Can favored Dogs overcome so-called ‘Jacksonville Jinx’?

ga flaThe week opened with Georgia rated anywhere from a 1.5 to a 3 point favorite over the Gators in Jacksonville.

Quite a change from the depths of the season when the Dogs came back from Colorado 1-4, but since then Mark Richt’s team has won three in a row while Urban Meyer’s has lost three in a row. Georgia clearly has the better quarterback. The Dogs’ running game finally is clicking, while the Gators have been weak against the run. Georgia with A.J. Green is a different team. So a point spread favoring UGA shouldn’t really be surprising.

Still, this is Georgia-Florida in Jacksonville, so a lot of Dogs fans are hesitant about predicting victory. Losing 17 of the past 20 games will do that to you.

We worry about the Gators having had a bye week to “modify” their offense, as Meyer put it, and, more importantly, possibly get some injured players healthy, particularly running back Jeff Demps. We assume that talented wide receiver turned stalker Chris Rainey — who mostly likely would have been kicked off the team if he’d been at Georgia but who’s been reinstated just in time by Meyer — will play against the Dogs.

And then there’s just that whole negative mojo that the Cocktail Party has developed for those in red and black in recent years. We’ve seen superior Georgia teams lose to the Gators before in the past decade.

So how are you feeling about the Dogs being the favorite Saturday? Are you able to view this as just another game for a resurgent Georgia team against an SEC East opponent with a mediocre record?

Or is the recent history of this rivalry too much to ignore?

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197 comments Add your comment

coopdawg

October 26th, 2010
11:16 am

First>
Go Dawgs, gotta have this one.

tom

October 26th, 2010
11:16 am

lastgrad

October 26th, 2010
11:17 am

Ziggys @ SSI and a BullDawg victory. Sounds good to me.

Urban Creyer

October 26th, 2010
11:18 am

Chris Rainey

October 26th, 2010
11:19 am

G8r4life

October 26th, 2010
11:20 am

Ya’ll are going to get owned…there isn’t another way to put it. Florida wins by 10

Sam

October 26th, 2010
11:20 am

Until UGA beats UF on a regular basis, I will remain skeptical. A win over UF and Tech turns down the heat on Richt (not that I think it was deserved).

ray

October 26th, 2010
11:21 am

either both teams should have a week off, or neither. It’s such a joke because it provides such an advantage (just look at the history of the rivalry). Dogs will lose just like Nebraska lost to an inferior Texas team (who had an extra week to prepare).

Dawg Day

October 26th, 2010
11:22 am

This is the first of 2 weeks a year that Georgia Tech fans vicariously live throuh the Gators.

They would KILL to be able to own us the way the Gators have.

IF UGA comes up short, expect a TON of Gator themed names on these blogs, actually run by Techies. Because it’s really the only way they can pretend to be better than us.

GO DAWGS!!!!!

Cauldawg

October 26th, 2010
11:24 am

Bryan G.

October 26th, 2010
11:26 am

We seem to do stupid things in Jacksonville. Here are a few I remember:

2002 – DJ throws a pick 6, we dry hump a Florida player for a personal foul after a field goal
2003 – Bruce Thornton gets a penalty for throwing a ball against the wall in the end zone
2005 – Coutu misses 2 (3?) field goals.
2006 – Moses gets a facemask penalty on a 3rd down stop which let UF run the clock out.
2008 – 2 missed FGs in First Half and then when the game was 14-3, Stafford underthrows AJ Green by about 10 yards on a corner route
2009 – Wear Grambling’s uniforms.

Pago Pago Dawg

October 26th, 2010
11:27 am

We’re still scared to death of the gators and auburn!

Keep Dreaming

October 26th, 2010
11:30 am

Should be a good game. Im just happy that we play at 3:30!!!

A Different Jim

October 26th, 2010
11:31 am

Probably not

outkasted

October 26th, 2010
11:32 am

maybe u are scare of them…. for the record we have beaten aunurn 4 times in a row…. the tide will turn against florida…..we dominated forever…. now they have for the past 20 yrs…..the overall is 46-39 UGA so think about what it was before (43-22 UGA)….the better QB Murray will win at least 3 of these games…10-4

outkasted

October 26th, 2010
11:33 am

pago?

October 26th, 2010
11:42 am

How are we scared of Auburn? We’ve won 4 in a row against them, including when they were at home and #4 when we were trying to salvage a winning season.

I think we win this week, but not near confident enough to bet on it.

Always a fun time in Jax regardless, let’s go Dawgs!

Dawg 39

October 26th, 2010
11:44 am

I was there when the Jax. Jinx favored the Dawgs. IT was real. We expected to win & they expected to somehow come up short & that is what usually happened.
Now the Dawgs face the Jax. Jinx. It is as real now as it was back then. It is a mind set that we have to overcome.G.A. T. A.

Okeefenokee Odie

October 26th, 2010
11:49 am

We gonna beat us some Flarda Gaters this weekend!!! We gonna win us a football game AND the mullet and jean shorts contest before the game!!! Plus theys havin a Huntin Truck Georgia/Flarda Grudge match goin over there on Blanding Blvd and WE GONNA TAKE THAT TOO!!!! Better buy yore tobaccy in Georgia ‘fore you down there. They charge an arm and a leg for stuff like that down in Flarda.

See yawl Saturdy!!!

DawgNation

October 26th, 2010
11:51 am

I think the mental aspect of the past 20 years is more in the fans heads than the players. The players don’t care about much beyond the past three years. If the mental aspect is playing a part I think it is in the Bulldogs favor right now. We are on a three game winning streak and FL is on a three game losing streak. CUM is the one making changes not CMR. This has to be the worst feeling for a FL team for a very long time. It is in their heads now.

RxDawg

October 26th, 2010
11:52 am

I’m certainly not going to predict a win in Jax. But it would save this season if we could. That and getting a 5th in a row over AU ;)

New Streak will begin in 2010

October 26th, 2010
11:52 am

With McGarity now at the helm the Dawgs will begin a new streak in J’Ville.

Aaron Murray and company: GATA !

Colorado Dawg

October 26th, 2010
11:52 am

Don’t forget that the lizards are introducing their new Nike uniforms this week. And we all know what uniform changes can do for you… http://www.nike.com/nikeos/p/usnikefootball/en_US/rivalries2010#uniform?id=florida

PNWDawg

October 26th, 2010
12:06 pm

I disagree that it’s not in the players (or coaches for that matter) heads. We routinely choke in this game w/stupid playcalling (e.g. onsides kick early in game), personal fouls, and just poor execution. I’m already in a bad mood about this game.

Dawgs2010

October 26th, 2010
12:07 pm

Jacksonville = Failure.

It doesn’t matter. We will find a way to lose. It is what it is. Jacksonville is a cursed city that needs to be washed away in a hurricane like Katrina.

Coachdawg 2000

October 26th, 2010
12:09 pm

I think we need Rocky’s corner man in Rocky IV. See he’s not a machine he’s a man. We also need Mickey to give us the “you’re going eat lightning, and crap thunder” speech. They are just 18-22 olds wearing orange and blue. so we just need to go out and GATA beat the he11 out of them for 3 hours! I don’t care about uniforms or a bye week. Let’s just play physical and inspired for the entire game. I’m jacked up and I hope our guys realize 2007 wasn’t about jumping up and down in the endzone but about whipping the other guys all day.

JaxDawg05

October 26th, 2010
12:12 pm

Take it easy on Jacksonville. If UGA gets a bye week 14 out of the last 17 years against the Gators things would look different. The new AD needs to work on that next.

chiefdawg

October 26th, 2010
12:14 pm

Don’t think the Dawgs can win. I will believe it when I see it.

common sense

October 26th, 2010
12:19 pm

Ol’ Meyer might announce his retirement after this beatdown. Those “esophagus spasms” are starting to flare up again.

Bright Idea

October 26th, 2010
12:20 pm

The first ten minutes of each half will be key one way or the other. Dogs have to prevent long plays from Florida’s speed which has been missing. Georgia can’t come out trying to run out the clock from the beginning.

common sense

October 26th, 2010
12:24 pm

Florida only has 20 hours of practice time in a bye week. That’s not enough. The UF offense left when Mullen and Tebow left and Meyer knows it.

[...] News Sources wrote an interesting post today onHere’s a quick excerpt [...]

cyberdawg

October 26th, 2010
12:27 pm

I agree with Dawgs2010…we are cursed in Jax and until we have consecutive victories there I will continue to feel that way. I’ll be hopeful on Saturday but expecting a loss as usual vs. FL.

Mr. Magoo

October 26th, 2010
12:27 pm

Kicked off the team if he was at UGA!! Give me a break. Only RS freshmen who never step foot on the field catch the wrath of CMRs “Zero Tolerance – LOL” policy!! Zero Tolerance for starters means a 2 game suspension against Vandy and UK!!

Gary

October 26th, 2010
12:28 pm

I thought before the season started that this was our year to beat the gators, but unfortunately, it won’t mean quite as much now since everybody else is beating them this year too. Still, the pressure is on now not to blow this opportunity to kick ‘em while they’re down. Let’s go dawgs!

common sense

October 26th, 2010
12:29 pm

Richt needs to employ his no_huddle hurry-up offense he used at FSU. Oh and do the gator stomp again, that was cool…

GAYTORS

October 26th, 2010
12:31 pm

Tables are about to turn in this series. Dawgs pass rush too much for the gaytors. They can’t handle the 3-4 (look at the Alabama game). Just another mediocre team. Dawgs win straight up.

JHooper

October 26th, 2010
12:31 pm

I will keep the dream alive, the DAWGS win out and take away Auburn’s National title hopes.

Andy

October 26th, 2010
12:33 pm

I would feel better about this game if UF didn’t just have a week off. It is very curious that they somehow manage to get the week before the UGA game off so many years. Since this is an annual game, always played on the same week, it seems like who gets the bye week should alternate. Hopefully we can still play with energy and urgency.

Hmmm

October 26th, 2010
12:37 pm

I think we have a better-than-average chance against Florida. Now, the whole stopping Cam Newton and taking away Auburn’s title hopes? That’s a little more difficult.

azdawg

October 26th, 2010
12:38 pm

Throw all the records out the window for this game. If GA loses it will be because they get out coached. The D has to force more three and outs then it did vs KY and in those losses where DC played that soft zone. GA has to tackle well. Limit the screens to the WR’s as FL has real good CB’s and you know they watched the KY game where Bobo called for the screens and KY finally got into position to pick one and just dropped it. FL’s CB’s won’t drop them.

FL will be an improved team and ready. GA has to be better plain and simple.

10 SEConds

October 26th, 2010
12:41 pm

Bill: I don’t think psychology kicks in until and unless one team gets down by more than 10 early. If UF is down, it’s “here we go again” thinking of the 3 game losing streak. If UGA is down, it’s “here we go again” thinking of the recent history of J’ville losses. Turnovers and special teams will be difference makers. One senses jittery nervousness out of Gainesville and growing confidence in Athens. The fact we did not have the week off helped for one reason: clear establishment of strong running game in Ky. No gimmicks; hit ‘em in the mouth first play and never let up, and Dawgs win. I’m usually as down in the mouth about this one as anybody, but this year, UGA wins comfortably.

EDawg71

October 26th, 2010
12:43 pm

I think a lot depends on how quickly Grantham’s D can adjust to what ever wrinkles Florida has installed. So far Grantham seems to be better at in-game adjustments than his predecessor so this could be key. That being said, it’s a homecoming of sorts for Murray and I look for him to have a monster day!!!

EDawg71

October 26th, 2010
12:48 pm

Also, and I may be alone here, I am not a huge fan of CBS’s coverage of SEC football. One series…punt…5 commercials. One series…FG…5 commercials. One series…TD…5 commercials. Let the game develop some rythym and cut back on a few commercials you bunch of money grubbing TV execs all toeing the company line! Or maybe I’m just getting used to us being on Peachtree TV (good coverage, not good to be the Noon game every Saturday).

SOUTHGADAWG88

October 26th, 2010
12:49 pm

They got the bye week but we got to see their offense already having faced MSU.I always thought the Gators playing Tenn early prepped them for our schemes..Tenn and UGA ran similar stuff…pro style offense and 4-3 D.It’s helps .

kb

October 26th, 2010
12:51 pm

Perhaps the new wrinkle to the gators offense , will be a snap that doesn’t roll to Brantley!

Derek

October 26th, 2010
12:51 pm

UGA is clearly the superior team. In fact, if we had a better defense–we would be one of the best teams in the nation now. However, with defense not clicking and giving up big yards on third down–Florida will score 30 points. However, UGA will score 38 points. UGA has superior QB, superior receivers, superior backs and superior coach. Richt has proven that he can right a ship in trouble and has endeared himself again to even many of the fair-weather fans. Now that we know Richt will be around for at least 3 more years-stability returns and team soars.

Dawg without bag over his head

October 26th, 2010
12:59 pm

Despite remembering all the years when we dominated the Gators no matter what kind of team we had, I’m still not convinced we’ve overcome the table turning. I’d have felt a lot better if they hadn’t had last week off to scheme and get healthy. Hoping for the best, but expecting the worst.

Coach

October 26th, 2010
1:02 pm

Game plan should be..Wear regular uniforms!Come out with aggresion!Throw the first 5 plays which will open up the run!On defense blitz 50% of the time and play man coverage!Play offense like your 21 points down no matter the score!Don’t trash talk.Treat it as business.With 30 seconds call a time out!Nah!

Spike

October 26th, 2010
1:03 pm

I love the Dogs! But I will believe it when I see it. I have been to the game 27 years in a row.