Pessimism reigns by Georgia fans about Florida game (video added)

Mark Richt and Dogs beat Florida last season but they're underdogs this year. (Jason Getz/AJC)

Mark Richt and Dogs beat Florida last season but they're underdogs this year. (Jason Getz/AJC)




Remember how high optimism was about Georgia football before this season? Well, that seems to have eroded.

The recent loss to South Carolina, several unimpressive victories – including the latest win at Kentucky — and a perceived talent-loaded defense that hasn’t nearly lived up to expectations has led to many Georgia fans expecting the worst when the Bulldogs face Florida in Jacksonville next Saturday.

Who will win the Georgia-Florida game?

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How do I know this? Because when I relayed via Twitter that Florida was anywhere from a 3½ to 4½ point favorite at most sportsbooks, the responses could all be reduced down to these three words: “Is that all?”

In fact, as I type this, I have yet to find a reader who would take that bet (Georgia plus the points).

Georgia is 3-8 against Florida under Mark Richt, including last year’s win. But Florida is 7-0, ranked No. 2 in the BCS standings and destroyed South Carolina 44-11.

On Betonline.com, the Gators opened as 3½ point favorites, the line dropped to 3, then went up to 4½. Vegasinsider.com lists the consensus line at 3.5. The Las Vegas Wynn opened with Florida at 4½ and it went up to 5.

Here is the early feedback on the point spread. Feel feel to weigh in below with your thoughts and I’ve put up a simple poll question: Does Georgia win or lose?

Your responses on Twitter

“That ain’t enough Jeff. It should be at least 7.5.” — @pierceoutlaw

“If I was going to bet, I’d bet on Fla.” — @wrigmuff

“Should be 21.” — @johnarwinhart

“Should be 7 or 8 or 21.” — @therealclutch

“I’ll take Florida up to 10. Amazing how far we have fallen from preseason hopes.” — @wwatl34

“Smart money on UF” — @CharlesMcCollum

“I’d say it should be 10 points.” — @rwsportscards

“They know something we don’t I reckon.” — @J_T_Hoffman

“I’ll take Florida up to -6.5.” — @Tony Mission

“Way too low for me. We had trouble run-blocking Kentucky last night and stopping their backs. Florida far superior to UK.” — @RedDevilDawg

“Depends on if the determined to prove themselves Dawgs show up or the i’m down with whatever the hype says Dawgs show up!” — @GeorgiaGunOwner

“I agree. I’d say gators by 10. I’m a Dawg fan. Hoping for the best but expecting the worst like most Cocktail Party endings.” — @NikkiFree

“How often are the guys in and around Vegas are wrong? Personally, I do think it is low.” — @vsu96sdd

“Surprised it’s not 14.” — @jltdawg

“If we only lose by 4.5 I’ll be very happy. Another SC performance and its time for a change.” — @bulletstheman

“Could be that Vegas still doesn’t know what to make of the Florida offense and their inconsistent play.” — @DavidMaldridge

“If UGA can avoid costly turnovers, they should be able to keep it close.” — @MattBankston

“UGA grad here and I’d have the line at least 7.5.” — @VinylmationKing

“Umm have you been watching this year?” — @ChandlerRDB

“When we beat Kentucky by just 5 points, we know we are going to get blown out in Jacksonville.” — @TylerBurgess

“Really surprised it’s not at least a touchdown. I thought 10 or so.” — @jbcincy512

“Dogs will be crushed like a bug by the gators.” — @rbray1

• “Good for the Dawgs. Vegas is dangling that small spread so people will jump on FL.” — @TheJoeyBrowning

• “Sadly, with how unfocused/underperforming Dawgs are this year, 2012 game has 2008 potential. Grantham sold us a Monorail.” — @SideshowRhett

• “Should be gators by 14.5 the way the dawgs defense has been playing. #fromadawgfantoo” — @Zack_H_Martin

• “The spread is way too low. There is no indication the game will be that close. And that is coming from Dawg fan.” — @MarlerMedia

• “Jeff I’m a dog fan and I just put 1500 on Florida, what is Vegas thinking, did they see Kentucky and Carolina game, d is bad” — @ParrishV

• “About 10 pts to low…uga fan here” — @MattAnthem

• “I think Florida should be -7 but Vegas wants people to bet both sides of that -4.5. #godawgs” — @KoodenAaron

• “UGA fan here. I would’ve guessed Fla -6.5. Wouldn’t take the dawgs at +7.” — @Hookey12

• ” What’s the over/under? I think it needs to be 7.5, but I could see them winning 42-35. They will hang 35+ on our D.” — @Litigatingdawg

• “It’ll be bet up closer to -4.5 or 5 by Saturday.” — @ParrishWalton

• “Casinos are smart & in the business of making money. They made the line low so people will bet on #UGA, the sure loser.” — @UGABugKiller

• “I had it around -9 for florida. UGA’s d can’t stop anyone. Only solid Defensive effort was vs Vandy.” — @JDB426

• “Uneven stats/score from SC game have obscured public projections for UF. I think -5 is the max line.” — @RittyRich

• “Florida should be a 13.5 point fav” — @BostonDawgsfan

• “I was thinking AT LEAST 14″ — @GillmanD

• “Mentality of GA fans is perplexing. Most pessimistic I can ever remember, even under Goff.” — @TrevinB

OK, we have our first Tweeter who takes Georgia:

• “I hope you didn’t have me confused. I’ll take that line.” — @Mitchelldavenpo

By Jeff Schultz


624 comments Add your comment

P-Man

October 21st, 2012
7:07 pm

P-Man

October 21st, 2012
7:12 pm

Let’s see… SC beat UGA by 28, and Fla beat SC by 33, so 33+28= 61, so Fla should be favored by 61. With THAT line, I’d take the dawgs…

Seriously, I would be surprised if Ga stays within 14, especially the way their defense has played, but Florida’s offense hasn’t been impressive, either. However, our only chance is to jump out to a lead and force Florida to play catch up.

Line

October 21st, 2012
7:12 pm

Line

October 21st, 2012
7:14 pm

UGA only hope is no turnovers– that includes AM throwing one–which he usually does in big games

Trevinb

October 21st, 2012
7:14 pm

Gator fans returned 4000 tickets to UT because of their pessimism. Point is, the season evolves as do teams.

Elizabeth

October 21st, 2012
7:23 pm

Call me crazy, but Florida’s offense isn’t that impressive, in my opinion when both play at their best, ours takes the cake. What worries me offensively is our offensive line play. Defensively, we are just as talented if we’d only play like it. Florida’s D unlike ours looks hungry and determined to get after the qb. If by some miracle our D learns how to play as a cohesive unit as they did last year when they were a top 5 D I think we’ll keep it close. But we HAVE to show up and stay hungry. Also, UF’s special teams are nice, while ours need to work on properly fielding punts. If a last chance at an SEC title doesn’t get these boys motivated, IDK what will. We have the talent, Murray, defense, and special teams need to show up and we should have a good game on our hands!

Ryan_Leland

October 21st, 2012
7:23 pm

The only way UGA wins is if Florida can do something tobdropbfrom the rankings between now and Saturday. UGA finds away to fold versus top 20 teams. We haven’t won against one since 2008. UGA would have a better chance if they forfeited.

Dawgdad (The Original)

October 21st, 2012
7:25 pm

Anything can happen in a football game. If we start well, we might have a chance.

Our D is nowhere near SC’s D. I know that there were some serious problems with turnovers, but I think UF would have beat SC without the turnovers.

I think the UGA and UF offenses are about even, but UF has a much better D than UGA. I’d say they beat us handily, that is by more than 10. IF GA turns it over, it could get real ugly. Muschamp seems to teach them to go for the ball and seems to get results. UF Special teams are better than GA’s, but then whose aren’t.

Bill Stanfill

October 21st, 2012
7:27 pm

Love it that nobody’s giving UGA a chance againt the Gators. Let the expectations for the Gators rise, rise, and keep rising.

ozzfest

October 21st, 2012
7:30 pm

IS THERE ANOTHER COACH IN HIS 12TH YEAR AT THE SAME SCHOOL WHO

ABSOLUTELY REFUSES TO CHANGE….NO MATTER HOW GOOD OR BAD WE LOOK WE GET THE SAME OFFENSE. GAME AFTER GAME. YEAR AFTER YEAR.

RICHT SIMPLY WILL NOT DEVELOP A BACKUP QUARTERBACK.

LET’S FACE IT, McGARRITY WILL (EVENTUALLY) WAKE UP TO REALIZE WE GOT THE WRONG DUDE DRIVING THE BUS.

SEE YOU IN JAX.

nathan

October 21st, 2012
7:32 pm

correct line should be UF -5.5

St Simons

October 21st, 2012
7:32 pm

its not even major college football til you can kick an extra point.

and as long as Murray is qb, we won’t win a single game that matters.

you know it, i know it

Gators..

October 21st, 2012
7:33 pm

come on kids!!!! It’s a rivalry game with Florida coming off 3 weeks of emotional highs. Talent level is similar and florida has not faced a tough balanced team this year. If UGA can run and get into play action with the TE’s its a wide open game. I suspect UGA will come out with their hair on fire. If not, then it may be it for Richt. Which is blessing for you guys too. Either way it’s Florida-Georgia week, get in the game!!

MattInAtl

October 21st, 2012
7:33 pm

Dawgs win by 13; precisely, 37-24. UF has no Clowney, Adam will have time to throw, we’ll stack the line to stop the run, and Driskel won’t come through. So let it be written; so let it be done.

Elizabeth

October 21st, 2012
7:34 pm

I agree with Mr. Stanfill, a DGD, let the Gators stock keep on rising, it’s better for us IMHO. When we get attention, we dwell on it, let them count us out!! I think it will be a lot closer than people think. South Carolina game is done, Kentucky game is done, this is a new day and a new game. Our dawgs need our support regardless!

RNB

October 21st, 2012
7:34 pm

Been a Georgia fan all my life. Never had as little confidence as I do now. Just don’t see Richt being able to pull this one out.

Steve

October 21st, 2012
7:35 pm

Florida’s rushing offense, 24th in the country. Florida’s passing offense, 112th in the country. Overall offense = 101st in the country. 24-21 UGA.

St Simons

October 21st, 2012
7:35 pm

oh god, here they come.

MattInAtl

October 21st, 2012
7:36 pm

Liz, I like the way you’re thinking!

Devil's Advocate

October 21st, 2012
7:38 pm

I’ll bite.

UGA 27 UF 24

1. Florida can score but they cannot drive.
2. UGA’s lame defense can make big plays but they cannot shutdown an offense for a sustained period of time (unless it’s Vandy).

UGA will win an ugly game because at the end of the day they are a better team top to bottom but UF appears to be all in under Muschamp.

One fanbase will be sick Saturday night because of the way their team loses. The other fanbase will be thankful that they survived the meat of their conference schedule with Atlanta waiting.

UGA will go up late and the defense will finally show up for a big stop after all the sloppiness.

The Donald (Duck)

October 21st, 2012
7:41 pm

Too bad Georgia can buy its way out of playing Florida like they bought their way out of playing Oregon.

MattInAtl

October 21st, 2012
7:41 pm

St Simons, you nattering nabob of negativity, be gone! We neither need nor want your ilk among the Georgia faithful. Again, I say, for the love of God, be gone!

Steve

October 21st, 2012
7:42 pm

Tech at home against BYU is a two point favorite, ha. Says a lot about what the boys in Vegas think about Tech. BYU 38 Tech 28.

Stinger2

October 21st, 2012
7:44 pm

UGA fans are worse than Braves fans. They are so delusional they believe the team should never lose and win a championship every year. If not, mentality is to fire CMR, Bobo and criticize the players. Team wins against Kentucky, moves up to 12 in AP poll then the fans say they don`t have a chance against Florida. What is wrong with you people? Be thankful for what you have.

Steve

October 21st, 2012
7:44 pm

Gotta love morons who come on blogs without facts and make something up. “The Donald (Duck)” is one of those morons:

ATHENS, Ga. — Georgia and Oregon have agreed to cancel plans for a two-game series in 2015 and 2016.

Georgia announced on Monday that the games at Oregon in 2015 and at Georgia in 2016 were canceled by mutual agreement of the schools.

Gators..

October 21st, 2012
7:47 pm

There you go Devil! I think it comes down to physicality. Can UGA match Florida’s physicality at the point of attack. I have been underwhelmed by UF’s offense all year but the one thing they are doing consistently on both lines is mauling their opponents. On every play they are coming off the ball to hit the other player. UGA is more talented offensively but florida will try to negate that by bullying them and hitting the skill players. And ideally they want to break the teams will to play by the fourth quarter. LSU was the prime example. Even though the score was 14-6, that game was practically out of reach. UGA has to match the physicality all 4 quarters.

MattInAtl

October 21st, 2012
7:49 pm

I would like to say to all of those so-called Georgia fans that are lamenting our chances that all of our goals, including a National Championship, are still attainable (thanks to the Bayou Bengals and Gators, the latter of which we must vanquish next Saturday). Can we all put aside our understandable concerns and just pull for this team next Saturday? A little positive love? Go Dawgs!

Stinger2

October 21st, 2012
7:51 pm

And then there are UGA fans like Steve@7:42. So what is your point in calling a GT score Steve? They may not win another game but it won`t be because you are always throwing them under the bus. Nitey nite and sleep tite little fellow.

EX DAWG FAN

October 21st, 2012
7:51 pm

Georgia will need 6-7 turnovers to make this game close. Trust me, they are NOT man enough to stay on the same field with Florida (after the first series). They lack serious manhood. Regardless of gimmicks Georgia will try, if Florida doesn’t turn the ball over at least 7 (or 8 times) Georgia will self destruct. Florida will more than cover trust me. 51-3 (38-0 at half time).

David Gandy

October 21st, 2012
7:54 pm

If we (UGA) protect the football, we have a really good chance at taking the Gators down.
Georgia 31 Florida 17

GatorPhil

October 21st, 2012
7:54 pm

You’re not crazy, Elizabeth. UGA’s offense is vastly more balanced than UF. The difference this year has been the passion displayed by the gators (and from my observation, perhaps a lack of passion by UGA)and knowledge that they WILL dominate the 2nd half. This team is superbly conditioned and doesn’t seem to let anything faze them. As a gator fan, I love to think back to preseason when all the dog fans were laughing about Muschamp not being able to coach. it took a year to get the bad character/attitudes that many of Meyer’s recruits had and to get the rest of the team to buy into Muschamp’s vision. I’m amazed how quickly CWM has suceeded. I didn’t think it would be possible, but this year’s defense so far has been better than the 2006 version that limited Ohio state to 86 total yards in the national title game. The joy is back in Gainesville-hopefully at least another week.

Layinlow

October 21st, 2012
7:55 pm

I quit being fooled by this clown led football program last year after the boise state game. UF wins this game big and we get humilated once again in Jacksonville. Richt will go on to get his 10 wins and comes back next season to steal 3 million more dollars. It’s like a GD broken record that never quits playing. He wins just enough for our short sighted leaders to bring him back for one more go around. When will it end?

Swami Sez

October 21st, 2012
7:56 pm

50 % correct last week but UGA will endure another beat down to the Gators. Dawgs will stumble again before this season is over. Mark Richt will be gone after next year with that killer new schedule. Book it!

Since Vince

October 21st, 2012
7:58 pm

@ David Gandy…where are you getting your Kool Aid?

BS Patrol

October 21st, 2012
7:58 pm

Sucker bet. Dogs win straight up.

Silly Bloggers

October 21st, 2012
7:58 pm

5 Dimes up to Gators by 6.

Steve

October 21st, 2012
7:58 pm

Hmmmm Stinger2 show me where I personally threw UGA under the bus. Looks like we have another moron.

Layinlow

October 21st, 2012
7:59 pm

Good gawd the disney dawgs are still out in force even after that debacle last night. And some of them are on here still talking national championship. The insanity never seems to end.

3d

October 21st, 2012
7:59 pm

I’m ready for a new coach

ALL CAPS, ALL THE TIME

October 21st, 2012
8:00 pm

Grambling Dawg

October 21st, 2012
8:02 pm

Can we bring back the black pants and helmets for this game it would be so appropriate dont ya think?

bill

October 21st, 2012
8:02 pm

I am a south carolina fan emualting a uga fan and blogger. fire spurrier, burn down columbia, fire everybody associated with south carolina football. send spurrier back to the redskins, commit atrocities on the staff and players. burn, destroy, pillage, get a life(oh forget that one i do not have one). typical uga fan and blogger.

Layinlow

October 21st, 2012
8:02 pm

I think the vegas bookmakers are trying to play a jedi mind trick on the betters. They know the Gators are going to win big but by setting the point spread low they will get enough of the contrarian betters to go with UGA because they will talk themselves into believing it’s a set up game. Lol.

Swami Sez

October 21st, 2012
8:05 pm

Vegas is gonna hook them some UGA Kool Aid Drinkers…… Book it!

bill

October 21st, 2012
8:06 pm

Bill E Rubin

October 21st, 2012
8:07 pm

Gator fans returned 4000 tickets to UT because of their pessimism. Point is, the season evolves as do teams.

You’re exactly right…Point is, Florida has consistently gotten better week by week. UGA still looks like a high school team…just sayin

JRW7

October 21st, 2012
8:09 pm

Our DAWGS have the talent to beat the Gators, but DAWGS don’t have the coach to beat the Gators! Go DAWGS!

JB at home

October 21st, 2012
8:10 pm

Sprurrier on his show tonight said his D held the Gators to 183 total yards and that the 4 turnovers and bad special team play just killed them.

Brewmaster

October 21st, 2012
8:11 pm

I’m more concerned about Romney beating Obama than I am about a football game. I cannot take 4 more years of this Socialist/Communist Obama taking this country into the abyss it may never be able to climb out of. I’m sure there are many Gator fans who would agree with me. Maybe they could paint Obama’s protrait on the middle of the field and let both teams stomp on it !

EKY Panther

October 21st, 2012
8:11 pm

Lord, UGA fans go from one extreme to another faster than any fans I’ve seen in my 64 years! Or are you really fans when you turn on your own team so easily?

I wish Ga State had just 3 wins and you have a 6-1 record! And like most teams in the U.S., I’d take Richt as our head coach in a heartbeat.

Go Dawgs, Go Tech, Go Panthers!