country . We have been running a trade deficit for decades. All Smoot Hawley really showed is that tariffs harm the supply side country which we have not been for awhile . China is MUCH more protectionist than us anyhow .

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
11:42 am

That’s not quite right, CJ. When Bush introduced his first budget — for FY2002, which began 19 days after the twin towers fell — the budget surpluses were already in decline. Clinton had the good luck to leave office right before a bubble popped and terrorists attacked. Anyone who thought Bush or any president could have maintained surpluses at that time is a real Pollyanna.

Similarly, Bush’s deficits were in decline before the housing market crashed and financial markets panicked. The TARP sent deficits shooting back up in Bush’s last budget, FY2009. Obama’s job now is to make sure the deficits fall, and sharply. My reading of his policies is that they won’t do anything of the sort. I hope I’m wrong.

In any case, the data I linked are based on the CBO’s analysis of the Obama administration’s own projections. We are not talking about Bush-era figures, or figures that somehow predate the recession, the stimulus, etc. And the point of that particular CBO report is that the administration is only able to claim that its deficits are “temporary” because it bases them on wholly unreasonable estimates of economic growth.

CJ

April 15th, 2010
11:43 am

You’re right Jess. Unemployment wasn’t held to 8%. The stimulus should have been bigger and more specifically focused on job creation.

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
11:45 am

Glenn, if you believe that we can operate a closed economy, then you’re right — not much ill would come of increased tariffs. The point of the Smoot-Hawley reference was that we’ve known at least as far back as the 1920s that the only closed economy is the world economy, as Robert Mundell likes to say.

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
11:48 am

CJ, kindly point to the last use of Keynesian spending that was big and focused enough to do what its proponents said it would do.

The Tar and Feathers Party

April 15th, 2010
11:58 am

Clinton did not have a balanced budget, he borrowed tens of billions from the Social Security Trust Fund, but because the government scum are a pack of lying thieves, this money was not counted as borrowing. It was referred to as “intra-governmental transfer.” A lie by any other name is still a lie, and the annual surplus from ss has now ended, requiring the guv to start paying some interest on the trust fund in dollars that count against the budget deficit. Hence the alleged “crisis” in SS. SS has enough money to pay our benefits for decades, it is the general budget that is in crisis. I expect the liars in Washington to create a fake crisis under the guise of which they will steal some or all of our social security benefits, benefits we have already paid for, but the money was stolen by the likes of Barney Frank, Robert Byrd, Teddy Kennedy, and all the rest of the thieves in Washington. I demand revenge. Call it justice, call it anything you want, but hold the Washington liars accountable, and punish them severely. Strip Teddy’s name from all government buildings and projects, let his name disappear from history, except to be remembered as a liar and a thief.

Glenn

April 15th, 2010
12:00 pm

I hear ya Kyle . How about an economy in which we didn’t continue to lose billions every month in trade deficits . I never meant to suggest a closed economy . Just trying to level the playing field . Here is a staggering number for you .

http://www.americaneconomicalert.org/ticker_home.asp

dylandawg

April 15th, 2010
12:01 pm

didn’t read the whole blog and hopefully someone already addressed it…. but those private/public comparisons were discredited right after they came out….stop using them

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
12:03 pm

dylandawg, we’ve already been through the fact that various studies about this exist, so please speak specifically to the one I’ve specifically mentioned.

dylandawg

April 15th, 2010
12:10 pm

politifact did a nice report on it. Specifically addressing a Cato study. I believe though not certain that USA Today quoted the CATO study. Regardless, there was a lot of coverage about all these studies when they first came out and they were severly flawed. I wouldn’t use it.

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
12:12 pm

That’s exactly what we’ve been through: USA Today did its own review of the data, and the Politifact check wasn’t disputing the Cato study so much as Sen. Scott Brown’s misstatement of the study’s findings.

No More Progressives!

April 15th, 2010
12:17 pm

CJ

April 14th, 2010
7:51 pm
The USA Today figures are not reflection of public-sector inefficiencies. Rather, they’re a reflection of private-sector greed.

Define private sector greed.

dylandawg

April 15th, 2010
12:22 pm

The upshot of the article is that these comparisions are meaningless. So to use them to make a point…any point…serves no purpose.

No More Progressives!

April 15th, 2010
12:23 pm

mit

April 15th, 2010
11:20 am
cut teacher pay, reduce schools to teaching read, writing, and arithmetic, and nothing else? Are you serious? That’s the dumbest thing I ever heard.

Not really. Disolve the Dept. of Education and push public education back down to the state level where it belongs. Ever since the Jimmy C. created the un-Contritutional DOE, test scores have fallen and cost-per-pupil has risen dramatically. We don’t even rank American kids in (international)Math scores because the Asians kick our butts.

CJ

April 15th, 2010
12:25 pm

That’s not quite right, CJ. Anyone who thought Bush or any president could have maintained surpluses at that time is a real Pollyanna…Obama’s job now is to make sure the deficits fall, and sharply.

You’re rewriting history again Kyle. Review Alan Greenspan’s testimony to Congress in advance of the Bush tax cuts and what he had to say about the projected surpluses — projections which you now claim came from “a real Pollyanna.” Those long-term tax cuts passed in ‘01 and accelerated in ‘03 were justified, in large part, using Greenspan’s testimony. Here is an excerpt from CNNMoney written early in 200:

“…Greenspan played down the idea that tax cuts would provide an immediate boost to the economy, saying that tax reduction is appropriate as a long-term economic measure now because of estimates of a larger-than-expected federal surplus…The Fed chief had long been a proponent of using budget surpluses to pay down the national debt first, instead of using additional revenue to pay for tax reduction. But Greenspan said government estimates project more than enough surplus funds to pay off the debt and reduce taxes too.”

With regard to the economy, Obama’s job, first and foremost, is to stabilize the economy and instill job growth. Those two items are necessary prerequisite to making sure that deficits fall.

Again, Obama inherited a debt that had more than doubled under Republican rule, and even with balanced budgets, would continue to grow exponentially due to the compound interest on that debt. In addition, Obama inherited a rapidly declining economy that caused a $700 billion-plus revenue loss in his first year in office and additional revenue losses in out years.

So the suggestion from those who ran up the debt at a record pace and ran the economy into a near-miss depression (i.e., people who vote Republican), that Obama should drive the economy into a ditch to prioritize reversing the debt that he inherited is ludicrous at best and disingenuous at worst.

Contrary to the lies and misrepresentations, Democrats are sincerely interested in balancing the budget, returning to surpluses and paying down the debt — but only after the patient is stabilized. Republican voters, on the other hand, didn’t care about deficits until a Democrat entered the White House. In addition, the Republican elite’s “starve the beast” strategy hasn’t worked (so far), and as a result, they’re clearly frustrated.

The Tar and Feathers Party

April 15th, 2010
12:28 pm

If I read Kyle right, he wants to eliminate our already paid for social security benefits, most likely to save himself having to pay the ~6% ss tax. Kyle, we have already paid a surplus into the trust fund of 2 Trillion dollars, see my cut and paste that you deleted yesterday. If it is a generational war you want, we can give it to you. We are the Giant Generation, we are 70 million strong, and we are older and meaner than you can imagine.

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
12:34 pm

You’ve read me wrong, Tar. Not the first time.

Gator Joe

April 15th, 2010
12:36 pm

Dear Kyle:
The problem of underfunded pensions, as stated in your article, are well presented. Bush and Cheney were faced with 9-ll and its aftermath, understood, but they did not need to involve us in Iraq which wasted lives and contributed (and continues) to budget deficits. By the way, were you calling attention to this type of deficit spending, much of it apart from the budget process, to avoid public scrutiny? Assuming the correctness of your point that President Obama’s policies will not address the debt, most of which was the result of the prior Republican administrations, his polices do address problems prior administrations ignored.

Jason T

April 15th, 2010
12:36 pm

CJ

April 15th, 2010
11:43 am
You’re right Jess. Unemployment wasn’t held to 8%. The stimulus should have been bigger and more specifically focused on job creation.

Riiiight. Laughable! Just throw more money at it.

CJ

April 15th, 2010
12:37 pm

CJ, kindly point to the last use of Keynesian spending that was big and focused enough to do what its proponents said it would do.

World War II.

Obviously the focus was on defeating the Axis powers, but doing so resulted in “Keynesian spending” on manufacturing and jobs. In the decades that followed, economic growth outpaced spending, and as a result, even with deficits, the national debt became a shrinking portion of GDP (that is until Ronald Reagan rode into town).

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
12:40 pm

CJ, not you’ve managed not only to misquote me but to mislead everyone on the blog. You left out the date of that article — unintentionally, I’ll assume — but for the benefit of everyone who won’t click through your link, the article was dated Jan. 25, 2001. In other words, before the bubble burst, and before 9/11.

As for the misquoting, I didn’t write, as you suggest, that anyone predicting surpluses on Jan. 25, 2001, was a Pollyanna. What I said was that anyone who expected Bush to maintain surpluses after a burst bubble and a major terrorist attack was a Pollyanna. Perhaps I should have said “in those times” to be clearer. If you didn’t put so much effort into discrediting me, no matter how much distortion is required, I might give you the benefit of the doubt.

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
12:43 pm

OK, everyone ready to go back to the World War II economy, raise your avatars.

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
12:56 pm

I should clarify: I’m referring to the recession that resulted when the tech bubble burst, beginning in March 2001. That’s when people, and the economy, began feeling the effects.

CJ

April 15th, 2010
1:13 pm

Please forgive the typo at 12:25. “written early in 200:” should have been “written early in 2001.”

The tax cuts that passed shortly after 9/11 were the same tax cuts that Bush campaigned on in 2000 and the same tax cuts that the Congress held hearings on throughout 2001. Given the evidence, and Greenspan’s testimony that such cuts would not provide an “immediate boost” to the economy, it’s ridiculous to suggest that 10-year tax cuts passed in ‘01, and accelerated and expanded in ‘03, were somehow intended as short-run stimulus in reaction to 9/11 (although Bush changed his justification for these tax cuts as needed).

With regard to when the “bubble burst”, there’s no specific date, but President elect Bush was arguing that we were in a recession in December of 2000. So again, it’s rewriting history to suggest that the economic decline was an unknown at the time of Greenspan’s testimony. In fact, again, he directly addressed the immediate effects that the proposed cuts would have on the economy (not much) specifically because of the weakening economic climate at the time.

The long-term projected surpluses didn’t cease to exist because of the bursting of the tech bubble and 9/11. They went away, in large part, because of Bush tax cuts, the war in Iraq, dramatic increases in agricultural subsides, and Medicare Part D — none of which the Party of “deficits don’t matter” ever attempted to pay for.

The Tar and Feathers Party

April 15th, 2010
1:14 pm

WWII did not directly end the Great Depression in America, the destruction of the worlds industrial plant ended the Great Depression in America. If Japan, Germany, England and all the rest wanted to rebuild, they had to import steel, machines, food, and consumer products from the only source in the world, America. Remember also we were the largest oil producer in the world before and after the war. If our alleged leaders had half a brain, they would have slowly shut our domestic oil production, and imported vast amounts of cheap arab oil, with the threat of reopening our massive oil fields always hanging over the arab’s heads. The leaders were too stupid to see far into the future, so they pumped America dry, and now we are at the mercy of the oil exporters. They will not be kind to us, and we do not deserve kindness.

Linda

April 15th, 2010
1:48 pm

Absent from this discussion is the fact that retirements funds are invested in corporations. The article Kyle referred to stated that part of the “discrepancy is attributable to the stock market drop precipitated by the 2007 financial crisis” & mentions the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Whether you work in the public or private sector, your pension fund, if you have one, is likely invested in corporations on Wall St., along with retirement accounts for those who are self-employed. Taxpayers whose retirement funds are not invested on Wall St. are still responsible financially for those of the public sector. The only retirement funds not invested are social security payments which the govt. SPENDS.

Corporations are nothing more than a large group of people with limited liability. They are recognized by law to have the same rights as individuals. They are owned by, managed by, hire, borrow from, sell to & represent we the people. We the people are the shareholders, managers, employees, creditors, customers & clients. They ARE the American people. When they fail, share holders loose their investment (retirement plans), new jobs are not created, employees loose their jobs, retirees loose their benefits, creditors loose their money & consumers pay higher prices–or the govt. bails them out–& taxpayers suffer in either case.

Large corporations supply us with our homes, their contents, our food, clothing, transportation, health care, our way of life.

Capitalism is not greed, but envy is a sin. Demonizing corporations is self-loathing.

(No, I have no ties to a corporation other than the average consumer/taxpayer.)

john

April 15th, 2010
1:53 pm

Kyle,

I wonder when Obama and Pelosi defecits quadruple anything Bush every did in the next 2-3 years if the cray libs out there will have anything to say then…I keep hearing libs say how taxes haven’t gone up except for the rich…while, yes, technically that is true…what the tea partiers and other conversatives are worried about is the INEVITABLE TAX INCREASES for all of us that are coming because of Obama’s crazy spending.

Keep up the good work Kyle….it’s so painful reading Tucker and Bookman’s liberal garbarge everyday….(I know, I know, they are your colleagues so I’m not supposed to bash them)

redneckbluedog

April 15th, 2010
2:10 pm

If you can read this blog….thank a teacher…!!!

Glenn

April 15th, 2010
2:11 pm

@ Linda

Large corporations also give an absurd amount of money to both parties to purchase democracy . Most of this money is given to hinder free enterprise , limit consumer protections, & get our tax dollars . Not questioning large corporations motives is ignorant .

retiredds

April 15th, 2010
2:12 pm

I think this brief piece in the AJC speaks to the duplicity of Republicans in GA. They decry the Obama administration and the future cost of healthcare. So what do they do? Read below, especially the last paragraph. Kyle, this is why I, personally, don’t believe ANYTHING that comes from the Republicans about fiscal responsibility. They say they are, but their actions almost always suggest the opposite. There is a name for that: hypocrisy.

The Georgia Budget & Policy Institute is calling on Gov. Sonny Perdue to veto a Republican fee and tax bill that was changed at the last minute Wednesday to include tax breaks for wealthy senior citizens and property owners.
“In order for Governor Perdue to maintain his record of fiscal responsibility, he should veto House Bill 1055,” the institute said in a prepared statement. “The legislature combined permanent tax cuts with much-needed revenue increases in HB 1055, turning the governor’s fiscally responsible proposal into a last minute tax giveaway.”
The bill started out as a revenue-raising measure, calling for a variety of fee increases and a so-called bed tax on hospitals. The extra money that would be generated has been committed to helping fund the state’s $17.8 billion budget.
But on Wednesday, the bill was amended in the House to include provisions eliminating the state’s small share (one-fourth of a mill) of local property taxes. It also was changed to include a phase-out of state income tax on retirement income of Georgians 65 and older.
Those two tax breaks, which wouldn’t start until 2012, would cost $380 million over five years by lawmakers’ projections.
The institute says this “adds to the alarming and long-term structural deficit in Georgia” and “could have serious negative implications for Georgia’s AAA bond rating.”
Republicans, who control both the House and Senate, said Wednesday that they’re delaying the implementation of the tax cuts with the belief that the economy will

Banned By Cindy

April 15th, 2010
2:16 pm

Man. Kyle be pwning CJ. Takin’ her to the woodshed. Arm-barred and tapped out.

Ron Paul is even with Obama now. Who’d a thunk it after Steele and that Fox commentator (”we should be taking our marching orders form Al Qaeda”) did their best to belittle him.

Viva La Revolution. Economic illiterates and liberty haters are goin’ down.

CrazyInGA

April 15th, 2010
2:20 pm

Capitalism might not be greed, however; the people who run corporations are definitely greedy. And greed is a sin.

Linda

April 15th, 2010
2:48 pm

Glenn@2:11, If you look at campaign contributors, there are only 4 corporations in the top 20 heavy hitters. There are also 4 associations & 11 unions who, of course, support Dems. If your goal is to question the motives of large donors, you are falling short by singling out corporations, who do not appear to be the real movers & shakers.

Demonizing, not questioning, is ignorant.

CJ

April 15th, 2010
2:49 pm

I responded to Kyle’s 12:40, but it appears to be floating in cyberspace. My previous post did indicate the timing of Greenspan’s testimony (”early in 2001″)

Here’s what you wrote Kyle: “When Bush introduced his first budget — for FY2002, which began 19 days after the twin towers fell — the budget surpluses were already in decline.

Note that the tax cuts were proposed by Governor Bush (i.e., Karl Rove) during his 2000 presidential campaign, rejustified as necessary stimulus for a weakening economy by President-elect Bush in December of 2000 (Greenspan disagreed in his 1/2001 testimony)), introduced in Februrary of 2001, debated in Congressional hearings throughout spring 2001, and signed into law June of 2001.

Given the timing of their proposals, debate and passage, the notion that the Bush tax cuts “began 19 days after the towers fell” is irrelevant to the original point — surpluses were forecast as far as the eye could see when those tax cuts were proposed, introduced, debated and passed. But what Presidents do in the interim matters.

Mr. Ed

April 15th, 2010
2:58 pm

The ‘Baggers should blame the republicans for supporting the insurance companies, banks, and Wall Street lobbyists over American families and small businesses.

The spending and tax policies of the last ten years caused the problems we have today. They turned record surpluses into record deficits, cut taxes for corporate CEO’s and the rich. The GOP is still protecting Wall Street and the big banks by opposing reforms that would protect consumers and prevent future bailouts.

Linda

April 15th, 2010
2:58 pm

Quote from Gov. Chris Chistie, NJ, “One state retiree, 49 yrs. old, paid, over the course of his entire career, a total of $124,000 towards his retirement pension & health benefits. What will we pay him? $3.3 million in pension payments over his life & nearly $500,000 for health care benefits–a total of $3.8 million on a $120,000 investment. Is that fair? A retired teacher paid $62,000 toward her pension & nothing, yes, nothing, for full family medical, dental & vision coverage over her entire career. What will we pay her? $1.4 million in pension benefits & another $215,000 in health care benefit premiums over her lifetime. Is it “fair” for all of us & our children to have to pay for this excess?”

TGT

April 15th, 2010
3:09 pm

Here’s an interesting budget idea (at least for U.S. states):

Given the economic disaster that is California, former republican gubernatorial candidate there, Tom Campbell (now U.S. Senate candidate), has a particularly interesting budget plan. According to columnist George Will a few months ago, Campbell “favors resetting the budget cycle so that the state would accumulate one year’s revenues to be spent the following year, when precise knowledge would replace wishful thinking about available revenues.”

Campbell is no economic novice. He has a Ph.D. in economics from the University of Chicago, where Milton Friedman was his faculty advisor. Campbell has served as a California State Senator, has been elected to the U.S. Congress five times, and has served as Director of Finance for the State of California.

According to Campbell’s Web site (while still running for governor), under current law, California’s legislature and governor set a budget based on what they expect revenue to be. Instead, Campbell notes, “they should set the budget on the lower of: 1) what they expect revenue to be, or 2) what the revenue actually was in the previous fiscal year. When revenue is growing, the extra amount will earn interest. When revenue is falling, the legislature will have one year’s lead time; they can spread the necessary cuts over two years. It will take some years to phase in this proposal. To be conservative, let’s give it 10 years. After 10 years, we will collect money in the current year, put it in an interest bearing account, and not spend it until the next year. What’s in that account is what we have to spend.”

Like many other states, Georgia’s constitution requires that it operate under a balanced budget. Also, like virtually every other state (according to my research), to determine the size of its budget, Georgia must make a revenue estimate. According to the Legislative Budget Office, “The Governor, who is the Budget Director, is responsible for making the official revenue estimate. He is assisted in this responsibility by a state economist under contract as a consultant with the Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget, which manages the budget for the Governor. The basis for making revenue projections is a computerized econometrics model. From this model, a range of estimates is provided to the Governor by this economic consultant.”

Georgia was among many (if not most) states which had shortfalls in their 2010 budgets which had to be adjusted to. Trying to nail down accurate budget numbers is, to say the least, an inexact science. Why not remove the guesswork and let the previous year’s revenue fund the following year’s budget?

After all, isn’t this how it works with virtually every individual, family, business, church, etc. that operates with a budget? The previous month’s (or week’s) earnings pay for the next month’s expenses. Is it so far fetched to think that our government would budget as do most other institutions?

As U.S. Senate candidate, Rand Paul, (Congressman Ron Paul’s son) puts it, “People think that there is a different logic for an economy than there is for an individual.” In other words, what doesn’t make sense in a family or business budget should not make sense for the government.

The Tar and Feathers Party

April 15th, 2010
3:11 pm

Kyle wrote ” The most crushing components of our growing federal debt are two programs that likewise promise today’s workers a share of their children’s future wages: Social Security and Medicare.
It is a failed model. And we can’t afford to keep funding this failure much longer.” Your words sure read as though you want to get rid of Social Security and Medicare!

Winston Smith

April 15th, 2010
3:22 pm

Kyle:
Putting aside all the hogwash about foreign wars and helping my fellow man, it would be interesting to know how much teachers have actually contributed to their retirement benefits and pensions in hard dollars. I will humbly posit that the number (if available) is a pittance compared to the projected payout. Makes you wonder whether all the private sector bashers understand the outsized return public sector workers get on their “investments.”

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
3:26 pm

Tar: Change? Yes. Eliminate? No.

Winston: NJ Gov. Chris Christie has been hammering home this point in his state. I don’t know the comparable figures for Georgia but will look into it.

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
3:27 pm

Interesting idea, TGT.

Linda

April 15th, 2010
3:28 pm

Mr. Ed @ 2:58, The overall profit for the hc insurance industry is a mere 3.3%. There are a dozen or so medical-related industries whose profits exceed that of the insurers. I don’t know about you, but I would feel more secure if the profits for our insurers were higher in case there was a national epidemic.

The Dems demonize banks & Wall St. while, simultaneously, bailing them out, or worse, nationalizing them. The fed. govt. now controls 51% of our economy.

What caused our problems today started with the Dem ideology in the 1990’s with Affordable Housing, the belief that home ownership was a right, not a privilege. The cause of the problems of the 2015 will be the Dem ideology in 2010, the belief that health insurance was a right, not a privilege, as well as the belief that we can spend our way out of a recession into prosperity with money that we do not have for pork we do not need.

The GOP is not “still protecting Wall St. & big banks by opposing reforms.” The GOP could not stop the nationalization of our entire hc system by opposing it. The Dems could have passed financial reform a year ago.

I should be working

April 15th, 2010
3:43 pm

Not matter the issue it comes down to political favors trumping the national interest through the actions lying deceitful politicians. If either Liberals or Conservatives were true to the beliefs they espose a sustainable economy could be generated. However, it is a fantasy to think politicians will ever do more than pay back favors over the good of the nation. Perhaps we should populate both halls of Congress every year the way we do a jury and leave these people with specific instructions on what there purpose is…..wonder how that would work, possible chaos, but would it be any worse?

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
3:54 pm

I should: William F. Buckley expressed something similar when he said he’d rather be governed by the first 400 names in the Boston phone book than by the Harvard faculty.

Marine

April 15th, 2010
4:01 pm

The only two jobs a good accountant has is to hide profit and not get caught.

TGT

April 15th, 2010
4:09 pm

BTW: In the latest Rasmussen poll Barbara Boxer leads Tom Campbell (her closest opponent) by only 2 points, 43-41.

Glenn

April 15th, 2010
4:11 pm

@ Linda

If you would have said labor unions supply us with our homes, their contents, our food, clothing, transportation, health care, our way of life.

and followed it with

Capitalism is not greed, but envy is a sin. Demonizing labor unions is self-loathing.

(No, I have no ties to a labor union other than the average consumer/taxpayer.)

I would have made roughly the same comment but said unions instead of corporations . One need not look past the biggest donor AT&T & see the face of corporate evil though . I will demonize AT&T & not feel ignorant in the least . And a blanket statement about the virtues of all large corporations I can’t let slide . Sorry Linda but it is my contention that for the most part big business has gotten lazy & done so with the help of government .

And Linda the 90’s are over . So what do we do now to make sure Americans don’t have to borrow another 700 billion with interest so we can give it to the banks & borrow it back with more interest . Thats a huge improvement over socialism . Though I think that is a pretty lame argument seeing a 10 dollar an hour foreign minority fruit picker could have gotten a loan 5 years ago for over half a million dollars from several banks without any government involvement . What would you propose ? Also Linda the health insurance providers could make more . They just would have to drop more of the sick people they insure . Sure the American taxpayer would still have to pay for these people but insurance companies would be even more profitable . Good stuff .

Winston Smith

April 15th, 2010
4:13 pm

Thanks Kyle–it would be enlightening to see how GA pensions stack up. I’ve followed Christie’s battle with the teachers unions closely and fear it is a losing battle.

As for the myth of the Golden Age of Clinton, I offer this query: why is it that a man who leaves his succecessor a massive imploding tech bubble, a ticking terrorism time bomb, an underfunded military and the beginnings of an affordable housing debacle considered a hero? To hear the clumsy attacks above, you’d think Bush did something ridiculous like, say, doubled down on the deficit, sent the unemployment rate spiralling into double digits, burnt nearly a trillion bucks with nothing to show for it and nationalized about a fifth of the economy via junk bonds floated to China. Now that would be irresponsible.

Glenn

April 15th, 2010
4:16 pm

Just saying Linda the problems out there right now are far past just liberal or conservative & so are the things that caused them .

dean

April 15th, 2010
4:24 pm

Can someone direct me to the USA Today study? I find this hard to believe and I have a good knowledge of government (city and county anyway) pay and private. My statistics professor in college told us you can make numbers say what you want.

historydawg

April 15th, 2010
4:26 pm

Did the “old, out-dated model” also include government bail-outs of banks, auto industries, big business (those who want to proclaim the greatness of business models but fail to follow them)?

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
4:27 pm

dean, the link to the article is in the original post.

The Tar and Feathers Party

April 15th, 2010
4:32 pm

Kyle, any change will be designed by definition to cheat some of us who have paid into the ss system all our working lives, and helped build up this 2 trillion dollar trust fund. I know your plan, you seek to divide the Giant Generation, either along age lines, or along income lines. As long as the Giant Generation sticks together, we cannot be defeated. The minute Kyle and his ilk manage to split some of us off to victimize, we ALL lose. We will stick together, we will crush the liars and cheats beneath the weight of our wheelchairs! It is time to bring caning back into style.

Marcos

April 15th, 2010
4:39 pm

“I should: William F. Buckley expressed something similar when he said he’d rather be governed by the first 400 names in the Boston phone book than by the Harvard faculty.”

Why do you conservatives HATE education and intelligence so much you have to bash it at every turn? I guess the more stupid you are the more gullible you are as well. Explains a lot.

dean

April 15th, 2010
4:47 pm

Thank you, I went from the paper to hear so did not see the link. After looking over the article what my teacher says rings loud. Cooks for example. Are these military cooks with 15-20 years of service? This would result in the large salary. Not saying that is the reason but too many people take a number and shout from the rooftops. All I know is, I am a 12 year firefighter with a promotion and paramedic incentive pay. My wife has been at her job for almost 2 years and makes 10% less than me. While not an easy job and it has a lot of resonsibility, it does not require a degree or unique skills. And she can do it till she’s 65 years old. Do you want a 65 yearl old firefighter? Police Officer? Some jobs can not be done till a ripe old retirement age. It is easy to sit at a desk and type articles. My 2 cents folk, ya’ll have fun repeating yourselves

dean

April 15th, 2010
4:47 pm

…from paper to here…oops

Kyle Wingfield

April 15th, 2010
5:02 pm

A better question, Marcos, is why you think the first 400 people in the Boston phone book must be uneducated and unintelligent.

Winston Smith

April 15th, 2010
5:04 pm

Marcos:

The point of Kyle’s WFB quote was to highlight the snobbish know-it-alls frequently found in Ivied academia–not to serve as a clarion call to anti-intellectualism. Anyone remotely familiar with Buckley could scarcely call him anti-intellectual. Which brings me to my question: are you one of those snobbish know-it-alls, Marcos, or did you just have a hard time keeping up in your government school?

Linda

April 15th, 2010
5:36 pm

Glenn@4:11, This blog highlights the underfunded teacher pensions. I mentioned that part of the problem was the stock market where they are invested.
Americans invest our life savings, our futures, on Wall St., either directly &/or indirectly as tax payers. Wall St. is primarily corporations that are WE, the American people: stock holders, employees, creditors, customers & clients, & when they fail, we fail. It does not make any sense to flog them & wish them failure.
You said that not questioning corporations that donate to campaigns was ignorant, which had nothing to do with my comment.
My last comment was to point out that the heavy donors are not primarily corporations, but include associations & are primarily unions. If you feel the need to question corporations BECAUSE they donate & “purchase democracy,” they you should feel the need to question ALL the heavy donors including the assns. & unions.
My initial comment about corporations had absolutely nothing to do with unions. It does not matter whether a corporation is unionized, partially unionized or non-unionized. Corporations are not our enemies. We ARE the corporations.
You have a problem with AT&T. Mine is with GE. If either of them fail, you & I pay. The problem is not with corporations. The problem is you & I, who we vote for. The problem is not the campaign donor & how they “purchase democracy” but the campaign receiver & how they “sell democracy.”
I have noticed that this adm. uses a strategy for every agenda that creates a crisis, an urgency, victims & demons. The demons are always corporations, the life-blood of our economy, the largest employers, whose success all our futures are based on. They are in the business to make money FOR US, we the people.
Now, to your second question…..

retiredds

April 15th, 2010
5:44 pm

Can someone enlighten me on what a “government school” is that Winston refers to? I’ve never heard that term.

OligarchyNot

April 15th, 2010
5:45 pm

Let me remind everyone of a few basic facts:
* The banks got into the mess they’re in as a direct result of the deregulation pushed by republicans.
* It was Bush who bailed out the banks and who took us into an unnecessary war in Iraq and gave tax cut after tax cut to the wealthy, all of which created our currect deficit.
* Obama is responsible for the largest tax cut in history, a tax cut that benefitted the middle class not the wealthy.
* When the economy is in a recession and is approaching a depression, that is not the time to worry about deficits since without the government using our taxes to stimulate the economy, we would very likely end up in a depression. If a depression occurred, then the government, along with business, would suffer severe shortfalls and if you think the deficit is big now, it would be dwarfed by would occur in that situation.

All the people who think we should get rid of social security and medicare need to propose exactly what should be done to support retirees who no longer have any income.

Why is it no one ever mentions our out of control military budget when they express concern about the growing deficit? How come its more important for this country to fund the military (the U.S. spends more on military expenditures than all other countries in the world COMBINED) than it is to provide healthcare and an education for its citizens?

No one said “health insurance is a right, not a privilege” — the quote is “healthCARE is a right, not a privilege.” We need to REMOVE the health insurance industry from the picture totally. They bring nothing of any value to the table, they cause the cost of healthcare to be much higher than it should be and they’re going to run our country into the ground. A single-payer healthcare system, which eliminates the need for health insurance, would solve our current deficit while providing everyone with healthcare. Even if we had to pay higher taxes for such a system, we (businesses and individuals) would save so much money not having to pay for health insurance that that would more than offset any tax increase. The healthcare bill that was passed that all the Tea Baggers label as socialist is nothing of the sort. If anything, its a boon to the insurance industry since they’re going to be getting a lot of new business.

Lastly, public education, medicare, postal service, roads, bridges, emergency services — these are all publicly-funded services (i.e., socialist). This is not a bad thing at all — without publicly funded services, there would be no middle class but only a huge lower class and a small, but powerful and entrenched upper class (sort of like what we seem to be moving towards now thanks to deregulation). When something is publicly funded, that doesn’t necessarily mean the government is actually performing the service, it means the government is paying for it and thereby controlling the cost for all of us. All the anti-government rhetoric is spawned by the business world, which would like nothing more than to have everything provided by the private sector so they could over-charge us for everything and if we couldn’t afford their price, we would simply have to do without. A perfect example of this is in countries where water service has been privatized, placing it in the hands of corporations. Once they take over the water service, the price always goes through the ceiling, leaving many people without water. Some things do not belong in the realm of the private, for-profit sector, such as water and other utilities and healthcare since these services are a matter of life and death. I don’t know about you, but I don’t want anything that’s a matter of life or death placed in the hands of the greed mongers.

CJ

April 15th, 2010
5:46 pm

Changing the subject for just a moment, I know this information won’t persuade Kyle, but I thought I’d pass it on anyway since it won’t get nearly as much press as the deniers have generated on the issue: “Panel clears researchers in ‘Climategate’ controversy

The panel was commissioned by the [University of East Anglia]. Its seven members, including one from MIT and two from Cambridge University, were chosen in consultation with the prestigious scientific organization the Royal Society….’we found a small group of dedicated if slightly disorganized researchers’ who did not store their data and working notes as well as they could have but whose science was conducted ‘with integrity,’ the committee said in a report released Wednesday…The panel did recommend that the researchers work more closely with trained statisticians to strengthen the soundness of their conclusions. But even if such cooperation had been in place, the researchers probably would not have arrived at significantly different results, the panel said.”

http://www.latimes.com/news/custom/topofthetimes/world/la-fg-climate-data15-2010apr15,0,4480601.story

Linda

April 15th, 2010
6:23 pm

Glenn@4:11, Now to your 2nd question: “What do we do now to make sure Americans don’t have to borrow another 700 billion with interest…” The TARP program was the Toxic Assets Relief Program that NEVER bought a single toxic asset. It rather bought 2 of our 3 domestic car companies & has been used as a piggy bank for bandaiding (is that a word?) our economic crisis as it’s being repaid piecemeal. Sit down. The toxic assets that are still out there amounts to over $4 trillion dollars!!!!! You ain’t seen nothin’ yet. Even though my degree is in economics, I gauge the economy on our dog’s bout with fetching our newspaper. As long as he struggles more with the edition that includes the legal section (foreclosures) than with the Sunday edition that includes the advertising supplements, we will have a problem.
Banks have never specialized in originating residential mortgages. S&Ls haven’t specialized in residential loans since the ’80s. Mortgage companies specialize in residential mortgages & they have NO money to lend, no depositors. They sell their loans on the secondary market. The largest buyer of mortgages is Fannie Mae. Almost every residential loan for decades has been underwritten according to Fannie Mae guidelines, whether Fannie Mae actually bought the loan or not, because Fannie had the strictest policies, based on the history of default.
In the ’90’s, the Dems mandated that Fannie & Freddie (then government-sponsored entities: GSEs) relax their guidelines in the name of Affordable Housing/Social Justice. You’ve heard of jet-setters. The GSEs were the pace-setters of underwriting guidelines. They started the tsunami of subprime lending. They not only underwrote subprime loans but also bought them, bundled them up with prime loans & sold them on Wall St. & all over the world.

mit

April 15th, 2010
7:16 pm

I went to the tea party about 5pm. signs said tax cuts, less govt. control, etc. lady was talking about some HB she endorsed to trace tax payer dollars and it got voted down. Here’s where you lose me. Cut what taxes? A fair or flat tax increases taxes if replacing FICA. Cut spending for what? ON is right, why not cut military. Public education, police, firefighters, these are the people your taxs cuts hurt. So the tea baggers, are you saying you want less police and firefighters? You saying you want a less educated public? GSU tutition could hit $10,000/yr. Seems that all that matters to tea baggers is ME.

MAC

April 15th, 2010
7:23 pm

Government pensions (federal, state, county, city) are a bigger problem right now thna social security and medicare. The actions that occur regularly to bump up final payouts before retirement is nothing short of criminal fraud. Unlike the federal government. the states, counties and cities can’t print money so get used to the fact that YOU will pay more taxes for someone else’s lavish retirement.

Linda

April 15th, 2010
8:00 pm

Oligarchy@5:45,
* The banks got into the mess they’re in as a direct result of the ideology of the Dems that home ownership is a right, not a privilege.
* Bush started the bailout of the banks but it was Obama who nationalized the financial industry.
* Bush did not say one word about Iraq or their WMDs that the Dems didn’t say after reviewing the intelligence. The war wasn’t an executive order.
* Bush’s tax cuts were to small businesses.
* Obama’s Economic Stimulus Bill, the most expensive piece of legislation in American history, almost a trillion dollars, equal to the cost of BOTH the War in Afghanistan for 8 yrs. & the War in Iraq for 7 yrs., at the time it was passed in 2/09, 15 yrs. of war, gave a tax cut of $807 to people earning $50,000 but raised their tax responsibility to the deficit of $1405, gave a tax cut of $878 to people earning $75,000 but raised their tax responsibility to the deficit of $3783, & gave a tax cut of $1138 to people earning $200,000 but raised their tax responsibility to $10,646 to the deficit.
* 7% of the American people believe that Elvis is still alive. Fewer of the American people (6%) believe that the Obama’s Economic Stimulus Bill created any jobs (except for that of recently-elected Sen. Scott Brown).
* Rather than the govt., who thinks they know best, spending taxpayer money via the Economic Stimulus Bill, they could have suspended the payroll tax for 2 yrs.(!!!!!) & come out cheaper. Imagine what that would have done to our economy!
* Americans do not believe that we can stimulate our way out of a recession & put us on the road to recovery/prosperity by spending money we do not have & can not afford to borrow from China on pork that we do not need & burdening our children, grandchildren & great grandchildren.
* State & local governments, as well as the self-employed, invest retirement funds in the stock market. It can be risky, but at least Wall St. doesn’t SPENT the funds as the fed. govt. does with social security & Medicare payments, as they will with the health care taxes they will collect for 4 yrs. before the “benefits” start. Where’s that lockbox?
* Our military budget is not out of control. American civilians have been attacked by radical Islamic terrorists for over 30 yrs. on numerous continents in multiple countries, including our own. They were appeased until 9/11/01 at which time a pseudo cowboy finally took action. There is absolutely nothing more important than defending our citizens.
* Health care has been a “right” for decades. The hc debate was about the right to hc insurance. Where have you been?
* The hc debate was about providing “free” hc to 32 million more people, reducing the deficit, reducing health care premiums, covering people with pre-existing conditions & under the age of 26, inducting more people into Medicare that is on the brink of bankruptcy, followed by legalizing another 12 million or so Mexicans & injecting them into the system. All free.
* The intention of the hc bill is to put private insurance companies out of business. They are being forced to cover sick people & customers’ children up to the age of 26 & taxed $8 billion per year beginning in ‘14. Since the fine to buy insurance is less than the cost of buying insurance & people with pre-existing conditions can’t be turned down, there is no incentive to buy insurance ever again by anyone, employers nor employees, until we’re sick, in the ER.
* Even the NY Times insinuated that the hc bill was just a redistribution of wealth.

Michael H. Smith

April 16th, 2010
3:01 am

Marcos
April 15th, 2010
4:39 pm

Why do you conservatives HATE education and intelligence so much you have to bash it at every turn? I guess the more stupid you are the more gullible you are as well. Explains a lot.

Seeing as how the subject has turned to labeling “conservatives” stupid and gullible, it seems in order, after the usual ad hominem attacks to ask some rather simply straightforward questions directed at these allegations in response.

Why is it that liberals, socialists, rant nearly to the point of insanity about the evils of corporate greed in the private sector; while ignoring, if not down right denying, that any similar evils of greed exist in the government public sector?

Rather strange, would you say Kyle? I mean, greed is truly universal among everyone us.

Therefore, it would stand to reason, contrary to liberal-socialist think that greed actually can and in very point of fact, “does”, exist in government.

Which brings to bear the question, is it acceptable to think government greed, public sector greed, is good at all points where corporate or private sector greed is bad at every point of consideration?

How is it then, when a monopoly frowned upon by all reasonable minds which is rightly viewed as anti-competitive, counter productive and oppressive where it exist in the private sector can be so vehemently sanctimoniously defended as a virtuous good only when it is founded in the public sector under the purvey of government?

A government monopoly of any kind of any form is no better than a capitalist’s monopoly. In very point of fact, a government monopoly of any kind in any form, whether it is education or nearly anything else – excluding the obligatory duty governance – is a far worse evil, in that government has the exclusive powers to confiscate and incarcerate under its’ laws.

Bob

April 16th, 2010
8:13 am

Mr. T, your a genious. It’s okay to be in the hole 600 billion for pensions because George Bush Blah blah blah.

jamal

April 16th, 2010
10:27 am

Government worker—an oxymoron.

The Tar and Feathers Party

April 16th, 2010
11:48 am

FROM TODAY’S AJC: SEC pins recession on Wall Street firm
Lawsuit claims Goldman Sachs largely responsible for financial crisis.

THIS IS WHAT I HAVE BEEN SAYING ALL ALONG, BUSH AND HANK PAULSON COVERED UP FOR AND PROTECTED GOLDMAN ALL ALONG. NOW LETS MAKE THEM PAY.

OligarchyNot

April 16th, 2010
11:55 pm

Linda :

*This economic crises was caused by, and will continue to be adversely influenced by, the deregulated commodities market, a market that dwarfs all other markets, and is basically where people/companies/banks with lots of money can bet on the success or failure of things like subprime mortgages. The investment banks pressured the mortgage lenders to make more and more risky subprime loans because they had hedged their bets on said loans in the commodities market and were set to gain more money if the loans failed than if they succeeded (evidence that this was the case was reported this evening on ABC World News since the government has filed charges against Goldman Sachs for this very thing). Fannie Mae was simply doing what all the investment banks were doing, not that that makes them any less culpable, but it certainly doesn’t make them more culpable than any of the investment banks. The mortgages that were granted to low income people as a result of the legislation passed by the democrats that you mentioned have not had a high failure rate like the subprime mortgages that were pushed by the investment banks. For someone who has a degree in economics, I’m sure you probably know all this — if you don’t, it must be because sometimes degreed people tend to think they already know everything.

*Obama did not nationalize the banks. Timothy Geithner gave them an open-ended ability to borrow at 0% interest from the FDIC no questions asked (something I don’t agree with), but they were NOT nationalized.

*Only a few select democrats and republicans reviewed the intelligence Bush used as the reason for attacking Iraq, and they were not told that the intelligence had been reviewed and discredited by intelligence agencies in Europe as coming from an unreliable source. When the State Department sent someone to the Middle East to verify the intelligence, he discovered that it was bogus and, not only did he inform the White House of this, he also sent a letter to the NYTimes saying so. The White House’s response to this was to expose his undercover wife, who had been working undercover to fight terrorism for years (someone should have gone to jail for that offense). So, the democrats, and all of us, were lied to about the reasons for attacking Iraq and the real reasons for doing so have never been divulged. Also, wars are never by executive order — only Congress has the power to declare and fund wars.

*Bush’s tax cuts benefitted only those (businesses or individuals) who made in excess of $250,000 annually.

*Obama’s Economic Stimulus Bill was for $787 billion. The cost of the war in Iraq for JUST 2008 ALONE was approximately $400 billion and that’s not including supplemental funding granted that year. The cost of the war varies from year to year, but is approximately that same amount FOR EACH YEAR, plus supplemental funding. The federal military budget is 65% of total U.S. discretionary spending. (Did I hear you say you have a degree in economics??? If so, did they teach you to add?)

* As of October 30, 2009, Obama’s Economic Stimulus Bill has saved or created 640,329 jobs. It has also kept a lot of hard-working, middle-class Americans from becoming homeless since $224 billion was for extending unemployment benefits (along with improving education and health care. The U.S. does not currently have jobs for all these unemployed people (I know — I’m one of them), and without this extension of unemployment benefits they (we) would surely be on the streets if it weren’t for the Stimulus Bill. We’re talking about middle-class families who have always worked and who owned their own homes being subjected to homelessness. Actually, there are already a large number of homeless families living in tent cities around the U.S. and in national parks, but once a worker ceases to be eligible to receive unemployment compensation, they are no longer counted or reflected in the unemployment projections.

*Tens of thousands of Americans die each year due to not being able to afford healthcare. This dwarfs the number of people killed by terrorists. But we shouldn’t have to spend 65% of our tax dollars on military expenditures and still not stop terroristic acts or even catch Bin Laden. And, we’ve lost so many constitutional protections due to terrorism that we virtually are becoming like Russia used to be (but they were COMMUNIST, not SOCIALIST).

*Healthcare is a right only if the prerequisite for obtaining it is not having to have enormous amounts of money. Otherwise, it’s a privilege. The healthCARE debate began as just that — a debate about providing healthcare to all Americans. But, once the republicans and the insurance and pharmaceutical industries got their greedy paws into the debate, it became health INSURANCE reform. The only reform we need for health insurance is the elimination of that industry. Your statement that the healthcare bill will be a burden to the health insurance industry because “they will have to cover sick people,” is a screaming example of why we basically don’t even have a healthcare system since we wouldn’t want the insurance industry to be burdened with covering sick people! What part of healthcare for all Americans do you not understand? Any one of us could become uninsurable due to a preexisting condition at any time, and you’re trying to tell me that we should allow insurance companies to get away with not selling insurance to anyone with a preexisting condition? Apparently, you must work in the health insurance industry. There are so many reasons why healthcare does not belong in the realm of the “for-profit” private sector that I can’t even begin to list them here, but use your imagination (doctors aren’t willing to perform preventative medicine as much since it will cut into their profits; pharmaceutical companies are subject to reap huge rewards during flu epidemics, so much so that an incentive to start a man-made epidemic is not unfeasible).

*There may be one aspect of the healthcare bill that you and I agree upon — the mandate that everyone must purchase health insurance. Most of the people who currently don’t have health insurance don’t have it because they can’t afford it (I’m one of them). If people can’t afford health insurance now, they won’t be able to afford it when the law requires it unless the government plans to lower premiums and put a cap on them. That’s what the public option was supposed to be for — to cover the people who can’t afford private health insurance and to help control the cost of premiums by forcing private insurance to compete with the government’s much lower public option premiums.

*Corporations are NOT people, they are collectives of people and they have extraordinary power that individuals cannot compete with. And they are, apparently, inherently evil since they could care less about whether people live or die. So, please don’t compare them with individuals since they can’t feel pain or die like people can. We are in an unsustainable system because we are depleting our natural resources faster than mother nature can replace them. So, I wouldn’t put too much faith in our current capitalist system as it is eventually going to self-destruct if we don’t make some serious changes to it.

Max Brown

April 18th, 2010
5:47 am

“Our TRS is still two-thirds funded.” This is helpful information, while the comparison to the private sector does not apply to us here, unless someone can change it. In the meantime, keep it real: is our TRS invested in mortgage-backed securities? Did our investors choose wisely, performing the right credit checks? Will we need to call on the Pension Benefit Guarantee Corporation for help, as other states and municipalities have done? Is there any basis, such as fraud or misstatements or misrepresentation, for a suit against the sellers of our investments? Are we going to sue as others have done? Is our TRS laden with toxic funds? Real answers are often helpful, moreso than the usual litany of blind faith in the infallible market.