Will rested Dogs still need divine intervention?

Georgia's best chance is to see that A.J. Green touches the ball as often as possible Saturday. (Associated Press)

Georgia's best chance is to see that A.J. Green touches the ball as often as possible Saturday. (Associated Press)

Conventional wisdom in the college football world is that a bye week before a game, especially when your opponent doesn’t have one, gives you an advantage.

In fact, what little chance Georgia is given to win this year’s battle with Florida in Jacksonville generally is deemed to hinge on how successful the Dogs were in making use of their extra week of preparation.

Georgia is 11-3 under Mark Richt following an open date, including 1-0 when it comes before the Florida game thanks to 2007, when the No. 20 Dogs upset No. 9 Florida 42-30.

As has been noted with frustration by Dogs fans in recent years, a bye week is something of a rarity for Georgia in this series. This will be only the sixth time in the history of Georgia-Florida that the Dogs come into the game after a week off. UGA is 3-2 in those games. In contrast, Florida has had a bye week before facing the Dogs 18 times (including 13 of the past 16 years) with a record of 14-4 against the Dogs when they’ve had a week off.

But as UGA football historian Patrick Garbin details, the importance of a bye week is probably overstated, at least in Georgia’s case. Since 1980 in games following an open Saturday Georgia has a 39-17-2 record for a winning percentage of .690. Meanwhile, over the same period the Bulldogs have an overall record of 255-99-5, which works out to a winning percentage of .717 — slightly better than for bye weeks.

Garbin also notes that of Georgia’s 58 games after bye weeks, the Dogs were favored to win 74 percent of the games but were victorious in just 69 percent of them.

And a bye week before the Georgia Tech game last year certainly didn’t seem to help Willie Martinez figure out how to handle the triple option.

Still, Richt’s record after an open week is impressive overall, and you’d certainly rather be off when the other guy isn’t than vice versa. Georgia only practiced twice during its week off, but the coaches worked every day but one, when they had to take a state-mandated furlough. Let’s hope they put that time to good use scheming how to keep the pressure on Florida in the red zone, establish some semblance of a running game for the Dogs and get the ball into A.J. Green’s hands as frequently as possible.

Bottom line, though, is always the same against the Gators: Stop Tebow. And, yes, it’s much easier said than done.

What do you think, will the bye week be much of a factor? Or do the Dogs need a miracle to pull this one out?

105 comments Add your comment

Charlotte Dawg

October 30th, 2009
10:31 am

Paul H

October 30th, 2009
10:34 am

Florida needs help to beat Arkansas by 3 at home, needs help again to beat Miss State by 10. Trust me folks, UGA does NOT get blown out tomorrow. It will be a close game, win or lose.

senoiadawgs

October 30th, 2009
10:34 am

I would classify Bobo and Martinez getting a brain a miracle.

AthensSG

October 30th, 2009
10:37 am

Short of the entire Gator team contracting Rosie O’Donnell (Swine) Flu, it will be a loooong afternoon for the Dawgs and Dawgnation.

Even that...

October 30th, 2009
10:38 am

…will not help this weekend – either the Dawgs or the Falcons!

jsmuga

October 30th, 2009
10:39 am

UGA will get blown out tomorrow. There will be no running game so Cox must pass we know what happens when he must win games.

AthensSG

October 30th, 2009
10:40 am

Paul H, using that rationale, since UF beat UT by 10 or so, UF will score 50-something on us?

Herschel Talker

October 30th, 2009
10:45 am

“Will rested Dogs still need divine intervention?”

Yes, and then some. The Dawgs will probably keep it closer than the experts think, but they are not winning. Unless they recently learned how to tackle and unless Willie Martinez recently grew a brain.

Lilburn Dawg

October 30th, 2009
10:48 am

It’s great that they had a Bye week, but I don’t think they did much with it so it isn’t going to prove to be much of a benefit. We’ll probably lose the game, but I hope the Dawgs can stop Tebow from scoring a rushing touchdown against them….hopefully they can postpone it one more week and then he’ll score it against somebody else!

Paul H

October 30th, 2009
10:48 am

AthensSG – that’s a good point. But the Dogs aren’t going to pull another UT tomorrow.

Paul H

October 30th, 2009
10:50 am

Say what you want about UGA’s coaching but history shows Richt and company do a good job of rebounding the team after a bad loss.

Palmetto State Dawg

October 30th, 2009
10:52 am

We can’t tackle, and Martinez is a moron. What do you think, Bill?

Dawgs73

October 30th, 2009
10:54 am

Bye week, no bye week, that is the question. Here’s the reality. It doesn’t freakin matter if Richt had 6 months to prepare for FLA, HE AND HIS COORDINATORS ARE NOT GOOD ENOUGH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Florida will win this game 28-7.

MattDawg

October 30th, 2009
10:56 am

The Miracle happens Dawgs 17 Lizards 10. Write that down.

Sam

October 30th, 2009
10:58 am

It would seem the SEC would realize UF-UGA is a big game and either give both teams a bye week or have them both play.

L-Dawg

October 30th, 2009
11:02 am

GLORY GLORY TO OLE’ GEORGIA!!!!!

WHAT DO GEORGIA TECH “FANS” AND UGA FANS HAVE IN COMMON?? THEY ARE BOTH OBSESSED WITH THEM DAWGS AND WHAT GOES ON OUT IN THE GREAT TOWN OF ATHENS!!!

FIRE WILLIE MARTINEZ!!!

FIRE MIKE BOBO!!!

HIRE DAVID POLLACK!!!

HIRE VANNA WHITE!!!

TO HELL WITH GEORGIA TECH!! (OH WAIT, THATS CONSIDERED CLASSLESS BY THE NERDS, DESPITE THEM HAVING FLAGS THAT SAY “TO HELL WITH GEORGIA” ON THAT UGLY CAR THEY PARADE AROUND BEFORE EVERY GAME)

GO DAWGS!!!! (OH, WAIT, ISN’T THAT BEING A BLIND HOMER??)

Charlotte Dawg

October 30th, 2009
11:02 am

Dawgs73… I think you are old and tired!!! I read your comment on another blog about CMR and the other coaches. 2 other coaches may be correct, but not CMR! He is a great coach and he will do what he needs to do at the end of the season. We may lose, but the guys will be ready to play. Who knows, maybe, just maybe, we pull the upset!! You need to change your same ole tired comments. D.Evans isn’t listening to you about his coaches either!! Go Dawgs and I’m on my way to Jacksonville!!!

DBalcer

October 30th, 2009
11:05 am

Saint Simons

October 30th, 2009
11:08 am

45 – 42 !!!!!!!!!!!! hahahahahahahahahahaha

Alabamadawg

October 30th, 2009
11:10 am

Cox needs to play the best game of his career, and he is capable…we need a running back to step up, possibly Thomas or Ealey…and our defense needs to play like its the WLOCP…and then Blair needs to win it at the end with a nice fieldgoal…this game is certainly winable !!!

Win Dawgs Win

October 30th, 2009
11:10 am

Dawgs73… I agree with Charlotte Dawg, you are repeating yourself everywhere. Like anyone at UGA is listening to you. We will need to play a flawless game, but MR will have them ready to play. Are you in the team meetings, practice daily or anywhere else close to UGA football? You are not even allowed on campus after your traffic violation for riding a scooter without a license!! Ha! Ha! Go Dawgs and don’t be a hater!!

Minnesota Dawg

October 30th, 2009
11:12 am

The question should be, “Is it possible for Georgia to beat Florida?” The answer is, “Yes!.” Will they? Nobody knows! With the talent we have, anything is possible. Look what Washington did to USC! If our offense and defense show up at the same time, look for a win! Go dawgs

SouthGaDawg

October 30th, 2009
11:15 am

Bill,

The buildup to this game reminds me of Georgia going into Auburn in 2006. Georgia was reeling, Mark Richt had supposed lost “it,” Auburn was a top 5 team, and Georgia was given no shot to win. Then Georgia went in there and blew Auburn out. Same scenario here. I am not saying that Georgia will blow out Florida, but Richt does his best coaching when Georgia’s back is to the wall, and he and Georgia are being called out.

I smell an upset in the making here.

Win Dawgs Win

October 30th, 2009
11:16 am

SouthGaDawg….You are ALL over it!! Go post!! I agree and looking for a win!

Win Dawgs Win

October 30th, 2009
11:17 am

I meant “Great Post”

PMC

October 30th, 2009
11:18 am

All one can hope is that Orson Charles doesn’t develop Georgia Tight End Skillet Hands Syndrome…. and no one has a Terrence Edwards moment.

Dink

October 30th, 2009
11:18 am

Good post Minnesota Dawg!

Go Dawgs!

Yellow=Pee

October 30th, 2009
11:22 am

Georgia wins 23-20.

vince lombardi

October 30th, 2009
11:23 am

you have an extra 7 days to prepare but only practice 2….what a concept.

now THAT is how you get ready for a big game….wish I would have done that when I was coaching the packers…I might have had a few more NFL championships.

uuughh...

October 30th, 2009
11:29 am

“Will rested Dogs still need divine intervention?”

Yes…in a huge way. Unfortunately, God sides with his son, Tim Tebow…haven’t you seen his eye black for Christ’s sake!?

reebok

October 30th, 2009
11:31 am

Tech fan here…I wouldn’t mind seeing the Loyal Opposition beat the Gators, but I don’t think it’s likely…Georgia would need to show a level of focus and discipline and good coaching they haven’t displayed this year…but I guess that’s why we play the games, huh? Good luck, Doggies, see you on The Flats in November!

uuughh...

October 30th, 2009
11:32 am

Paul H…some coaches do a great job at rebounding after a bad loss.

Other coaches do a great job at preventing the bad loss in the first place.

Steve McGarrett as Chin Ho's Leader

October 30th, 2009
11:33 am

L-dawg, Does that stand for “loser dawg” or “lost dawg”? Well anyway, you are even worse that St. Simons with your old weak post. I feel you are jealous of GT and will be crying on saturday night when my GATORS roll the dogs out of the stadium. The Auburn-Uga game could be the play-in game for the WEEDWATER BOWL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

SEC powerhouse NOT

October 30th, 2009
11:38 am

I can understand why fans could be in awe of Fl and Bama ranked number 1 and 2 because supposedly geniuses that have the inside on sports see it and vote that way..but why do you local sportswriters agree? Look at both of their schedules. Fl played Troy, Charleston Southern and will play FIU, and big deal win over Ms St. Bama played FIU, North Texas and upcoming Chattanooga. The two teams do not even play each other in regular season. Who are the sissys of these athletic departments tha sets up these opponents? At least, UGA had the guts to play Oklahoma State. I can see one Div 1A school for everyone to play as your mulligan, but 3 of them? And you expect me to crown you number one? PLAY SOMEBODY.. What a crock of manure

James

October 30th, 2009
11:42 am

Richt’s winning percentage in after-bye week games is 11-3, which is a 79% winning rate.
Richt’s overall record at UGA (before this season, which I would say is the abnormality) is, suprise, 79%.

That means that Richt’s bye week record is no different than his normal one (not to say that winning almost 80% of your games isn’t impressive)

The premise of Richt being an impressive bye week coach is somewhat misguided. On average, he wins the same amount, bye week or no (this year being the exception…)

Make fun of me for being a Tech guy and happening to work out some math on the blog if you want. I just don’t like wrong information!

By the way, good luck this weekend. Looking forward to you guys in November!

Minnesota Dawg

October 30th, 2009
11:42 am

Hey Steve McGarret as Chin, watch out picking on L-dawg! We are family and will not stand for non-family talking against our members! Go back to the swamp and get ready for the wounded dawgs coming down to do business!

Mark Thomas

October 30th, 2009
11:49 am

Regarding the bye week…I think alot has to do with the difficulty of the opponent the week before playing a team witha bye…

Steve McGarrett as Chin Ho's Leader

October 30th, 2009
11:52 am

Hey Minnesota Dawg I’m not scared about your family. I guessed right on loser dawg and the GATORS roll. If the WEEDEATER bowl does not work out, maybe you will play in the BLUE TURF BOWL.

Cuz

October 30th, 2009
11:53 am

I am praying for divine intervention. If all the Gators busses broke down ten blocks from the stadium, we win big.

If we do as Joe Cox said and try to establish the run first, we lose. The worse rushing offense going against the best rushing defense is a pipe dream. I am hoping Joe said that to throw off the Gators and we open with a bomb to AJ.

I am hoping for a change in the outcome of the game and a future without St. Tim but Brantley is more than capapble of running the Gator offense.

Delbert D.

October 30th, 2009
11:54 am

The Associated Press has an article today by Paul Newberry on the state of UGA’s team. Quotes from players are included. Richt must be concerned about that one.

Delbert D.

October 30th, 2009
11:57 am

There is another one about Cleveland’s “Dawg Pound” organizing a protest. Fans are to stay out of their seats, outside the stadium or in the concourse until after the game starts. They want to show an empty stadium for TV.

donster dawg

October 30th, 2009
11:57 am

If the dawgs could come out and play a well executed ,thought out game plan…even if they loose and get outplayed by better players.(which I’m not sure this coaching staff is capable of.) I just don’t want to see one of those games where they play like “deers looking into headlights”….or just loose complete composure for portions of the game (bama & tech last year) because they are not prepared.With that said…GO DAWGS,,SIC EM..WOOF WOOF !

RedMan

October 30th, 2009
11:59 am

Forget acts of god or multiple universe stuff. Try Curran at running back.

Herschel Talker

October 30th, 2009
12:00 pm

Good the see that our favorite moron, L-Dawg, is in rare form. What a toolbox.

Delbert D.

October 30th, 2009
12:03 pm

James – Thanks for the number workup. I was wondering about that myself. When I went to school, 79% was a C+.

Starring Khigh Dheigh as Steve McGarret's nemisis Wo Fat

October 30th, 2009
12:05 pm

McGarret, you and your virgin quarterback will be humbled by the Men of Martinez. What color is the flag of the People’s Republic of China? RED. What color is the helmets of the Bulldawgs? RED. My diabolical plan to destroy your hopes for a consecutive national title has been delivered by submarine to the Landing and given to a drunk Georgia fan to deliver to Coach Richt. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!

Time for lunch, do you know a good Asian take out?

Delbert D.

October 30th, 2009
12:06 pm

Here’s something to inspire hope in Dawg-land. UNC beat Va.Tech last nite. That’s going to send GT’s SOS plummeting, so now I’ve *got* to say, “Go Dawgs!”

Delbert D.

October 30th, 2009
12:10 pm

Wo Fat – Those of us who have lived in The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland know that as “Chinese take-away”. (The lunch, not the plot…)

Always here to better educate the masses.

Minnesota Dawg

October 30th, 2009
12:15 pm

McGarret, I’ve never heard of those bowls games before. I think Florida has great tradition and you should be proud of them, but don’t go downplaying our tradition and awesome fans. It’s good to have rivalries such as Florida, but not at the expense of being rude and ugly!

Starring Khigh Dheigh as Steve McGarret's nemisis Wo Fat

October 30th, 2009
12:16 pm

I am getting tired of wontons. Maybe I will have something American, like Pizza.