Any predictions on how this scoreboard will read at the end? List them below.
(Updated: 6:10 p.m. with Ray Allen’s status and Hawks’ lineup.)
No Al Horford. No Zaza Pachulia. No chance?
Not quite.
Maybe you wouldn’t know it by looking at some of the series predictions. On ESPN’s “expert picks,” 12 pick the Celtics and one who didn’t get the memo took the Hawks. The biggest reason is that the Hawks look like an entry in a 6-foot-and-under league (relatively speaking). Center Al Horford (pectoral) likely out for the whole series. Backup Zaza Pachulia (foot) is doubtful. (Coach Larry Drew after the morning shoot around: “He’s sitting out there with a boot on his foot, so that’s not a good sign.”)
But it’s worth noting this is not a dominant Celtics team. They grind out wins. Their average per-game point differential of plus-2.52 ranked only 11th in the league. Their best three-point shooter, Ray Allen, is out with an ankle injury tonight and is questionable for the series.
What the Celtics do have is a playoff resume. They have won nine of 12 series in the last four years, including all four in the first round. But this is a winnable series for the Hawks.
Here’s Drew when asked about the Hawks’ injuries: “I’m actually not concerned at all. We’ve played without both guys a number of games. Would we like to have them? Yes. But we’ve had some success without them. They’re a part of who we are but we’ve managed to move forward with both guys being out.”
A couple of keys:
• Jeff Teague: If we assume Josh Smith and Joe Johnson are what they are in this series, Teague can be the X factor. We saw the impact when he emerged in the second round against Chicago last season, and he has been the Hawks’ most improved player this year. The fact Teague will be opposite Celtics point guard Rajon Rondo elevates his importance even more. By the way, Steve’s Hummer’s piece on Teague in today’s AJC is worth a read.
• Bench: The Hawks are obviously undersized without Horford and Pachulia but what they do have is depth. The biggest keys: Ivan Johnson and Tracy McGrady. Johnson is physical, but the question is whether he can keep his emotions in check against Kevin Garnett.
McGrady has played well in the last two weeks and seems pumped for the playoffs (he’s 0-7 in playoff series, 13-25 in playoff games in his career). Michael Cunningham has a blog posted on McGrady. One of McGrady’s comments: “Physically and mentally I feel better than I have all season long. Feeling a lot more comfortable, getting consistent minutes, coach is putting the ball in my hands.”
(Update: Jason Collins will start at center for the Hawks. Drew is opting for bringing Marvin Williams, Johnson and McGrady off the bench.)
That’s it for now. I’ll be here live blogging through the game, at least until I need to start working on the game column.
What are your thoughts on this series? Do the Hawks have a chance without their bigs? The cyber floor is yours.
By Jeff Schultz
121 comments Add your comment
Jeff Schultz
April 29th, 2012
7:35 pm
First quarter: 31-18.
IceColdATLien
April 29th, 2012
7:36 pm
Just 64 more points over next 3 quarters and it’ll be game 1 to ATL. Celts can’t get 95 w/out Ray Allen.
rob
April 29th, 2012
7:37 pm
How is the rebounding battle going so far?
Jeff Schultz
April 29th, 2012
7:38 pm
Tracy McGrady checking in to start the 2nd quarter.
rob
April 29th, 2012
7:38 pm
Jeff, from the comments on twitter, ZaZa talking like a man that wont be back this series. I think we are ok right now though
Jeff Schultz
April 29th, 2012
7:39 pm
Rob — I was standing next to him whole interview. He doesn’t know, but didn’t sound confident or happy.
Jeff Schultz
April 29th, 2012
7:43 pm
This Hawks’ 5 has had some pad possessions.
rob
April 29th, 2012
7:44 pm
Hawks 2nd team in there with Celtic starters, not gonna work gotta integrate them better Larry
Hard In The Paint Like Josh Smith
April 29th, 2012
7:44 pm
bench sucking it up
G
April 29th, 2012
7:45 pm
2 big missed calls. Glad to see refs are not playoff ready. Oh but this is the NBA
Jeff Schultz
April 29th, 2012
7:45 pm
Drew has seen enough. Timeout. Celtics trim lead to 9.
Jeff Schultz
April 29th, 2012
7:48 pm
Joe now 2 for 6, 0-for-4 from 3.
pgs
April 29th, 2012
7:52 pm
go hawks! HCA
Jeff Schultz
April 29th, 2012
7:52 pm
Hawks not artistic but somehow they’ve gotten lead back up to 17…. 9-1 run.
Hard In The Paint Like Josh Smith
April 29th, 2012
7:52 pm
Has rondo been to he bench yet!?
rob
April 29th, 2012
7:53 pm
I like the fact that the Hawks get out and run, they have to with the Celtics abusive half court defense. Love the big line-up
IceColdATLien
April 29th, 2012
7:53 pm
yeah, Schultz, JJ ain’t doin’ squat and ATL still puttin’ a decent-sized butt kickin’
"Chef" Tim Dix
April 29th, 2012
7:56 pm
JJ’s typical post season production thus far. Maybe he thinks it like working for free.
Jeff Schultz
April 29th, 2012
8:02 pm
Teague’s having a strong game. Drive makes it 46-27, game-high 19 point lead. Smith 13, Johnson 9, Teague 7 for Hawks. … Rondo 10 for Celtics.
Jeff Schultz
April 29th, 2012
8:03 pm
Hawks also outrebounding Celtics 22-15.
IceColdATLien
April 29th, 2012
8:03 pm
Chef:
Seriously, stop hatin’ on Joe. Without him, the Hawks are a lottery team. Don’t hate cuz you can’t appreciate…
CamiloAtlanta
April 29th, 2012
8:04 pm
We’ve gotta hold him, smack them around a bit more. Keep pounding them Hawks, don’t let them get back in this one.
Jeff Schultz
April 29th, 2012
8:05 pm
“Small” Hawks own rebounding edge 22-15.
IceColdATLien
April 29th, 2012
8:08 pm
ATL on their 95+ pace, but Celts aren’t. They can’t keep up with ATL’s offense w/out Ray Allen.
IceColdATLien
April 29th, 2012
8:10 pm
Schultz, I like how you put “small” into quotes considering the Celts don’t have any size either.
IceColdATLien
April 29th, 2012
8:11 pm
Wonderin’ how those idiots at ESPN who were picking Celts in 5 or 6 feel bout the Celts taking the next four or four of next five… ain’t happenin’ dummies!!!
weaseal
April 29th, 2012
8:17 pm
Hawks & Braves win today… oh Please please please please please please
CamiloAtlanta
April 29th, 2012
8:24 pm
We looked good against Boston’s starters early all year. The key is to keep them at bay the second half. No doubt they’ll show up. I just hope we do too.
Jesse
April 29th, 2012
8:31 pm
They’ll win this game but they can’t think the whole series is going to be like this. They need to play even better in game two.
CamiloAtlanta
April 29th, 2012
8:39 pm
Look so flat. What happened?
Jeff Schultz
April 29th, 2012
8:42 pm
Is that Jason Collins who hit back to back shots?
D-Man
April 29th, 2012
8:43 pm
uh-ohhh, looks like I’ve run afoul of the grammar police…oh well….GO HAWKS!!
D-Man
April 29th, 2012
8:44 pm
Celts look old…real old.
Harold Hawk
April 29th, 2012
8:45 pm
Jason Collins………………………..!?!…….!
D-Man
April 29th, 2012
8:46 pm
If not for Rondo’s play, the Hawks would be up 30…lol
D-Man
April 29th, 2012
8:47 pm
IVAN THE TERRIBLE!!!
Harold Hawk
April 29th, 2012
8:49 pm
Jason Collins — 6 points, 5 rebounds!! ……….I would shout it from a mountaintop, but I only live on a small hill near Cumberland Mall……… GO HAWKS!
hawksfan1
April 29th, 2012
8:52 pm
If Josh Smith had Ivan Johnsons hustle he would be a top 3 player in the league.
heartofdarkness
April 29th, 2012
8:54 pm
Can you hear Steve Holman and Home Team bemoaning the officiating from where you stand or sit? Funny.
rob
April 29th, 2012
8:55 pm
Joe Johnson is 3-12 overall and 0-6 from 3 point land. I will reserve judgement until later….
Jeff Schultz
April 29th, 2012
8:57 pm
Hawks will take 12 pt lead (65-53) into fourth. Celtics have yet to make 3-point shot (0-for-9). (No Ray Allen)
Jeff Schultz
April 29th, 2012
8:59 pm
Check that on Celtics. They’re actually 0 for 10 from 3 range.
D-Man
April 29th, 2012
9:02 pm
now biting my nails…
hawksfan1
April 29th, 2012
9:03 pm
put the freakin starters back in already genius.
rob
April 29th, 2012
9:03 pm
@ D-man
Just want to get out of here with a W. We cant lose this one it would probably deflate the team’s psyche
rob
April 29th, 2012
9:04 pm
Dont know why Drew just continues to put the entire bench team out there when Boston keeps their team in there
Jeff Schultz
April 29th, 2012
9:11 pm
That should’ve been a charge. Pierce had forearm out there.
G
April 29th, 2012
9:11 pm
Settling for jump shots. Old Hawks have risen
"Chef" Tim Dix
April 29th, 2012
9:14 pm
IceColdATLien : Not hatin on Joe as much as hatin on his post season numbers.
I like the Hawks in 5.
Now, IF JJ had T-Mac’s post season numbers….
Bama14
April 29th, 2012
9:19 pm
Hawks turning it over and C’s ain’t. We’ve kept them in this game. Not pushing tempo anymore either. That was a big hoop though!