Will SEC get team to BCS title game? (answer below) (video added)

Nick Saban and/or Mark Richt need some help for BCS title berth. (Jason Getz/AJC)

Nick Saban and/or Mark Richt need some help for BCS title berth. (Jason Getz/AJC)

(Video added below)

Is it time for a rare dirge at SEC headquarters?

Not quite.

Three non-SEC teams — Kansas State, Oregon, Notre Dame — top the BCS rankings. This is the equivalent of a Big Foot sighting – or maybe three of them. But there’s still a possibility that the winner of the SEC championship game in the Georgia Dome between Georgia and Alabama will wind up in the BCS championship game.

Will SEC get a team to the BCS title game?

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SEC schools have won six straight BCS titles. In short, two of the three undefeated teams ahead of Georgia and Alabama have to lose for a chance to make it seven. And that could happen.

Here’s how I see it breaking down:

No. 1 Kansas State (10-0).

Schedule: at Baylor (4-5), vs. BCS No. 15 Texas (8-2)

Recap: The Wildcats will beat Baylor. The Bears can score a ton of points but their defense can’t hold up against a Sun Belt team. Texas has lost to its two strongest opponents this season, West Virginia (48-45) and Oklahoma (63-21), and both were home games. But the Longhorns are 4-0 on the road this season and they won at Texas Tech 31-22 a week ago. The biggest obstacle to a Texas upset: Its defense hasn’t been able to stop the run all season, allowing 200 yards per game. Rushing is the strength of the Kansas State offense (213.6). Kansas State also is helped by the fact that there is no Big 12 championship game this season because the defections of Nebraska and Colorado dropped the conference under the mandated minimum of 12 teams for a conference title game.

Bottom line: Barring an unexpected meltdown, Kansas State will be in the BCS title game.

Chip Kelly's "Quack Attack" will have a hard time staying unbeaten the next three weeks. (AP photo)

Chip Kelly's "Quack Attack" will have a hard time staying unbeaten in the next three weeks. (AP photo)

No. 2 Oregon (10-0).

Schedule: vs. BCS No. 13 Stanford, at BCS No. 16 Oregon State, Pacific 12 Conference title (if necessary).

Recap: The Ducks are averaging nearly 55 points a game. That can cover up a lot of deficiencies. But USC is the highest ranked team Oregon has played this season, and the Ducks barely escaped 62-51. Stanford took Notre Dame to overtime earlier this season in South Bend before losing. Last week the Cardinal upset Oregon State. Stanford can run the ball and, therefore, control the clock and keep Oregon’s offense off the field. So this game has upset potential. Similarly, the Ducks’ game against rival Oregon State in Corvallis won’t be easy. The Beavers have the second-lowest scoring defense in the conference (19.1) and are accustomed to seeing Oregon’s offense. The Ducks have won the last two meetings in Corvallis but prior to that Oregon State had won five straight. Even if Oregon gets through both of those games, the team still has to win the conference championship game (against USC or UCLA).

Bottom line: With potentially three difficult games, it says here Oregon will lose one of them.

Brian Kelly's team still must win at USC.

Brian Kelly's team has won 10 straight but still must find a way to win at USC. (AP photo)

No. 3 Notre Dame (10-0)

Schedule: vs. Wake Forest, at BCS No. 18 USC.

Recap: This is the wild card. The Irish will walk all over Wake Forest, which has lost five of its last eight and just got drilled by North Carolina State 37-6. The question is what happens in the USC game in two weeks, and Georgia or Alabama fans could be in the uncomfortable position of rooting for Lane Kiffin in that game. The Trojans’ defense has slipped significantly but Notre Dame is not an overpowering offensive team. Also, while the Irish won in Los Angeles two years ago, this series has been dominated by the Trojans since 2002, with nine wins in the last 10 meetings. Expect this game to tip on a turnover.

Bottom line: Maybe this is just the part of me that has a difficult time visualizing no SEC team in the BCS title game. But USC will upset Notre Dame.

Agree or disagree? The digital venting lines are open and we’ve put up a poll.

Hey, moving pictures! (And why Georgia can beat Alabama)


By Jeff Schultz

387 comments Add your comment

Chi Town

November 12th, 2012
10:56 am

Roll Tide, Schultz!

Not Disappointed

November 12th, 2012
10:59 am

I still see a 11-1 or 12-1 SEC team jumping a head of Notre Dame. Mainly because of strenght of schedule!
Good luck Dawgs!

Ramblin Wreck out!

Belcher

November 12th, 2012
11:01 am

ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ

Buckeye

November 12th, 2012
11:01 am

georgiadawg93

November 12th, 2012
11:02 am

I cannot accept that Kansas State will play for a National Championship. Sigh.

Happy Warrior

November 12th, 2012
11:02 am

Alabama fans are the only fans that think the rules should be changed to benefit them…… A loss is a loss!! It doesn’t matter if it’s by 28 on the road or 6 at home. Yes, Texas A&M came into your house and kicked your butt.

I'm a Georgia fan. It's a license to be stupid.

November 12th, 2012
11:04 am

Good luck to my Dawgs in the Outback/CapOne/Gator/Generic New Years Day bowl game somewhere in Florida. GO DAWGS!

Unbiased

November 12th, 2012
11:06 am

No, if there are two undefeated teams, then that is it for the SEC. Especially if Georgia somehow beats Alabama. How does Georgia argue having a better schedule than an Oregon or KSU? They didn’t play LSU or Alabama in regular season and got to play Florida on a neutral field. Their toughest game of the year wasn’t even close, a complete dismantling by Carolina.

I'm a Georgia fan. It's a license to be stupid.

November 12th, 2012
11:07 am

@Not Dissapointed:Notre Dame has a better strength of schedule ranking than Georgia. In fact, Georgia has the 13th ranked SOS in the SEC. Only Miss State is lower. But if you were a season ticket owner, you saw that SOS in person. GO DAWGS!

Bryan G.

November 12th, 2012
11:07 am

Texas – Oklahoma is a neutral site game, not a home game.

Buckeye

November 12th, 2012
11:09 am

The dogs must first face GA Southern and BAMA must face 1-9 W Carolina. November sure brings out the big games in the SEC! SEC!

Beast from the East

November 12th, 2012
11:11 am

The SEC’s run is over unless 2 of those teams lose. Neither Bama or UGA will jump an undefeated team.

Gordon

November 12th, 2012
11:12 am

Two of the three undefeated teams do not play a conference championship game. That won’t hurt ND because they are ND, but if Alabama wins out and looks good doing it, they could pass Kansas State. The same is not true for UGA, because they have played a weak schedule, were embarassed by USC, and didn’t look good in beating UF.

Otherwise, 2 of the 3 must lose.

doggoneit

November 12th, 2012
11:16 am

Schultz: If everyone who is ranked above Georgia wins out, and Georgia beats Alabama in the SEC championship game Who do you think Ga.s’ opponent will be in the sugar bowl?

bamaguy

November 12th, 2012
11:16 am

I don’t see it happening. The whole country, outside our part of the world, has “SEC fatigue.” I also think Notre Dame might lose to USC but that won’t be enough. Once the four team playoff comes, at least some of this nonsense will be over. I can’t imagine that many years the SEC Champion won’t be in the playoff.

Just Saying

November 12th, 2012
11:17 am

playing Ga Southern isn’t going to impress anybody that matters….what were you geniuses thinking at inbredville? The AD picked up where he left off at FL getting you these games…Just wait til you play Charleston Southern. Man oh man such a powerhouse. You people remind me of the wrestlers that strut their stuff until its time to face a tougher opponent, then you see them on their knees begging for mercy…Geez

john w holmes

November 12th, 2012
11:18 am

Buckeye, shutup. The big 10 is a pile of monkey crap. Lets see. OSU plays 8 home games and theres not a top 25 team in the crappy big 10. Back off punk

Baddabing

November 12th, 2012
11:18 am

Ok Happy Warrior, yes a loss is a loss but when it comes down to the eye test which all the pundits predict, BAMA’s loss coming back from 20 down in the first quarter to almost win it compared to GA’s shellacking by SC does make a difference. To GA’s credit, they seem to be playing their best at the right time although Auburn certainly isn’t a litmus test. Unless two of the three unbeaten teams go down and GA wins convincingly in the SEC Championship I don’t think they can get there.

td

November 12th, 2012
11:19 am

Unbiased

November 12th, 2012
11:06 am

How can Alabama argue that they deserve to be in the BCS championship? They did not play any of the top 3 teams of the East this year (UGA, FL or SC) and they lost to a team on their home field.

dawgfan

November 12th, 2012
11:19 am

Sorry everyone – the SEC is just too strong to field an undefeated team. The lesser conferences have no trouble doing that, so we will miss the dance this year. B”C”S indeed.

In one of the lowest rated “championship” games in history –

Oregon 51 Kansas State 31

[Oh - and my prediction for Ohio State's bowl game - 0-0 tie with Penn State - in the Worthless Criminals and Cheaters Bowl.]

Flo-Ri-Duh

November 12th, 2012
11:19 am

Notre Dame will lose to S.C. and Stanford got screwed when the ref made a “home” call to give the win to N.D. and they barely got by lowly Pitt. Not sure if it will be Oregon or K-State that loses a game but Oregon does have a more difficult schedule ahead. I hope K-State wins and Oregon loses. That would be a better match up for the SEC champ and I really respect K-States coach for coming out of retirement to rebuild their program.

GreatBelly

November 12th, 2012
11:20 am

Adding Texas A & M to SEC seemed like a good idea at the time. Ooops.

don

November 12th, 2012
11:21 am

I’m with you Jeff…UGA has to win out. ND and Oregon have to lose…or Bama has to win out, and ND and Oregon has to lose. Bottom line is this: UGA shouldn’t have lost to SC, and Bama shouldn’t have lost to T A&M. UGA doesn’t lose to SC and they are 1 or two. Bama doesn’t lose to T A&M, and they remain # 1. Thinking we win out and go to Sugar Bowl vs. ND, or lose a tight one to Bama in SECCG and end up in the Orange Bowl against FSU. Either is fine with me, barring a miracle and ending up in the NCG. I do not see FLA beating FSU, nor do I see anyone else in SEC leap frogging us out of a BCS game unless blown out by Bama in SECCG. Believe we are in New Orleans or Miami…regardless.

Rob

November 12th, 2012
11:21 am

Gooooo Ducks, we never get enough credit, I hope we do Play A big SEC team for the title, we need the respect…

No Faith

November 12th, 2012
11:21 am

Georgia will not beat Alabama. Sorry Dawg Nation but they just aren’t as good.
SEC misses the title game this year. At least two of the top three teams will remain undefeated.

Flo-Ri-Duh

November 12th, 2012
11:23 am

Urban Meyer will probably “retire” before Ohio State gets back to a bowl game. His will is broken and he can’t handle the pressure any more.

I'm a Georgia fan. It's a license to be stupid.

November 12th, 2012
11:23 am

Strength of schedule matters, McGarrity. 2013 brings North Texas and Appy State to Athens. 2014 brings Clemson (good), Charleston Southern and South Alabama (horrible). GO DAWGS!

Joey

November 12th, 2012
11:27 am

Come on JS – we have to use a dictionary on a football column?

For those (like me) who didn’t know –

dirge:

1.funeral hymn: a song of mourning or lament, especially one about death or intended for a funeral

Herchel

November 12th, 2012
11:27 am

Notre Dame would be 7th in the SEC.

bhamwreck

November 12th, 2012
11:27 am

Gordon I guess you don’t understand how much the computers love the Big 12. Only Oregon can remotely have a chance to jump K-State if K-State goes undefeated.

BD

November 12th, 2012
11:28 am

GT is gonna beat UGA anyway…….

I'm a Georgia fan. It's a license to be stupid.

November 12th, 2012
11:29 am

@don
Bama to the Sugar, FSU and Louisville as winner of the Big East in the Orange Bowl. No way we beat Bama with “Good against bad, bad against good” Murray at QB. Shoulda beat SCe. GO DAWGS!

Flo-Ri-Duh

November 12th, 2012
11:30 am

YES UGA will beat Bummer by 7 to 10 points in the Dome. Stop Tide’s run game and pressure the QB just like A&M did and UGA does have a better defense than A&M. Georgia’s OL should be healed up and ready by then. Bama doesn’t have the DE’s that the GameClucks have and Richt is 3 – 3 with Saban. Against a good “D” Bama looks average on offense. They beat LSU because Miles got stupid and went to a prevent defense in the last six minutes of the game.

T-Bone

November 12th, 2012
11:31 am

Nope, K-State & Notre Dame in the BCS Game. Time for the SEC to take thier seat.

bhamwreck

November 12th, 2012
11:32 am

A lot can depend on the Clemson – South Car and FSU – UF games. This can knock down the 2 of the “top 10″ SEC teams. (I’m not really giving Tech a chance in AThens but you never know)

Joey

November 12th, 2012
11:32 am

Hey buckeye, Ga Southern would give SEC teams a better game than THE FREE TATTS U does.

JN

November 12th, 2012
11:32 am

Oregon all the way.

Al

November 12th, 2012
11:32 am

@Buckeye

You sound bitter!! SEC!!! Ohio State = joke

Jeff Schultz

November 12th, 2012
11:33 am

Not Disappointed: No way an undefeated Notre Dame team gets jumped.

Flo-Ri-Duh

November 12th, 2012
11:36 am

I got the UGA over Florida game right and the A&M over Bama right. Missed on LSU/Bama but Miles got stupid and changed the “D” the last 6 minutes – giving the game to Bama. Florida was lucky to win their last two games. Offense is pitiful. FSU might beat them for that reason alone. Should be a low scoring game. Haven’t heard a pep out of Spurrier’s arrogant mouth lately – losing has a way of shutting him up.

Jeff Schultz

November 12th, 2012
11:36 am

Doggoneit — Too many variables right now, but here’s the formula: The highest-ranked available team that will bring the most fans (mostly the second part). I could see a school like Clemson.

Dr. Phil

November 12th, 2012
11:38 am

I am not a Richt fan nor do I like the behavior of some UGA fans, but I will be pulling for the dogs to upset Alabama and advance.

I'm a Georgia fan. It's a license to be stupid.

November 12th, 2012
11:39 am

Give Buckeyes some respect. Go look at their OOC schedule for the next 10 years. You’ll find home and home games against Cal, Oklahoma, North Carolina, TCU, Oregon, Texas, BC, and Virginia Tech. Georgia has ULM and Southern University. GO DAWGS!

Tomás Broun

November 12th, 2012
11:39 am

The dwags have this much chance of even playing in the BCS championship game:

Zero
Zip
Nada
A snowball’s chance in hell
Odds that Obama will suddenly become intelligent

Enjoy the Kool-Aid, folks.

Flo-Ri-Duh

November 12th, 2012
11:39 am

Clemson couldn’t beat Vandy or Miss State much less, UGA, S.C., Bama, LSU, A&M or Florida. Clemson is another mediocre ACC team.

Al

November 12th, 2012
11:40 am

In the picture above it looks like CMR is sportin a mohawk

Flo-Ri-Duh

November 12th, 2012
11:40 am

Ohio State plays in the “ACC” of the north……. nuff said.

Thomas Brown

November 12th, 2012
11:41 am

The SEC absolutely will have 1 of our top 6 of the BCS top 9 teams in the Title Game.

With # 4 # 5 # 6 # 7 # 8 # 9.

Nikki,

What is your degree in nikki ?

Where do you work where they allow a person to go on the Internet and make such statements about everybody in The South ? Arlington, Virginia ain’t South. It’s NORTH. And, you are a YANKEE in every manner possible. You were probably born in Bethesda Naval Hospital. It’s funded by us here in the Real South.

If this is an example of the type of education you get at Virginia Tech, that to a whole people in what you call The Deep South, and which we refer to as The South, you can bet that my expectations of people from Virginia Tech is being down-graded by you as an example.

I find it utterly amazing that you would (1) believe the BS you have posted this morning and even more so (2) have the unmitigated gall to go in public and espouse such small thinking.

You are NO LADY.

You have NO EDUCATION.

You know NOTHING.

You are a NOBODY.

You will NEVER BE ANYBODY.

bhamwreck

November 12th, 2012
11:42 am

What is Ga Tech’s record against Vandy and Miss State the last few years? 4-0 Floriduh – - Comeon Man ( Tom Jackson voice)

Joey

November 12th, 2012
11:43 am

This UGA fan wishes that Dawg fans would just hush up about the BCSCG stuff. We shot our wad in Columbia, SC. As always, we lost a game we should have been at least competitive in. Again.

We still have a chance at a great year if we take care of business in Athens the next 2 Saturdays, and then play our best game of the year in the Dome. We would then likely have Notre Dame in the Sugar Bowl, and a chance at a 13-win season.

But, enough with the putting other teams’ schedules down – hey, take a look at ours.

Bama will only be our 3rd ranked team of the whole season . . .