
Can Braves' Jason Heyward rebound in Year 3? (AP photo)
(Updated: 5 p.m.)
It wasn’t my intention to spend another day analyzing the Braves until I actually arrived on site in Florida at Camp Please Don’t Fold This Season. (Pitchers and catchers report Sunday. The balance of the squad and columnists with non-guaranteed contracts report a week from Friday).
But because there is absolutely nothing else worth discussing these days, especially given the depressing local college basketball landscape, here we go.
I’m on the record as believing the Braves did not need to make a significant move this past winter, despite last season’s collapse. Nor did I expect them to. Despite all rumors to the contrary, their two most likely tradeable assets, Jair Jurrjens and Martin Prado, both were coming off injuries. General manager Frank Wren no doubt tried to stir the trade market, but we can assume he never got a reasonable offer (or he would’ve made the deal). Not a shock.
As currently constructed, the Braves could/should be a postseason team. That said, there are concerns. Here are the top five:
1. Jason Heyward: This should not be taken as me expressing doubt in Heyward’s ability to come back. We’ve read stories about his offseason workouts, weight loss and his work with new hitting coach Greg Walker. But in sports, when a great rookie has a subpar second season, it’s never certain how he will bounce back in Year 3. Often, it’s the first time he has dealt with some semblance of failure. Because the Braves have so much invested in Heyward, their lineup would take a huge hit if he can’t regain the form of his rookie season.
2. Starting pitching: Sure, it looks great if everybody is upright. But No. 1 starter Tim Hudson (36 years old) had back surgery in November. No. 2 starter Jair Jurrjens struggled in the second half last season and had knee problems (though he appears to be fine now). No. 3 starter Tommy Hanson, a power pitcher, had shoulder problems and has altered his delivery in an attempt to minimize future damage. Bottom line: All may be great — but all enter the spring as question marks.
3. Tyler Pastornicky: When I wrote that the Braves didn’t need to do anything significant in the winter, I probably should’ve added, “But they need a veteran shortstop” as a one-year bridge to Pastornicky. That was the team’s plan, or so we were led to believe. For whatever reason, a trade or signing never happened. Now, you’re going to hear spin that the team planned on Pastornicky all along. But it’s difficult to imagine anybody in the front office (or dugout) is completely comfortable starting a 22-year-old shortstop who never has played a major league game. Can it work out? Sure. But it’s not a comforting.
4. Fredi Gonzalez: A few weeks ago, the Braves’ manager discussed how he was done analyzing the team’s 10-20 slide and was ready to move on. That’s understandable. But the issue is that the slide happened under his watch, and whether we can find glaring mistakes in any of his decisions, folks are going to wonder about him as manager until it DOESN’T happen again.
5. Bench: I see catcher David Ross and outfielder Eric Hinske. Good. But then what? Jose Constanza had a nice stretch filling in for Heyward last season, then fell off (.342 in August, .174 in September). Jack Wilson is a stopgap if Pastornicky fails, nothing more. Matt Diaz was great three years ago, but he has struggled since. There’s not a lot on the bench.
There’s a lot to like about the Braves. But the above concerns will determine if they’re playing in October.
By Jeff Schultz
163 comments Add your comment
Blog people stink
February 16th, 2012
12:37 pm
I am proud to be from metro Atlanta. I am proud to root for all of the Atlanta teams (Hawks, Jackets, Falcons, Braves). But a lot of fans on these blogs suck. So quick to give up on a kid in his early 20’s that had a down year. Complaining about Gonzalez, who had us in the playoffs until the last day of the regular season. So many negatives…look at the positives. Falcons were one of 6 teams to make the playoffs from the NFC. The Hawks make the playoffs annually. And the Braves are starting to make a resurgence. Go live in Kansas City. They’re pro teams are garbage. Chicago had a stretch where their pro teams were garbage! All I am saying is it could be a lot worse! I, for one, believe in this team and believe in Fredi. With this year’s format, we should make the playoffs….even with a late season swoon.
Let the season begin
February 16th, 2012
12:53 pm
2011 champs…..Congrats on predicting something that nobody else outside of St.Louis even dreamed of happening in early September. It’s funny when you hear people say….”I knew all along the NY Giants would win the Super Bowl….”. So, when they do, you wnat to claim you’re brilliant. If they didn’t, you could claim “I was just kidding” and get by with it because it was such a ridiculous notion at the time. Off the soapbox, I only see improvements this year from the Braves. Uggla can’t be worse in the 1st half, Heyward must be better, Bourn is here for a full season, McCann will be better, and no more LOWE!!!! That dude lost 17 games last year!!!! I know St.Louis has Wainwright back, but no way are they better than the Braves. Weaker division…yes! Better team…no!
Trojan
February 16th, 2012
12:58 pm
BC and Freddie’s only formula for winning a game is to pitch EOF, JV and CK. Freddie needs to realize that they can not pitch and warm up each game.
K.Conway
February 16th, 2012
1:06 pm
Worst Braves teams since 1970’s losers!!
How they really stand, from Braves (1) to Weasels (12) | Jeff Schultz
February 16th, 2012
1:16 pm
[...] 1. Braves (1): The best team in town lost 20 of its last 30 games. How about a nice embalming smoothie to go with those chicken fingers? But the Braves looked like a potential World Series team on paper last season until the paper caught fire, and they still seem closer to a title run than anybody else. Then again, that assumes everything that went wrong last season goes right this year. [...]
smallmouth6
February 16th, 2012
2:20 pm
Constanza should not have been taken out of the lineup last year. And, remember he hit 300 plus at the Triple A level. He could be a fantastic bench player. He could be a very good starter too.
How they really stand, from Braves (1) to Weasels (12) : Foreign Moon
February 16th, 2012
3:17 pm
[...] 1. Braves (1): The best team in town lost 20 of its last 30 games. How about a nice embalming smoothie to go with those chicken fingers? But the Braves looked like a potential World Series team on paper last season until the paper caught fire, and they still seem closer to a title run than anybody else. Then again, that assumes everything that went wrong last season goes right this year. [...]
Therut
February 16th, 2012
5:25 pm
I’ll say it once more. Do you think Florida fired this guy because he is (was) a great manager? He is a dimwit. Have you heard him do an interview? every fourth word ,actuall two words, is YOU KNOW.
Brian
February 16th, 2012
7:48 pm
shortstop and coaching are 1-2 to me. Having a rookie in the middle is scary and I am far from sold on FG. I think the lineup could be very good, especially if Heyward bounces back. And we have enough quality pitchers to put 4 good ones out there. I am fairly optimistic about our chances this year.
Busch Leaguer
February 16th, 2012
7:52 pm
Thanks Bat,I could not remember Ryan Church’s name.Poor kid never totally recovered from a mind scrambling concussion when he was with the Mets. After the Braves released him ,he could not even stick with the woeful Pirates team.My comments on Francouer were made more as a criticism of the final years of the Cox regime .Desperate moves made to get ole Bobby one more trip to the World Series. The Francouer trade was not even the worst deal the Braves made ,I still think the Braves set themselves back several years by making the deal with Texas for Mark Texiera.
So I guess the fact that the Braves front office has not made any moves in the off season may be a good thing ,with their recent trade history. As far as my biggest concern for the Braves in 2012 ,I hope Fredo will give McCann some regular days off. David Ross is a quality catcher ,why not use him especially when the Braves face tough left handed pitching.He is actually better defensively than Mac .
Interested Bystander
February 17th, 2012
11:23 pm
Hey Bat,
They are looking for you over on the DOB.
john
February 19th, 2012
9:27 am
Top Braves’ 2012 Concerns:
1-Phillies
2-Natrionals
3-Marlins
4-Cardinals
Wait-are these same as 2011?
Kane337
February 21st, 2012
2:37 pm
Will the Thrashers move to Winnipeg?