Oddsmaker likes Dawgs to win SEC East … and BCS!

Georgia's schedule has the Dawgs in early conversations about the BCS championship. (Associated Press)

Georgia's schedule has the Dawgs in early conversations about the BCS championship. (Associated Press)

So far, Mark Richt’s 2012 Dawgs are having a terrific silly season, that time of summer when all teams are undefeated and fans and prognosticators alike can go crazy with predictions.

Here’s a headline on the handicapping site Beyond the Bets sure to quicken a UGA fan’s pulse a beat or two: Who will win 2013 BCS national title? Our pick: the Georgia Bulldogs, currently a 19/1 long shot

At 19-to-1, Georgia has the seventh-best odds to win the national championship. Here are the reasons why BTB likes the Dawgs to do so: 1. They’re good. 2. Schedule 3. They can afford to lose a game.

Under the first reason, the site notes that quarterback Aaron Murray heads up a bunch of returning starters, the passing game should be among the nation’s best and “Georgia should finally have a running game to complement it.” Also, the defense, which returns 20 of 22 players on its depth chart, “will again be dominant and could be the best in the conference.”

They do note that “the offensive line will be the major concern, as the Bulldogs must replace both tackles and add depth along the interior. Nonetheless, they should have no trouble improving upon last year’s 10-win season.”

One of the main reasons why, BTB says, is the schedule, with Georgia again avoiding Alabama, LSU and Arkansas during the regular season. Says BTB: “Georgia will play seven games at home, four on the road and one — the annual matchup against Florida on Oct. 27 — at a neutral field. That’s as manageable a schedule as any you’ll find, particularly when you consider that they’ll be favored in three of the four road games — at Kentucky, Missouri and Auburn.”

BTB notes that the toughest game on Georgia’s schedule will come against South Carolina, which is the only game in which the Las Vegas oddsmakers haven’t installed the Dogs as a point-spread favorite. (The Gamecocks are favored by 3.)

But that brings us to their third reason: “Georgia is one of the few teams in the country that has the potential to lose a game and still appear in the national championship. Assuming the Bulldogs open the season in the top 10 as expected, they’ll likely rise as high as fifth or sixth prior to their big swing game against South Carolina on Oct. 6. If the Bulldogs lose, they’ll have two full months to climb back into the top 5 of the polls and should still have a chance to earn a second straight SEC East crown. With a win over LSU or Alabama in the SEC championship, Georgia will be in position to play for the national title.”

To bolster their case for the Dawgs, the BTB folks cite Saturday Down South, which has picked Georgia as “the safe bet” to again win the SEC East, with South Carolina and Florida as “sucker bets” to do so, noting that “The Bulldogs are one of the most talented teams in the country. I put them on the same talent level as LSU and even slightly ahead of Alabama.”

SDS also cites the talent level and the schedule, saying, “This is a huge year for Richt’s legacy, and I think Georgia puts it together and wins the East — and maybe more — in what could be a special year for Georgia football.”

Is that enough to get you pumped up for fall, or do you think the oddsmakers are underestimating Georgia’s task in rebuilding the offensive line and repairing its dismal special teams play? How do you feel about the upcoming season?

Got something you want to discuss concerning UGA athletics or a question for the Junkyard Blawg? Send it to junkyardblawg@gmail.com.

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— Bill King, Junkyard Blawg

282 comments Add your comment

Goldenrod

June 6th, 2012
10:27 am

Dawgs ain’t gonna win JACK!

Tech RUNS THIS STATE! Coach Paul Johnson will school the mutts.

Andy

June 6th, 2012
10:29 am

Sounds good….Go Dawgs!

scrambled dog

June 6th, 2012
10:35 am

Sounds great….Now just deliver……..Go Dogs………Sic ‘em !!!!!

Zoli

June 6th, 2012
10:36 am

If we get by Missouri with a win, it will be like we picked up 4 free agent starters for the remainder of the year. I also like that we have South Carolina in the middle of the year. It is going to be exciting to see how the year unfolds.

Bremen Dawg

June 6th, 2012
10:38 am

Heck yeah, I sure hope they are right. 2012 could be the year.

Broad Street

June 6th, 2012
10:39 am

I certainly like the recognitions we are getting this offseason as opposed to the “hot seat” obsession which plagued us this time last year.

While there are a few nuckleheads on this team who will be sitting out a few early on, there are some REALLY good kids on this team, and I cannot wait to get it going this fall!

Go Dawgs!!

Broad Street

June 6th, 2012
10:39 am

**knuckleheads

AltamahaDawg

June 6th, 2012
10:43 am

and here comes the doom brigade………4,3,2,1……….

Jacket99

June 6th, 2012
10:44 am

Could UGA win the East and not the SECCG and still be in the MNCG? Would anything less than a conference title satisfy Bulldog fans this season? I hope the Bulldogs one loss of the season is their last regular season game.

GaTruth

June 6th, 2012
10:47 am

STOP JINXING US! Our biggest weakness as a program is we believe the press’s and our own fans’ BS, and we usually don’t have the stones to win on pride alone (a la Alabama – hurts to admit that). Richt should coach the kids on staying away from sites that talk about this cr@p and just focus on the first game. Kind of how Chris Peterson coaches. So here’s the reverse jinx – We will be lucky to win 6 games, Auburn will go undefeated, as will Florida and Tech. Whew.

40Watt Dawg

June 6th, 2012
10:48 am

I’m excited! Let’s not look past the Florida game either, though. I keep hearing about the Mizzou and SC games as our biggest obstacles, but UF is always tough. Especially for us. This is they year we gotta HUNKER DOWN and permanently flip the script on those ugly Gators.

This is reality dreamers

June 6th, 2012
10:55 am

You lose at Missou, Auburn, UF, SC and yes you heard it here first: Vandy at home again for the 2nd time in less than 10 years.

EC Dawg

June 6th, 2012
10:55 am

GaTruth speaks the truth. Please don’t let the players read this article…2008 all over again.

NYCDAWGFAN

June 6th, 2012
10:55 am

Hey Goldenrod, it’s really funny to see the first post on a Dawg board come from one of the nerds… What’s your coach’s record against the Dawgs again?.. Who run’s this state again?.. Who is “wide receiver U” with only 4 receivers in the league currently (and only 2 of them actually see the field)?.. That’s what I thought. Go fix that busted doom buggy you nerds like to drive around that rat box you call a stadium.. Are you guys gonna sell out more than 2 games this year? Stay off the dawgs boards

Red and Black til Death

bucket

June 6th, 2012
10:56 am

I’m tired of talking about it, writing about it, and dreaming about it – it’s time for the Dawgs to just go out and do it. No More Excuses! Just do it Dawgs!

Music City Dawg

June 6th, 2012
10:57 am

Hey Goldenrod – since WHEN has Coach Paul Johnson run this state or UGA? Get your facts together!!! Go Dawgs!!!

Destin Dawg

June 6th, 2012
11:02 am

running game ++ Grantham’s Junkyard Dawg = SEC EAST and a BCS bowl game victory.. Can’t wait !! GGoooo Dwags !!

G-Dawg

June 6th, 2012
11:11 am

Even as a diehard Dawg…I’m not up in smoke, or drinking the juice. Until I see something other than vanilla from our offensive ice cream maker…in game adjustments…and consistency on both sides of ball for an entire game…theres no way we get close to BCS championship. Regardless I’m still with the team..and believe they do have a chance. But to be placed at LSU or Bama’s level, apparently SDS is passing something to the left hand side!!

G-Dawg

June 6th, 2012
11:13 am

For once i agree with Bucket!! LOL

BigDawg

June 6th, 2012
11:13 am

This is our year! 2007 would have been except for the whining of Les Piles about needing to be an SEC champ. We were clearly the best team at the end of the year!

Gulf Shores Dawg

June 6th, 2012
11:15 am

On paper, we have the tools, now can the coaches keep the guys focused and playing at a high level all season, if so, something special will happen in Athens, and recruiting will explode!

SSIgator

June 6th, 2012
11:18 am

Beyond the Bets? Wow, UGA fans really have to dig deep trying to find someone or something to agree with their Pre-Season National Champs nonsense. Beyond the Bets – What a joke.

Bobo cant game plan.

June 6th, 2012
11:19 am

Holes at DB and O-LINE will prevent us from the promise land yet again. 11 years now and CMR still doesnt understand the need for a big time O-line.

beanster

June 6th, 2012
11:20 am

You gotta love the potential for this team but I wish everyone would pipe down about it. The sting of 2008 is still too painful. If UGA can get to 6-0, maybe I’ll start to think MNC, but not until then.

SSIgator

June 6th, 2012
11:23 am

BCS? How about just winning a bowl game this year.

beanster

June 6th, 2012
11:24 am

A grown man, likely retired even, spending all day on a rival team’s blog posting childish comments in a vain attempt to irritate said rival team’s fans — What a joke.

bucket

June 6th, 2012
11:26 am

@ beanster – I agree! It’s called “UGA Obsession Syndrome” and this blog will be filled today with people who have it.

DOGGONE CXII

June 6th, 2012
11:27 am

And maybe we will be favored to win it all in 2014 too.

TDone

June 6th, 2012
11:28 am

I don’t undersand the joy and comfort coming from the Muttlanders because of a soft schedule. You benefited from that in 1980, but no more. In the words of the Nature Boy, “To be the man, you got to beat the man,: not take satisfaction in avoiding the man.

Ghost

June 6th, 2012
11:30 am

Goldenrod, Sometimes it best to keep your mouth shut and let people think your stupid , instead of opening it a proving them right. PJ and tech won’t come close to beating Georgia for many years , 55 years of dominance won’t be changed by a bush league coach like PJ.

THE Dixie Redcoat Band

June 6th, 2012
11:33 am

Here we go again people….

We Run the East

June 6th, 2012
11:42 am

No doubt, UGA is talented. It is the COACHING that gets them every year. SC is the class of east and we can earn our way to top, not get there by default as UGA hopes to do.

beanster

June 6th, 2012
11:42 am

For the record, I pray the one-loss scenario described above does not come to fruition. The chickens nor the rest of the SEC would ever let the Dawgs call themselves true National Champs. It would be worse than Mulligan U.

beanster

June 6th, 2012
11:43 am

*would never

Vance Duly

June 6th, 2012
11:43 am

While it would be great to believe that we could have this great of a year, we have:

1. An inexperienced offensive line with a recent heritage of under-performance and injuries,
2. A freshman kicker and punter that we hope will be reliable,
3. Coach Bobo’s mind-numbing play-calling once we have a lead, and our weak in-game offensive adjustments. Until Bobo shows that he is willing to coach 4 quarters of aggressive offense, we’ll continue to be one 4th-quarter drive away from losing a game that we shouldn’t.
4. The need to survive the next 3 months without any more key suspensions that could hurt us against Missouri’s offense.

…………….Still, GO DAWGS!

SSIgator

June 6th, 2012
11:46 am

“Richt’s legacy”

Mark “I can win games – just not the big games” Richt – The Pied Piper of the Kool-Aid Club – Ripping off the UGA fans and boosters to the tune of over $3,000,000 a year and laughing all the way to the bank for twelve years and counting. That is indeed quite a legacy.

Moobs Johnson

June 6th, 2012
11:47 am

2008 all over again. Preseason championship talk is for wanna-be programs who, as in the words of St. Richt, can’t finish the drill.

george

June 6th, 2012
11:49 am

HA HA HA HA HA HA HA this is classic. What are the odds another uga starter wont be arrested/suspended before the end of the summer? The ONLY reason the pups might win 9 0r 10 games is because the easiest schedule in SEC history. Aaron Murray?????? When are all you dolts going to see him for what he is. Remind me again what he has done in big games when the game is on the line? Remind me again his record against top 25 teams??? I will take anybody and i mean anybody on the following games. UT-14, UF-3.5, Vandy -23, and Au -3. Dont know if I have ever seen 4 bigger locks in my life.

AltamahaDawg

June 6th, 2012
11:50 am

No, Truth, Or EC. That is fiction, made up, opinion, and not a very logical at that. Reading positive words is NOT our biggest “weakness”, nor had anything to do with the outcome of 2008. Watch the games. Real things happen during it. Unless you believe that a sportwriters word are now somehow linked to ligament damage.

Neutral

June 6th, 2012
11:53 am

TDone
You must be another GTroll…..you obviously don’t have a clue as to how the SEC scheduling works! If were trying to avoid tough teams we wouldn’t have 3 recent NC teams on our schedule and likely a 4th in the SEC championship game.

bucket

June 6th, 2012
11:57 am

See what I mean! “UGA Obsession Syndrome” lives on!

Maconbulldog

June 6th, 2012
11:57 am

If the guys can just stay focused on the EAST and not blow up (like 2008) we got a shot going back to the DOME and have rematch against LSU. Plus it would be nice to see the SEC title come back to well the East of the SEC.

RxDawg

June 6th, 2012
11:58 am

It’s good to see some folks actually talk about how good we can be because of our talent, and not our lame schedule. We still play in the SEC last time I checked. If the dawgs win 10+, it’l be because were a darn good football team.

Big time??? Not

June 6th, 2012
12:04 pm

Four tickets, four hot dogs, four cokes. Get oof our site nerds.

uncle kirk

June 6th, 2012
12:06 pm

ssigator

Richt did win big games early at UGA and will again. Muschamp hasnt won a big one at UF yet so maybe before you blast, hope that your guy can pull one out this year.

truedawg

June 6th, 2012
12:06 pm

If the Dawgs are undefeated after the SC game then I’ll fill my cup with as much Koolaide as it’ll hold. Win in Jax after that and I’ll be a believer in a BCS trip Dawgs have the tallent, and can play with anyone (see last year at the Dome) But can they finish? I just hope Bobo get a lil unpredictable..GATA Go Dawgs!!

Bama fan

June 6th, 2012
12:18 pm

I hate Mark Richt because he owns my precious crimson tide.
Bama 1-3 vs. Richt

Joey

June 6th, 2012
12:22 pm

uncle kirk, Richt also lost big games, at least one per year, even with his most talented teams, and still does.

Bill must like the techies and tides (whaterever that is) laughing us, quoting a doofus gambling site.

I’ll get fired up when we beat Mizzou on the road.

AltamahaDawg

June 6th, 2012
12:26 pm

Nobody blew up or had the big head in 2008. They had won 4 games that year before losing (to one of the best team in the nation that year). Then won a few more before losing to the OTHER best team in the country. By then we had lost a considerable part of both lines and absolutely no depth at LB. 2008 was exactly what it was.

thUGA

June 6th, 2012
12:27 pm

I agree. If we can keep the players out of jail, we should be gud!!