Weekend Predictions: LSU over Georgia, and BCS ducks

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So let me see if I’ve got this straight.

If LSU beats Georgia, LSU and Alabama will play for the BCS title. Simple. Unless some anti-SEC sentiment leads voters to match LSU against Oklahoma State (and everyone suddenly gets amnesia about the Iowa State game).

But this doesn’t preclude the possibility that LSU may play Oklahoma State in the BCS game even if Georgia upsets LSU. Why? Because at least one SEC school will go, and Nick Saban getting snubbed is funnier, and if you dare put both LSU and Alabama in the BCS final when neither even won its conference, you’ll have red noses and exploding clown feet falling from the sky (thank you, Larry), and even the BCS has its limit when it comes to humiliation. I think.

So really, what Saturday’s SEC championship comes down to is this: Barring some complete, multi-touchdown, oh jeez, Curly-just-dropped-the-TNT-powder-in-the-pancake-batter-again-collapse by LSU against the Bulldogs in the Georgia Dome, the Tigers are really only playing for Alabama’s lifeline in the BCS.

What could possibly go wrong with the BCS in the kitchen.

What could possibly go wrong with the BCS in the kitchen.

Dude. Has anybody seen Isaiah Crowell’s bong?

OK. Flush. Simplify. It’s just a football game.

Cleansing breath. And, go . . .

Georgia has one advantage in this game: Aaron Murray. Expectations for the running game are low, unless Crowell suddenly emerges from bubble wrap this week and breaks from the field with Forrest Gump’s miracle legs.

LSU is equal to or better than Georgia everywhere else. The Tigers have won over ranked teams, won on the road, won in Tuscaloosa, won nine of their games by 46, 26, 28, 30, 31, 35, 33, 49 and 24. Also, they conquered Belarus and are moving into Poland.

Yes, I really believe the Dogs have a chance to win this game. They are playing that well and that confident. The problem is too many things need to happen. Something-to-zero in turnovers. Something big on special teams. Something bionic on the defensive front.

It’s too much. The 10-game winning streak ends here. LSU wins, but Georgia keeps it close. I’ll dance with 13½.

It’s OK for Georgia fans to be Daydream Believers. Yeah. I’m going there …

School Daze

Oklahoma at Okie State: The Cowboys’ plan: 1) Win; 2) Scream, light their hair on fire, hold their breath, pass out and repeat (until somebody puts them in the BCS title game). All of which ignores the fact that they never should have lost a conference game to 2-4 Iowa State. Shut up and enjoy the Fiesta Bowl. OSU cover 3.

VaTech vs. Clemson (ACC title): The ACC keeps hoping for Miami-Florida State title game. It keeps getting Virginia Tech vs. somebody else. Clemson is 1-3 since starting 8-0 and turning back into Clemson. Hokies cover 7.

Wisconsin vs. Mich. State (Big Ten title): Fans have been warned: DON’T look Urban Meyer in eye when he emerges for his pontiff wave from a luxury suite before kickoff. Nice year for the Big Ten’s first title game. Scandal at Ohio State. Slime at Penn State. Where’s next year’s game, Chernobyl? Badgers win, but take Sparty and 9½.

UCLA vs. Oregon (Pac-12 title): One of the teams in the inaugural Pac-12 championship (UCLA) already has fired its coach (Rick Neuheisel). Even Auburn never did that. If UCLA wins, everybody might want to duck when Neuheisel gets his hands on the trophy. Actually, no worries there: Ducks win, but take UCLA and 32.

Rick Neuheisel, at the trophy presentation

NFL Six Pack

(I drank one)

Falcons at Texans: A stat from pal Len Pasquarelli: Falcons coach Mike Smith is 8-0 against rookie quarterbacks. Next on the list: T.J. Yates. It’s a nice story for Pope High School, but it wasn’t the Texans’ first choice. In consecutive weeks, the Falcons miss Adrian Peterson and Matt Schaub. Did Smith sacrifice a chicken? Falcons cover 3.

Broncos at Vikings: Tim Tebow (5-1) has won more games than Philip Rivers, Michael Vick or Josh Freeman. But he’s completing 45 percent of his passes and ranks 37th in yardage. Ever read one of those stores when the guy living out of a shopping cart wins the lottery? Slight market correction: Vikings cover 1.

Here's Ndamukong Suh stomping a player, which is frowned upon in most cultures, and even the NFL.

Here's the felonious Lion, Ndamukong Suh, stomping a player, which is frowned upon in most cultures, and even the NFL.

Packers at Giants: A few days after his defense allowed seven touchdowns to New Orleans, Giants coach Tom Coughlin proclaimed: “It’s time for us to be bold, not to listen to what you all are saying.” Want to be bold? How ’bout you get in somebody’s way? Pack covers 7.

Lions at Saints: Ndamukong Suh has been sentenced to two games to life. Roger Goodell’s plan to make Suh the face of the league worked out as well as the fed’s plan for the Al Capone plush toy. Saints cover 9.

Colts at Patriots: The Colts are 0-11 and have been outscored by 177 points, give or take a major organ. But the line is 20 points. Sorry. That’s like sliding chips and onion dip across the table and telling me, “Don’t touch.” Pats win, but give me Indy and 20.

Toteboard

footballbetting“Depend on the rabbit’s foot if you will, but remember it didn’t work for the rabbit.” — R.E. Shay

Last week (kiss the ring …): 10-2 straight up, 9-3 against the line.

Overall (… and bow): 109-41 straight up; 87-61-2 against the line.

Important “Sack Schultz” update: This is the week the Hawaii trip will be decided. There’s a 10-way tie for first. I remain in contention for a high draft pick.


By Jeff Schultz

Follow me on Twitter (@JeffSchultzAJC). Friend me on Facebook (Facebook.com/JeffSchultzAJC).

738 comments Add your comment

Scott

December 1st, 2011
4:56 pm

i think UGA will get crushed. This is the first game against a ranked team since their first two games they lost against ranked teams.

10-2 is a house of cards. they havent beaten ANYONE.

sidenote: If uga DOES beat LSU, shouldnt that mean Boise deserves a shot at the BCS championship?

[...] think aboutCBSSports.comRicht, Miles follow different drummers to SEC title gameFS SouthESPN -Atlanta Journal Constitution (blog) -SB Nationall 575 news [...]

Scott

December 1st, 2011
4:58 pm

also, i thought in 2006 when voters demanded Florida to play OSU instead of Michigan, who had a far better resume, it established that teams must “win their conference” and “dont deserve a second chance at a team they’ve already played”…

and now people are complaining about potential anti-SEC sentiment? child please.

drbasic1

December 1st, 2011
4:58 pm

GO DAWGS!!!!!

kevin

December 1st, 2011
5:00 pm

Scott,

UGA beat both UF, AU and GT while they were ranked. Your logic regarding Boise St. shows you know nothing about football. It’s the kind of logic a 6 year old might use.

Carew

December 1st, 2011
5:01 pm

@Scott

Absolutely not, your kidding right?

Scott

December 1st, 2011
5:01 pm

“Anyone who doesn’t win their conference, has no business playing in the national championship.”
- LSU coach Nick Saban, 2003

Steve

December 1st, 2011
5:01 pm

kevin

December 1st, 2011
5:02 pm

In 2007 UGA was kept out of the NC based on the same “Have to win your conference” logic. Evidently, this year ESPN decided to promote an exception.

drbasic1

December 1st, 2011
5:02 pm

I am sick of the LSU hooligan hype….heads will spin saturday. But just add LSU to the other “well they have not played anyone worth a crap” garbage from those money grubbing lowlife puppet ESPN goobers…..Schultz hope you get added to the list also

Scott

December 1st, 2011
5:03 pm

@ Kevin

completely irrelevant where teams were ranked. Okla St shouldnt get credit for beating a Tex A&M team that finished 6-6 just beacuse TAMU was #8 when the teams played. just like 6-6 Florida and 7-5 Auburn shouldnt count as quality W’s for UGA

Ron Swanson

December 1st, 2011
5:05 pm

Scott, dont you have some work to do?

Scott

December 1st, 2011
5:06 pm

and NO, i dont think Boise should go to the MNC game over LSU, but they absolutely deserve to be in the Ok St/ Bama argument

Douglas

December 1st, 2011
5:06 pm

If Booboo will try and run Crowell from the I formation more and setup the pass, we might have a chance. But if he continues to stay with the spread too much and Murray does not get protection, it will be a blow out.

Corn Dawg

December 1st, 2011
5:07 pm

We haven’t had a true SEC Championship game since 2009. Who knew the Eastern Division could sink so low and stay down for so long? Until Tennessee and Florida get their act together, this game will be a joke and the West Division Champ will be playing the East Division Chump while the second, third, etc. best teams in the SEC sit at home and watch.

This is the Corn Dawg Bowl©.

It means nothing. It’s merely a crowning ceremony for LSU.

Only good thing about it? Cheap tickets.

Hold Dem Tigers

December 1st, 2011
5:08 pm

Damon will hold dem red panties too. LSU 48 – Blair Walsh 12

Corn Dawg

December 1st, 2011
5:09 pm

Scott
December 1st, 2011
5:01 pm

“Anyone who doesn’t win their conference, has no business playing in the national championship.”

http://blog.newsok.com/jennicarlson/2011/11/29/saban-quote-making-the-rounds-its-a-fake/
- LSU coach Nick Saban, 2003

Old Dawg

December 1st, 2011
5:09 pm

Georgia has a chance, but only if “Help me, help me” Crowell plays at full strength, enabling Murray to utilize play-action passes and the O-line plays up to its capabilities.

If not, Murray will be like chum to sharks.

It’s that simple.

kevin

December 1st, 2011
5:10 pm

Scott,

Since your initial comment did not specify the content of your addendum to your comment, it was not clear. While I understand your point regarding where teams are ranked now, I do think context matters; so, to some extent where teams are ranked when you play them is important. In any case, if you’ve watched UGA this year, there is no reason to think that if the UGA team that played Auburn or GT shows up, they can upset LSU. If the team that played the remaining games shows up, LSU wins.

Hold Dem Tigers

December 1st, 2011
5:10 pm

Fire Bobo the clown!

Pigs have flown

December 1st, 2011
5:12 pm

But not for UGA….. LSU beat down will prevail! 45 – 10.

Ron Swanson

December 1st, 2011
5:15 pm

Remember the time Bobby Boucher showed up at halftime and the Mud Dogs won the Bourbon Bowl do ya?

Ghost of Erk!

December 1st, 2011
5:15 pm

It makes me mad that no matter what, ESPN will dictate who plays for the national championship!
They love Nick Saban and Les Miles more than Lou Holtz loves to spit when talking!

GATA!! That is all!!

kevin

December 1st, 2011
5:16 pm

The only defense LSU has played that’s as good as UGA’s is Bama’s (which admittedly is everso slightly better, statistically). In regulation, LSU managed 6 points and 9 in OT. No way LSU hangs 45 on UGA.

Corn Dawg

December 1st, 2011
5:17 pm

kevin
December 1st, 2011
5:02 pm

In 2007 UGA was kept out of the NC based on the same “Have to win your conference” logic. Evidently, this year ESPN decided to promote an exception.

no No NO!!!

Georgia didn’t play for the National Championship in 2007 for the same reason they aren’t playing for it this year. They sucked. They lost too many games against weak opponents. The BCS has NEVER required a team to win a conference championship in order to play in the BCSCG. NEVER.

The only requirement is to be ranked #1 or #2 in the final BCS poll at the end of the regular season. The NCAA, the SEC and ESPN have no effect on the BCS polls. The computers and the voters determine the rankings.

If you guys want to win a National Championship, then stop whining and try winning all of your games for a change. Ain’t nobody ever gonna just give it to you simply because you whine the loudest.

Enjoy your beat-down in the Corn Dog Bowl© – it’s more than you deserve.

Tech Stinger

December 1st, 2011
5:17 pm

Jeff

Please inform the Georgia fans that beating New Mexico State, Vandy, and Kentucky doesn’t make you a good team.

LSU 52
Georgia 7

kevin

December 1st, 2011
5:18 pm

What Bama showed is that a good defense can shut down LSU. Lucky for UGA, they have a good defense. And, unlike Bama, they have a good offense as well.

smart dawg

December 1st, 2011
5:18 pm

Old dawg, I think we’ve already seen Highsaiah at full strength.

Ron Swanson

December 1st, 2011
5:18 pm

Jeff, please inform Tech Stinger that Tech will never run this state.

Ghost of Erk!

December 1st, 2011
5:19 pm

Jeff

Please inform TECH STINGER that losing to a team who beat New Mex State,Vandy and Kentucky makes your team look even worse!

kevin

December 1st, 2011
5:19 pm

Tech Stinger,

You forgot to mention GT among the list of sorry teams UGA beat this year.

31-17. 10 out of 11.

SSIgator

December 1st, 2011
5:20 pm

“red noses and exploding clown feet falling from the sky”

That would be Richt and Booboo in a freefall.

Tech Stinger

December 1st, 2011
5:21 pm

Ron Swanson

December 1st, 2011
5:18 pm
Jeff, please inform Tech Stinger that Tech will never run this state.

Jeff please inform Ron Swanson that Georgia might not have enough eligible running backs to play Saturday.

kevin

December 1st, 2011
5:21 pm

Good one SSI Gator! Enjoy wearing jean shorts to the toilet bowl UF is playing in this year!

smart dawg

December 1st, 2011
5:23 pm

I don’t see this game being close. I do see a steady stream of red exiting the dome during the third quarter. Half empty and nothing but purple and yellow at the end.

kevin

December 1st, 2011
5:23 pm

Tech Stinger,

We were missing our starting 2 tailbacks and still whooped GT.

padre

December 1st, 2011
5:23 pm

the game is played on the field-not on paper or prediction—uga can win if the really come to play,minimize mistakes. go dawgs and shut some mouths

GTBob

December 1st, 2011
5:23 pm

Maybe after UGA loses they can play UCLA in the “Backed into our conference championship game” bowl.

padre

December 1st, 2011
5:24 pm

crowell will have a great game

kevin

December 1st, 2011
5:25 pm

GTBob,

Since when is going 10-2 and 7-1 backing into a conference championship? Who is GT playing this week? Oh yeah, they aren’t.

Scott

December 1st, 2011
5:25 pm

hey, i atleast give credit to UGA for playing a tough non-conference game, even if it was practically a home game. boise would’ve smoked pretty much anyone that day, except for maybe LSU.

Delusional Fans

December 1st, 2011
5:26 pm

LSU 35
Georgia 0

Corn Dawg

December 1st, 2011
5:27 pm

kevin
December 1st, 2011
5:18 pm

“What Bama showed is that a good defense can shut down LSU. Lucky for UGA, they have a good defense. And, unlike Bama, they have a good offense as well.”

I just wish there was some way for Georgia to play the Crimson Tide. LSU is pretty much equal to Alabama, so that game will have to do. Just know that I’ll be giggling with every play that the Bengal Tigers shove down the Dawgs throats. You’re about to find out what a real SEC football team looks like – up close and personal. It’s gonna be a beat-down of epic proportions. You can count on that. ;-)

Scott

December 1st, 2011
5:27 pm

Kevin, since they had the easiest conference schedule known to man kind. sorry, but it’s true. not UGA’s fault for benefiting, good for them, i hope they beat LSU, but let’s call it what it is.

SSIgator

December 1st, 2011
5:27 pm

GTBob -

Now THAT was funny. Of couse don’t expect any applause from this group.

tonyb

December 1st, 2011
5:29 pm

I think this has the makings to be a classic. Each teams strength plays to the other teams strength. The pressure to win this game rest solely on LSU. As for Georgia, they’re playing with house money. Not supposed to be here, given little if any chance. This game will be full of big plays and great moments. It will come down to a long FG for someone. But if LSU thinks they are coming to the ATL for an easy day at the office, they better think again. Its gonna be fun. GO DAWGS

jsmooth

December 1st, 2011
5:30 pm

Tech Stinger:

I guess the same could be said for the high school on Techwood that UGA just played?? 1 out of 11.

daddo

December 1st, 2011
5:30 pm

Kevin: Let’s talk about Alabama’s defense. There is not a single Georgia defensive player…..even Jarvis…who would start at Alabama this year, not a single one. Your defense has given up more than 1,000 yards more than Alabama. How weak is your rushing defense…..just ask Vandy. Your running backs would not play this year at Alabama. U are about to learn the hard way how big the gap/talent/depth is between Alabama/Lsu and the fifth best team in the conference. Enjoy watching Alabama win yet another national championship in January while u Georgians sit at home eating clay.

Procrastinator

December 1st, 2011
5:31 pm

LSU doesn’t stand a chance. Remember Aaron (Carnac the Magnificent) Murry had a premonition.

UGA defense

December 1st, 2011
5:31 pm

was ranked 77th after Boise State and South Carolina, then came the CUPCAKES and padded their stats. LSU will expose the GA defense for the inflated mirage it truly is.