Georgia opens as 5.5-point favorites over Tech (surprised?)

Mark Richt got the obligatory shower after clinching the SEC East.

Mark Richt got the obligatory Gatorade shower after clinching the SEC East. (AP photo)

Paul Johnson's team is 8-3 but had some hiccups at Duke.

Paul Johnson's team is 8-3 but had some hiccups at Duke. (Johnny Crawford/AJC)

Welcome to Georgia-Georgia Tech week. Is it just me or does the point spread seem a little thin?

Most sports books have installed Georgia as a 5½-point favorite. Granted, the game will be played at Tech — home field is worth three points in wagering circles — and this is a rivalry game, which generally screams, “Beware!”

There’s also the uncertain status of Georgia running backs (either because of injury or immaturity).

But the Bulldogs (9-2) have won nine straight and secured a spot in the SEC championship game. The Jackets (8-3 after a 6-0 start) have had a better season than expected, but they just allowed 31 points to Duke in a 38-31 win (the Blue Devils entered the game ranked 99th nationally in scoring offense at 21.8 points per game).

Georgia is ranked 13th in the BCS and the Associated Press. Tech is 23rd and 25th, respectively. I would’ve thought given the way perceptions tilt, the line would open at 10 points or higher.

I’ll have more looking ahead to the game in the next few days, but I figured this would be a good place to start the banter.

By Jeff Schultz

819 comments Add your comment

season ticket holder

November 21st, 2011
11:38 am

DawginLex

November 21st, 2011
11:39 am

Thought it would be 3, not 5.5

Taco Meat

November 21st, 2011
11:40 am

Dawgs- 38
Nerd- 17

‘Nuff said.

Alex

November 21st, 2011
11:40 am

Go Jackets! To HELL with georgia!!!

Alex

November 21st, 2011
11:40 am

Go Jackets! To HELL with georgia!!!

john

November 21st, 2011
11:40 am

UGA didn’t exactly lay the hammer down on Kentucky either though. Should be a good game.

Luke

November 21st, 2011
11:42 am

I dunno if you saw UGA score 19 against Kentucky at home…thats why they are “only” 5.5 point favorites. It sounds about right though.

Jon

November 21st, 2011
11:43 am

Should be 12.5 and I’m a Jackets fan

Luke

November 21st, 2011
11:44 am

Jon, I honestly don’t pick against my own team (for bias reasons). But I would take Tech to beat the spread until about 3.5. It’ll be a close game with us being at home.

Matt from MN

November 21st, 2011
11:44 am

Luke

November 21st, 2011
11:45 am

*pick games involving

Mike D.

November 21st, 2011
11:45 am

The best offense the Dawgs have beaten was Vandy, who is ranked 60th in FBS. Tech put up almost 500 yards of rushing against them last year, and the Dawgs haven’t improved all that much. I think 3 is about right

piermontdawgny

November 21st, 2011
11:46 am

no matter how you slice it and dice it, this game will be a nail biter

BigDawg

November 21st, 2011
11:46 am

I wonder how much it might change with additional news such as the probability that Carlton may be gone for longer and Isiah’s status.

Jacketscover

November 21st, 2011
11:47 am

I thought it would be closer considering UGA only played one team ranked less than 80th in the country in total offensive yards and that was Boise St. Also UGA didn”t play that hot against Kentucky which is statisticly one of the worst teams in the country. Duke has played most teams close this year.

GTBob

November 21st, 2011
11:47 am

You must have missed the Kentucky game huh Jeff?

1eyedJack

November 21st, 2011
11:47 am

Don’t bet so I’m not too concerned about point spreads.

Big John and Kwaeme will stop the dive, Jarvis Jones and Cornelious Washington will stop the pitch, and Ogletree, Rambo and the rest will clean up the flotsam.

By the third quarter the GnaTs will be forced to pass and then look out. Whoa Nelly!

It will be up to Tevin Washington to beat us. Tevin Washington!! :) ;)

true

November 21st, 2011
11:47 am

There is not a ranked sec east team

BigDawg

November 21st, 2011
11:48 am

BTW. UGA at #13 when they have lost to better teams than anyone else with two losses?? So much for late season losses being better!! Remember 2007? How about if UGA beats LSU and is conference champion? I guess the “rules” change again!

dawggirl

November 21st, 2011
11:48 am

I think if we had played Auburn this past week, the spread would be a lot higher. It doesn’t sound too far off to me. It’s a rivalry game.

laugh

November 21st, 2011
11:49 am

Dogs will lose 2 out of next three games

Bamajacket

November 21st, 2011
11:49 am

The only chance we have in this game is to limit turnovers, and stop the big pass. We seem to have done neither very well this year. If we hold on to the ball, we can win. Tall order. I would say the line should be about 10.

Bdubs

November 21st, 2011
11:49 am

Auburn and the gimme’s aside, all the Dawgs’ games have been close. Why should this one be any different? I’m looking for the Good Guys (UGA, that is) to bring home a W, but I gotta a feeling it’s gonna be a close one, the kind that would give ole Munson a fit.

Is there any way Tech could let Gailey lead the boys and have Reggie Ball under center?

Luke

November 21st, 2011
11:50 am

@BigDawg, It could get very interesting. I was listening to Shapiro/Domino this morning and they were pounding on IC. Sounds like the kid has out of this world talent and the big head to go with it. Not much luck with the recent stable of RBs at “Tailback U” in the team player department. Its a shame really.

headley lamar

November 21st, 2011
11:50 am

Either way it goes up from here.

Its this low because of the uncertainty of Crowell playing.

john

November 21st, 2011
11:50 am

I agree Bamajacket. We’re going to have to play a perfect game similar to the Clemson game and I don’t know if we can do it again.

TallyDawg

November 21st, 2011
11:50 am

This is a bigger game to the Jackets this year. This is their final game of the season against THEIR biggest rival. Their whole season has built up to this game. They want a victory over us the way we always want one over the Gators. This game for us on the other hand comes the week before OUR biggest test of the season. Look at the post game comments from the Dawgs. We are excited about playing in the Dome, but we know we have “another game” to play first. Different perspective

laugh

November 21st, 2011
11:50 am

also whatever you do please please keep bobo

Bigdsel

November 21st, 2011
11:51 am

Our runningbacks (malcolme and thomas and crowell and harton) need to step up and play or this game is gonna be to close for comfort.

PMC

November 21st, 2011
11:51 am

Should be a very good game.

82Dawg

November 21st, 2011
11:52 am

@GT Bob…guess you missed the Duke game huh??

Luke

November 21st, 2011
11:53 am

@TallyDawg, has a feeling of 2009 except in reversed roles, does it not?

Say What?

November 21st, 2011
11:53 am

Are you guys following this Bs on Sports center…. even if LSU were to lose the SEC championship they would still play for the Nc…….What? and play against Alabama who they already beat? Where was this way of thinking when GA was number 4 in the bcs and lsu loss to Ark and won the sec and played in the Nc game?

load of hot steaming crap! thats all

Finchdawg

November 21st, 2011
11:53 am

After the Auburn game I’ve realized the bookies are smarter than they seem.

headley lamar

November 21st, 2011
11:54 am

Tech put up almost 500 yards of rushing against them last year, and the Dawgs haven’t improved all that much.

Are you joking ?

headley lamar

November 21st, 2011
11:55 am

also whatever you do please please keep bobo

we will

his offense is averaging around 35 ppg this year.

shankit

November 21st, 2011
11:55 am

BCS Computer Logic????
If Houston wins out, and the Dawgs win out,
they will have the first and second longest winning
streak in the nation.
Thus, Houston vs. the Dawgs for the National Championship???
Sounds logical to me.

GTBob

November 21st, 2011
11:55 am

82Dawg, my point was that if UGA could only beat Kentucky, one of the worst teams in college football by 9 points at home then how could Vegas be comfortable putting up a huge spread for a rivalry game against a better team in an away game?

yeller bug

November 21st, 2011
11:56 am

Tech doesn’t have a 3 pt home field advantage in this game—1/4 of the stadium will be red. Probabilities are: UGA wins by two scores 25%, UGA wins a squeaker 50% (<4 pts), Tech wins a squeaker 25% so a 5.5 line is about right. Should be a good game—just hope the zebras don't end up being overly involved in the outcome.

N.GA.DAWG

November 21st, 2011
11:56 am

Cant wait to see if tech will be able to run the ball on a very good defense. Heck I hope we will have somebody left to run the ball! 10 outta 11 sounds sweet and 10-2 sweeter!!! GO DAWGS!

Spanky

November 21st, 2011
11:56 am

This one’s for Larry!…. Go get’em Junkyard D!!

headley lamar

November 21st, 2011
11:58 am

putting up a huge spread for a rivalry game against a better team

Tech inst that much better than Kentucky. Maybe a little.

In fact if Tech played in the SEC they would be Kentucky.

Luke

November 21st, 2011
11:58 am

@headley, take away Coastal Carolina and NMSU and you end up around 25 (which is still fine with the defense you guys have). Just remember thats 35 ppg you guys are averaging as a team. Defense has a lot to do with it.

Zing

November 21st, 2011
11:58 am

About right or maybe a little too much if the assumption is that the Dawgs will have the not-so-potent duo of Harton & Malcome running between the tackles. Not enough of a spread if Crowell is in the game.

My guess is that the spread will change later in the week once it is known whether or not Crowell and Thomas will play.

Texas Dawg

November 21st, 2011
11:58 am

@BigDawg……I agree, how we didn’t go up in the polls is very questionable.

1. Our losses were the first two games and I think both were ranked in the top ten…………….
2. Ok State losses to an unranked team….and OK loses to Baylor which was ranked 24th…………..OK has two losses same as us????? Don’t seem right that they can be ranked ahead of us………know SC beat us but that was at the beginning of the year…………….OR has two losses….don’t get the polls at all this year

Is it cause of our weak schedule…….I would think that would have to be it……be interesting if we beat tech then LSU……see where they put us then

yeller bug

November 21st, 2011
11:58 am

Tech doesn’t have a 3 pt home field advantage in this game—1/4 of the stadium will be red. Probabilities are: UGA wins by two scores 1 in 4, UGA wins a squeaker 1 in 2 (<4 pts), Tech wins a squeaker 1 in 4 so a 5.5 line is about right. Tech should want it more as UGA has "bigger fish to fry". Should be a good game—just hope the zebras don't end up being overly involved in the outcome.

Bad Guy

November 21st, 2011
11:59 am

If Georgia’s D shows up healthy and plays assignment football, I see the dogs covering the spread and a little bit. Bugs can’t pass and everyone knows it. I am not sure they have more than 6 different passing patterns to differentiate in the first place. Remember the FL game? Being one dimensional is going to hurt the bugs on Sat. 8 in the box, UGA will rock.

yeller bug

November 21st, 2011
11:59 am

Texas Dawg

November 21st, 2011
11:59 am

No Sugar in The Sky

November 21st, 2011
11:59 am

LSU 48 Dawgs 12…… Its gonna get UGALY