Oddsmaker: Georgia would be 10.5-point underdogs to LSU

Les Miles.

Les Miles' team is ranked No. 1 by the BCS.

Mark Richt.

Mark Richt's Dogs have won eight straight.

As Georgia fans begin to allow themselves to dream the impossible dream — beating LSU in the SEC championship game — here’s a clue about how big of an underdog the Bulldogs would be that week.

Todd Fuhrman, the senior race and sports analyst for Caesars Entertainment in Las Vegas, said Monday that he projects LSU to be a 10½-point favorite over Georgia at the SEC title game at the Georgia Dome on Dec. 3. That assumes the Dogs win their final two games against Kentucky (which would clinch the SEC East) and Georgia Tech (road), and LSU defeats Mississippi (road) and Arkansas (home).

Fuhrman, reached by phone on Monday, said the point spread will be about 10½ “unless something unexpected happens, like LSU struggles against Arkansas. The [SEC title] game is going to be played in the Georgia Dome, but in championship games there’s not a real home field advantage.”

Georgia fans might perceive the projected line as a lack of respect for a team that will have won 10 straight. But Fuhrman said, “A couple of weeks ago I think most of us would’ve said LSU would be close to a two-touchdown favorite. But their offense has struggled some the last couple of weeks and Georgia’s defense is playing well, especially against the run, like they showed in the Auburn game. If LSU can’t run, they’re going to have problems.”

Fuhrman also said that the play of quarterback Aaron Murray and the receivers around him give Georgia “a puncher’s chance” in that game.

The projected 10½-point spread seems right to me. Do you agree, or is Georgia being short-changed?

By Jeff Schultz

Follow me on Twitter (@JeffSchultzAJC). Friend me on Facebook (Facebook.com/JeffSchultzAJC).

391 comments Add your comment

Destin Dawg

November 14th, 2011
1:54 pm

Destin Dawg

November 14th, 2011
1:55 pm

Lets take care of business 1st…. Beat Kentucky… then we plat GT… lets NOT look too far down the road folks … Go Dawgs !!

Destin Dawg

November 14th, 2011
1:57 pm

Let everybody play these next 2 games… unless red shirt…

trevinb

November 14th, 2011
1:57 pm

I disagree that the Dome is not an advantage for UGA, but it obviously did not help against Boise. UGA’s defense is going to give the Tigers all sorts of problems. The key to the game is Murray – can he be protected enough to get the ball to the receivers which will open the run game? This did not happen against Boise, but the defense has come a long way since then.

Destin Dawg

November 14th, 2011
1:58 pm

Mark Richt for President.. Todd Grantham for Sec. of Defense !!!

Hankie Aron

November 14th, 2011
1:59 pm

About Schultzie

Dap01

November 14th, 2011
1:59 pm

I am wanting UGA to beat Kentucky and GT. Then if they play up to their ability, UGA can play with anyone. As bad as their kicking is, UGA is still better than Alabama. UGA has more playmakers on offense than LSU of Bamer.

Schultz, let UGA fans enjoy their victory. Surely there is more to talk about than a game in 3 weeks.

No matter, what the odds, I will like UGA. No matter, what the odds, some will always pull (and write) against UGA.

Hankie Aron

November 14th, 2011
1:59 pm

About right, sorry

ivy

November 14th, 2011
2:00 pm

Stranger things have happened! If and I say If UGA can improve over the next two weeks they will have good chance against LSU. Remember this is the SEC and the top tier programs all recruit extremely well and UGA has some major talent (like they do every year) that with the right game plan and coaching can play with any team in the nation.

Dbalcer1

November 14th, 2011
2:01 pm

One game at a time and the line will change. We were predicted to beat Auburn by 12 I think and look how that turned out. The players on the field will do the talking but hopefully being underestimated will bring out their fire. Go DAWGS!

Bronko Nagurski

November 14th, 2011
2:01 pm

Probably about right. Not sure how much of Saturday was the Dawgs’ improvement or Auburn’s ineptness. Their defense is really bad.

BTW Jeff, who would have ever thought that Vanderbilt would have a better Head Coach than Florida and Tennessee.

OkieDawg

November 14th, 2011
2:01 pm

Yeah beat Kentucky and that other team. We go to the Dome and although I love UGA, 10 1/2 seems about right.

Skitty Fritty

November 14th, 2011
2:01 pm

Jeff:
What if UGA beats a 12 – 0 LSU team in Atlanta. Any chance UGA gets into the national title game with 2 losses since they would be SEC champs and the past 5 champions coming from the SEC?

1990 Dawg

November 14th, 2011
2:02 pm

I’m just excited that we are in a position to win the SEC East. Least we forget that 2 months ago things looked pretty bad. I’ll take the 10.5 point underdawg to LSU all day. The number does not mean much to the players. Le’t just get to the game and play like we did against Auburn. Everything else will take care of itself.

beast of the east

November 14th, 2011
2:02 pm

Georgia hasn’t played anybody and don’t have a chance against LSU, Alabama or Arkansas. “Get us now while we’re down because we’ll be back next year”

Carolina DAWG

November 14th, 2011
2:03 pm

Too Early for this discussion – lets beat Kentucky and get by a GOOD Ga Tech Team in Atl then talk about LSU!!!!

DC

November 14th, 2011
2:03 pm

Repost:

First off, props to UGA. You guys shut us down saturday and performed very well. Secondly, Crowell should not start for UGA rest of the season. I’m sure we all agree on that one. Thirdly, when you UGA fans do the “nana nana hey hey good bye chant…” make sure you guys are still in your seats and not leaving when you do it. Props to all AU fans who stood their until the end unlike many UGA fans in the stadium. Overall, my experience in athens was a good one. I was only flipped off twice…

Skitty Fritty

November 14th, 2011
2:03 pm

beast of the east
Your right, the Gators are NOBODY without Urban. Get used to coming in behind USC and UGA under Muschamp

Skitty Fritty

November 14th, 2011
2:04 pm

DC:
All the AU fans around me left in the 3rd quarter.

Destin Dawg

November 14th, 2011
2:05 pm

Arkansas might beat LSU…that’s why they play the games .. then what ???

Alaska Dawg

November 14th, 2011
2:06 pm

Too early to say. We have to get there first. A loss to Kentucky and everything unravels. I am optimistic, but anything can happen in College Football. UGA needs to show up like they did against Auburn, not like they did against Vandy. If we get there and we should, 10 points is about right. UGA plays a game like this past Saturday and they can do the unthinkable. Don’t forget LSU has to beat Arkansas which is definitely not a gimme game! Go Dawgs!!!!

Dawgwild

November 14th, 2011
2:06 pm

Beat Kentucky and Tech then worry about the Dome.

IL Jacket

November 14th, 2011
2:07 pm

Sounds a little rich to me given LSU’s struggles to score in the big game with Alabama.

VT>GT

November 14th, 2011
2:08 pm

I Love when fans say 1 game at time. your cheering or looking ahead does not affect the team at all. Not one iota. so feel free to let your imagination run wild…

Dawgwild

November 14th, 2011
2:08 pm

DC: Glad you stuck around to see all of that whipping!

GTBob

November 14th, 2011
2:09 pm

10.5? I would take that line any day. I can’t see LSU winning by less then three touchdowns even with their weak offense.

DC

November 14th, 2011
2:10 pm

Skitty..what section were you in? There were a bunch that stayed..better than so many uga fans who left at the end of the 3rd qtr…I know game was out of reach but come on…

Also, why did that UGA player throw his helmet 50 yards in the air? wasn’t like you all won on a last second field goal..you all had 3 qtrs to celebrate haha

Altanta, GA. USA

November 14th, 2011
2:10 pm

Mind you!!!! Underdogs team are very very dengerous because they aint got nothing to loose. All i can say here is that, anything can happen on any given saturday. Its not going to be a suprise UGA to win the game against LSU. The facts is UGA has more wapons, their QB is playing really , he has alot stars to spread the ball to. lets wait and we will see. Let the best team WINS

VT>GT and neither holds a candle to UGA

November 14th, 2011
2:11 pm

DawginLex

November 14th, 2011
2:11 pm

beastoftheeasteatenbydawg

When you gonna change your handle?

ga

November 14th, 2011
2:13 pm

Sorry Jeff we don’t have to win the final two to make it to the Dome, just the Kentucky game. Nice try though.

Destin Dawg

November 14th, 2011
2:13 pm

hey, going uphill in Athens…. Spurrier to retire… Saban to leave for greener pastures… Ohio State , Penn St. or Texas ??? the obnoxious Gator fans deserve Muschamp and Weiss… Bright future for Dawgs.. give Richt and Grantham a 5 year contract extension…

DC

November 14th, 2011
2:13 pm

Dawgwild..I support AU through it all…even when drunk dads were telling their sons to hand me “cam newton” money..how original…Bama did it already…

Why be upset..we have tons of talented freshmen soph starters..we aren’t there yet..I was hoping the off week would help us. But i stated on many blogs if we didn’t get to Murray it would be a long night..and it was…I also thought Dyer would have a bigger impact..props to the D-line..you have my respect 100%.

Also, I would say about 90% of dawg fans on these blogs dont represent the actual UGA fan base..

2010 BCS CHAMPS

November 14th, 2011
2:13 pm

I would say more like a 20 pt underdog. Not trying to be an a-hole or anything but LSU is that good. Remember, these same tigers held Bama to 6 points for over 4 quarters.

BTW, congrats to the UGA football team for beating the ever loving crap out of my tigers.

2010 BCS CHAMPS

November 14th, 2011
2:14 pm

“All the AU fans around me left in the 3rd quarter.”

Yeah, it was over by the half.

Reality

November 14th, 2011
2:15 pm

Hey DC

You also have Ted Roof.

2010 BCS CHAMPS

November 14th, 2011
2:15 pm

BTW, remember UGA fans, next year you’re in Auburn.

2010 BCS CHAMPS

November 14th, 2011
2:15 pm

“You also have Ted Roof.”

He’ll go by seasons end. No way Chizik keeps that guy around.

Lowcountry Bulldawg

November 14th, 2011
2:16 pm

At first blush that .5 point has me. UGA if it comes in on a 10 game winning streak may lose but by 11 points? Give me UGA and the points on that one!

Skitty Fritty

November 14th, 2011
2:17 pm

DC:
I was in sec 129 and the reason for the helmet throw was because it was the worst defeat in 15 years for Auburn. I enjoyed Dwyer’s comments in the newspaper from Opelaka about quitting. Hope ya’ll beat Bama.

Skitty Fritty

November 14th, 2011
2:17 pm

2010 BCS Champs
5 out of 6 is pretty sweet.

Destin Dawg

November 14th, 2011
2:18 pm

2010… Malzahn to Ole MIss ???? then what ??

ARdawg

November 14th, 2011
2:19 pm

That’s probably a good line for the game and I would take some of that action. Georgia and the points

DC

November 14th, 2011
2:19 pm

Skitty..I highly doubt that kid knew about the history behind the win…and thanks I hope we beat bama too..but I’m proud of the team and school..many doubted we could have a winning season..and we will have that this year.

DC

November 14th, 2011
2:20 pm

Malzahn turned down Vandy..what makes you think he will go to Ole miss? I think Gus stays with AU one more season then he is out.

Gary

November 14th, 2011
2:21 pm

The point spread does not necessarily represent how much better one team is than another, but how many points will it take to get the same number of bettors for each team. LSU has been at or near the top of the polls all year so obviously it would take a lot of points to convince bettors to take a chance on Georgia. That being said, I wasn’t impressed with LSU in the Alabama game. The tide pretty much gave the game to LSU. The tigers have no leadership or consistency at quarterback whereas Georgia’s has been getting better and more consistent each game. I will gladly take the 10.5 points and despite the raucous laughter from the rest of the guys at work, I think our Dawgs can take it. No really, I am not crazy. Dawgs can (will) win!

A plea from the SEC

November 14th, 2011
2:21 pm

South Carolina Fans,

Please win the conference once, just once, before talking trash. It’s really pathetic. Spurrier winning a few is just a short term flight from reality
.
Look at your all time winning performance.

.502

BBBWWWAAHHHAAHHHAAAHHHA
ARE YOU SERIOUS?
He leaves and you’ll be back under .500.
Bowl Record: 4–12–0 – You still want to talk about how good you are?

You humiliated yourselves in the Conference championship last year. Just be glad the east is going to actually have representation this year.

………….15-46-2 against UGA.

DawgJohn

November 14th, 2011
2:21 pm

Doesn’t matter. Let’s just line it up and see what happens!! Go Dawgs!

Otha

November 14th, 2011
2:21 pm

And THIS is why I love Georgia fans so. Beat one (count ‘em) ONE ranked team all season and now you’re better than Alabama and LSU? lol

Skitty Fritty

November 14th, 2011
2:21 pm

DC:
I am proud of my school & team also. Why wouldn’t you have a winning season the year after winning the national title?